BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Alta-Aurelia

Class: A Class Rank: 24 Conference: A-2 Record: (7-1-0) Overall: (34-57-0) Overall Strength =   71.26

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/19/2011 Away    L    61.80  26  39    A  22 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield        -9.41     -3.59                      
  2 08/26/2011 Away    W    71.60  32  17   ZZ  39 ( 16- 48-  0) Mapleton MVAO           0.39     14.61                      
  3 09/02/2011 Home    L    52.11   8  35   1A  18 ( 65- 36-  0) Ida Grove O-A-BC-IG   -19.11     -7.89                      
  4 09/09/2011 Away    L    79.69  12  36   2A   6 ( 95- 21-  0) Inwood West Lyon        8.47    -32.47                      
  5 09/16/2011 Home    L    67.20  44  45    A  27 ( 42- 51-  0) Hartley HMS            -4.01      3.01                      
  6 09/23/2011 Away    L    70.35  21  25   1A  29 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central          -0.87     -3.13                      
  7 09/30/2011 Home    L    47.05  12  33   ZZ  31 (  2-  7-  0) Pocahontas Area-Pome  -24.16      3.16                      
  8 10/07/2011 Away    L    48.03   0  29    A  17 ( 61- 42-  0) South O'Brien         -23.19     -5.81                      
  9 10/14/2011 Home    L    41.05   6  48   1A  13 ( 60- 41-  0) Emmetsburg            -30.16    -11.84                      
 10 10/21/2011 Away    L    27.09   0  35   1A  41 ( 27- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan      -44.13      9.13                      
 11 08/24/2012 Away    L    55.78   8  21   1A  36 ( 32- 51-  0) Pocahontas Area       -15.44      2.44                      
 12 08/31/2012 Home    L    62.81  18  26   1A  29 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central          -8.41      0.41                      
 13 09/07/2012 Away    W    76.09  14   0   1A  41 ( 27- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan        4.87      9.13                      
 14 09/14/2012 Away    L    43.16  12  48    A  14 ( 61- 39-  0) Woodbury Central      -28.05     -7.95                      
 15 09/21/2012 Home    L    57.51  28  42    A  21 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson        -13.70     -0.30                      
 16 09/28/2012 Away    L    68.69   7  42   2A   6 ( 95- 21-  0) Inwood West Lyon       -2.53    -32.47                      
 17 10/05/2012 Home    L    55.26  18  34    A  22 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield       -15.96     -0.04                      
 18 10/12/2012 Away    L    60.83  14  40   1A  11 ( 68- 34-  0) Hinton                -10.39    -15.61                      
 19 10/19/2012 Home    L    74.78   8  20   1A   7 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux     3.57    -15.57                      
 20 08/30/2013 Home    W    78.24  20   7   1A  36 ( 32- 51-  0) Pocahontas Area         7.02      5.98  ND                  
 21 09/06/2013 Away    L    60.35   6  20   1A  29 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central         -10.87     -3.13  ND                  
 22 09/13/2013 Home    W    72.55  24  10   1A  41 ( 27- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan        1.33     12.67                      
 23 09/20/2013 Home    L    54.62  13  34    A  14 ( 61- 39-  0) Woodbury Central      -16.59     -4.41                      
 24 09/27/2013 Away    L    73.06  12  14    A  21 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson          1.84     -3.84                      
 25 10/07/2013 Home    L    65.15   7  42   2A   6 ( 95- 21-  0) Inwood West Lyon       -6.07    -28.93  was 10/04 now 10/07 
 26 10/11/2013 Away    W    89.80  21   6    A  22 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield        18.59     -3.59                      
 27 10/18/2013 Home    L    62.29  13  34   1A  11 ( 68- 34-  0) Hinton                 -8.93    -12.07                      
 28 10/25/2013 Away    L    67.32  13  36   1A   7 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux    -3.89    -19.11                      
 29 08/29/2014 Away    W    79.60  35  12   ZZ  39 ( 16- 48-  0) Mapleton MVAO           8.39     14.61                      
 30 09/05/2014 Home    L    65.52   7  14    A  18 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View    -5.70     -1.30                      
