BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Moravia

Class: 8 Class Rank: 61 Conference: 8-5 Record: (10-30-0) Overall: (16-56-0) Overall Strength =    8.02

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/12/2003 Away    L * -34.22   0  48    8  58 ( 35- 54-  0) Seymour               -42.87     -5.13                      
  2 09/19/2003 Away    L * -18.39   0  52    8  40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars    -27.04    -24.96                      
  3 09/26/2003 Home    L   -41.39   0  50    8  60 ( 23- 67-  0) Mormon Trail          -50.05      0.05                      
  4 10/03/2003 Away    L *  -0.22  14  52    8  35 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas         -8.87    -29.13                      
  5 10/10/2003 Away    L * -31.68   8  58    8  55 ( 32- 59-  0) Farmington Harmony    -40.33     -9.67                      
  6 10/17/2003 Home    L * -42.28   8  61    8  58 ( 35- 54-  0) Seymour               -50.93     -2.07                      
  7 10/31/2003 Away    L   -13.93   8  58    8  37 ( 54- 37-  0) Lamoni                -22.58    -27.42                      
  8 09/03/2004 Away    L    15.32  32  74    8  15 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey             6.66    -48.66                      
  9 09/10/2004 Home    L     7.01   6  32    8  37 ( 54- 37-  0) Lamoni                 -1.64    -24.36                      
 10 09/17/2004 Away    L   -22.34   0  34    8  60 ( 23- 67-  0) Mormon Trail          -30.99     -3.01                      
 11 09/24/2004 Home    L    -1.30  24  53    8  44 ( 49- 41-  0) Murray                 -9.95    -19.05                      
 12 10/01/2004 Home    L   -34.28  12  34   ZZ  90 (  6- 54-  0) Russell               -42.93     20.93                      
 13 10/08/2004 Away    L * -14.22   0  52    8  35 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas        -22.87    -29.13                      
 14 10/15/2004 Home    L * -11.45   6  48    8  40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars    -20.10    -21.90                      
 15 10/22/2004 Home    L * -23.28   0  34    8  58 ( 35- 54-  0) Seymour               -31.93     -2.07                      
 16 10/29/2004 Away    L *   2.32  12  28    8  55 ( 32- 59-  0) Farmington Harmony     -6.33     -9.67                      
 17 09/02/2005 Home    L    36.26  30  48    8  15 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey            27.61    -45.61                      
 18 09/09/2005 Away    L    -2.93   8  47    8  37 ( 54- 37-  0) Lamoni                -11.58    -27.42                      
 19 09/16/2005 Home    W    27.61  33  14    8  60 ( 23- 67-  0) Mormon Trail           18.95      0.05                      
 20 09/24/2005 Away    L     4.76  18  44    8  44 ( 49- 41-  0) Murray                 -3.89    -22.11                      
 21 09/30/2005 Away    L   -29.23  14  34   ZZ  90 (  6- 54-  0) Russell               -37.88     17.88                      
 22 10/07/2005 Home    L * -33.28   6  74    8  35 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas        -41.93    -26.07                      
 23 10/14/2005 Away    L *  -9.39  26  69    8  40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars    -18.04    -24.96                      
 24 10/21/2005 Away    L *  -2.22  22  38    8  58 ( 35- 54-  0) Seymour               -10.87     -5.13                      
 25 10/28/2005 Home    L *  14.27   0   1    8  55 ( 32- 59-  0) Farmington Harmony      5.62     -6.62                      
 26 09/01/2006 Away    L   -12.34  12  36    8  60 ( 23- 67-  0) Mormon Trail          -20.99     -3.01                      
 27 09/08/2006 Home    L    13.14  31  53    8  34 ( 42- 52-  0) Afton East Union        4.49    -26.49                      
 28 09/15/2006 Away    W    57.77  73   6   ZZ  90 (  6- 54-  0) Russell                49.12     17.88                      
 29 09/22/2006 Away    L *   8.78  37  42    8  58 ( 35- 54-  0) Seymour                 0.13     -5.13                      
 30 09/29/2006 Home    L * -21.62  12  71    8  31 ( 58- 41-  0) Thornburg Tri-County  -30.27    -28.73                      
 31 10/06/2006 Away    L *  -0.39  22  56    8  40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars     -9.04    -24.96                      
 32 10/13/2006 Away    L   -11.93   8  56    8  37 ( 54- 37-  0) Lamoni                -20.58    -27.42                      
 33 10/20/2006 Home    W *  41.27  48  22    8  55 ( 32- 59-  0) Farmington Harmony     32.62     -6.62                      
 34 10/27/2006 Away    L *  -2.22  18  58    8  35 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas        -10.87    -29.13                      
 35 08/31/2007 Home    L   -20.39  16  45    8  60 ( 23- 67-  0) Mormon Trail          -29.05      0.05                      
 36 09/07/2007 Away    L    18.20   6  26    8  34 ( 42- 52-  0) Afton East Union        9.55    -29.55                      
