BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Oelwein

Class: 3A Class Rank: 26 Conference: 3A-4 Record: (27-24-0) Overall: (48-47-0) Overall Strength =   73.65

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Home    W * 105.40  43   6   3A  36 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City           31.96      5.04                      
  2 09/07/2001 Away    W    73.90  19   9   3A  50 ( 25- 66-  0) Vinton-Shellsburg       0.45      9.55                      
  3 09/14/2001 Home    W *  77.53  20  16   3A  22 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood        4.09     -0.09                      
  4 09/21/2001 Away    W *  92.07  14   7   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                18.63    -11.63                      
  5 09/28/2001 Home    W   111.57  51   2   2A  23 ( 46- 51-  0) Waterloo Columbus      38.13     10.87                      
  6 10/05/2001 Home    W *  78.44  32   7   3A  58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence            5.00     20.00                      
  7 10/12/2001 Away    L *  73.18  10  12   3A  25 ( 49- 47-  0) Waverly-Shell Rock     -0.26     -1.74                      
  8 10/19/2001 Away    W    93.19  17   6   2A   5 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton            19.74     -8.74                      
  9 10/26/2001 Home    W *  99.44  35   7   3A  28 ( 47- 46-  0) Waukon                 25.99      2.01                      
 10 10/31/2001 Away    L    67.09   6  13 1 3A  30 ( 50- 43-  0) Western Dubuque        -6.35     -0.65                      
 11 09/06/2002 Away    W   101.07  53   6   ZZ  64 ( 20- 27-  0) Riverside Highland-L   27.63     19.37                      
 12 09/13/2002 Home    W    61.85  27  26 1 3A  50 ( 25- 66-  0) Vinton-Shellsburg     -11.60     12.60                      
 13 09/20/2002 Home    W    78.20  14   6   3A  32 ( 49- 44-  0) LaPorte City Union      4.76      3.24                      
 14 09/27/2002 Away    W *  92.59  36  20   3A  22 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood       19.14     -3.14                      
 15 10/04/2002 Away    W * 106.07  28   7   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                32.63    -11.63                      
 16 10/11/2002 Home    W *  84.75  32  30   3A   9 ( 70- 32-  0) West Delaware          11.30     -9.30                      
 17 10/18/2002 Home    W    89.04  40  22   3A  30 ( 50- 43-  0) Western Dubuque        15.59      2.41                      
 18 10/25/2002 Away    W * 102.49  46  18   3A  28 ( 47- 46-  0) Waukon                 29.05     -1.05                      
 19 11/01/2002 Away    W * 106.50  50   0   3A  58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence           33.05     16.95                      
 20 11/06/2002 Home    W    90.13  18   7   2A   5 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton            16.69     -5.69                      
 21 11/12/2002 Neutral L    86.88  27  28   3A   5 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake             13.43    -14.43                      
 22 09/05/2003 Home    W    68.02  30  13   ZZ  64 ( 20- 27-  0) Riverside Highland-L   -5.43     22.43                      
 23 09/12/2003 Away    W    66.90  17  14   3A  50 ( 25- 66-  0) Vinton-Shellsburg      -6.55      9.55                      
 24 09/19/2003 Away    L    51.26   6  28   3A  32 ( 49- 44-  0) LaPorte City Union    -22.19      0.19                      
 25 09/26/2003 Home    L *  66.53  20  27   3A  22 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood       -6.91     -0.09                      
 26 10/03/2003 Home    L *  60.02  13  35   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah               -13.43     -8.57                      
 27 10/10/2003 Away    L *  58.80  14  41   3A   9 ( 70- 32-  0) West Delaware         -14.64    -12.36                      
 28 10/17/2003 Away    L    45.09  20  49   3A  30 ( 50- 43-  0) Western Dubuque       -28.35     -0.65                      
 29 10/24/2003 Home    L *  37.44   6  40   3A  28 ( 47- 46-  0) Waukon                -36.01      2.01                      
 30 10/31/2003 Home    W *  65.44  19   7   3A  58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence           -8.00     20.00                      
 31 09/03/2004 Away    L    22.63  13  56   2A  23 ( 46- 51-  0) Waterloo Columbus     -50.82      7.82                      
