BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Winterset

Class: 3A Class Rank: 27 Conference: 3A-8 Record: (7-11-0) Overall: (44-50-0) Overall Strength =   86.07

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/26/2011 Home    L *  92.64   6   7   3A  16 ( 70- 34-  0) Norwalk                 6.77     -7.77                      
  2 09/02/2011 Away    L    87.18  20  27   3A  20 ( 60- 39-  0) Carlisle                1.31     -8.31                      
  3 09/09/2011 Home    L    69.20  13  14   2A  31 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic              -16.68     15.68                      
  4 09/16/2011 Away    W    76.57  39  16   2A  52 ( 19- 72-  0) Red Oak                -9.30     32.30                      
  5 09/23/2011 Away    L    73.00  10  35   3A  14 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll               -12.87    -12.13                      
  6 09/30/2011 Home    L    63.70   7  29   3A  23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM           -22.17      0.17                      
  7 10/07/2011 Away    W   136.82  46   0   3A  21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               50.95     -4.95                      
  8 10/14/2011 Home    L    70.51  14  41   3A   8 ( 78- 30-  0) Harlan                -15.36    -11.64                      
  9 10/21/2011 Away    W   108.22  27  24   3A   4 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central       22.35    -19.35                      
 10 08/24/2012 Home    W   109.39  49   6   1A  34 ( 47- 46-  0) Truro Interstate-35    23.52     19.48                      
 11 08/31/2012 Away    L *  54.33  14  48   3A  26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM              -31.54     -2.46                      
 12 09/07/2012 Away    W    75.72  23  21   3A  44 ( 31- 59-  0) Knoxville             -10.15     12.15                      
 13 09/14/2012 Home    W    94.64  21  17   3A  20 ( 60- 39-  0) Carlisle                8.76     -4.76                      
 14 09/21/2012 Away    W    91.06  34   6   2A  42 ( 34- 57-  0) Chariton                5.19     22.81                      
 15 09/28/2012 Home    L *  78.64  22  37   3A  16 ( 70- 34-  0) Norwalk                -7.23     -7.77                      
 16 10/05/2012 Away    W   108.97  40  14   3A  31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa              23.10      2.90                      
 17 10/12/2012 Home    L    84.70  19  20   3A  23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            -1.17      0.17                      
 18 10/19/2012 Home    W   107.20  17  14   3A   3 (102- 17-  0) Pella                  21.33    -18.33                      
 19 10/24/2012 Home    W    84.30  28   7   3A  49 ( 34- 60-  0) Fairfield              -1.58     22.58                      
 20 10/29/2012 Home    W   101.26  27  21   3A  10 ( 75- 29-  0) Washington             15.39     -9.39                      
 21 11/02/2012 Away    L    77.67  13  31   2A   9 ( 84- 29-  0) Williamsburg           -8.20     -9.80                      
 22 08/30/2013 Away    W    92.93  43  20   1A  34 ( 47- 46-  0) Truro Interstate-35     7.06     15.94  ND                  
 23 09/06/2013 Home    L *  76.79   6  14   3A  26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               -9.09      1.09  ND                  
 24 09/13/2013 Home    W    72.18  14  12   3A  44 ( 31- 59-  0) Knoxville             -13.69     15.69                      
 25 09/20/2013 Away    L    63.18  12  43   3A  20 ( 60- 39-  0) Carlisle              -22.69     -8.31                      
 26 09/27/2013 Home    L    43.52   7  23   2A  42 ( 34- 57-  0) Chariton              -42.36     26.36                      
 27 10/04/2013 Away    W *  98.18  25  24 1 3A  16 ( 70- 34-  0) Norwalk                12.31    -11.31                      
 28 10/11/2013 Home    L    60.43  37  56   3A  31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa             -25.44      6.44                      
 29 10/18/2013 Away    L    77.24  20  32   3A  23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            -8.63     -3.37  ND                  
 30 10/25/2013 Away    L    84.74  14  37   3A   3 (102- 17-  0) Pella                  -1.13    -21.87                      
 31 08/29/2014 Home    W    80.43  15  14   3A  31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa              -5.44      6.44                      
