BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Harlan

Class: 3A Class Rank: 7 Conference: Hawkeye 10 Record: (40-13-0) Overall: (78-30-0) Overall Strength =   99.70

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08-19-2011 Away    L * *  75.98  42  43   3A 41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig     -23.42     22.42                      
 2 09-04-2011 Home    W      91.53  28   3   4A 34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln             -7.87     32.87                      
 3 09-09-2011 Away    W * * 126.96  42   6   3A 21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               27.56      8.44                      
 4 09-16-2011 Home    L   *  72.56  20  42   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll               -26.84      4.84                      
 5 09-23-2011 Home    W * * 108.78  21  14   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central        9.38     -2.38                      
 6 09-30-2011 Away    W *    83.87  38  28   2A 30 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic              -15.53     25.53                      
 7 10-07-2011 Home    W *   113.13  63   0   2A 52 ( 19- 72-  0) Red Oak                13.73     49.27                      
 8 10-14-2011 Away    W     114.77  41  14   3A 27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset              15.37     11.63                      
 9 10-21-2011 Home    L * *  63.80  20  42   3A 23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM           -35.60     13.60                      
10 10-26-2011 Away    W     108.09  35  30   3A  6 ( 77- 31-  0) Sioux City Heelan       8.69     -3.69                      
11 10-31-2011 Home    W      94.87  28  24   3A 19 ( 58- 43-  0) Spencer                -4.53      8.53                      
12 11-07-2011 Home    W     122.31  28   7   3A  4 ( 90- 25-  0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley   22.91     -1.91                      
13 11-14-2011 Neutral L      77.90  14  35   3A  8 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah               -21.50      0.50                      
14 08-24-2012 Home    W * *  94.41  21   0   3A 41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig      -4.99     25.99                      
15 08-31-2012 Away    W      84.10  21   7   4A 34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln            -15.30     29.30                      
16 09-07-2012 Home    W      82.57  34  14   3A 50 ( 20- 70-  0) Perry                 -16.83     36.83                      
17 09-14-2012 Away    W   * 105.13  21  14   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                 5.73      1.27                      
18 09-21-2012 Home    W * * 115.38  51  23   3A 21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               15.99     12.01                      
19 09-28-2012 Away    L * *  69.38  14  34   3A 23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM           -30.02     10.02                      
20 10-05-2012 Home    W * * 126.78  35  10   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central       27.38     -2.38                      
21 10-12-2012 Away    W *    80.87  28  21 1 2A 30 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic              -18.53     25.53                      
22 10-19-2012 Home    W      90.89  23  17 1 3A 26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               -8.51     14.51                      
23 10-24-2012 Home    L   *  73.56   7  28   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll               -25.84      4.84                      
24 08-30-2013 Away    W * *  98.98  28   6   3A 41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig      -0.42     22.42  ND                  
25 09-06-2013 Home    W      94.53  41  13   4A 34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln             -4.87     32.87  NC                  
26 09-13-2013 Away    W      94.14  42  14   3A 50 ( 20- 70-  0) Perry                  -5.26     33.26                      
27 09-20-2013 Home    L   *  87.56   7  14   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll               -11.84      4.84  ND                  
28 09-27-2013 Away    W * *  94.96  28  24   3A 21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               -4.44      8.44                      
29 10-05-2013 Home    W * * 112.80  34   7   3A 23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            13.40     13.60  was 10/04 suspended at halftime H 14 COM 7 resume 10/05
30 10-11-2013 Away    W * * 115.35  24  14   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central       15.95     -5.95                      
31 10-18-2013 Home    W *   105.30  42   7   2A 30 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic                5.90     29.10                      
32 10-25-2013 Away    W     111.46  30   7   3A 26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               12.06     10.94                      
33 10-30-2013 Home    W      85.19  20  14   3A 32 ( 32- 58-  0) LeMars                -14.21     20.21                      
34 11-04-2013 Home    W   *  97.56  21  18   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                -1.84      4.84                      
35 11-08-2013 Home    L      68.52   0  31   3A  6 ( 77- 31-  0) Sioux City Heelan     -30.88     -0.12                      
36 08-29-2014 Home    W * * 104.41  45  14   3A 41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig       5.01     25.99                      
37 09-05-2014 Home    L   *  59.56   7  42   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll               -39.84      4.84                      
38 09-12-2014 Home    L * *  84.78   7  24   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central      -14.62     -2.38                      
39 09-19-2014 Away    L      60.61   0  34   3A 18 ( 64- 36-  0) Dallas Center-Grimes  -38.79      4.79                      
40 09-26-2014 Home    W *    73.30  24  21   2A 30 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic              -26.10     29.10                      
41 10-03-2014 Away    L      64.77   0  23   3A 27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset             -34.63     11.63                      
42 10-10-2014 Home    L * *  70.80  20  35   3A 23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM           -28.60     13.60                      
