BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Adair-Casey

Class: 8 Class Rank: 15 Conference: 8-6 Record: (21-7-0) Overall: (83-27-0) Overall Strength =   55.80

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Home    W    74.20  56   6    8  49 ( 26- 63-  0) East Greene            18.41     31.59                      
  2 09/07/2001 Home    W    59.79  68  14    8  62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page              4.00     50.00                      
  3 09/14/2001 Away    W    61.65  53   0    8  63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca                5.86     47.14                      
  4 09/21/2001 Away    W    88.56  66  12    8  39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                  32.77     21.23                      
  5 09/28/2001 Home    W    85.17  55   0   ZZ  80 ( 26- 47-  0) Elk Horn-Kimballton    29.38     25.62                      
  6 10/05/2001 Away    W    94.76  79  26    8  29 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                 38.97     14.03                      
  7 10/12/2001 Home    W    74.44  61   6   ZZ  88 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                  18.65     36.35                      
  8 10/19/2001 Away    W    81.26  66  12    8  49 ( 26- 63-  0) East Greene            25.47     28.53                      
  9 10/26/2001 Home    W *  88.01  73  18    8  37 ( 54- 37-  0) Lamoni                 32.23     22.77                      
 10 11/03/2001 Home    W    74.13  54  30   ZZ  65 ( 62- 25-  0) Aurelia                18.34      5.66                      
 11 09/06/2002 Away    W    64.61  37   6    8  40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars      8.82     22.18                      
 12 09/13/2002 Home    W *  83.01  76  26    8  37 ( 54- 37-  0) Lamoni                 27.23     22.77                      
 13 09/20/2002 Home    W    62.59  71  14    8  63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca                6.81     50.19                      
 14 09/27/2002 Away    W    82.49  76  16   ZZ  88 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                  26.70     33.30                      
 15 10/04/2002 Home    W    85.72  57   6    8  35 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas         29.93     21.07                      
 16 10/11/2002 Away    W *  82.76  68  16    8  44 ( 49- 41-  0) Murray                 26.97     25.03                      
 17 10/18/2002 Home    W    88.71  68  18    8  29 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                 32.92     17.08                      
 18 10/26/2002 Away    W    82.84  69  14   1A  61 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian   27.05     27.95                      
 19 11/01/2002 Home    W *  50.20  58  46    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM              -5.59     17.59                      
 20 11/09/2002 Away    W    64.79  38  20    8  23 ( 48- 45-  0) Bode TRV                9.00      9.00                      
 21 11/16/2002 Neutral L    57.49  43  46 2 ZZ  56 ( 54- 15-  0) Fenton Sentral          1.70     -4.70                      
 22 09/05/2003 Home    W    48.55  46  28    8  40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars     -7.24     25.24                      
 23 09/12/2003 Away    W *  86.07  56   6    8  37 ( 54- 37-  0) Lamoni                 30.28     19.72                      
 24 09/19/2003 Away    W    58.65  72  22    8  63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca                2.86     47.14                      
 25 09/26/2003 Home    W    69.44  70  20   ZZ  88 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                  13.65     36.35                      
 26 10/03/2003 Away    W    72.74  59   6   1A  63 ( 10- 64-  0) Clarinda Academy       16.95     36.05                      
 27 10/10/2003 Home    W *  78.70  59   8    8  44 ( 49- 41-  0) Murray                 22.92     28.08                      
 28 10/17/2003 Away    W    83.76  50   8    8  29 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                 27.97     14.03                      
 29 10/24/2003 Home    W    81.78  71  14   1A  61 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian   25.99     31.01                      
 30 10/31/2003 Away    W *  95.25  60   6    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM              39.46     14.54                      
 31 11/08/2003 Home    W    62.55  60  28    8  40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars      6.76     25.24                      
 32 11/15/2003 Home    W   115.65  80  26    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton                59.87     -5.87                      
 33 11/21/2003 Neutral L    52.49  20  28   ZZ  56 ( 54- 15-  0) Fenton Sentral         -3.30     -4.70                      
 34 09/03/2004 Home    W    49.12  74  32    8  61 ( 16- 56-  0) Moravia                -6.66     48.66                      
 35 09/10/2004 Away    W    75.78  44   6    8  35 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas         19.99     18.01                      
 36 09/17/2004 Home    W    76.55  46   0    8  40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars     20.76     25.24                      
