BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Aurelia
Class: ZZ Class Rank: 48 Conference: ZZ Record: (7-3-0) Overall: (62-25-0) Overall Strength = 51.66
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/24/2001 Away W 45.70 43 14 8 57 ( 12- 77- 0) Granville Spalding -5.96 34.96
2 08/31/2001 Home W 62.28 32 21 2A 45 ( 34- 58- 0) Milford Okoboji 10.62 0.38
3 09/07/2001 Away W 85.35 54 28 8 11 ( 70- 29- 0) Remsen St Mary 33.70 -7.70
4 09/21/2001 Home W 77.42 56 12 8 36 ( 34- 56- 0) Harris-Lake Park 25.76 18.24
5 09/28/2001 Away W 87.85 47 16 1A 32 ( 41- 49- 0) Sioux Central 36.20 -5.20
6 10/05/2001 Home W 53.96 47 19 8 47 ( 31- 57- 0) Charter Oak-Ute 2.30 25.70
7 10/12/2001 Away L * * 57.02 35 40 ZZ 27 ( 54- 15- 0) Fenton Sentral 5.36 -10.36
8 10/19/2001 Home W 67.85 65 22 8 48 ( 32- 59- 0) Whiting 16.20 26.80
9 10/26/2001 Away W * * 68.02 46 40 ZZ 27 ( 54- 15- 0) Fenton Sentral 16.36 -10.36
10 11/03/2001 Away L 33.32 30 54 8 13 ( 83- 27- 0) Adair-Casey -18.34 -5.66
11 09/06/2002 Home W 60.80 47 13 8 45 ( 30- 63- 0) Ventura 9.14 24.86
12 09/13/2002 Away W 37.38 22 14 8 46 ( 24- 65- 0) Crystal Lake W-CL-T -14.27 22.27
13 09/20/2002 Home W 65.85 71 30 8 48 ( 32- 59- 0) Whiting 14.20 26.80
14 09/27/2002 Away W 69.60 42 26 8 17 ( 60- 37- 0) Westside Ar-We-Va 17.95 -1.95
15 10/04/2002 Home W * * 51.17 41 20 ZZ 69 ( 26- 47- 0) Elk Horn-Kimballton -0.49 21.49
16 10/11/2002 Away W 43.55 20 19 8 26 ( 48- 47- 0) Coon Rapids-Bayard -8.10 9.10
17 10/18/2002 Home W 74.20 76 26 8 49 ( 26- 63- 0) East Greene 22.55 27.45
18 10/25/2002 Away W 75.01 74 28 8 47 ( 31- 57- 0) Charter Oak-Ute 23.36 22.64
19 11/01/2002 Home W 91.30 63 28 8 11 ( 70- 29- 0) Remsen St Mary 39.64 -4.64
20 11/09/2002 Home L * * 26.96 6 38 ZZ 27 ( 54- 15- 0) Fenton Sentral -24.69 -7.31
21 09/05/2003 Away W 79.85 50 0 8 45 ( 30- 63- 0) Ventura 28.20 21.80
22 09/12/2003 Home W 58.33 77 45 8 46 ( 24- 65- 0) Crystal Lake W-CL-T 6.67 25.33
23 09/19/2003 Away W 78.91 67 16 8 48 ( 32- 59- 0) Whiting 27.25 23.75
24 09/26/2003 Home W 70.55 40 20 8 17 ( 60- 37- 0) Westside Ar-We-Va 18.89 1.11
25 10/03/2003 Away W * * 83.22 50 0 ZZ 69 ( 26- 47- 0) Elk Horn-Kimballton 31.57 18.43
26 10/10/2003 Home W 80.50 47 6 8 26 ( 48- 47- 0) Coon Rapids-Bayard 28.84 12.16
27 10/17/2003 Away W 79.26 66 14 8 49 ( 26- 63- 0) East Greene 27.60 24.40
28 10/24/2003 Home W 75.96 64 14 8 47 ( 31- 57- 0) Charter Oak-Ute 24.30 25.70
