BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Sumner-Fredericksburg
Class: 2A Class Rank: 11 Conference: Upper Iowa Record: (14-11-0) Overall: (38-32-0) Overall Strength = 71.31
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09-03-2004 Away L 49.50 12 19 3A 58 ( 16- 74- 0) Independence -21.57 14.57
2 09-10-2004 Home L * 54.40 6 21 1A 12 ( 64- 32- 0) Turkey Valley -16.67 1.67
3 09-17-2004 Away L 56.96 7 13 1A 24 ( 36- 58- 0) Garner-Hayfield -14.11 8.11
4 09-24-2004 Home W 98.09 52 21 2A 17 ( 50- 45- 0) Osage 27.02 3.98
5 10-01-2004 Away W * * 80.19 31 14 2A 29 ( 36- 61- 0) South Winneshiek 9.12 7.88
6 10-08-2004 Home L 54.21 7 23 3A 31 ( 49- 44- 0) LaPorte City Union -16.86 0.86
7 10-15-2004 Away L 59.26 13 18 2A 26 ( 45- 47- 0) Clarion-Goldfield -11.81 6.81
8 10-22-2004 Home W 67.58 14 9 2A 23 ( 46- 51- 0) Waterloo Columbus -3.49 8.49
9 10-29-2004 Away L * * 42.45 6 53 2A 1 ( 93- 20- 0) North Fayette -28.62 -18.38
10 09-02-2005 Home L 45.45 6 14 3A 58 ( 16- 74- 0) Independence -25.62 17.62
11 09-09-2005 Away W * 79.46 21 14 1A 12 ( 64- 32- 0) Turkey Valley 8.39 -1.39
12 09-16-2005 Home W 100.91 41 0 1A 24 ( 36- 58- 0) Garner-Hayfield 29.84 11.16
13 09-23-2005 Away L 36.15 0 34 2A 17 ( 50- 45- 0) Osage -34.92 0.92
14 09-30-2005 Home L * * 54.13 7 13 2A 29 ( 36- 61- 0) South Winneshiek -16.94 10.94
15 10-07-2005 Away L 71.26 10 12 3A 31 ( 49- 44- 0) LaPorte City Union 0.19 -2.19
16 10-14-2005 Home L 34.21 0 27 2A 26 ( 45- 47- 0) Clarion-Goldfield -36.86 9.86
17 10-21-2005 Away L 48.63 14 31 2A 23 ( 46- 51- 0) Waterloo Columbus -22.44 5.44
18 10-28-2005 Home L * * 44.40 0 42 2A 1 ( 93- 20- 0) North Fayette -26.67 -15.33
19 09-01-2006 Away W * 94.39 49 8 A 28 ( 46- 49- 0) Elkader Central 23.32 17.68
20 09-09-2006 Home L * 66.40 14 17 1 1A 12 ( 64- 32- 0) Turkey Valley -4.67 1.67
21 09-15-2006 Away L * * 61.45 14 42 2A 1 ( 93- 20- 0) North Fayette -9.62 -18.38
22 09-22-2006 Home W * * 87.88 55 13 2A 53 ( 22- 69- 0) Monona MFL-MarMac 16.81 25.19
23 09-29-2006 Away W 90.44 30 7 3A 44 ( 47- 48- 0) Center Point-Urbana 19.37 3.63
24 10-06-2006 Away W * * 86.19 29 6 2A 29 ( 36- 61- 0) South Winneshiek 15.12 7.88
25 10-13-2006 Home W 74.21 10 6 3A 31 ( 49- 44- 0) LaPorte City Union 3.14 0.86
26 10-20-2006 Home W 76.09 21 12 2A 17 ( 50- 45- 0) Osage 5.02 3.98
27 10-27-2006 Away L 62.63 14 17 2A 23 ( 46- 51- 0) Waterloo Columbus -8.44 5.44
28 11-01-2006 Away L 57.32 7 42 3A 2 (106- 15- 0) Solon -13.75 -21.25
29 08-31-2007 Home W * 51.34 21 20 A 28 ( 46- 49- 0) Elkader Central -19.73 20.73
30 09-07-2007 Away W * 107.46 35 0 1A 12 ( 64- 32- 0) Turkey Valley 36.39 -1.39
31 09-14-2007 Home L * * 65.40 7 28 2A 1 ( 93- 20- 0) North Fayette -5.67 -15.33
32 09-21-2007 Away W * * 82.94 41 7 2A 53 ( 22- 69- 0) Monona MFL-MarMac 11.87 22.13
33 09-28-2007 Home L 50.39 27 41 3A 44 ( 47- 48- 0) Center Point-Urbana -20.68 6.68
34 10-05-2007 Home L * * 53.13 7 14 2A 29 ( 36- 61- 0) South Winneshiek -17.94 10.94
35 10-12-2007 Away L 62.26 20 31 3A 31 ( 49- 44- 0) LaPorte City Union -8.81 -2.19