 37 09/24/2004 Away    W    22.77  52  20   ZZ  90 (  6- 54-  0) Russell               -33.01 *   65.01                      
 38 10/01/2004 Home    W    74.93  80  33    8  43 ( 34- 35-  0) DM Grandview Park      19.15     27.85                      
 39 10/08/2004 Away    W *  70.76  66  26    8  44 ( 49- 41-  0) Murray                 14.97     25.03                      
 40 10/15/2004 Home    W *  73.01  46   6    8  37 ( 54- 37-  0) Lamoni                 17.23     22.77                      
 41 10/22/2004 Away    W *  85.66  82   8    8  60 ( 23- 67-  0) Mormon Trail           29.87     44.13                      
 42 10/29/2004 Home    W *  81.48  54  30    8  10 ( 85- 29-  0) Lenox                  25.69     -1.69                      
 43 11/06/2004 Away    W    61.61  60  32    8  40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars      5.82     22.18                      
 44 11/13/2004 Home    W    51.71  42  29    8  29 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                 -4.08     17.08                      
 45 11/20/2004 Neutral L     9.82   8  56    8  12 ( 70- 29-  0) Remsen St Mary        -45.96     -2.04                      
 46 09/02/2005 Away    W    28.18  48  30    8  61 ( 16- 56-  0) Moravia               -27.61     45.61                      
 47 09/09/2005 Home    L   -29.28   6  70    8  35 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas        -85.07     21.07                      
 48 09/16/2005 Away    L    -2.39  24  60    8  40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars    -58.18     22.18                      
 49 09/24/2005 Home    W    13.72  40  14   ZZ  90 (  6- 54-  0) Russell               -42.07 *   68.07                      
 50 09/30/2005 Away    L    28.99  24  26    8  43 ( 34- 35-  0) DM Grandview Park     -26.80     24.80                      
 51 10/07/2005 Home    L *  -6.30  20  54    8  44 ( 49- 41-  0) Murray                -62.08     28.08                      
 52 10/14/2005 Away    L *  18.07  30  48    8  37 ( 54- 37-  0) Lamoni                -37.72     19.72                      
 53 10/21/2005 Home    W *  52.61  50   6    8  60 ( 23- 67-  0) Mormon Trail           -3.18     47.18                      
 54 10/28/2005 Away    L *  -1.46  12  74    8  10 ( 85- 29-  0) Lenox                 -57.25     -4.75                      
 55 09/01/2006 Away    L     2.56  28  60    8  39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                 -53.23     21.23                      
 56 09/08/2006 Home    W    60.75  69  38   ZZ  81 ( 23- 30-  0) Malvern                 4.96     26.04                      
 57 09/15/2006 Home    W *  64.20  32   6    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM               8.41     17.59                      
 58 09/22/2006 Away    W    61.76  52  32    8  29 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                  5.97     14.03                      
 59 09/29/2006 Away    W    56.65  48   0    8  63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca                0.86     47.14                      
 60 10/06/2006 Home    W    75.65  54  40    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton                19.87     -5.87                      
 61 10/13/2006 Away    W    32.84  56  32    8  62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page            -22.95     46.95                      
 62 10/20/2006 Away    W    81.69  54  12   ZZ  76 ( 29- 23-  0) Hastings Nishna Vall   25.91     16.09                      
 63 10/27/2006 Home    W    26.44  50  43   ZZ  88 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                 -29.35     36.35                      
 64 11/01/2006 Home    W    50.31  54  36    8  38 ( 48- 45-  0) Sidney                 -5.48     23.48                      
 65 11/06/2006 Home    L     9.50  10  32    8  39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                 -46.29     24.29                      
 66 08/24/2007 Home    W    50.21  36  12   ZZ  83 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut               -5.58     29.58                      
 67 08/31/2007 Home    L    15.50  14  30    8  39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                 -40.29     24.29                      
 68 09/14/2007 Away    L *  35.25  40  46 1  8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM             -20.54     14.54                      
 69 09/21/2007 Home    L     1.71  14  51    8  29 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                -54.08     17.08                      
 70 09/28/2007 Home    L     3.59  38  40    8  63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca              -52.19     50.19                      
 71 10/05/2007 Away    L    24.71  30  70    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton               -31.08     -8.92                      
 72 10/12/2007 Home    W    30.79  77  52    8  62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page            -25.00     50.00                      
 73 10/19/2007 Home    L     0.19   2  56    8  16 ( 31- 10-  0) East Mills            -55.60      1.60  non-district        
