BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Ogden

Class: 1A Class Rank: 44 Conference: 1A-4 Record: (3-14-0) Overall: (32-64-0) Overall Strength =   47.96

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Home    W    67.05  21   7   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  19.03     -5.03                      
  2 09/07/2001 Home    W    69.26  14   0    A  18 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska          21.24     -7.24  mid-game forfeit - 3:00 1st quarter - weather
  3 09/14/2001 Away    L    33.87  12  35   2A  41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35   -14.15     -8.85                      
  4 09/21/2001 Home    W *  60.75  18   3   1A  46 ( 45- 52-  0) Woodward-Granger       12.73      2.27                      
  5 09/28/2001 Away    W    67.79  43  20   2A  57 ( 37- 54-  0) Colfax-Mingo           19.77      3.23                      
  6 10/05/2001 Home    W    74.26  61   0   1A  64 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne          26.23     34.77                      
  7 10/12/2001 Away    W    94.13  22   6    A   2 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                 46.11    -30.11                      
  8 10/19/2001 Home    W    88.61  50   0   1A  56 ( 38- 54-  0) Leon Central Decatur   40.58      9.42                      
  9 10/26/2001 Away    W    75.08  34   6   1A  50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville          27.06      0.94                      
 10 10/31/2001 Away    W    81.27  18  12 2  A   4 ( 75- 28-  0) Algona Garrigan        33.25    -27.25                      
 11 11/05/2001 Neutral W   100.45  16   0   1A   3 ( 93- 23-  0) Inwood West Lyon       52.43    -36.43                      
 12 11/09/2001 Neutral W    76.79  22   0    A  23 ( 44- 47-  0) Oakland Riverside      28.77     -6.77                      
 13 11/16/2001 Neutral L    81.61  12  14   1A   4 ( 89- 19-  0) Aplington AP           33.59    -35.59                      
 14 09/06/2002 Away    L    29.11   0  27   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                 -18.91     -8.09                      
 15 09/13/2002 Home    W    94.07  26   7    A   2 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                 46.05    -27.05                      
 16 09/20/2002 Away    L    20.60   0  31   1A  41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley        -27.42     -3.58                      
 17 09/27/2002 Home    L    36.50  16  33   1A  33 ( 68- 29-  0) Mount Ayr             -11.52     -5.48                      
 18 10/04/2002 Away    W    43.02  24  15   1A  58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley    -5.01     14.01                      
 19 10/11/2002 Home    W    46.89  28  14   2A  61 ( 20- 71-  0) Shenandoah             -1.14     15.14                      
 20 10/18/2002 Away    L    39.82  14  42   2A  20 ( 62- 38-  0) Clarinda               -8.20    -19.80                      
 21 10/25/2002 Home    L    30.13   6  18   1A  52 ( 33- 57-  0) Audubon               -17.89      5.89                      
 22 11/01/2002 Away    L    34.45   6  24   2A  47 ( 46- 50-  0) Missouri Valley       -13.58     -4.42                      
 23 09/05/2003 Home    L    33.05  14  34   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                 -14.97     -5.03                      
 24 09/12/2003 Away    L    48.13  20  50    A   2 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                  0.11    -30.11                      
 25 09/19/2003 Home    L    26.55   6  28   1A  41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley        -21.47     -0.53                      
 26 09/26/2003 Away    L    23.56   8  41   1A  33 ( 68- 29-  0) Mount Ayr             -24.46     -8.54                      
 27 10/03/2003 Home    W    54.96  38  14   1A  58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley     6.94     17.06                      
 28 10/10/2003 Away    W    46.94  36  25   2A  61 ( 20- 71-  0) Shenandoah             -1.08     12.08                      
 29 10/17/2003 Home    L    35.76   6  35   2A  20 ( 62- 38-  0) Clarinda              -12.26    -16.74                      
 30 10/24/2003 Away    L    27.19   8  26   1A  52 ( 33- 57-  0) Audubon               -20.83      2.83                      
