BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Hartley-Melvin-Sanborn

Class: A Class Rank: 27 Conference: A-1 Record: (11-12-0) Overall: (42-51-0) Overall Strength =   70.01

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/27/2011 Neutral L *  26.51   0  41    A  31 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen         -43.47      2.47                      
  2 09/02/2011 Home    W   105.02  51   0   2A  47 ( 21- 67-  0) Cherokee Washington    35.04     15.96                      
  3 09/09/2011 Home    W    79.55  28   7   1A  41 ( 27- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan        9.57     11.43                      
  4 09/16/2011 Away    W    73.99  45  44    A  24 ( 34- 57-  0) Alta-Aurelia            4.01     -3.01                      
  5 09/23/2011 Away    L    67.69   6  42   2A   6 ( 95- 21-  0) Inwood West Lyon       -2.29    -33.71                      
  6 09/30/2011 Home    L    46.81  14  38   1A  29 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central         -23.17     -0.83                      
  7 10/07/2011 Away    L    68.59   0   3 1 ZZ  31 (  2-  7-  0) Pocahontas Area-Pome   -1.38     -1.62                      
  8 10/14/2011 Home    L *  53.49   0  20    A  17 ( 61- 42-  0) South O'Brien         -16.49     -3.51                      
  9 10/21/2011 Away    L    37.60   0  49   1A  13 ( 60- 41-  0) Emmetsburg            -32.38    -16.62                      
 10 08/24/2012 Away    W   105.09  43   0   1A  41 ( 27- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan       35.11      7.89                      
 11 08/31/2012 Home    W   130.78  44   0   1A   7 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux    60.81    -16.81                      
 12 09/07/2012 Away    W   109.78  56   0   2A  51 ( 17- 63-  0) Milford Okoboji        39.81     16.19                      
 13 09/14/2012 Away    W *  83.28  28  14    A  31 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen          13.30      0.70                      
 14 09/21/2012 Home    L    67.56  21  39   1A   9 ( 65- 41-  0) Western Christian      -2.42    -15.58                      
 15 09/28/2012 Away    L *  54.03  14  37    A  17 ( 61- 42-  0) South O'Brien         -15.95     -7.05                      
 16 10/05/2012 Home    L    41.05   0  42   1A  13 ( 60- 41-  0) Emmetsburg            -28.92    -13.08                      
 17 10/12/2012 Home    W    99.45  55   6    A  51 ( 16- 64-  0) North Union            29.48     19.52                      
 18 10/19/2012 Away    L    57.82  21  41   2A  25 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon               -12.16     -7.84                      
 19 10/24/2012 Away    L    71.21   7  18    A  11 ( 64- 36-  0) IKM-Manning             1.24    -12.24                      
 20 08/30/2013 Home    L    57.55  12  13   1A  41 ( 27- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan      -12.43     11.43  ND                  
 21 09/06/2013 Away    W    92.32  42  40   1A   7 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux    22.35    -20.35  ND                  
 22 09/13/2013 Home    W    70.24  28   8   2A  51 ( 17- 63-  0) Milford Okoboji         0.26     19.74                      
 23 09/20/2013 Home    W *  67.73  14  12    A  31 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen          -2.24      4.24                      
 24 09/27/2013 Away    L    68.10  20  41   1A   9 ( 65- 41-  0) Western Christian      -1.87    -19.13                      
 25 10/05/2013 Home    L *  45.49   6  34    A  17 ( 61- 42-  0) South O'Brien         -24.49     -3.51  was 10/04 now 10/05 
 26 10/11/2013 Away    L    68.60   9  27   1A  13 ( 60- 41-  0) Emmetsburg             -1.38    -16.62                      
 27 10/18/2013 Away    W    76.99  35  12    A  51 ( 16- 64-  0) North Union             7.02     15.98                      
 28 10/25/2013 Home    L    52.28  18  40   2A  25 ( 42- 50-  0) Sheldon               -17.70     -4.30  ND                  
 29 10/30/2013 Away    L    39.50   7  49    A  12 ( 63- 39-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond  -30.48    -11.52                      
 30 08/29/2014 Away    L    87.32  17  20   1A   7 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux    17.35    -20.35                      
