BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Fairfield

Class: 3A Class Rank: 49 Conference: 3A-5 Record: (19-22-0) Overall: (34-60-0) Overall Strength =   65.05

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/26/2011 Away    L    56.18  29  30   2A  48 ( 31- 60-  0) Davis County           -8.88      7.88                      
  2 09/02/2011 Away    W    92.79  27  15   3A  35 ( 39- 55-  0) Central Clinton        27.72    -15.72                      
  3 09/09/2011 Home    W *  87.12  44  24   3A  46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         22.06     -2.06                      
  4 09/16/2011 Home    W *  92.32  49  12   3A  54 ( 27- 63-  0) Fort Madison           27.25      9.75                      
  5 09/23/2011 Away    W   105.06  49   7   2A  42 ( 34- 57-  0) Chariton               39.99      2.01                      
  6 09/30/2011 Home    L    71.43  20  28   3A  31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa               6.36    -14.36                      
  7 10/07/2011 Away    W    94.72  42   7   2A  45 ( 36- 57-  0) Centerville            29.66      5.34                      
  8 10/14/2011 Home    L    61.20   0  43   3A   3 (102- 17-  0) Pella                  -3.87    -39.13                      
  9 10/21/2011 Away    L *  34.32  14  48   3A  48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                -30.74     -3.26                      
 10 10/26/2011 Away    L    53.33  21  56   3A  26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM              -11.74    -23.26                      
 11 08/24/2012 Away    L    69.41  20  27   2A  26 ( 63- 41-  0) Albia                   4.34    -11.34                      
 12 08/31/2012 Home    L    52.64  26  27   2A  48 ( 31- 60-  0) Davis County          -12.43     11.43                      
 13 09/07/2012 Home    L *  94.26  13  14   3A  10 ( 75- 29-  0) Washington             29.19    -30.19                      
 14 09/14/2012 Away    L *  40.32  14  42   3A  48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                -24.74     -3.26                      
 15 09/21/2012 Home    L    57.13   7  42   2A   9 ( 84- 29-  0) Williamsburg           -7.94    -27.06                      
 16 09/28/2012 Away    W *  93.67  33  10   3A  46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         28.60     -5.60                      
 17 10/05/2012 Home    W *  56.32   8   7   3A  54 ( 27- 63-  0) Fort Madison           -8.75      9.75                      
 18 10/12/2012 Away    L    56.72  23  26   2A  45 ( 36- 57-  0) Centerville            -8.34      5.34                      
 19 10/19/2012 Home    W    71.52  25  13   2A  42 ( 34- 57-  0) Chariton                6.45      5.55                      
 20 10/24/2012 Away    L    66.64   7  28   3A  27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset               1.58    -22.58                      
 21 08/30/2013 Home    L    25.87   0  47   2A  26 ( 63- 41-  0) Albia                 -39.20     -7.80  ND                  
 22 09/06/2013 Away    W    84.18  34   7   2A  48 ( 31- 60-  0) Davis County           19.12      7.88  ND                  
 23 09/13/2013 Away    L *  62.80  23  59   3A  10 ( 75- 29-  0) Washington             -2.26    -33.74                      
 24 09/20/2013 Home    L *  60.78   6  10   3A  48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                 -4.29      0.29                      
 25 09/27/2013 Away    L    53.67  14  56   2A   9 ( 84- 29-  0) Williamsburg          -11.40    -30.60                      
 26 10/04/2013 Home    W *  98.12  52  21   3A  46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         33.06     -2.06                      
 27 10/11/2013 Away    W *  59.86  35  34 1 3A  54 ( 27- 63-  0) Fort Madison           -5.21      6.21                      
 28 10/18/2013 Home    W    71.18  46  31   2A  45 ( 36- 57-  0) Centerville             6.11      8.89                      
 29 10/25/2013 Away    L    57.06  28  34   2A  42 ( 34- 57-  0) Chariton               -8.01      2.01  ND                  
 30 10/30/2013 Away    L    65.74  14  56   3A   3 (102- 17-  0) Pella                   0.67    -42.67                      
 31 08/29/2014 Away    W    78.18  21   0   2A  48 ( 31- 60-  0) Davis County           13.12      7.88                      