 32 09/10/2004 Away    W    56.94  14   6   2A  53 ( 22- 69-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac     -16.51     24.51                      
 33 09/17/2004 Home    L *  63.40  23  28   3A  36 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City          -10.04      5.04                      
 34 09/24/2004 Away    L *  73.49  47  48 3 3A  28 ( 47- 46-  0) Waukon                  0.05     -1.05                      
 35 10/01/2004 Home    L *  61.02   6  27   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah               -12.43     -8.57                      
 36 10/08/2004 Home    W *  86.53  41  28   3A  22 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood       13.09     -0.09                      
 37 10/15/2004 Away    W *  64.50  22  14   3A  58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence           -8.95     16.95                      
 38 10/22/2004 Away    L    58.19  14  38   2A   5 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton           -15.26     -8.74                      
 39 10/29/2004 Home    L *  61.13  14  25   3A  25 ( 49- 47-  0) Waverly-Shell Rock    -12.32      1.32                      
 40 09/02/2005 Home    L    48.57  27  41   2A  23 ( 46- 51-  0) Waterloo Columbus     -24.87     10.87                      
 41 09/09/2005 Home    W    73.88  63  35   2A  53 ( 22- 69-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac       0.43     27.57                      
 42 09/16/2005 Away    L *  58.46  14  27   3A  36 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City          -14.99      1.99                      
 43 09/23/2005 Home    L *  53.44  22  40   3A  28 ( 47- 46-  0) Waukon                -20.01      2.01                      
 44 09/30/2005 Away    L *  62.07  21  44   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah               -11.37    -11.63                      
 45 10/07/2005 Away    L *  64.59  28  40   3A  22 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood       -8.86     -3.14                      
 46 10/14/2005 Home    L *  43.44  32  42   3A  58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence          -30.00     20.00                      
 47 10/21/2005 Home    L    65.13  20  34   2A   5 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton            -8.31     -5.69                      
 48 10/28/2005 Away    W *  94.18  32  13   3A  25 ( 49- 47-  0) Waverly-Shell Rock     20.74     -1.74                      
 49 09/01/2006 Home    W    71.53  27  25   3A  33 ( 42- 50-  0) Maquoketa              -1.92      3.92                      
 50 09/08/2006 Away    L *  55.07  12  42   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah               -18.37    -11.63                      
 51 09/15/2006 Home    L *  38.75  14  58   3A   9 ( 70- 32-  0) West Delaware         -34.70     -9.30                      
 52 09/22/2006 Away    W    77.90  28  14   3A  50 ( 25- 66-  0) Vinton-Shellsburg       4.45      9.55                      
 53 09/29/2006 Home    L *  51.44  21  23   3A  58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence          -22.00     20.00                      
 54 10/06/2006 Home    L    43.15   7  47   3A   8 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell              -30.30     -9.70                      
 55 10/13/2006 Away    L    64.63   0  14   3A  16 ( 55- 38-  0) Van Horne Benton       -8.82     -5.18                      
 56 10/20/2006 Away    L    67.05   7  28   3A   6 ( 81- 25-  0) Williamsburg           -6.40    -14.60                      
 57 10/27/2006 Home    W    81.60  34  20   3A  37 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama         8.16      5.84                      
 58 08/31/2007 Away    W   107.59  48  13   3A  33 ( 42- 50-  0) Maquoketa              34.14      0.86                      
 59 09/07/2007 Home    W *  89.02  14   7   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                15.57     -8.57                      
 60 09/14/2007 Away    W *  92.80  21  14 1 3A   9 ( 70- 32-  0) West Delaware          19.36    -12.36                      
 61 09/21/2007 Home    W    82.85  28   6   3A  50 ( 25- 66-  0) Vinton-Shellsburg       9.40     12.60                      
 62 09/28/2007 Away    W *  79.50  30   7   3A  58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence            6.05     16.95  homecoming          
 63 10/05/2007 Away    W    93.21  21  14   3A   8 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell               19.76    -12.76                      
