BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Fairfield

Class: 3A Class Rank: 49 Conference: 3A-5 Record: (19-22-0) Overall: (34-60-0) Overall Strength =   65.16

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/26/2011 Away    L      56.32  29  30   2A 48 ( 32- 59-  0) Davis County           -8.86      7.86                      
 2 09/02/2011 Away    W      92.92  27  15   3A 35 ( 37- 57-  0) Central Clinton        27.73    -15.73                      
 3 09/09/2011 Home    W * *  87.22  44  24   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         22.04     -2.04                      
 4 09/16/2011 Home    W * *  92.42  49  12   3A 54 ( 27- 63-  0) Fort Madison           27.23      9.77                      
 5 09/23/2011 Away    W     105.19  49   7   2A 42 ( 34- 57-  0) Chariton               40.01      1.99                      
 6 09/30/2011 Home    L      71.53  20  28   3A 31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa               6.35    -14.35                      
 7 10/07/2011 Away    W      94.86  42   7   2A 45 ( 36- 57-  0) Centerville            29.68      5.32                      
 8 10/14/2011 Home    L      61.30   0  43   3A  2 (102- 17-  0) Pella                  -3.89    -39.11                      
 9 10/21/2011 Away    L * *  34.45  14  48   3A 48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                -30.73     -3.27                      
10 10/26/2011 Away    L      53.46  21  56   3A 26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM              -11.73    -23.27                      
11 08/24/2012 Away    L      69.54  20  27   2A 25 ( 63- 41-  0) Albia                   4.36    -11.36                      
12 08/31/2012 Home    L      52.75  26  27   2A 48 ( 32- 59-  0) Davis County          -12.44     11.44                      
13 09/07/2012 Home    L * *  94.36  13  14   3A  9 ( 74- 30-  0) Washington             29.18    -30.18                      
14 09/14/2012 Away    L * *  40.45  14  42   3A 48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                -24.73     -3.27                      
15 09/21/2012 Home    L      57.22   7  42   2A  6 ( 84- 29-  0) Williamsburg           -7.96    -27.04                      
16 09/28/2012 Away    W * *  93.80  33  10   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         28.61     -5.61                      
17 10/05/2012 Home    W * *  56.42   8   7   3A 54 ( 27- 63-  0) Fort Madison           -8.77      9.77                      
18 10/12/2012 Away    L      56.86  23  26   2A 45 ( 36- 57-  0) Centerville            -8.32      5.32                      
19 10/19/2012 Home    W      71.62  25  13   2A 42 ( 34- 57-  0) Chariton                6.44      5.56                      
20 10/24/2012 Away    L      66.77   7  28   3A 27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset               1.59    -22.59                      
21 08/30/2013 Home    L      25.97   0  47   2A 25 ( 63- 41-  0) Albia                 -39.21     -7.79  ND                  
22 09/06/2013 Away    W      84.32  34   7   2A 48 ( 32- 59-  0) Davis County           19.14      7.86  ND                  
23 09/13/2013 Away    L * *  62.93  23  59   3A  9 ( 74- 30-  0) Washington             -2.25    -33.75                      
24 09/20/2013 Home    L * *  60.88   6  10   3A 48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                 -4.30      0.30                      
25 09/27/2013 Away    L      53.80  14  56   2A  6 ( 84- 29-  0) Williamsburg          -11.39    -30.61                      
26 10/04/2013 Home    W * *  98.22  52  21   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         33.04     -2.04                      
27 10/11/2013 Away    W * *  59.99  35  34 1 3A 54 ( 27- 63-  0) Fort Madison           -5.19      6.19                      
28 10/18/2013 Home    W      71.29  46  31   2A 45 ( 36- 57-  0) Centerville             6.11      8.89                      
29 10/25/2013 Away    L      57.19  28  34   2A 42 ( 34- 57-  0) Chariton               -7.99      1.99  ND                  
30 10/30/2013 Away    L      65.87  14  56   3A  2 (102- 17-  0) Pella                   0.68    -42.68                      
31 08/29/2014 Away    W      78.32  21   0   2A 48 ( 32- 59-  0) Davis County           13.14      7.86                      