 32 09/05/2014 Home    L    36.87   0  36   2A  26 ( 63- 41-  0) Albia                 -28.20     -7.80                      
 33 09/12/2014 Home    W    76.18  20  14   3A  44 ( 31- 59-  0) Knoxville              11.11     -5.11                      
 34 09/19/2014 Away    L *  68.80  12  42   3A  10 ( 75- 29-  0) Washington              3.74    -33.74                      
 35 09/26/2014 Home    W *  74.32  34  15   3A  54 ( 27- 63-  0) Fort Madison            9.25      9.75                      
 36 10/03/2014 Away    W *  96.32  34   6   3A  48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                 31.26     -3.26                      
 37 10/10/2014 Home    W *  86.12  40  21   3A  46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         21.06     -2.06                      
 38 10/17/2014 Away    L    85.40  22  35   3A  13 ( 69- 32-  0) Davenport Assumption   20.33    -33.33                      
 39 10/24/2014 Home    W    94.37  27  14   3A  29 ( 47- 45-  0) Clear Creek-Amana      29.31    -16.31                      
 40 10/29/2014 Away    L    66.74   0  41   3A   3 (102- 17-  0) Pella                   1.67    -42.67                      
 41 08/28/2015 Home    W    85.64  40   8   2A  48 ( 31- 60-  0) Davis County           20.57     11.43  ND                  
 42 09/04/2015 Away    L    42.41   8  42   2A  26 ( 63- 41-  0) Albia                 -22.66    -11.34  ND                  
 43 09/11/2015 Away    L    56.72  26  43   3A  44 ( 31- 59-  0) Knoxville              -8.35     -8.65  ND                  
 44 09/18/2015 Home    L *  72.26   0  23   3A  10 ( 75- 29-  0) Washington              7.19    -30.19                      
 45 09/25/2015 Away    W *  62.86  33  29   3A  54 ( 27- 63-  0) Fort Madison           -2.21      6.21                      
 46 10/02/2015 Home    W *  82.78  41  23   3A  48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                 17.71      0.29                      
 47 10/09/2015 Away    W *  80.67  43  33   3A  46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         15.60     -5.60                      
 48 10/16/2015 Home    L    84.86  13  23   3A  13 ( 69- 32-  0) Davenport Assumption   19.79    -29.79                      
 49 10/23/2015 Away    L    57.92  14  41   3A  29 ( 47- 45-  0) Clear Creek-Amana      -7.15    -19.85                      
 50 10/28/2015 Away    L    58.74   7  56   3A   3 (102- 17-  0) Pella                  -6.33    -42.67                      
 51 08/26/2016 Away    W    98.67  25  22   2A   9 ( 84- 29-  0) Williamsburg           33.60    -30.60  ND                  
 52 09/02/2016 Home    W   101.18  45  14   3A  44 ( 31- 59-  0) Knoxville              36.11     -5.11  ND                  
 53 09/09/2016 Home    L    46.38  13  20   2A  49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame         -18.69     11.69                      
 54 09/16/2016 Away    W *  85.32  33  16   3A  48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                 20.26     -3.26                      
 55 09/23/2016 Home    L *  78.26   7  24   3A  10 ( 75- 29-  0) Washington             13.19    -30.19                      
 56 09/30/2016 Away    L    54.97  20  48   3A  31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa             -10.09    -17.91                      
 57 10/07/2016 Home    W *  96.32  41   0   3A  54 ( 27- 63-  0) Fort Madison           31.25      9.75                      
 58 10/14/2016 Away    W *  77.67  35  28   3A  46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         12.60     -5.60                      
 59 10/21/2016 Home    L    61.52  14  54   2A   4 ( 91- 22-  0) Solon                  -3.54    -36.46                      
 60 08/25/2017 Home    L    44.13   7  55   2A   9 ( 84- 29-  0) Williamsburg          -20.94    -27.06  ND                  
 61 09/01/2017 Away    L    38.72  14  49   3A  44 ( 31- 59-  0) Knoxville             -26.35     -8.65  ND                  
 62 09/08/2017 Away    L    36.92  14  34   2A  49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame         -28.15      8.15                      
 63 09/15/2017 Home    W *  67.78  23  20   3A  48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                  2.71      0.29                      