29 10/31/2003 Away W 64.35 28 23 8 11 ( 70- 29- 0) Remsen St Mary 12.70 -7.70
30 11/08/2003 Home W 82.30 40 14 8 11 ( 70- 29- 0) Remsen St Mary 30.64 -4.64
31 11/15/2003 Home L * * 43.96 29 44 ZZ 27 ( 54- 15- 0) Fenton Sentral -7.69 -7.31
32 09/03/2004 Away W 61.26 40 6 8 49 ( 26- 63- 0) East Greene 9.60 24.40
33 09/10/2004 Home W 83.55 39 6 8 17 ( 60- 37- 0) Westside Ar-We-Va 31.89 1.11
34 09/17/2004 Away W * * 69.22 48 12 ZZ 69 ( 26- 47- 0) Elk Horn-Kimballton 17.57 18.43
35 09/24/2004 Home W 86.50 47 0 8 26 ( 48- 47- 0) Coon Rapids-Bayard 34.84 12.16
36 10/01/2004 Away W 90.27 56 19 8 18 ( 52- 43- 0) Remsen-Union 38.62 -1.62
37 10/08/2004 Home W 61.96 48 12 8 47 ( 31- 57- 0) Charter Oak-Ute 10.30 25.70
38 10/15/2004 Away W 70.91 43 0 8 48 ( 32- 59- 0) Whiting 19.25 23.75
39 10/22/2004 Away L 45.35 28 42 8 11 ( 70- 29- 0) Remsen St Mary -6.30 -7.70
40 10/29/2004 Home W 67.64 54 0 8 57 ( 12- 77- 0) Granville Spalding 15.98 38.02
41 09/02/2005 Home W 72.20 48 0 8 49 ( 26- 63- 0) East Greene 20.55 27.45
42 09/09/2005 Away W 80.60 39 12 8 17 ( 60- 37- 0) Westside Ar-We-Va 28.95 -1.95
43 09/16/2005 Home W * * 33.17 52 49 ZZ 69 ( 26- 47- 0) Elk Horn-Kimballton -18.49 21.49
44 09/23/2005 Away W 52.55 36 26 8 26 ( 48- 47- 0) Coon Rapids-Bayard 0.90 9.10
45 09/30/2005 Home L 33.22 40 57 8 18 ( 52- 43- 0) Remsen-Union -18.44 1.44
46 10/07/2005 Away W 51.01 50 28 8 47 ( 31- 57- 0) Charter Oak-Ute -0.64 22.64
47 10/14/2005 Home L -21.15 8 54 8 48 ( 32- 59- 0) Whiting -72.80 26.80
48 10/21/2005 Home L 32.30 20 44 8 11 ( 70- 29- 0) Remsen St Mary -19.36 -4.64
49 10/28/2005 Away W 62.70 54 8 8 57 ( 12- 77- 0) Granville Spalding 11.04 34.96
50 09/01/2006 Home W 77.50 52 14 8 26 ( 48- 47- 0) Coon Rapids-Bayard 25.84 12.16
51 09/08/2006 Away W * * 40.22 28 21 ZZ 69 ( 26- 47- 0) Elk Horn-Kimballton -11.43 18.43
52 09/15/2006 Home W 72.22 44 22 8 18 ( 52- 43- 0) Remsen-Union 20.56 1.44
53 09/22/2006 Away W 42.70 46 20 8 57 ( 12- 77- 0) Granville Spalding -8.96 34.96
54 09/29/2006 Away L 41.35 34 52 8 11 ( 70- 29- 0) Remsen St Mary -10.30 -7.70
55 10/05/2006 Home W 60.85 48 12 8 48 ( 32- 59- 0) Whiting 9.20 26.80
56 10/13/2006 Away W 70.76 53 7 8 51 ( 15- 48- 0) Ruthven-Ayrshire 19.10 26.90
57 10/20/2006 Away W 54.26 55 28 8 49 ( 26- 63- 0) East Greene 2.60 24.40
58 10/27/2006 Home W 73.42 48 8 8 36 ( 34- 56- 0) Harris-Lake Park 21.76 18.24
