BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Adair-Casey

Class: 8 Class Rank: 13 Conference: Rolling Hills Record: (20-4-0) Overall: (83-27-0) Overall Strength =   56.50

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08-31-2001 Home    W *    74.20  56   6    8 49 ( 26- 63-  0) East Greene            18.41     31.59                      
 2 09-07-2001 Home    W      59.79  68  14    8 62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page              4.00     50.00                      
 3 09-14-2001 Away    W      61.65  53   0    8 63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca                5.86     47.14                      
 4 09-21-2001 Away    W      88.56  66  12    8 39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                  32.77     21.23                      
 5 09-28-2001 Home    W      85.17  55   0   ZZ 69 ( 26- 47-  0) Elk Horn-Kimballton    29.38     25.62                      
 6 10-05-2001 Away    W *    94.76  79  26    8 28 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                 38.97     14.03                      
 7 10-12-2001 Home    W      74.44  61   6   ZZ 81 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                  18.65     36.35                      
 8 10-19-2001 Away    W *    81.26  66  12    8 49 ( 26- 63-  0) East Greene            25.47     28.53                      
 9 10-26-2001 Home    W   *  88.01  73  18    8 37 ( 54- 37-  0) Lamoni                 32.23     22.77                      
10 11-03-2001 Home    W      74.13  54  30   ZZ 44 ( 62- 25-  0) Aurelia                18.34      5.66                      
11 09-06-2002 Away    W      64.61  37   6    8 40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars      8.82     22.18                      
12 09-13-2002 Home    W   *  83.01  76  26    8 37 ( 54- 37-  0) Lamoni                 27.23     22.77                      
13 09-20-2002 Home    W      62.59  71  14    8 63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca                6.81     50.19                      
14 09-27-2002 Away    W      82.49  76  16   ZZ 81 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                  26.70     33.30                      
15 10-04-2002 Home    W      85.72  57   6    8 34 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas         29.94     21.06                      
16 10-11-2002 Away    W   *  82.76  68  16    8 44 ( 49- 41-  0) Murray                 26.97     25.03                      
17 10-18-2002 Home    W *    88.71  68  18    8 28 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                 32.92     17.08                      
18 10-26-2002 Away    W      82.84  69  14   1A 60 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian   27.05     27.95                      
19 11-01-2002 Home    W * *  50.20  58  46    8 29 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM              -5.59     17.59                      
20 11-09-2002 Away    W      64.79  38  20    8 22 ( 48- 45-  0) Bode TRV                9.00      9.00                      
21 11-16-2002 Neutral L      57.49  43  46 2 ZZ 27 ( 54- 15-  0) Fenton Sentral          1.70     -4.70                      
22 09-05-2003 Home    W      48.55  46  28    8 40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars     -7.24     25.24                      
23 09-12-2003 Away    W   *  86.07  56   6    8 37 ( 54- 37-  0) Lamoni                 30.28     19.72                      
24 09-19-2003 Away    W      58.65  72  22    8 63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca                2.86     47.14                      
25 09-26-2003 Home    W      69.44  70  20   ZZ 81 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                  13.65     36.35                      
26 10-03-2003 Away    W      72.74  59   6   1A 62 ( 10- 64-  0) Clarinda Academy       16.95     36.05                      
27 10-10-2003 Home    W   *  78.70  59   8    8 44 ( 49- 41-  0) Murray                 22.92     28.08                      
28 10-17-2003 Away    W *    83.76  50   8    8 28 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                 27.97     14.03                      
29 10-24-2003 Home    W      81.78  71  14   1A 60 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian   26.00     31.00                      
30 10-31-2003 Away    W * *  95.25  60   6    8 29 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM              39.46     14.54                      
31 11-08-2003 Home    W      62.55  60  28    8 40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars      6.76     25.24                      
32 11-15-2003 Home    W     115.65  80  26    8  5 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton                59.87     -5.87                      
33 11-21-2003 Neutral L      52.49  20  28   ZZ 27 ( 54- 15-  0) Fenton Sentral         -3.30     -4.70                      
34 09-03-2004 Home    W      49.12  74  32    8 61 ( 16- 56-  0) Moravia                -6.66     48.66                      
35 09-10-2004 Away    W      75.78  44   6    8 34 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas         19.99     18.01                      
36 09-17-2004 Home    W      76.55  46   0    8 40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars     20.76     25.24                      
