BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Ogden

Class: 1A Class Rank: 44 Conference: Heart of Iowa Record: (8-17-0) Overall: (32-64-0) Overall Strength =   47.96

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/31/2001 Home    W      67.05  21   7   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  19.03     -5.03                      
 2 09/07/2001 Home    W      69.26  14   0    A 17 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska          21.24     -7.24  mid-game forfeit - 3:00 1st quarter - weather
 3 09/14/2001 Away    L      33.87  12  35   2A 41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35   -14.15     -8.85                      
 4 09/21/2001 Home    W   *  60.75  18   3   1A 46 ( 45- 52-  0) Woodward-Granger       12.73      2.27                      
 5 09/28/2001 Away    W *    67.79  43  20   2A 57 ( 37- 54-  0) Colfax-Mingo           19.77      3.23                      
 6 10/05/2001 Home    W      74.26  61   0   1A 63 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne          26.23     34.77                      
 7 10/12/2001 Away    W      94.13  22   6    A  1 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                 46.11    -30.11                      
 8 10/19/2001 Home    W      88.61  50   0   1A 56 ( 38- 54-  0) Leon Central Decatur   40.58      9.42                      
 9 10/26/2001 Away    W      75.08  34   6   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville          27.06      0.94                      
10 10/31/2001 Away    W      81.27  18  12 2  A  3 ( 75- 28-  0) Algona Garrigan        33.25    -27.25                      
11 11/05/2001 Neutral W     100.45  16   0   1A  2 ( 93- 23-  0) Inwood West Lyon       52.43    -36.43                      
12 11/09/2001 Neutral W      76.79  22   0    A 22 ( 44- 47-  0) Oakland Riverside      28.77     -6.77                      
13 11/16/2001 Neutral L      81.61  12  14   1A  3 ( 89- 19-  0) Aplington AP           33.59    -35.59                      
14 09/06/2002 Away    L      29.11   0  27   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                 -18.91     -8.09                      
15 09/13/2002 Home    W      94.07  26   7    A  1 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                 46.05    -27.05                      
16 09/20/2002 Away    L      20.60   0  31   1A 41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley        -27.42     -3.58                      
17 09/27/2002 Home    L      36.50  16  33   1A 33 ( 68- 29-  0) Mount Ayr             -11.52     -5.48                      
18 10/04/2002 Away    W      43.02  24  15   1A 58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley    -5.01     14.01                      
19 10/11/2002 Home    W      46.89  28  14   2A 61 ( 20- 71-  0) Shenandoah             -1.14     15.14                      
20 10/18/2002 Away    L      39.82  14  42   2A 20 ( 62- 38-  0) Clarinda               -8.20    -19.80                      
21 10/25/2002 Home    L      30.13   6  18   1A 52 ( 33- 57-  0) Audubon               -17.89      5.89                      
22 11/01/2002 Away    L      34.45   6  24   2A 47 ( 46- 50-  0) Missouri Valley       -13.58     -4.42                      
23 09/05/2003 Home    L      33.05  14  34   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                 -14.97     -5.03                      
24 09/12/2003 Away    L      48.13  20  50    A  1 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                  0.11    -30.11                      
25 09/19/2003 Home    L      26.55   6  28   1A 41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley        -21.47     -0.53                      
26 09/26/2003 Away    L      23.56   8  41   1A 33 ( 68- 29-  0) Mount Ayr             -24.46     -8.54                      
27 10/03/2003 Home    W      54.96  38  14   1A 58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley     6.94     17.06                      
28 10/10/2003 Away    W      46.94  36  25   2A 61 ( 20- 71-  0) Shenandoah             -1.08     12.08                      
29 10/17/2003 Home    L      35.76   6  35   2A 20 ( 62- 38-  0) Clarinda              -12.26    -16.74                      
30 10/24/2003 Away    L      27.19   8  26   1A 52 ( 33- 57-  0) Audubon               -20.83      2.83                      