 64 09/22/2017 Away    L *  70.80   7  35   3A  10 ( 75- 29-  0) Washington              5.74    -33.74                      
 65 09/29/2017 Home    L    25.43   0  54   3A  31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa             -39.64    -14.36                      
 66 10/06/2017 Away    W *  85.86  33   6   3A  54 ( 27- 63-  0) Fort Madison           20.79      6.21                      
 67 10/13/2017 Home    L *  40.12   0  27   3A  46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant        -24.94     -2.06                      
 68 10/20/2017 Away    L    62.07   0  43   2A   4 ( 91- 22-  0) Solon                  -3.00    -40.00                      
 69 08/24/2018 Home    W    92.18  28   6   3A  44 ( 31- 59-  0) Knoxville              27.11     -5.11  ND                  
 70 08/31/2018 Away    L    55.92   0  29   3A  29 ( 47- 45-  0) Clear Creek-Amana      -9.15    -19.85  ND                  
 71 09/07/2018 Away    L    68.97  14  28   3A  31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa               3.91    -17.91  ND                  
 72 09/14/2018 Home    W   102.57  61  44   3A  24 ( 55- 46-  0) Grinnell               37.50    -20.50  ND                  
 73 09/21/2018 Home    L *  49.12  17  35   3A  46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant        -15.94     -2.06                      
 74 09/28/2018 Away    W *  86.86  42  14   3A  54 ( 27- 63-  0) Fort Madison           21.79      6.21                      
 75 10/05/2018 Home    W *  77.78  19   6   3A  48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                 12.71      0.29                      
 76 10/12/2018 Away    L *  96.80  22  24   3A  10 ( 75- 29-  0) Washington             31.74    -33.74                      
 77 10/19/2018 Away    L    62.07  14  57   2A   4 ( 91- 22-  0) Solon                  -3.00    -40.00                      
 78 08/30/2019 Away    L    66.72   9  16   3A  44 ( 31- 59-  0) Knoxville               1.65     -8.65  ND                  
 79 09/06/2019 Home    L    55.37   7  33   3A  29 ( 47- 45-  0) Clear Creek-Amana      -9.69    -16.31  ND                  
 80 09/13/2019 Home    L    55.43  20  44   3A  31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa              -9.64    -14.36  ND                  
 81 09/20/2019 Away    L    51.11  20  58   3A  24 ( 55- 46-  0) Grinnell              -13.96    -24.04  ND                  
 82 09/27/2019 Away    L *  44.67  16  42   3A  46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant        -20.40     -5.60                      
 83 10/04/2019 Home    L *  48.32  16  23 1 3A  54 ( 27- 63-  0) Fort Madison          -16.75      9.75                      
 84 10/11/2019 Away    L *   7.32   0  61   3A  48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                -57.74     -3.26                      
 85 10/18/2019 Home    L *  30.26   6  71   3A  10 ( 75- 29-  0) Washington            -34.81    -30.19                      
 86 10/25/2019 Home    L    53.52   6  54   2A   4 ( 91- 22-  0) Solon                 -11.54    -36.46                      
 87 08/28/2020 Home    W    78.18  15   7   3A  44 ( 31- 59-  0) Knoxville              13.11     -5.11  ND                  
 88 09/04/2020 Away    L    28.92  14  42   2A  49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame         -36.15      8.15  ND                  
 89 09/11/2020 Home    L *  52.12   6  21   3A  46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant        -12.94     -2.06                      
 90 09/18/2020 Away    L *  60.63  15  16   3A  53 ( 19- 69-  0) Burlington             -4.44      3.44                      
 91 09/25/2020 Away    L *  50.80  20  68   3A  10 ( 75- 29-  0) Washington            -14.26    -33.74                      
 92 10/02/2020 Home    L *  34.78  22  52   3A  48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                -30.29      0.29                      
 93 10/09/2020 Away    L *  15.86  12  55   3A  54 ( 27- 63-  0) Fort Madison          -49.21      6.21                      
 94 10/16/2020 Away    L *  21.32   8  55   3A  48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                -43.74     -3.26                      
      Averages              65.05  20.4 31.0

Best game:  105.06 = 42 point win over Chariton
Worst game:   7.32 = 61 point loss to Keokuk
Team stdev:  21.73