32 09/05/2014 Home    L      36.97   0  36   2A 25 ( 63- 41-  0) Albia                 -28.21     -7.79                      
33 09/12/2014 Home    W      76.28  20  14   3A 44 ( 31- 59-  0) Knoxville              11.09     -5.09                      
34 09/19/2014 Away    L * *  68.93  12  42   3A  9 ( 74- 30-  0) Washington              3.75    -33.75                      
35 09/26/2014 Home    W * *  74.42  34  15   3A 54 ( 27- 63-  0) Fort Madison            9.23      9.77                      
36 10/03/2014 Away    W * *  96.45  34   6   3A 48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                 31.27     -3.27                      
37 10/10/2014 Home    W * *  86.22  40  21   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         21.04     -2.04                      
38 10/17/2014 Away    L      85.53  22  35   3A 12 ( 69- 32-  0) Davenport Assumption   20.34    -33.34                      
39 10/24/2014 Home    W      94.47  27  14   3A 29 ( 47- 45-  0) Clear Creek-Amana      29.29    -16.29                      
40 10/29/2014 Away    L      66.87   0  41   3A  2 (102- 17-  0) Pella                   1.68    -42.68                      
41 08/28/2015 Home    W      85.75  40   8   2A 48 ( 32- 59-  0) Davis County           20.56     11.44  ND                  
42 09/04/2015 Away    L      42.54   8  42   2A 25 ( 63- 41-  0) Albia                 -22.64    -11.36  ND                  
43 09/11/2015 Away    L      56.85  26  43   3A 44 ( 31- 59-  0) Knoxville              -8.33     -8.67  ND                  
44 09/18/2015 Home    L * *  72.36   0  23   3A  9 ( 74- 30-  0) Washington              7.18    -30.18                      
45 09/25/2015 Away    W * *  62.99  33  29   3A 54 ( 27- 63-  0) Fort Madison           -2.19      6.19                      
46 10/02/2015 Home    W * *  82.88  41  23   3A 48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                 17.70      0.30                      
47 10/09/2015 Away    W * *  80.80  43  33   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         15.61     -5.61                      
48 10/16/2015 Home    L      84.95  13  23   3A 12 ( 69- 32-  0) Davenport Assumption   19.77    -29.77                      
49 10/23/2015 Away    L      58.04  14  41   3A 29 ( 47- 45-  0) Clear Creek-Amana      -7.14    -19.86                      
50 10/28/2015 Away    L      58.87   7  56   3A  2 (102- 17-  0) Pella                  -6.32    -42.68                      
51 08/26/2016 Away    W      98.80  25  22   2A  6 ( 84- 29-  0) Williamsburg           33.61    -30.61  ND                  
52 09/02/2016 Home    W     101.28  45  14   3A 44 ( 31- 59-  0) Knoxville              36.09     -5.09  ND                  
53 09/09/2016 Home    L      46.48  13  20   2A 49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame         -18.70     11.70                      
54 09/16/2016 Away    W * *  85.45  33  16   3A 48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                 20.27     -3.27                      
55 09/23/2016 Home    L * *  78.36   7  24   3A  9 ( 74- 30-  0) Washington             13.18    -30.18                      
56 09/30/2016 Away    L      55.10  20  48   3A 31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa             -10.08    -17.92                      
57 10/07/2016 Home    W * *  96.42  41   0   3A 54 ( 27- 63-  0) Fort Madison           31.23      9.77                      
58 10/14/2016 Away    W * *  77.80  35  28   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         12.61     -5.61                      
59 10/21/2016 Home    L      61.62  14  54   2A  1 ( 91- 22-  0) Solon                  -3.56    -36.44                      
60 08/25/2017 Home    L      44.22   7  55   2A  6 ( 84- 29-  0) Williamsburg          -20.96    -27.04  ND                  
61 09/01/2017 Away    L      38.85  14  49   3A 44 ( 31- 59-  0) Knoxville             -26.33     -8.67  ND                  
62 09/08/2017 Away    L      37.06  14  34   2A 49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame         -28.13      8.13                      
63 09/15/2017 Home    W * *  67.88  23  20   3A 48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                  2.70      0.30                      