31 10/31/2003 Home    L      42.39  28  35   2A 47 ( 46- 50-  0) Missouri Valley        -5.63     -1.37                      
32 09/03/2004 Home    W      78.05  31   6   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  30.03     -5.03                      
33 09/10/2004 Home    L * *  60.42  18  19   1A 21 ( 48- 45-  0) South Hamilton         12.40    -13.40                      
34 09/17/2004 Away    W *    66.85  20  16   2A 30 ( 49- 49-  0) Alleman North Polk     18.83    -14.83                      
35 09/24/2004 Home    L      32.34  13  31    A 27 ( 32- 59-  0) Grundy Center         -15.68     -2.32                      
36 10/01/2004 Away    L *    65.38   6  14   2A  9 ( 65- 34-  0) Roland-Story           17.36    -25.36                      
37 10/08/2004 Home    L *    41.80   8  32   2A 19 ( 68- 33-  0) Prairie City-Monroe    -6.23    -17.77                      
38 10/15/2004 Away    W *    80.54  41  20   2A 38 ( 45- 50-  0) Bondurant-Farrar       32.51    -11.51                      
39 10/22/2004 Home    W *    80.48  25   8   2A 22 ( 55- 39-  0) Baxter CMB             32.46    -15.46                      
40 10/29/2004 Away    L *    47.40   0  14   2A 35 ( 49- 51-  0) Gilbert                -0.63    -13.37                      
41 09/02/2005 Away    W      75.11  33  14   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  27.09     -8.09                      
42 09/09/2005 Away    L * *  59.47  14  19   1A 21 ( 48- 45-  0) South Hamilton         11.45    -16.45                      
43 09/16/2005 Home    L *    32.80   8  35   2A 30 ( 49- 49-  0) Alleman North Polk    -15.23    -11.77                      
44 09/23/2005 Away    L      45.40  13  21    A 27 ( 32- 59-  0) Grundy Center          -2.62     -5.38                      
45 09/30/2005 Home    L *    49.33  21  42   2A  9 ( 65- 34-  0) Roland-Story            1.31    -22.31                      
46 10/07/2005 Away    L *    64.85  35  39   2A 19 ( 68- 33-  0) Prairie City-Monroe    16.83    -20.83                      
47 10/14/2005 Home    W *    65.48  27  18   2A 38 ( 45- 50-  0) Bondurant-Farrar       17.46     -8.46                      
48 10/21/2005 Away    W *    67.54  35  34 1 2A 22 ( 55- 39-  0) Baxter CMB             19.52    -18.52                      
49 10/28/2005 Home    L *    24.34   7  41   2A 35 ( 49- 51-  0) Gilbert               -23.68    -10.32                      
50 09/01/2006 Home    W      78.05  42  17   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  30.03     -5.03                      
51 09/08/2006 Home    L * *  40.42   7  28   1A 21 ( 48- 45-  0) South Hamilton         -7.60    -13.40                      
52 09/15/2006 Away    L      34.05  13  42   3A 51 ( 44- 51-  0) Hampton-Dumont        -13.98    -15.02                      
53 09/22/2006 Home    L *    27.34   0  31   2A 35 ( 49- 51-  0) Gilbert               -20.68    -10.32                      
54 09/29/2006 Away    L      39.17  28  42   2A 46 ( 38- 52-  0) East Marshall          -8.85     -5.15                      
55 10/06/2006 Away    L      54.91  14  18   2A 39 ( 21- 34-  0) Iowa Falls-Alden        6.89    -10.89                      
56 10/13/2006 Home    W *    75.33  21  16   2A  9 ( 65- 34-  0) Roland-Story           27.31    -22.31                      
57 10/20/2006 Home    W   *  63.90  26  14   1A 39 ( 29- 63-  0) Hudson                 15.88     -3.88                      
58 10/27/2006 Away    L      30.00  22  44   2A 49 ( 18- 27-  0) Eldora South Hardin   -18.03     -3.97                      
59 08/31/2007 Away    L      54.11  12  14   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                   6.09     -8.09                      
60 09/07/2007 Away    L * *  34.47   0  30   1A 21 ( 48- 45-  0) South Hamilton        -13.55    -16.45                      
61 09/14/2007 Home    L      17.99   6  48   3A 51 ( 44- 51-  0) Hampton-Dumont        -30.03    -11.97                      
62 09/21/2007 Away    W *    68.40  20  13   2A 35 ( 49- 51-  0) Gilbert                20.37    -13.37                      
63 09/28/2007 Home    L      43.12  16  23   2A 46 ( 38- 52-  0) East Marshall          -4.90     -2.10                      
64 10/05/2007 Home    L      47.85  12  20   2A 39 ( 21- 34-  0) Iowa Falls-Alden       -0.17     -7.83                      
