BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Alta-Aurelia

Class: A Class Rank: 23 Conference: A-2 Record: (7-1-0) Overall: (34-57-0) Overall Strength =   71.42

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/19/2011 Away    L      61.97  26  39    A 21 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield        -9.40     -3.60                      
 2 08/26/2011 Away    W      71.77  32  17   ZZ 29 ( 16- 48-  0) Mapleton MVAO           0.40     14.60                      
 3 09/02/2011 Home    L      52.22   8  35   1A 17 ( 65- 36-  0) Ida Grove O-A-BC-IG   -19.15     -7.85                      
 4 09/09/2011 Away    L      79.84  12  36   2A  3 ( 95- 21-  0) Inwood West Lyon        8.47    -32.47                      
 5 09/16/2011 Home    L      67.30  44  45    A 26 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS            -4.08      3.08                      
 6 09/23/2011 Away    L      70.50  21  25   1A 28 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central          -0.87     -3.13                      
 7 09/30/2011 Home    L      47.16  12  33   ZZ 17 (  2-  7-  0) Pocahontas Area-Pome  -24.21      3.21                      
 8 10/07/2011 Away    L      48.16   0  29    A 16 ( 61- 42-  0) South O'Brien         -23.21     -5.79                      
 9 10/14/2011 Home    L      41.15   6  48   1A 12 ( 60- 41-  0) Emmetsburg            -30.22    -11.78                      
10 10/21/2011 Away    L      27.25   0  35   1A 42 ( 27- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan      -44.12      9.12                      
11 08/24/2012 Away    L      56.14   8  21   1A 36 ( 32- 51-  0) Pocahontas Area       -15.24      2.24                      
12 08/31/2012 Home    L      62.93  18  26   1A 28 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central          -8.44      0.44                      
13 09/07/2012 Away    W      76.25  14   0   1A 42 ( 27- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan        4.88      9.12                      
14 09/14/2012 Away    L      43.35  12  48    A 13 ( 61- 39-  0) Woodbury Central      -28.03     -7.97                      
15 09/21/2012 Home    L      57.65  28  42    A 20 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson        -13.72     -0.28                      
16 09/28/2012 Away    L      68.84   7  42   2A  3 ( 95- 21-  0) Inwood West Lyon       -2.53    -32.47                      
17 10/05/2012 Home    L      55.40  18  34    A 21 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield       -15.97     -0.03                      
18 10/12/2012 Away    L      60.99  14  40   1A 10 ( 68- 34-  0) Hinton                -10.38    -15.62                      
19 10/19/2012 Home    L      74.92   8  20   1A  5 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux     3.55    -15.55                      
20 08/30/2013 Home    W      78.56  20   7   1A 36 ( 32- 51-  0) Pocahontas Area         7.19      5.81  ND                  
21 09/06/2013 Away    L      60.50   6  20   1A 28 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central         -10.87     -3.13  ND                  
22 09/13/2013 Home    W      72.68  24  10   1A 42 ( 27- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan        1.31     12.69                      
23 09/20/2013 Home    L      54.77  13  34    A 13 ( 61- 39-  0) Woodbury Central      -16.60     -4.40                      
24 09/27/2013 Away    L      73.22  12  14    A 20 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson          1.85     -3.85                      
25 10/07/2013 Home    L      65.27   7  42   2A  3 ( 95- 21-  0) Inwood West Lyon       -6.11    -28.89  was 10/04 now 10/07 
26 10/11/2013 Away    W      89.97  21   6    A 21 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield        18.60     -3.60                      
27 10/18/2013 Home    L      62.42  13  34   1A 10 ( 68- 34-  0) Hinton                 -8.95    -12.05                      
28 10/25/2013 Away    L      67.50  13  36   1A  5 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux    -3.88    -19.12                      
29 08/29/2014 Away    W      79.77  35  12   ZZ 29 ( 16- 48-  0) Mapleton MVAO           8.40     14.60                      
30 09/05/2014 Home    L      65.63   7  14    A 17 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View    -5.74     -1.26                      