 31 10/31/2003 Home    L    42.39  28  35   2A  47 ( 46- 50-  0) Missouri Valley        -5.63     -1.37                      
 32 09/03/2004 Home    W    78.05  31   6   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  30.03     -5.03                      
 33 09/10/2004 Home    L *  60.42  18  19   1A  21 ( 48- 45-  0) South Hamilton         12.40    -13.40                      
 34 09/17/2004 Away    W    66.85  20  16   2A  30 ( 49- 49-  0) Alleman North Polk     18.83    -14.83                      
 35 09/24/2004 Home    L    32.34  13  31    A  28 ( 32- 59-  0) Grundy Center         -15.68     -2.32                      
 36 10/01/2004 Away    L    65.38   6  14   2A  10 ( 65- 34-  0) Roland-Story           17.36    -25.36                      
 37 10/08/2004 Home    L    41.80   8  32   ZZ  48 ( 68- 33-  0) Monroe Prairie City-   -6.23    -17.77                      
 38 10/15/2004 Away    W    80.54  41  20   2A  38 ( 45- 50-  0) Bondurant-Farrar       32.51    -11.51                      
 39 10/22/2004 Home    W    80.48  25   8   2A  22 ( 55- 39-  0) Baxter CMB             32.46    -15.46                      
 40 10/29/2004 Away    L    47.40   0  14   2A  35 ( 49- 51-  0) Gilbert                -0.63    -13.37                      
 41 09/02/2005 Away    W    75.11  33  14   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  27.09     -8.09                      
 42 09/09/2005 Away    L *  59.47  14  19   1A  21 ( 48- 45-  0) South Hamilton         11.45    -16.45                      
 43 09/16/2005 Home    L    32.80   8  35   2A  30 ( 49- 49-  0) Alleman North Polk    -15.23    -11.77                      
 44 09/23/2005 Away    L    45.40  13  21    A  28 ( 32- 59-  0) Grundy Center          -2.62     -5.38                      
 45 09/30/2005 Home    L    49.33  21  42   2A  10 ( 65- 34-  0) Roland-Story            1.31    -22.31                      
 46 10/07/2005 Away    L    64.85  35  39   ZZ  48 ( 68- 33-  0) Monroe Prairie City-   16.83    -20.83                      
 47 10/14/2005 Home    W    65.48  27  18   2A  38 ( 45- 50-  0) Bondurant-Farrar       17.46     -8.46                      
 48 10/21/2005 Away    W    67.54  35  34 1 2A  22 ( 55- 39-  0) Baxter CMB             19.52    -18.52                      
 49 10/28/2005 Home    L    24.34   7  41   2A  35 ( 49- 51-  0) Gilbert               -23.68    -10.32                      
 50 09/01/2006 Home    W    78.05  42  17   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  30.03     -5.03                      
 51 09/08/2006 Home    L *  40.42   7  28   1A  21 ( 48- 45-  0) South Hamilton         -7.60    -13.40                      
 52 09/15/2006 Away    L    34.05  13  42   3A  51 ( 44- 51-  0) Hampton-Dumont        -13.98    -15.02                      
 53 09/22/2006 Home    L    27.34   0  31   2A  35 ( 49- 51-  0) Gilbert               -20.68    -10.32                      
 54 09/29/2006 Away    L    39.17  28  42   2A  46 ( 38- 52-  0) East Marshall          -8.85     -5.15                      
 55 10/06/2006 Away    L    54.91  14  18   2A  39 ( 21- 34-  0) Iowa Falls-Alden        6.89    -10.89                      
 56 10/13/2006 Home    W    75.33  21  16   2A  10 ( 65- 34-  0) Roland-Story           27.31    -22.31                      
 57 10/20/2006 Home    W *  63.90  26  14   1A  39 ( 29- 63-  0) Hudson                 15.88     -3.88                      
 58 10/27/2006 Away    L    30.00  22  44   2A  49 ( 18- 27-  0) Eldora South Hardin   -18.03     -3.97                      
 59 08/31/2007 Away    L    54.11  12  14   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                   6.09     -8.09                      
 60 09/07/2007 Away    L *  34.47   0  30   1A  21 ( 48- 45-  0) South Hamilton        -13.55    -16.45                      
 61 09/14/2007 Home    L    17.99   6  48   3A  51 ( 44- 51-  0) Hampton-Dumont        -30.03    -11.97                      
 62 09/21/2007 Away    W    68.40  20  13   2A  35 ( 49- 51-  0) Gilbert                20.37    -13.37                      
 63 09/28/2007 Home    L    43.12  16  23   2A  46 ( 38- 52-  0) East Marshall          -4.90     -2.10                      
 64 10/05/2007 Home    L    47.85  12  20   2A  39 ( 21- 34-  0) Iowa Falls-Alden       -0.17     -7.83                      