37 09-24-2004 Away    W      22.77  52  20   ZZ 84 (  6- 54-  0) Russell               -33.01 *   65.01                      
38 10-01-2004 Home    W      74.93  80  33    8 43 ( 34- 35-  0) DM Grandview Park      19.15     27.85                      
39 10-08-2004 Away    W   *  70.76  66  26    8 44 ( 49- 41-  0) Murray                 14.97     25.03                      
40 10-15-2004 Home    W   *  73.01  46   6    8 37 ( 54- 37-  0) Lamoni                 17.23     22.77                      
41 10-22-2004 Away    W   *  85.66  82   8    8 60 ( 23- 67-  0) Mormon Trail           29.87     44.13                      
42 10-29-2004 Home    W   *  81.48  54  30    8  9 ( 85- 29-  0) Lenox                  25.69     -1.69                      
43 11-06-2004 Away    W      61.61  60  32    8 40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars      5.82     22.18                      
44 11-13-2004 Home    W *    51.71  42  29    8 28 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                 -4.08     17.08                      
45 11-20-2004 Neutral L       9.82   8  56    8 11 ( 70- 29-  0) Remsen St Mary        -45.96     -2.04                      
46 09-02-2005 Away    W      28.18  48  30    8 61 ( 16- 56-  0) Moravia               -27.61     45.61                      
47 09-09-2005 Home    L     -29.28   6  70    8 34 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas        -85.06     21.06                      
48 09-16-2005 Away    L      -2.39  24  60    8 40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars    -58.18     22.18                      
49 09-24-2005 Home    W      13.72  40  14   ZZ 84 (  6- 54-  0) Russell               -42.07 *   68.07                      
50 09-30-2005 Away    L      28.99  24  26    8 43 ( 34- 35-  0) DM Grandview Park     -26.80     24.80                      
51 10-07-2005 Home    L   *  -6.30  20  54    8 44 ( 49- 41-  0) Murray                -62.08     28.08                      
52 10-14-2005 Away    L   *  18.07  30  48    8 37 ( 54- 37-  0) Lamoni                -37.72     19.72                      
53 10-21-2005 Home    W   *  52.61  50   6    8 60 ( 23- 67-  0) Mormon Trail           -3.18     47.18                      
54 10-28-2005 Away    L   *  -1.46  12  74    8  9 ( 85- 29-  0) Lenox                 -57.25     -4.75                      
55 09-01-2006 Away    L       2.56  28  60    8 39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                 -53.23     21.23                      
56 09-08-2006 Home    W      60.75  69  38   ZZ 71 ( 23- 30-  0) Malvern                 4.96     26.04                      
57 09-15-2006 Home    W * *  64.20  32   6    8 29 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM               8.41     17.59                      
58 09-22-2006 Away    W *    61.76  52  32    8 28 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                  5.97     14.03                      
59 09-29-2006 Away    W      56.65  48   0    8 63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca                0.86     47.14                      
60 10-06-2006 Home    W      75.65  54  40    8  5 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton                19.87     -5.87                      
61 10-13-2006 Away    W      32.84  56  32    8 62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page            -22.95     46.95                      
62 10-20-2006 Away    W      81.69  54  12   ZZ 63 ( 29- 23-  0) Hastings Nishna Vall   25.91     16.09                      
63 10-27-2006 Home    W      26.44  50  43   ZZ 81 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                 -29.35     36.35                      
64 11-01-2006 Home    W      50.31  54  36    8 38 ( 48- 45-  0) Sidney                 -5.48     23.48                      
65 11-06-2006 Home    L       9.50  10  32    8 39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                 -46.29     24.29                      
66 08-24-2007 Home    W      50.21  36  12   ZZ 74 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut               -5.58     29.58                      
67 08-31-2007 Home    L      15.50  14  30    8 39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                 -40.29     24.29                      
68 09-14-2007 Away    L * *  35.25  40  46 1  8 29 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM             -20.54     14.54                      
69 09-21-2007 Home    L *     1.71  14  51    8 28 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                -54.08     17.08                      
70 09-28-2007 Home    L       3.59  38  40    8 63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca              -52.19     50.19                      
71 10-05-2007 Away    L      24.71  30  70    8  5 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton               -31.08     -8.92                      
72 10-12-2007 Home    W      30.79  77  52    8 62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page            -25.00     50.00                      
73 10-19-2007 Home    L       0.19   2  56    8 15 ( 31- 10-  0) East Mills            -55.60      1.60  non-district        