 31 09/12/2014 Home    L    64.81  14  20   1A  29 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central          -6.41      0.41                      
 32 09/19/2014 Away    L    59.16   7  27    A  14 ( 61- 39-  0) Woodbury Central      -12.05     -7.95                      
 33 09/27/2014 Away    W   111.06  42   6    A  21 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson         39.84     -3.84  was 09/26 now 09/27 
 34 10/03/2014 Home    L    56.49   0  17    A  17 ( 61- 42-  0) South O'Brien         -14.73     -2.27                      
 35 10/10/2014 Away    L    51.80  14  37    A  22 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield       -19.41     -3.59                      
 36 10/17/2014 Home    W   100.73  35   0    A  31 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen          29.52      5.48                      
 37 10/24/2014 Away    L    68.32  28  50   1A   7 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux    -2.89    -19.11                      
 38 08/28/2015 Home    L    46.06   7  14   ZZ  39 ( 16- 48-  0) Mapleton MVAO         -25.16     18.16  ND                  
 39 09/04/2015 Away    L    58.06   0  18    A  18 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View   -13.15     -4.85  ND                  
 40 09/11/2015 Away    L    72.35   6   8   1A  29 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central           1.13     -3.13                      
 41 09/18/2015 Home    L    62.62   7  20    A  14 ( 61- 39-  0) Woodbury Central       -8.59     -4.41                      
 42 09/25/2015 Home    L    64.51  20  27    A  21 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson         -6.70     -0.30                      
 43 10/02/2015 Away    W   105.03  28   0    A  17 ( 61- 42-  0) South O'Brien          33.81     -5.81                      
 44 10/09/2015 Home    L    68.26  31  34    A  22 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield        -2.96     -0.04                      
 45 10/16/2015 Away    W    76.28  21  14 1  A  31 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen           5.06      1.94                      
 46 10/23/2015 Home    L    67.78  14  33   1A   7 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux    -3.43    -15.57                      
 47 08/26/2016 Home    W    80.52  27  19    A  18 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View     9.30     -1.30  ND                  
 48 09/02/2016 Home    L    45.81  20  45   1A  29 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central         -25.41      0.41  ND                  
 49 09/09/2016 Away    L    62.10  21  48   1A   9 ( 65- 41-  0) Western Christian      -9.12    -17.88                      
 50 09/16/2016 Away    L    44.83   7  49   1A  11 ( 68- 34-  0) Hinton                -26.39    -15.61                      
 51 09/23/2016 Home    L    47.15   7  60   2A   6 ( 95- 21-  0) Inwood West Lyon      -24.07    -28.93                      
 52 09/30/2016 Away    W    76.09  21   7   1A  41 ( 27- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan        4.87      9.13                      
 53 10/07/2016 Away    W    89.60  13  10   1A  13 ( 60- 41-  0) Emmetsburg             18.38    -15.38                      
 54 10/14/2016 Home    W    87.24  43   6   2A  51 ( 17- 63-  0) Milford Okoboji        16.02     20.98                      
 55 10/21/2016 Home    W    88.01  41  20   2A  35 ( 28- 62-  0) Unity Christian        16.79      4.21                      
 56 08/25/2017 Away    L    49.06  22  49    A  18 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View   -22.15     -4.85  ND                  
 57 09/01/2017 Away    W   101.35  40  13   1A  29 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central          30.13     -3.13  ND                  
 58 09/08/2017 Home    L    76.56  27  36   1A   9 ( 65- 41-  0) Western Christian       5.34    -14.34                      
 59 09/15/2017 Home    L    75.29   6  14   1A  11 ( 68- 34-  0) Hinton                  4.07    -12.07                      
 60 09/22/2017 Away    L    64.69   6  45   2A   6 ( 95- 21-  0) Inwood West Lyon       -6.53    -32.47                      
 61 09/29/2017 Home    W    72.55  20   6   1A  41 ( 27- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan        1.33     12.67                      