 32 09/05/2014 Away    L *  76.18  14  35   3A  16 ( 70- 34-  0) Norwalk                -9.69    -11.31                      
 33 09/12/2014 Away    L    81.24  34  42   3A  23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            -4.63     -3.37                      
 34 09/19/2014 Home    W    91.28  12   8   3A  21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood                5.41     -1.41                      
 35 09/26/2014 Away    W *  98.33  16   6   3A  26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               12.46     -2.46                      
 36 10/03/2014 Home    W   120.51  23   0   3A   8 ( 78- 30-  0) Harlan                 34.64    -11.64                      
 37 10/10/2014 Away    L    91.48   7  10   ZZ  14 ( 64- 36-  0) Grimes Dallas Center    5.61     -8.61                      
 38 10/17/2014 Home    W    92.20  35  13   2A  31 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic                6.32     15.68                      
 39 10/24/2014 Away    L    71.69  13  30   3A  25 ( 56- 42-  0) Bondurant-Farrar      -14.18     -2.82                      
 40 10/29/2014 Away    L    73.18   6  27   3A  20 ( 60- 39-  0) Carlisle              -12.69     -8.31                      
 41 08/28/2015 Away    W    93.97  20   9   3A  31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa               8.10      2.90  ND                  
 42 09/04/2015 Home    L *  64.64  13  42   3A  16 ( 70- 34-  0) Norwalk               -21.23     -7.77  ND                  
 43 09/11/2015 Home    L    63.70  12  34   3A  23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM           -22.17      0.17                      
 44 09/18/2015 Away    L    61.82  13  42   3A  21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood              -24.05     -4.95                      
 45 09/25/2015 Home    W *  87.79   6   3 1 3A  26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM                1.91      1.09                      
 46 10/02/2015 Away    L    80.06  13  34   3A   8 ( 78- 30-  0) Harlan                 -5.82    -15.18                      
 47 10/09/2015 Home    L    55.94   7  42   ZZ  14 ( 64- 36-  0) Grimes Dallas Center  -29.93     -5.07                      
 48 10/16/2015 Away    W   120.74  47   0   2A  31 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic               34.87     12.13                      
 49 10/23/2015 Home    L    83.15  21  23   3A  25 ( 56- 42-  0) Bondurant-Farrar       -2.72      0.72  ND                  
 50 08/26/2016 Home    L    82.15  21  24   3A  25 ( 56- 42-  0) Bondurant-Farrar       -3.72      0.72  ND                  
 51 09/02/2016 Away    L *  64.18  23  56   3A  16 ( 70- 34-  0) Norwalk               -21.69    -11.31  ND                  
 52 09/09/2016 Away    L *  84.33  13  17   3A  26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               -1.54     -2.46                      
 53 09/16/2016 Home    W    87.20  24   7   2A  31 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic                1.32     15.68                      
 54 09/23/2016 Away    L    80.00  13  31   3A  14 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                -5.87    -12.13                      
 55 09/30/2016 Home    L    44.70   7  48   3A  23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM           -41.17      0.17                      
 56 10/07/2016 Away    W   127.06  47  21   3A   8 ( 78- 30-  0) Harlan                 41.18    -15.18                      
 57 10/14/2016 Home    L    68.28   2  21   3A  21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood              -17.59     -1.41                      
 58 10/21/2016 Away    W   115.84  42   3   3A  41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig      29.97      9.03                      
 59 08/25/2017 Away    W    98.69  20  10   3A  25 ( 56- 42-  0) Bondurant-Farrar       12.82     -2.82  ND                  
 60 09/01/2017 Home    L *  76.64  12  29   3A  16 ( 70- 34-  0) Norwalk                -9.23     -7.77  ND                  
 61 09/08/2017 Home    W * 105.79  34  13   3A  26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               19.91      1.09                      
 62 09/15/2017 Away    W    93.74  20   0   2A  31 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic                7.87     12.13                      
 63 09/22/2017 Home    W    97.46  22  19   3A  14 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                11.59     -8.59                      