31 09/12/2014 Home    L      64.93  14  20   1A 28 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central          -6.44      0.44                      
32 09/19/2014 Away    L      59.35   7  27    A 13 ( 61- 39-  0) Woodbury Central      -12.03     -7.97                      
33 09/27/2014 Away    W     111.22  42   6    A 20 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson         39.85     -3.85  was 09/26 now 09/27 
34 10/03/2014 Home    L      56.59   0  17    A 16 ( 61- 42-  0) South O'Brien         -14.78     -2.22                      
35 10/10/2014 Away    L      51.97  14  37    A 21 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield       -19.40     -3.60                      
36 10/17/2014 Home    W     101.19  35   0    A 30 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen          29.82      5.18                      
37 10/24/2014 Away    L      68.50  28  50   1A  5 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux    -2.88    -19.12                      
38 08/28/2015 Home    L      46.20   7  14   ZZ 29 ( 16- 48-  0) Mapleton MVAO         -25.17     18.17  ND                  
39 09/04/2015 Away    L      58.20   0  18    A 17 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View   -13.17     -4.83  ND                  
40 09/11/2015 Away    L      72.50   6   8   1A 28 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central           1.13     -3.13                      
41 09/18/2015 Home    L      62.77   7  20    A 13 ( 61- 39-  0) Woodbury Central       -8.60     -4.40                      
42 09/25/2015 Home    L      64.65  20  27    A 20 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson         -6.72     -0.28                      
43 10/02/2015 Away    W     105.16  28   0    A 16 ( 61- 42-  0) South O'Brien          33.79     -5.79                      
44 10/09/2015 Home    L      68.40  31  34    A 21 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield        -2.97     -0.03                      
45 10/16/2015 Away    W      76.77  21  14 1  A 30 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen           5.39      1.61                      
46 10/23/2015 Home    L      67.92  14  33   1A  5 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux    -3.45    -15.55                      
47 08/26/2016 Home    W      80.63  27  19    A 17 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View     9.26     -1.26  ND                  
48 09/02/2016 Home    L      45.93  20  45   1A 28 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central         -25.44      0.44  ND                  
49 09/09/2016 Away    L      62.25  21  48   1A  8 ( 65- 41-  0) Western Christian      -9.12    -17.88                      
50 09/16/2016 Away    L      44.99   7  49   1A 10 ( 68- 34-  0) Hinton                -26.38    -15.62                      
51 09/23/2016 Home    L      47.27   7  60   2A  3 ( 95- 21-  0) Inwood West Lyon      -24.11    -28.89                      
52 09/30/2016 Away    W      76.25  21   7   1A 42 ( 27- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan        4.88      9.12                      
53 10/07/2016 Away    W      89.72  13  10   1A 12 ( 60- 41-  0) Emmetsburg             18.35    -15.35                      
54 10/14/2016 Home    W      87.34  43   6   2A 51 ( 17- 63-  0) Milford Okoboji        15.97     21.03                      
55 10/21/2016 Home    W      88.15  41  20   2A 34 ( 28- 62-  0) Unity Christian        16.78      4.22                      
56 08/25/2017 Away    L      49.20  22  49    A 17 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View   -22.17     -4.83  ND                  
57 09/01/2017 Away    W     101.50  40  13   1A 28 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central          30.13     -3.13  ND                  
58 09/08/2017 Home    L      76.68  27  36   1A  8 ( 65- 41-  0) Western Christian       5.31    -14.31                      
59 09/15/2017 Home    L      75.42   6  14   1A 10 ( 68- 34-  0) Hinton                  4.05    -12.05                      
60 09/22/2017 Away    L      64.84   6  45   2A  3 ( 95- 21-  0) Inwood West Lyon       -6.53    -32.47                      
61 09/29/2017 Home    W      72.68  20   6   1A 42 ( 27- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan        1.31     12.69                      