 65 10/12/2007 Away    L    45.38  28  56   2A  10 ( 65- 34-  0) Roland-Story           -2.64    -25.36                      
 66 10/19/2007 Away    L *  32.95   6  28   1A  39 ( 29- 63-  0) Hudson                -15.07     -6.93                      
 67 10/26/2007 Home    L    17.94  14  45   2A  49 ( 18- 27-  0) Eldora South Hardin   -30.08     -0.92                      
 68 08/29/2008 Away    L    38.11  27  45   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  -9.91     -8.09  non-district        
 69 09/05/2008 Home    L *  32.42   6  35   1A  21 ( 48- 45-  0) South Hamilton        -15.60    -13.40  non-district        
 70 09/12/2008 Away    W    44.02  22  12   1A  58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley    -4.01     14.01                      
 71 09/19/2008 Home    L *  24.75  12  33   1A  46 ( 45- 52-  0) Woodward-Granger      -23.27      2.27                      
 72 09/26/2008 Away    W    55.87  27  22   1A  43 ( 47- 47-  0) Panora Panorama         7.85     -2.85                      
 73 10/03/2008 Away    L    42.19   7  10 2 1A  52 ( 33- 57-  0) Audubon                -5.83      2.83                      
 74 10/10/2008 Home    L    25.16  13  48   1A  23 ( 56- 42-  0) Prairie Valley        -22.86    -12.14                      
 75 10/17/2008 Home    W    69.83  19  14    A   9 ( 64- 35-  0) Guthrie Center         21.80    -16.80                      
 76 10/24/2008 Away    L    54.48  21  25   1A  30 ( 37- 57-  0) Manson NW Webster       6.46    -10.46                      
 77 10/29/2008 Away    L    12.60  13  58   2A  40 ( 35- 17-  0) Pella Christian       -35.43     -9.57                      
 78 08/28/2009 Home    L    25.05   0  28   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                 -22.97     -5.03  nd                  
 79 09/04/2009 Away    L *  24.47  16  56   1A  21 ( 48- 45-  0) South Hamilton        -23.55    -16.45  nd                  
 80 09/11/2009 Home    L    16.96   7  21   1A  58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley   -31.06     17.06                      
 81 09/18/2009 Away    L *  13.81   0  35   1A  46 ( 45- 52-  0) Woodward-Granger      -34.21     -0.79                      
 82 09/25/2009 Home    L    23.81  17  41   1A  43 ( 47- 47-  0) Panora Panorama       -24.21      0.21                      
 83 10/02/2009 Home    L    35.13  13  20   1A  52 ( 33- 57-  0) Audubon               -12.89      5.89                      
 84 10/09/2009 Away    L    28.22   6  41   1A  23 ( 56- 42-  0) Prairie Valley        -19.81    -15.19                      
 85 10/16/2009 Away    L    47.88  14  34    A   9 ( 64- 35-  0) Guthrie Center         -0.14    -19.86                      
 86 10/23/2009 Home    L    27.42   0  28   1A  30 ( 37- 57-  0) Manson NW Webster     -20.60     -7.40                      
 87 08/20/2010 Away    W    44.29  24  21    A  40 ( 31- 64-  0) Colo-NESCO             -3.73      6.73  ND                  
 88 08/27/2010 Home    L    45.32  26  34    A  22 ( 62- 36-  0) Van Meter              -2.70     -5.30  ND                  
 89 09/03/2010 Away    L    46.54  28  48   2A  22 ( 55- 39-  0) Baxter CMB             -1.48    -18.52  ND                  
 90 09/10/2010 Away    L    43.12   7  35   ZZ  43 ( 72- 28-  0) Reinbeck Gladbrook-R   -4.90    -23.10                      
 91 09/17/2010 Home    L *  57.42  22  26   1A  21 ( 48- 45-  0) South Hamilton          9.40    -13.40                      
 92 09/24/2010 Away    W *  90.14  35   0   1A  38 ( 42- 51-  0) Conrad BCLUW           42.12     -7.12                      
 93 10/01/2010 Home    L *  15.90   6  42   1A  39 ( 29- 63-  0) Hudson                -32.12     -3.88                      
 94 10/08/2010 Away    L *  44.40  20  42   1A  19 ( 50- 45-  0) Eagle Grove            -3.62    -18.38                      
 95 10/15/2010 Home    L *  44.95  30  32   1A  45 (  4-  5-  0) Woodward Academy       -3.07      1.07                      
 96 10/22/2010 Home    L *   2.75   0  43   1A  46 ( 45- 52-  0) Woodward-Granger      -45.27      2.27                      
      Averages              47.96  17.8 25.9

Best game:  100.45 = 16 point win over Inwood West Lyon
Worst game:   2.75 = 43 point loss to Woodward-Granger
Team stdev:  21.53