74 10-26-2007 Away    L       8.49  28  42   ZZ 81 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                 -47.30     33.30                      
75 08-29-2008 Away    W      79.26  56   6   ZZ 74 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut               23.47     26.53  non-district        
76 09-05-2008 Home    L      37.65  32  56    8  5 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton               -18.13     -5.87  non-district        
77 09-12-2008 Away    W      73.22  48   8   ZZ 69 ( 26- 47-  0) Elk Horn-Kimballton    17.44     22.56                      
78 09-19-2008 Home    W *    60.20  60  24    8 49 ( 26- 63-  0) East Greene             4.41     31.59                      
79 09-26-2008 Away    W *    77.76  60  24    8 28 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                 21.97     14.03                      
80 10-03-2008 Home    W *    83.33  36  12    8  6 ( 65- 37-  0) Glidden-Ralston        27.55     -3.55                      
81 10-10-2008 Away    W      55.49  63  30   ZZ 81 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                  -0.30     33.30                      
82 10-17-2008 Home    W      69.50  52  22    8 26 ( 48- 47-  0) Coon Rapids-Bayard     13.71     16.29                      
83 10-24-2008 Away    L * *  39.25  22  24    8 29 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM             -16.54     14.54                      
84 10-29-2008 Home    W      46.59  53  12    8 63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca               -9.19     50.19                      
85 11-03-2008 Away    L      14.71   6  56    8  5 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton               -41.08     -8.92                      
86 08-28-2009 Home    W      59.21  41   8   ZZ 74 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut                3.42     29.58  nd                  
87 09-04-2009 Away    L      60.71  28  32    8  5 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton                 4.92     -8.92  nd                  
88 09-11-2009 Home    W *    49.64  46  40    A 34 ( 10-  9-  0) Exira-Elk Horn-Kimb    -6.15     12.15  nd                  
89 09-18-2009 Away    W *    33.26  28  22    8 49 ( 26- 63-  0) East Greene           -22.53     28.53                      
90 09-25-2009 Home    W *    53.71  55  40    8 28 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                 -2.08     17.08                      
91 10-02-2009 Away    L *    26.39   6  42    8  6 ( 65- 37-  0) Glidden-Ralston       -29.40     -6.60                      
92 10-09-2009 Home    W      55.34  80  30    8 64 (  4- 15-  0) Tama Meskwaki          -0.45     50.45  nd                  
93 10-16-2009 Away    W      49.55  36  29    8 26 ( 48- 47-  0) Coon Rapids-Bayard     -6.23     13.23                      
94 10-23-2009 Home    W * *  60.20  48  26    8 29 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM               4.41     17.59                      
95 10-28-2009 Home    W      62.21  60  24   ZZ 74 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut                6.42     29.58                      
96 11-02-2009 Home    W      66.19  44  32    8 15 ( 31- 10-  0) East Mills             10.40      1.60                      
97 11-06-2009 Away    W      80.71  42  26    8  5 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton                24.92     -8.92                      
98 11-12-2009 Neutral L      28.60  22  64    8  3 ( 81- 29-  0) Armstrong-Ringsted    -27.19    -14.81                      
99 08-27-2010 Home    W      65.79  78  18    8 62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page             10.00     50.00  ND                  
100 09-03-2010 Away    L      19.91  14  20    8 50 ( 31- 62-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills   -35.88     29.88  ND                  
101 09-10-2010 Away    W   *  85.20  75  28    8 33 ( 42- 52-  0) Afton East Union       29.41     17.59                      
102 09-17-2010 Home    W * *  75.20  44   7    8 29 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM              19.41     17.59                      
103 09-24-2010 Away    W   *  72.76  62  20    8 44 ( 49- 41-  0) Murray                 16.97     25.03                      
104 10-01-2010 Home    W   *  70.61  76  14    8 60 ( 23- 67-  0) Mormon Trail           14.82     47.18                      
105 10-08-2010 Home    L   *  34.48  18  41    8  9 ( 85- 29-  0) Lenox                 -21.31     -1.69                      
106 10-15-2010 Away    W * *  91.38  62  14    8 24 ( 18- 12-  0) Ankeny Christian       35.59     12.41                      
107 10-22-2010 Home    W   *  89.01  78  22    8 37 ( 54- 37-  0) Lamoni                 33.23     22.77                      
108 10-27-2010 Home    W     104.72  76   6    8 34 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas         48.94     21.06                      
109 11-01-2010 Home    W * *  75.20  54  17    8 29 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM              19.41     17.59                      
110 11-05-2010 Away    L   *  10.54   8  58    8  9 ( 85- 29-  0) Lenox                 -45.25     -4.75                      
      Averages              55.80  48.7 26.3

Best game:  115.65 = 54 point win over Stanton
Worst game: -29.28 = 64 point loss to Melcher-Dallas
Team stdev:  28.69