 62 10/06/2017 Home    L    76.05  13  20   1A  13 ( 60- 41-  0) Emmetsburg              4.84    -11.84                      
 63 10/13/2017 Away    W   100.78  47   0   2A  51 ( 17- 63-  0) Milford Okoboji        29.57     17.43                      
 64 10/20/2017 Away    L    56.55   8  22   2A  35 ( 28- 62-  0) Unity Christian       -14.66      0.66                      
 65 08/24/2018 Home    W    83.51  27  15    A  21 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson         12.30     -0.30  ND                  
 66 08/31/2018 Away    L    72.93   6  13   3A  38 ( 38- 53-  0) Storm Lake              1.71     -8.71  ND                  
 67 09/07/2018 Away    W    90.03  22   9    A  17 ( 61- 42-  0) South O'Brien          18.81     -5.81  ND                  
 68 09/14/2018 Home    W    73.24  21  13   1A  36 ( 32- 51-  0) Pocahontas Area         2.02      5.98  ND                  
 69 09/21/2018 Away    W *  89.59  26   8    A  28 ( 38- 57-  0) Manson NW Webster      18.38     -0.38                      
 70 09/28/2018 Home    W    98.52  38  12    A  18 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View    27.30     -1.30                      
 71 10/05/2018 Home    L    77.67  19  20    A  11 ( 64- 36-  0) IKM-Manning             6.45     -7.45                      
 72 10/12/2018 Away    W * 109.50  50  22    A  12 ( 63- 39-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond   38.28    -10.28                      
 73 10/19/2018 Home    W    84.81  20   6   1A  29 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central          13.59      0.41                      
 74 10/26/2018 Away    L    81.95  28  30 3  A   9 ( 49- 19-  0) Avoca AHSTW            10.73    -12.73                      
 75 08/30/2019 Away    W    95.06  27   7    A  21 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson         23.84     -3.84  ND                  
 76 09/06/2019 Home    L    61.39  10  25   3A  38 ( 38- 53-  0) Storm Lake             -9.83     -5.17  ND                  
 77 09/13/2019 Home    L    58.49   0  15    A  17 ( 61- 42-  0) South O'Brien         -12.73     -2.27  ND                  
 78 09/20/2019 Away    W    90.78  28   6   1A  36 ( 32- 51-  0) Pocahontas Area        19.56      2.44  ND                  
 79 09/27/2019 Home    W *  98.05  41  11    A  28 ( 38- 57-  0) Manson NW Webster      26.84      3.16                      
 80 10/04/2019 Away    W    89.06  27  14    A  18 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View    17.85     -4.85                      
 81 10/11/2019 Away    L    68.21   7  21    A  11 ( 64- 36-  0) IKM-Manning            -3.00    -11.00                      
 82 10/18/2019 Home    W * 103.96  33   7    A  12 ( 63- 39-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond   32.74     -6.74                      
 83 10/25/2019 Away    L    65.35   7  16   1A  29 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central          -5.87     -3.13                      
 84 08/28/2020 Away    L    46.59   7  54   2A  11 ( 64- 40-  0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR  -24.63    -22.37  ND                  
 85 09/04/2020 Home    L    64.51   7  14    A  21 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson         -6.70     -0.30  ND                  
 86 09/11/2020 Home    W    58.89  13   7   2A  50 ( 30- 61-  0) Shenandoah            -12.32     18.32  ND                  
 87 09/18/2020 Away    W * 107.87  26   2    A  10 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan        36.65    -12.65                      
 88 09/25/2020 Home    L *  59.17  26  54    A   5 ( 79- 33-  0) Britt West Hancock    -12.04    -15.96                      
 89 10/02/2020 Home    W *  98.96  43  22    A  12 ( 63- 39-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond   27.74     -6.74                      
 90 10/09/2020 Away    W *  76.99  29   6    A  51 ( 16- 64-  0) North Union             5.78     17.22                      
 91 10/16/2020 Home    L    62.73  20  23    A  31 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen          -8.48      5.48                      
      Averages              71.26  19.0 23.0

Best game:  111.06 = 36 point win over Lawton-Bronson
Worst game:  27.09 = 35 point loss to Sibley-Ocheyedan
Team stdev:  17.68