64 09/22/2017 Away    L * *  70.93   7  35   3A  9 ( 74- 30-  0) Washington              5.75    -33.75                      
65 09/29/2017 Home    L      25.53   0  54   3A 31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa             -39.65    -14.35                      
66 10/06/2017 Away    W * *  85.99  33   6   3A 54 ( 27- 63-  0) Fort Madison           20.81      6.19                      
67 10/13/2017 Home    L * *  40.22   0  27   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant        -24.96     -2.04                      
68 10/20/2017 Away    L      62.19   0  43   2A  1 ( 91- 22-  0) Solon                  -2.99    -40.01                      
69 08/24/2018 Home    W      92.28  28   6   3A 44 ( 31- 59-  0) Knoxville              27.09     -5.09  ND                  
70 08/31/2018 Away    L      56.04   0  29   3A 29 ( 47- 45-  0) Clear Creek-Amana      -9.14    -19.86  ND                  
71 09/07/2018 Away    L      69.10  14  28   3A 31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa               3.92    -17.92  ND                  
72 09/14/2018 Home    W     102.66  61  44   3A 24 ( 55- 46-  0) Grinnell               37.48    -20.48  ND                  
73 09/21/2018 Home    L * *  49.22  17  35   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant        -15.96     -2.04                      
74 09/28/2018 Away    W * *  86.99  42  14   3A 54 ( 27- 63-  0) Fort Madison           21.81      6.19                      
75 10/05/2018 Home    W * *  77.88  19   6   3A 48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                 12.70      0.30                      
76 10/12/2018 Away    L * *  96.93  22  24   3A  9 ( 74- 30-  0) Washington             31.75    -33.75                      
77 10/19/2018 Away    L      62.19  14  57   2A  1 ( 91- 22-  0) Solon                  -2.99    -40.01                      
78 08/30/2019 Away    L      66.85   9  16   3A 44 ( 31- 59-  0) Knoxville               1.67     -8.67  ND                  
79 09/06/2019 Home    L      55.47   7  33   3A 29 ( 47- 45-  0) Clear Creek-Amana      -9.71    -16.29  ND                  
80 09/13/2019 Home    L      55.53  20  44   3A 31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa              -9.65    -14.35  ND                  
81 09/20/2019 Away    L      51.24  20  58   3A 24 ( 55- 46-  0) Grinnell              -13.95    -24.05  ND                  
82 09/27/2019 Away    L * *  44.80  16  42   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant        -20.39     -5.61                      
83 10/04/2019 Home    L * *  48.42  16  23 1 3A 54 ( 27- 63-  0) Fort Madison          -16.77      9.77                      
84 10/11/2019 Away    L * *   7.45   0  61   3A 48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                -57.73     -3.27                      
85 10/18/2019 Home    L * *  30.36   6  71   3A  9 ( 74- 30-  0) Washington            -34.82    -30.18                      
86 10/25/2019 Home    L      53.62   6  54   2A  1 ( 91- 22-  0) Solon                 -11.56    -36.44                      
87 08/28/2020 Home    W      78.28  15   7   3A 44 ( 31- 59-  0) Knoxville              13.09     -5.09  ND                  
88 09/04/2020 Away    L      29.06  14  42   2A 49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame         -36.13      8.13  ND                  
89 09/11/2020 Home    L * *  52.22   6  21   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant        -12.96     -2.04                      
90 09/18/2020 Away    L * *  60.75  15  16   3A 53 ( 19- 69-  0) Burlington             -4.43      3.43                      
91 09/25/2020 Away    L * *  50.93  20  68   3A  9 ( 74- 30-  0) Washington            -14.25    -33.75                      
92 10/02/2020 Home    L * *  34.88  22  52   3A 48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                -30.30      0.30                      
93 10/09/2020 Away    L * *  15.99  12  55   3A 54 ( 27- 63-  0) Fort Madison          -49.19      6.19                      
94 10/16/2020 Away    L * *  21.45   8  55   3A 48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                -43.73     -3.27                      
      Averages              65.16  20.4 31.0

Best game:  105.19 = 42 point win over Chariton
Worst game:   7.45 = 61 point loss to Keokuk
Team stdev:  21.73