BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Johnston

Class: 4A Class Rank: 37 Conference: (2-3) Overall: (3-6) Overall Strength =   49.89

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 09/03/2004 Away    L    56.24  13   34   4A    7 ( 9- 2) Sioux City Heelan       7.15    -28.15                      
  2 09/10/2004 Home    W    52.35  35   34   4A   31 ( 3- 6) Fort Dodge              3.25     -2.25                      
  3 09/17/2004 Away    L    42.72   7   45   4A   16 ( 8- 2) Ottumwa                -6.38 *  -31.62                      
  4 09/24/2004 Home    L    35.20  14   33   4A   33 ( 4- 5) Des Moines Roosevelt  -13.89     -5.11                      
  5 10/01/2004 Home    W *  61.59  22   21   4A   25 ( 4- 5) Urbandale              12.50    -11.50                      
  6 10/08/2004 Away    L *  40.97   0   35   4A   12 ( 9- 3) Ankeny                 -8.12    -26.88                      
  7 10/15/2004 Away    L *  61.25   6   21   4A   11 ( 9- 2) Runnells SE Polk       12.16    -27.16                      
  8 10/22/2004 Home    L *  31.08  14   46   4A   22 ( 6- 4) WDM Dowling           -18.01    -13.99                      
  9 10/29/2004 Away    W *  60.43  49   34   4A   41 ( 2- 7) Indianola              11.34      3.66                      
      Averages              49.09  17.8 33.7

Best game:   61.59 = 1 point win over Urbandale
Worst game:  31.08 = 32 point loss to West Des Moines Dowling
Team stdev:  11.82