 31 09/05/2014 Home    L *  72.49  21  22    A  17 ( 61- 42-  0) South O'Brien           2.51     -3.51                      
 32 09/12/2014 Home    L    64.56  14  35   1A   9 ( 65- 41-  0) Western Christian      -5.42    -15.58                      
 33 09/19/2014 Away    L    79.83  27  34   1A  11 ( 68- 34-  0) Hinton                  9.85    -16.85                      
 34 09/26/2014 Away    W    92.55  40  18   2A  35 ( 28- 62-  0) Unity Christian        22.58     -0.58                      
 35 10/03/2014 Home    W    77.52  32  27    A  18 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View     7.54     -2.54                      
 36 10/10/2014 Away    W    65.78  28  16   2A  51 ( 17- 63-  0) Milford Okoboji        -4.19     16.19                      
 37 10/17/2014 Away    L    52.09  30  40   1A  41 ( 27- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan      -17.89      7.89                      
 38 10/24/2014 Home    L    71.15  14  43   2A   6 ( 95- 21-  0) Inwood West Lyon        1.17    -30.17                      
 39 08/28/2015 Home    L    52.78  13  47   1A   7 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux   -17.19    -16.81  ND                  
 40 09/04/2015 Away    L *  76.03  13  14    A  17 ( 61- 42-  0) South O'Brien           6.05     -7.05  ND                  
 41 09/11/2015 Away    L    46.10   7  50   1A   9 ( 65- 41-  0) Western Christian     -23.87    -19.13                      
 42 09/18/2015 Home    L    48.29   7  42   1A  11 ( 68- 34-  0) Hinton                -21.69    -13.31                      
 43 09/25/2015 Home    L    60.01  14  21   2A  35 ( 28- 62-  0) Unity Christian        -9.97      2.97                      
 44 10/02/2015 Away    L    31.06   0  45    A  18 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View   -38.91     -6.09                      
 45 10/09/2015 Home    L    30.24   8  28   2A  51 ( 17- 63-  0) Milford Okoboji       -39.74     19.74  ND                  
 46 10/16/2015 Home    L    36.55  12  34   1A  41 ( 27- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan      -33.43     11.43                      
 47 10/23/2015 Away    L    68.69   0  35   2A   6 ( 95- 21-  0) Inwood West Lyon       -1.29    -33.71                      
 48 08/26/2016 Away    L *  61.06   7  21    A  21 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson         -8.92     -5.08  ND                  
 49 09/02/2016 Away    L    62.32  13  41   1A   7 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux    -7.65    -20.35  ND                  
 50 09/09/2016 Home    L *  55.49   7  25    A  17 ( 61- 42-  0) South O'Brien         -14.49     -3.51                      
 51 09/16/2016 Away    L    48.06   0  28    A  18 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View   -21.91     -6.09                      
 52 09/23/2016 Away    W    67.99  20   6    A  51 ( 16- 64-  0) North Union            -1.98     15.98                      
 53 09/30/2016 Home    W    80.96  19  16    A  12 ( 63- 39-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond   10.98     -7.98                      
 54 10/07/2016 Home    W    79.81  12   3   1A  29 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central           9.83     -0.83                      
 55 10/14/2016 Away    L    41.87   6  48    A  10 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan       -28.11    -13.89                      
 56 10/21/2016 Home    W    37.95  30  24   ZZ  54 (  3- 41-  0) Marcus Marcus-Meride  -32.02     38.02                      
 57 08/25/2017 Home    W *  76.51  12   7    A  21 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson          6.54     -1.54  ND                  
 58 09/01/2017 Home    L    43.78   6  49   1A   7 ( 79- 32-  0) Hawarden West Sioux   -26.19    -16.81  ND                  
 59 09/08/2017 Away    W *  90.03  27  14    A  17 ( 61- 42-  0) South O'Brien          20.05     -7.05                      
 60 09/15/2017 Home    L    68.52  22  26    A  18 ( 49- 45-  0) Holstein Ridge View    -1.46     -2.54                      
 61 09/22/2017 Home    W    74.45  42  18    A  51 ( 16- 64-  0) North Union             4.48     19.52                      
 62 09/29/2017 Away    W    95.50  20   6    A  12 ( 63- 39-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond   25.52    -11.52                      
