BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Ottumwa

Class: 4A Class Rank: 16 Conference: (5-0) Overall: (8-2) Overall Strength =   71.64

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 09/03/2004 Away    W    78.81  50    0   4A   45 ( 0- 9) Sioux City North       -0.39 *   50.39                      
  2 09/10/2004 Home    W    97.90  62    0   4A   42 ( 3- 6) CB Jefferson           18.70 *   43.30                      
  3 09/17/2004 Home    W    85.57  45    7   4A   37 ( 3- 6) Johnston                6.38 *   31.62                      
  4 09/24/2004 Away    L    64.21  14   41   4A    2 (12- 1) WDM Valley            -14.99    -12.01                      
  5 10/01/2004 Away    W *  67.68  48    0   4A   46 ( 1- 8) Des Moines North      -11.51 *   59.51                      
  6 10/08/2004 Home    W * 103.68  66    7   4A   38 ( 5- 4) Des Moines Lincoln     24.48 *   34.52                      
  7 10/15/2004 Away    W *  82.86  34   14   4A   23 ( 7- 3) Des Moines East         3.66     16.34                      
  8 10/22/2004 Home    W *  71.76  55    0   4A   48 ( 1- 8) Des Moines Hoover      -7.43 *   62.43                      
  9 10/29/2004 Away    W *  74.24  24    7   4A   33 ( 4- 5) Des Moines Roosevelt   -4.96     21.96                      
 10 11/03/2004 Away    L    65.25   7   18   4A   11 ( 9- 2) Runnells SE Polk      -13.94      2.94                      
      Averages              79.20  40.5  9.4

Best game:  103.68 = 59 point win over Des Moines Lincoln
Worst game:  64.21 = 27 point loss to West Des Moines Valley
Team stdev:  13.48