 74 10/26/2007 Away    L     8.49  28  42   ZZ  88 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                 -47.30     33.30                      
 75 08/29/2008 Away    W    79.26  56   6   ZZ  83 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut               23.47     26.53  non-district        
 76 09/05/2008 Home    L    37.65  32  56    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton               -18.13     -5.87  non-district        
 77 09/12/2008 Away    W    73.22  48   8   ZZ  80 ( 26- 47-  0) Elk Horn-Kimballton    17.44     22.56                      
 78 09/19/2008 Home    W    60.20  60  24    8  49 ( 26- 63-  0) East Greene             4.41     31.59                      
 79 09/26/2008 Away    W    77.76  60  24    8  29 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                 21.97     14.03                      
 80 10/03/2008 Home    W    83.33  36  12    8   7 ( 65- 37-  0) Glidden-Ralston        27.55     -3.55                      
 81 10/10/2008 Away    W    55.49  63  30   ZZ  88 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                  -0.30     33.30                      
 82 10/17/2008 Home    W    69.50  52  22    8  27 ( 48- 47-  0) Coon Rapids-Bayard     13.71     16.29                      
 83 10/24/2008 Away    L *  39.25  22  24    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM             -16.54     14.54                      
 84 10/29/2008 Home    W    46.59  53  12    8  63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca               -9.19     50.19                      
 85 11/03/2008 Away    L    14.71   6  56    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton               -41.08     -8.92                      
 86 08/28/2009 Home    W    59.21  41   8   ZZ  83 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut                3.42     29.58  nd                  
 87 09/04/2009 Away    L    60.71  28  32    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton                 4.92     -8.92  nd                  
 88 09/11/2009 Home    W    49.64  46  40   ZZ  70 ( 10-  9-  0) Exira-Elk Horn-Kimba   -6.15     12.15  nd                  
 89 09/18/2009 Away    W    33.26  28  22    8  49 ( 26- 63-  0) East Greene           -22.53     28.53                      
 90 09/25/2009 Home    W    53.71  55  40    8  29 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                 -2.08     17.08                      
 91 10/02/2009 Away    L    26.39   6  42    8   7 ( 65- 37-  0) Glidden-Ralston       -29.40     -6.60                      
 92 10/09/2009 Home    W    55.34  80  30    8  64 (  4- 15-  0) Tama Meskwaki          -0.45     50.45  nd                  
 93 10/16/2009 Away    W    49.55  36  29    8  27 ( 48- 47-  0) Coon Rapids-Bayard     -6.23     13.23                      
 94 10/23/2009 Home    W *  60.20  48  26    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM               4.41     17.59                      
 95 10/28/2009 Home    W    62.21  60  24   ZZ  83 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut                6.42     29.58                      
 96 11/02/2009 Home    W    66.19  44  32    8  16 ( 31- 10-  0) East Mills             10.40      1.60                      
 97 11/06/2009 Away    W    80.71  42  26    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton                24.92     -8.92                      
 98 11/12/2009 Neutral L    28.60  22  64    8   4 ( 81- 29-  0) Armstrong-Ringsted    -27.19    -14.81                      
 99 08/27/2010 Home    W    65.79  78  18    8  62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page             10.00     50.00  ND                  
100 09/03/2010 Away    L    19.91  14  20    8  50 ( 31- 62-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills   -35.88     29.88  ND                  
101 09/10/2010 Away    W *  85.20  75  28    8  34 ( 42- 52-  0) Afton East Union       29.41     17.59                      
102 09/17/2010 Home    W *  75.20  44   7    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM              19.41     17.59                      
103 09/24/2010 Away    W *  72.76  62  20    8  44 ( 49- 41-  0) Murray                 16.97     25.03                      
104 10/01/2010 Home    W *  70.61  76  14    8  60 ( 23- 67-  0) Mormon Trail           14.82     47.18                      
105 10/08/2010 Home    L *  34.48  18  41    8  10 ( 85- 29-  0) Lenox                 -21.31     -1.69                      
106 10/15/2010 Away    W *  91.38  62  14    8  25 ( 18- 12-  0) Ankeny Christian       35.59     12.41                      
107 10/22/2010 Home    W *  89.01  78  22    8  37 ( 54- 37-  0) Lamoni                 33.23     22.77                      
108 10/27/2010 Home    W   104.72  76   6    8  35 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas         48.93     21.07                      
109 11/01/2010 Home    W *  75.20  54  17    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM              19.41     17.59                      
110 11/05/2010 Away    L *  10.54   8  58    8  10 ( 85- 29-  0) Lenox                 -45.25     -4.75                      
      Averages              55.80  48.7 26.3

Best game:  115.65 = 54 point win over Stanton
Worst game: -29.28 = 64 point loss to Melcher-Dallas
Team stdev:  28.69