65 10/12/2007 Away    L *    45.38  28  56   2A  9 ( 65- 34-  0) Roland-Story           -2.64    -25.36                      
66 10/19/2007 Away    L   *  32.95   6  28   1A 39 ( 29- 63-  0) Hudson                -15.07     -6.93                      
67 10/26/2007 Home    L      17.94  14  45   2A 49 ( 18- 27-  0) Eldora South Hardin   -30.08     -0.92                      
68 08/29/2008 Away    L      38.11  27  45   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  -9.91     -8.09  non-district        
69 09/05/2008 Home    L * *  32.42   6  35   1A 21 ( 48- 45-  0) South Hamilton        -15.60    -13.40  non-district        
70 09/12/2008 Away    W      44.02  22  12   1A 58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley    -4.01     14.01                      
71 09/19/2008 Home    L   *  24.75  12  33   1A 46 ( 45- 52-  0) Woodward-Granger      -23.27      2.27                      
72 09/26/2008 Away    W      55.87  27  22   1A 43 ( 47- 47-  0) Panora Panorama         7.85     -2.85                      
73 10/03/2008 Away    L      42.19   7  10 2 1A 52 ( 33- 57-  0) Audubon                -5.83      2.83                      
74 10/10/2008 Home    L      25.16  13  48   1A 23 ( 56- 42-  0) Prairie Valley        -22.86    -12.14                      
75 10/17/2008 Home    W      69.83  19  14    A  8 ( 64- 35-  0) Guthrie Center         21.80    -16.80                      
76 10/24/2008 Away    L      54.48  21  25   1A 30 ( 37- 57-  0) Manson NW Webster       6.46    -10.46                      
77 10/29/2008 Away    L      12.60  13  58   2A 40 ( 35- 17-  0) Pella Christian       -35.43     -9.57                      
78 08/28/2009 Home    L      25.05   0  28   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                 -22.97     -5.03  nd                  
79 09/04/2009 Away    L * *  24.47  16  56   1A 21 ( 48- 45-  0) South Hamilton        -23.55    -16.45  nd                  
80 09/11/2009 Home    L      16.96   7  21   1A 58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley   -31.06     17.06                      
81 09/18/2009 Away    L   *  13.81   0  35   1A 46 ( 45- 52-  0) Woodward-Granger      -34.21     -0.79                      
82 09/25/2009 Home    L      23.81  17  41   1A 43 ( 47- 47-  0) Panora Panorama       -24.21      0.21                      
83 10/02/2009 Home    L      35.13  13  20   1A 52 ( 33- 57-  0) Audubon               -12.89      5.89                      
84 10/09/2009 Away    L      28.22   6  41   1A 23 ( 56- 42-  0) Prairie Valley        -19.81    -15.19                      
85 10/16/2009 Away    L      47.88  14  34    A  8 ( 64- 35-  0) Guthrie Center         -0.14    -19.86                      
86 10/23/2009 Home    L      27.42   0  28   1A 30 ( 37- 57-  0) Manson NW Webster     -20.60     -7.40                      
87 08/20/2010 Away    W      44.29  24  21    A 40 ( 31- 64-  0) Colo-NESCO             -3.73      6.73  ND                  
88 08/27/2010 Home    L      45.32  26  34    A 21 ( 62- 36-  0) Van Meter              -2.70     -5.30  ND                  
89 09/03/2010 Away    L *    46.54  28  48   2A 22 ( 55- 39-  0) Baxter CMB             -1.48    -18.52  ND                  
90 09/10/2010 Away    L   *  43.12   7  35   1A 15 ( 72- 28-  0) Gladbrook-Reinbeck     -4.90    -23.10                      
91 09/17/2010 Home    L * *  57.42  22  26   1A 21 ( 48- 45-  0) South Hamilton          9.40    -13.40                      
92 09/24/2010 Away    W   *  90.14  35   0   1A 38 ( 42- 51-  0) Conrad BCLUW           42.12     -7.12                      
93 10/01/2010 Home    L   *  15.90   6  42   1A 39 ( 29- 63-  0) Hudson                -32.12     -3.88                      
94 10/08/2010 Away    L   *  44.40  20  42   1A 19 ( 50- 45-  0) Eagle Grove            -3.62    -18.38                      
95 10/15/2010 Home    L   *  44.95  30  32   1A 45 (  4-  5-  0) Woodward Academy       -3.07      1.07                      
96 10/22/2010 Home    L   *   2.75   0  43   1A 46 ( 45- 52-  0) Woodward-Granger      -45.27      2.27                      
      Averages              47.96  17.8 25.9

Best game:  100.45 = 16 point win over Inwood West Lyon
Worst game:   2.75 = 43 point loss to Woodward-Granger
Team stdev:  21.53