62 10/06/2017 Home    L      76.15  13  20   1A 12 ( 60- 41-  0) Emmetsburg              4.78    -11.78                      
63 10/13/2017 Away    W     100.91  47   0   2A 51 ( 17- 63-  0) Milford Okoboji        29.54     17.46                      
64 10/20/2017 Away    L      56.72   8  22   2A 34 ( 28- 62-  0) Unity Christian       -14.65      0.65                      
65 08/24/2018 Home    W      83.65  27  15    A 20 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson         12.28     -0.28  ND                  
66 08/31/2018 Away    L      73.06   6  13   3A 38 ( 39- 52-  0) Storm Lake              1.69     -8.69  ND                  
67 09/07/2018 Away    W      90.16  22   9    A 16 ( 61- 42-  0) South O'Brien          18.79     -5.79  ND                  
68 09/14/2018 Home    W      73.56  21  13   1A 36 ( 32- 51-  0) Pocahontas Area         2.19      5.81  ND                  
69 09/21/2018 Away    W * *  89.76  26   8    A 27 ( 38- 57-  0) Manson NW Webster      18.38     -0.38                      
70 09/28/2018 Home    W      98.63  38  12    A 17 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View    27.26     -1.26                      
71 10/05/2018 Home    L      77.80  19  20    A 10 ( 64- 36-  0) IKM-Manning             6.43     -7.43                      
72 10/12/2018 Away    W * * 109.60  50  22    A 11 ( 63- 39-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond   38.23    -10.23                      
73 10/19/2018 Home    W      84.93  20   6   1A 28 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central          13.56      0.44                      
74 10/26/2018 Away    L      82.10  28  30 3  A  9 ( 49- 19-  0) Avoca AHSTW            10.73    -12.73                      
75 08/30/2019 Away    W      95.22  27   7    A 20 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson         23.85     -3.85  ND                  
76 09/06/2019 Home    L      61.49  10  25   3A 38 ( 39- 52-  0) Storm Lake             -9.88     -5.12  ND                  
77 09/13/2019 Home    L      58.59   0  15    A 16 ( 61- 42-  0) South O'Brien         -12.78     -2.22  ND                  
78 09/20/2019 Away    W      91.14  28   6   1A 36 ( 32- 51-  0) Pocahontas Area        19.76      2.24  ND                  
79 09/27/2019 Home    W * *  98.18  41  11    A 27 ( 38- 57-  0) Manson NW Webster      26.81      3.19                      
80 10/04/2019 Away    W      89.20  27  14    A 17 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View    17.83     -4.83                      
81 10/11/2019 Away    L      68.37   7  21    A 10 ( 64- 36-  0) IKM-Manning            -3.00    -11.00                      
82 10/18/2019 Home    W * * 104.03  33   7    A 11 ( 63- 39-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond   32.66     -6.66                      
83 10/25/2019 Away    L      65.50   7  16   1A 28 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central          -5.87     -3.13                      
84 08/28/2020 Away    L      46.73   7  54   2A  8 ( 64- 40-  0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR  -24.64    -22.36  ND                  
85 09/04/2020 Home    L      64.65   7  14    A 20 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson         -6.72     -0.28  ND                  
86 09/11/2020 Home    W      59.00  13   7   2A 50 ( 30- 61-  0) Shenandoah            -12.37     18.37  ND                  
87 09/18/2020 Away    W * * 107.99  26   2    A  8 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan        36.61    -12.61                      
88 09/25/2020 Home    L * *  59.28  26  54    A  4 ( 79- 33-  0) Britt West Hancock    -12.10    -15.90                      
89 10/02/2020 Home    W * *  99.03  43  22    A 11 ( 63- 39-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond   27.66     -6.66                      
90 10/09/2020 Away    W * *  77.09  29   6    A 50 ( 16- 64-  0) North Union             5.72     17.28                      
91 10/16/2020 Home    L      63.19  20  23    A 30 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen          -8.18      5.18                      
      Averages              71.42  19.0 23.0

Best game:  111.22 = 36 point win over Lawton-Bronson
Worst game:  27.25 = 35 point loss to Sibley-Ocheyedan
Team stdev:  17.68