59 11/01/2006 Away L 47.39 34 49 8 6 ( 65- 37- 0) Glidden-Ralston -4.27 -10.73
60 08/31/2007 Away L 27.55 32 47 8 26 ( 48- 47- 0) Coon Rapids-Bayard -24.10 9.10
61 09/07/2007 Home W * * 44.17 34 20 ZZ 69 ( 26- 47- 0) Elk Horn-Kimballton -7.49 21.49
62 09/14/2007 Away W 59.27 30 24 8 18 ( 52- 43- 0) Remsen-Union 7.62 -1.62
63 09/21/2007 Home W 31.64 32 14 8 57 ( 12- 77- 0) Granville Spalding -20.02 38.02
64 09/28/2007 Home W 61.30 19 14 8 11 ( 70- 29- 0) Remsen St Mary 9.64 -4.64
65 10/05/2007 Away W 44.91 43 26 8 48 ( 32- 59- 0) Whiting -6.75 23.75
66 10/12/2007 Home W 43.70 35 13 8 51 ( 15- 48- 0) Ruthven-Ayrshire -7.95 29.95
67 10/19/2007 Home W 45.20 41 20 8 49 ( 26- 63- 0) East Greene -6.45 27.45
68 10/25/2007 Away L -9.53 3 49 8 36 ( 34- 56- 0) Harris-Lake Park -61.18 15.18
69 10/30/2007 Away L 12.39 6 56 8 6 ( 65- 37- 0) Glidden-Ralston -39.27 -10.73
70 08/29/2008 Home L 54.35 38 40 8 10 ( 31- 39- 0) Graettinger-Terril 2.69 -4.69 non-district
71 09/05/2008 Away W 37.76 13 0 8 51 ( 15- 48- 0) Ruthven-Ayrshire -13.90 26.90 non-district
72 09/12/2008 Home W 65.85 47 6 8 48 ( 32- 59- 0) Whiting 14.20 26.80
73 09/19/2008 Away L 26.60 24 51 8 17 ( 60- 37- 0) Westside Ar-We-Va -25.05 -1.95
74 09/26/2008 Away W 42.70 42 16 8 57 ( 12- 77- 0) Granville Spalding -8.96 34.96
75 10/03/2008 Home W 56.96 41 10 8 47 ( 31- 57- 0) Charter Oak-Ute 5.30 25.70
76 10/10/2008 Away L 29.40 28 56 8 14 ( 48- 45- 0) Woodbine -22.25 -5.75
77 10/17/2008 Home W 52.22 30 28 8 18 ( 52- 43- 0) Remsen-Union 0.56 1.44
78 10/23/2008 Home L 35.30 20 41 8 11 ( 70- 29- 0) Remsen St Mary -16.36 -4.64
79 08/28/2009 Away L 13.40 8 54 8 10 ( 31- 39- 0) Graettinger-Terril -38.25 -7.75 nd
80 09/04/2009 Home L -11.30 0 33 8 51 ( 15- 48- 0) Ruthven-Ayrshire -62.95 29.95 nd
81 09/11/2009 Away L -14.09 12 54 8 48 ( 32- 59- 0) Whiting -65.75 23.75
82 09/18/2009 Home L -6.45 0 57 8 17 ( 60- 37- 0) Westside Ar-We-Va -58.11 1.11
83 09/25/2009 Home W 43.64 44 14 8 57 ( 12- 77- 0) Granville Spalding -8.02 38.02
84 10/02/2009 Away L 15.01 20 34 8 47 ( 31- 57- 0) Charter Oak-Ute -36.64 22.64
85 10/09/2009 Home L 15.35 8 47 8 14 ( 48- 45- 0) Woodbine -36.31 -2.69
86 10/16/2009 Away L 3.27 0 50 8 18 ( 52- 43- 0) Remsen-Union -48.38 -1.62
87 10/23/2009 Away L 25.35 12 46 8 11 ( 70- 29- 0) Remsen St Mary -26.30 -7.70
Averages 51.63 38.3 25.7
Best game: 91.30 = 35 point win over Remsen St Mary
Worst game: -21.15 = 46 point loss to Whiting
Team stdev: 25.73