36 10-19-2007 Away W 99.15 35 6 2A 17 ( 50- 45- 0) Osage 28.08 0.92
37 10-26-2007 Home L 41.58 7 28 2A 23 ( 46- 51- 0) Waterloo Columbus -29.49 8.49
38 08-29-2008 Away W 84.33 35 0 A 30 ( 45- 49- 0) Edgewood-Colesburg 13.26 21.74 non-district
39 09-05-2008 Home W 65.31 18 6 1A 34 ( 37- 55- 0) Nashua-Plainfield -5.76 17.76 non-district
40 09-12-2008 Away W * 72.55 12 7 2A 21 ( 53- 37- 0) Monticello 1.48 3.52
41 09-19-2008 Home L * 37.75 20 35 2A 42 ( 41- 54- 0) Cascade -33.32 18.32
42 09-26-2008 Away W * * 90.45 22 21 2A 1 ( 93- 20- 0) North Fayette 19.38 -18.38
43 10-03-2008 Home W * 76.37 20 13 2A 12 ( 54- 43- 0) Dyersville Beckman 5.30 1.70
44 10-10-2008 Away W * * 88.94 47 7 2A 53 ( 22- 69- 0) Monona MFL-MarMac 17.87 22.13
45 10-17-2008 Home W * 101.15 61 6 2A 51 ( 28- 63- 0) Jesup 30.08 24.92
46 10-24-2008 Away W 83.63 35 17 2A 23 ( 46- 51- 0) Waterloo Columbus 12.56 5.44
47 10-29-2008 Away W 76.64 22 21 1A 7 ( 75- 34- 0) Dike-New Hartford 5.57 -4.57
48 11-03-2008 Home W * * 93.40 14 7 2A 1 ( 93- 20- 0) North Fayette 22.33 -15.33
49 11-07-2008 Away L 56.39 0 17 2A 9 ( 65- 34- 0) Roland-Story -14.69 -2.31
50 08-28-2009 Home W 93.28 47 0 A 30 ( 45- 49- 0) Edgewood-Colesburg 22.21 24.79 nd
51 09-04-2009 Away W 97.36 41 0 1A 34 ( 37- 55- 0) Nashua-Plainfield 26.29 14.71 nd
52 09-11-2009 Home W * 100.49 36 0 2A 21 ( 53- 37- 0) Monticello 29.42 6.58
53 09-18-2009 Away L * 42.80 14 27 2A 42 ( 41- 54- 0) Cascade -28.27 15.27
54 09-25-2009 Home L * * 73.40 9 22 2A 1 ( 93- 20- 0) North Fayette 2.33 -15.33
55 10-02-2009 Away W * 79.43 14 7 2A 12 ( 54- 43- 0) Dyersville Beckman 8.36 -1.36
56 10-09-2009 Home W * * 85.88 40 0 2A 53 ( 22- 69- 0) Monona MFL-MarMac 14.81 25.19
57 10-16-2009 Away W * 99.21 50 0 2A 51 ( 28- 63- 0) Jesup 28.14 21.86
58 10-23-2009 Home W 103.58 41 0 2A 23 ( 46- 51- 0) Waterloo Columbus 32.51 8.49
59 10-28-2009 Away L 59.40 19 21 2A 35 ( 49- 51- 0) Gilbert -11.67 9.67
60 08-27-2010 Away L 57.98 10 27 3A 25 ( 48- 47- 0) Oelwein -13.09 -3.91 ND
61 09-03-2010 Away L 59.59 15 32 3A 21 ( 48- 46- 0) Cresco Crestwood -11.48 -5.52 ND
62 09-10-2010 Home W * * 88.13 34 6 2A 29 ( 36- 61- 0) South Winneshiek 17.06 10.94
63 09-17-2010 Away L * 37.43 14 49 2A 12 ( 54- 43- 0) Dyersville Beckman -33.64 -1.36
64 09-24-2010 Away W * 90.21 41 0 2A 51 ( 28- 63- 0) Jesup 19.14 21.86
65 10-01-2010 Home W * 85.49 28 7 2A 21 ( 53- 37- 0) Monticello 14.42 6.58
66 10-08-2010 Away L * * 82.45 14 21 2A 1 ( 93- 20- 0) North Fayette 11.38 -18.38
67 10-15-2010 Home W * 87.75 41 6 2A 42 ( 41- 54- 0) Cascade 16.68 18.32
68 10-22-2010 Away W * * 57.94 23 14 2A 53 ( 22- 69- 0) Monona MFL-MarMac -13.13 22.13
69 10-27-2010 Away W 66.91 21 13 2A 39 ( 21- 34- 0) Iowa Falls-Alden -4.16 12.16
70 11-01-2010 Away L * * 68.45 28 49 2A 1 ( 93- 20- 0) North Fayette -2.62 -18.38
Averages 71.31 22.5 16.9
Best game: 107.46 = 35 point win over Jackson Junction Turkey Valley
Worst game: 34.21 = 27 point loss to Clarion-Goldfield
Team stdev: 19.71