 64 09/29/2017 Away    W   105.24  35  19   3A  23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            19.37     -3.37                      
 65 10/06/2017 Home    L    96.51   6   7   3A   8 ( 78- 30-  0) Harlan                 10.64    -11.64                      
 66 10/13/2017 Away    L    62.82   0  28   3A  21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood              -23.05     -4.95                      
 67 10/20/2017 Home    W    88.30  18   3   3A  41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig       2.43     12.57                      
 68 08/24/2018 Away    L    89.18  20  25   3A  20 ( 60- 39-  0) Carlisle                3.31     -8.31  ND                  
 69 08/31/2018 Home    L    84.15  39  40 1 3A  25 ( 56- 42-  0) Bondurant-Farrar       -1.72      0.72                      
 70 09/07/2018 Away    W    90.79  32  20   3A  39 ( 50- 47-  0) Alleman North Polk      4.92      7.08  ND                  
 71 09/14/2018 Home    L    85.21  31  32 1 3A  22 ( 52- 44-  0) Huxley Ballard         -0.66     -0.34                      
 72 09/21/2018 Away    W   104.82  21   7   3A  21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               18.95     -4.95                      
 73 09/28/2018 Home    L    64.68  15  52   3A   4 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central      -21.19    -15.81                      
 74 10/05/2018 Home    W   101.70  35  19   3A  23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            15.83      0.17                      
 75 10/12/2018 Away    L *  67.33  21  42   3A  26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM              -18.54     -2.46                      
 76 10/19/2018 Home    L    69.51   0  28   3A   8 ( 78- 30-  0) Harlan                -16.36    -11.64                      
 77 08/30/2019 Home    L    80.64  14  24   3A  20 ( 60- 39-  0) Carlisle               -5.24     -4.76  ND                  
 78 09/06/2019 Away    W    89.69  36  35   3A  25 ( 56- 42-  0) Bondurant-Farrar        3.82     -2.82  ND                  
 79 09/13/2019 Home    W    89.25  35  21   3A  39 ( 50- 47-  0) Alleman North Polk      3.38     10.62  ND                  
 80 09/20/2019 Away    W   105.76  28  12   3A  22 ( 52- 44-  0) Huxley Ballard         19.88     -3.88  ND                  
 81 09/27/2019 Home    L    80.28  28  35   3A  21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               -5.59     -1.41                      
 82 10/04/2019 Away    L    77.22   0  28   3A   4 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central       -8.65    -19.35                      
 83 10/11/2019 Away    W   105.24  48  32   3A  23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            19.37     -3.37                      
 84 10/18/2019 Home    L *  81.79   9  12   3A  26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               -4.09      1.09                      
 85 10/25/2019 Away    L    80.06  18  39   3A   8 ( 78- 30-  0) Harlan                 -5.82    -15.18                      
 86 08/28/2020 Home    L    72.87  14  33   1A   3 (101- 19-  0) Van Meter             -13.00     -6.00  ND                  
 87 09/04/2020 Away    W   116.24  41  14   3A  23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            30.37     -3.37  ND                  
 88 09/11/2020 Home    W    86.22  33  14   4A  33 ( 24- 67-  0) Ottumwa                 0.35     18.65  ND                  
 89 09/18/2020 Away    W * 101.33  26  13   3A  26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               15.46     -2.46  ND                  
 90 09/25/2020 Away    W * 114.01  48   0   3A  50 ( 20- 70-  0) Perry                  28.13     19.87                      
 91 10/02/2020 Home    W * 113.64  55  35   3A  16 ( 70- 34-  0) Norwalk                27.77     -7.77                      
 92 10/09/2020 Home    L    86.94  17  21   ZZ  14 ( 64- 36-  0) Grimes Dallas Center    1.07     -5.07  ND                  
 93 10/16/2020 Home    W    76.25  35  34   3A  39 ( 50- 47-  0) Alleman North Polk     -9.62     10.62                      
 94 10/23/2020 Away    L    93.74   7  21   3A   3 (102- 17-  0) Pella                   7.87    -21.87                      
      Averages              86.07  21.9 22.9

Best game:  136.82 = 46 point win over Glenwood
Worst game:  43.52 = 16 point loss to Chariton
Team stdev:  17.79