 63 10/06/2017 Away    L    67.35  21  28   1A  29 ( 48- 44-  0) Sioux Central          -2.62     -4.38                      
 64 10/13/2017 Home    L    59.32  14  35    A  10 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan       -10.65    -10.35                      
 65 10/20/2017 Away    W    62.49  43  16   ZZ  54 (  3- 41-  0) Marcus Marcus-Meride   -7.48     34.48                      
 66 08/24/2018 Home    W   116.24  66   0   2A  51 ( 17- 63-  0) Milford Okoboji        46.26     19.74  ND                  
 67 08/31/2018 Away    L    66.21  20  29   2A  28 ( 35- 58-  0) Estherville LC         -3.77     -5.23  ND                  
 68 09/07/2018 Away    W   112.09  50   0   1A  41 ( 27- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan       42.11      7.89  ND                  
 69 09/14/2018 Home    W    68.01  36  35   2A  35 ( 28- 62-  0) Unity Christian        -1.97      2.97  ND                  
 70 09/21/2018 Away    L *  70.03  13  20    A  17 ( 61- 42-  0) South O'Brien           0.05     -7.05                      
 71 09/28/2018 Home    W    97.29  21   7   1A  11 ( 68- 34-  0) Hinton                 27.31    -13.31                      
 72 10/05/2018 Away    L *  55.80  21  40    A  22 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield       -14.17     -4.83                      
 73 10/12/2018 Home    W   107.95  76   0   ZZ  54 (  3- 41-  0) Marcus Marcus-Meride   37.98     38.02                      
 74 10/19/2018 Away    W *  87.28  44  26    A  31 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen          17.30      0.70                      
 75 08/30/2019 Away    W    59.78   6   0   2A  51 ( 17- 63-  0) Milford Okoboji       -10.19     16.19  ND                  
 76 09/06/2019 Home    W    76.67  19  14   2A  28 ( 35- 58-  0) Estherville LC          6.69     -1.69  ND                  
 77 09/13/2019 Home    L    57.55  13  14   1A  41 ( 27- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan      -12.43     11.43  ND                  
 78 09/20/2019 Away    L    32.55   0  38   2A  35 ( 28- 62-  0) Unity Christian       -37.42     -0.58  ND                  
 79 09/27/2019 Home    L *  52.49   7  28    A  17 ( 61- 42-  0) South O'Brien         -17.49     -3.51                      
 80 10/04/2019 Away    L    43.83   0  43   1A  11 ( 68- 34-  0) Hinton                -26.15    -16.85                      
 81 10/11/2019 Home    W * 109.26  38   0    A  22 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield        39.28     -1.28                      
 82 10/18/2019 Away    W    87.49  60   8   ZZ  54 (  3- 41-  0) Marcus Marcus-Meride   17.52     34.48                      
 83 10/25/2019 Home    W *  73.73  16   8    A  31 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen           3.76      4.24                      
 84 08/28/2020 Home    W    78.24  28   0   2A  51 ( 17- 63-  0) Milford Okoboji         8.26     19.74  ND                  
 85 09/04/2020 Away    L    61.09  18  19   1A  41 ( 27- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan       -8.89      7.89  ND                  
 86 09/11/2020 Home    L *  65.49  12  20    A  17 ( 61- 42-  0) South O'Brien          -4.49     -3.51                      
 87 09/18/2020 Away    W *  84.28  22   7    A  31 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen          14.30      0.70                      
 88 09/25/2020 Away    W    97.49  62   0   ZZ  54 (  3- 41-  0) Marcus Marcus-Meride   27.52     34.48                      
 89 10/02/2020 Home    W * 103.26  50  18    A  22 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield        33.28     -1.28                      
 90 10/09/2020 Home    W *  97.51  46  20    A  21 ( 49- 45-  0) Lawton-Bronson         27.54     -1.54                      
 91 10/16/2020 Home    W    93.95  62   0   ZZ  54 (  3- 41-  0) Marcus Marcus-Meride   23.98     38.02                      
 92 10/23/2020 Home    W *  97.73  38   6    A  31 ( 38- 56-  0) LeMars Gehlen          27.76      4.24                      
 93 10/30/2020 Away    L    52.72  18  56    A   5 ( 79- 33-  0) Britt West Hancock    -17.26    -20.74                      
      Averages              70.01  22.6 23.2

Best game:  130.78 = 44 point win over Hawarden West Sioux
Worst game:  26.51 = 41 point loss to LeMars Gehlen
Team stdev:  21.90