 64 10/12/2007 Home    L    68.58  28  35   3A  16 ( 55- 38-  0) Van Horne Benton       -4.87     -2.13                      
 65 10/19/2007 Home    W   108.00  30   7   3A   6 ( 81- 25-  0) Williamsburg           34.55    -11.55                      
 66 10/26/2007 Away    L    42.66  14  42   3A  37 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama       -30.79      2.79                      
 67 08/29/2008 Home    L    59.88   6  21   3A  20 ( 56- 40-  0) Central Clinton       -13.57     -1.43  non-district        
 68 09/05/2008 Away    L    86.26  35  36 1 3A   7 ( 73- 24-  0) Marion                 12.81    -13.81  non-district        
 69 09/12/2008 Away    L    71.09   7  10   3A  30 ( 50- 43-  0) Western Dubuque        -2.35     -0.65                      
 70 09/19/2008 Home    W *  87.44  40   6   3A  58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence           14.00     20.00                      
 71 09/26/2008 Home    L *  49.75   7  40   3A   9 ( 70- 32-  0) West Delaware         -23.70     -9.30                      
 72 10/03/2008 Away    L *  62.07  12  35   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah               -11.37    -11.63                      
 73 10/10/2008 Home    W *  79.44  20  12   3A  28 ( 47- 46-  0) Waukon                  5.99      2.01                      
 74 10/17/2008 Away    L *  75.59  13  14   3A  22 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood        2.14     -3.14                      
 75 10/24/2008 Home    L    72.13   7  14   2A   5 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton            -1.31     -5.69                      
 76 08/28/2009 Away    L    62.94   6  21   3A  20 ( 56- 40-  0) Central Clinton       -10.51     -4.49  nd                  
 77 09/04/2009 Home    L    74.21  12  22   3A   7 ( 73- 24-  0) Marion                  0.76    -10.76  nd                  
 78 09/11/2009 Home    W    99.04  34   6   3A  30 ( 50- 43-  0) Western Dubuque        25.59      2.41                      
 79 09/18/2009 Away    W *  63.50  14   7   3A  58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence           -9.95     16.95  homecoming          
 80 09/25/2009 Away    L *  78.80   6  13   3A   9 ( 70- 32-  0) West Delaware           5.36    -12.36                      
 81 10/02/2009 Home    W *  90.02  25  17   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                16.57     -8.57                      
 82 10/09/2009 Away    W * 102.49  41  13   3A  28 ( 47- 46-  0) Waukon                 29.05     -1.05                      
 83 10/16/2009 Home    W *  94.53  21   0   3A  22 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood       21.09     -0.09                      
 84 10/23/2009 Away    L    55.19   0  27   2A   5 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton           -18.26     -8.74                      
 85 10/28/2009 Away    L    45.26  13  41   3A  32 ( 49- 44-  0) LaPorte City Union    -28.19      0.19                      
 86 08/27/2010 Home    W    86.54  27  10   2A  12 ( 38- 32-  0) SumnerFredericksburg   13.09      3.91  ND                  
 87 09/03/2010 Away    L    69.45  27  47   2A   3 ( 93- 20-  0) North Fayette          -4.00    -16.00  ND                  
 88 09/10/2010 Home    L *  70.02  33  45   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                -3.43     -8.57                      
 89 09/17/2010 Away    L *  65.18  14  24   3A  25 ( 49- 47-  0) Waverly-Shell Rock     -8.26     -1.74                      
 90 09/24/2010 Home    W *  68.44  38  23   3A  58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence           -5.00     20.00                      
 91 10/01/2010 Away    W *  72.46  14  13   3A  36 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City           -0.99      1.99                      
 92 10/08/2010 Away    W * 105.49  31   0   3A  28 ( 47- 46-  0) Waukon                 32.05     -1.05                      
 93 10/15/2010 Home    W *  97.53  40  16   3A  22 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood       24.09     -0.09                      
 94 10/22/2010 Away    L *  58.80  21  48   3A   9 ( 70- 32-  0) West Delaware         -14.64    -12.36                      
 95 10/27/2010 Away    L    75.40   7  21   3A   5 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake              1.96    -15.96                      
      Averages              73.65  22.9 22.2

Best game:  111.57 = 49 point win over Waterloo Columbus
Worst game:  22.63 = 43 point loss to Waterloo Columbus
Team stdev:  18.86