 37 09/14/2007 Home    W    22.72  42   7   ZZ  90 (  6- 54-  0) Russell                14.07     20.93                      
 38 09/21/2007 Home    L * -35.28   6  52    8  58 ( 35- 54-  0) Seymour               -43.93     -2.07                      
 39 09/28/2007 Away    L *  -8.56   6  55    8  31 ( 58- 41-  0) Thornburg Tri-County  -17.21    -31.79                      
 40 10/05/2007 Home    L * -25.45   0  56    8  40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars    -34.10    -21.90                      
 41 10/12/2007 Home    L     7.01  22  48    8  37 ( 54- 37-  0) Lamoni                 -1.64    -24.36  non-district        
 42 10/19/2007 Away    L *   2.32  18  34    8  55 ( 32- 59-  0) Farmington Harmony     -6.33     -9.67                      
 43 10/26/2007 Home    L *  -3.28   6  44    8  35 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas        -11.93    -26.07                      
 44 08/22/2008 Home    L    -8.86   0  44    8  34 ( 42- 52-  0) Afton East Union      -17.51    -26.49  non-district        
 45 08/29/2008 Home    L   -18.67  13  72    8  25 ( 18- 12-  0) Ankeny Christian      -27.33    -31.67  non-district        
 46 09/05/2008 Away    L   -22.34  12  46    8  60 ( 23- 67-  0) Mormon Trail          -30.99     -3.01  non-district        
 47 09/12/2008 Away    L *   5.61  12  40    8  40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars     -3.04    -24.96                      
 48 09/26/2008 Home    L     3.70  28  52    8  44 ( 49- 41-  0) Murray                 -4.95    -19.05  non-district        
 49 10/03/2008 Away    L *  -0.22  18  32    8  58 ( 35- 54-  0) Seymour                -8.87     -5.13                      
 50 10/10/2008 Home    L *  13.27  14  16    8  55 ( 32- 59-  0) Farmington Harmony      4.62     -6.62                      
 51 10/17/2008 Home    L * -25.28  12  72    8  35 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas        -33.93    -26.07                      
 52 10/24/2008 Away    L * -16.56   8  65    8  31 ( 58- 41-  0) Thornburg Tri-County  -25.21    -31.79                      
 53 08/21/2009 Away    L    18.20  14  34    8  34 ( 42- 52-  0) Afton East Union        9.55    -29.55  nd                  
 54 08/28/2009 Away    L     1.38  14  56    8  25 ( 18- 12-  0) Ankeny Christian       -7.27    -34.73  nd                  
 55 09/04/2009 Home    W    44.61  49  13    8  60 ( 23- 67-  0) Mormon Trail           35.95      0.05  nd                  
 56 09/11/2009 Home    W *  40.55  42  32    8  40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars     31.90    -21.90                      
 57 09/25/2009 Away    L    13.76  26  43    8  44 ( 49- 41-  0) Murray                  5.11    -22.11  nd                  
 58 10/02/2009 Home    W *  50.72  40   0    8  58 ( 35- 54-  0) Seymour                42.07     -2.07                      
 59 10/09/2009 Away    L *  13.32  13  18    8  55 ( 32- 59-  0) Farmington Harmony      4.67     -9.67                      
 60 10/16/2009 Away    L *  -6.22  22  66    8  35 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas        -14.87    -29.13                      
 61 10/23/2009 Home    L *  -1.62   6  45    8  31 ( 58- 41-  0) Thornburg Tri-County  -10.27    -28.73                      
 62 10/28/2009 Away    L     4.54   6  62    8  10 ( 85- 29-  0) Lenox                  -4.12    -51.88                      
 63 08/27/2010 Home    W    87.33  60  13    8  25 ( 18- 12-  0) Ankeny Christian       78.67    -31.67  ND                  
 64 09/03/2010 Away    W    72.66  67   6    8  60 ( 23- 67-  0) Mormon Trail           64.01     -3.01  ND                  
 65 09/10/2010 Home    W *  49.72  59  20    8  58 ( 35- 54-  0) Seymour                41.07     -2.07                      
 66 09/17/2010 Away    W *  72.32  74  20    8  55 ( 32- 59-  0) Farmington Harmony     63.67     -9.67                      
 67 09/24/2010 Away    W *  71.40  63   0    8  64 (  4- 15-  0) Tama Meskwaki          62.74      0.26                      
 68 10/01/2010 Home    W *  76.93  59  10    8  43 ( 34- 35-  0) DM Grandview Park      68.28    -19.28                      
 69 10/08/2010 Home    W *  80.72  80  34    8  35 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas         72.07    -26.07                      
 70 10/15/2010 Away    W *  78.61  51   6    8  40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars     69.96    -24.96                      
 71 10/22/2010 Away    W *  69.44  63  34    8  31 ( 58- 41-  0) Thornburg Tri-County   60.79    -31.79                      
 72 10/27/2010 Home    L    37.20  20  21    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM              28.55    -29.55                      
      Averages               8.02  22.4 39.9

Best game:   87.33 = 47 point win over Ankeny Christian
Worst game: -42.28 = 53 point loss to Seymour
Team stdev:  33.08