43 10-17-2014 Home    W * * 106.38  19   0   3A 21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood                6.99     12.01                      
44 10-24-2014 Away    L      83.46  30  35   3A 26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM              -15.94     10.94                      
45 08-28-2015 Away    W * * 113.98  44   7   3A 41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig      14.58     22.42  ND                  
46 09-04-2015 Away    W   * 134.13  36   0   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                34.73      1.27  ND                  
47 09-11-2015 Away    W * * 122.35  38  21   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central       22.95     -5.95  ND                  
48 09-18-2015 Home    L      84.04  21  28   3A 18 ( 64- 36-  0) Dallas Center-Grimes  -15.36      8.36                      
49 09-25-2015 Away    W *   135.87  69   7   2A 30 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic               36.47     25.53                      
50 10-02-2015 Home    W     105.20  34  13   3A 27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset               5.80     15.20                      
51 10-09-2015 Away    W * * 127.38  59  21   3A 23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            27.98     10.02                      
52 10-16-2015 Away    W * * 114.96  38  14   3A 21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               15.56      8.44                      
53 10-23-2015 Home    W     126.89  49   7   3A 26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               27.49     14.51                      
54 10-28-2015 Home    L * *  62.80  11  34   3A 23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM           -36.60     13.60                      
55 08-26-2016 Away    L * *  73.35  13  45   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central      -26.05     -5.95  ND                  
56 09-02-2016 Home    W      98.87  42  19   2A 21 ( 43- 45-  0) Greene County          -0.53     23.53  ND                  
57 09-09-2016 Away    L * *  68.38  49  70   3A 23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM           -31.02     10.02                      
58 09-16-2016 Home    L * *  79.38  41  49   3A 21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood              -20.01     12.01                      
59 09-23-2016 Away    W     112.46  58  34   3A 26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               13.06     10.94                      
60 09-30-2016 Home    L   *  91.56  32  35   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                -7.84      4.84                      
61 10-07-2016 Home    L      58.20  21  47   3A 27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset             -41.20     15.20                      
62 10-14-2016 Away    W * *  77.98  35  34   3A 41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig     -21.42     22.42                      
63 10-21-2016 Home    W *   105.30  49  14   2A 30 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic                5.90     29.10                      
64 08-25-2017 Home    L * *  91.78  21  31   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central       -7.62     -2.38  ND                  
65 09-01-2017 Away    W     113.44  41   7   2A 21 ( 43- 45-  0) Greene County          14.04     19.96  ND                  
66 09-08-2017 Home    W * * 120.80  42   7   3A 23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            21.40     13.60                      
67 09-15-2017 Away    W * *  93.96  17  14   3A 21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               -5.44      8.44                      
68 09-22-2017 Home    W     132.89  55   7   3A 26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               33.49     14.51                      
69 09-29-2017 Away    W   * 138.13  40   0   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                38.73      1.27                      
70 10-06-2017 Away    W      88.77   7   6   3A 27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset             -10.63     11.63                      
71 10-13-2017 Home    W * * 115.41  56  14   3A 41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig      16.01     25.99                      
72 10-20-2017 Away    W *    95.87  22   0   2A 30 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic               -3.53     25.53                      
73 10-27-2017 Home    W     134.52  42   7   3A  6 ( 77- 31-  0) Sioux City Heelan      35.12     -0.12                      
74 11-03-2017 Home    W     120.11  41  15   3A 14 ( 72- 33-  0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton   20.71      5.29                      
75 11-09-2017 Neutral L     104.08  39  41   3A  2 (102- 17-  0) Pella                   4.68     -6.68                      
76 08-24-2018 Home    W * * 115.41  49   7   3A 41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig      16.01     25.99  ND                  
77 08-31-2018 Home    L      92.11  32  34   3A 14 ( 72- 33-  0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton   -7.29      5.29  ND                  
78 09-07-2018 Away    W   * 127.13  35   6   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                27.73      1.27  ND                  
79 09-14-2018 Home    W *   112.30  56  14   2A 30 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic               12.90     29.10  ND                  
80 09-21-2018 Away    W     106.46  28  10   3A 26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM                7.06     10.94                      
81 09-28-2018 Home    W * * 117.38  42  12   3A 21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               17.99     12.01                      
82 10-05-2018 Away    L * *  70.35  14  49   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central      -29.05     -5.95                      
83 10-12-2018 Home    W * * 133.80  48   0   3A 23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            34.40     13.60                      
84 10-19-2018 Away    W     115.77  28   0   3A 27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset              16.37     11.63                      
85 10-26-2018 Away    W     105.10  36  14   3A 31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa               5.70     16.30                      
86 11-02-2018 Away    L * *  84.35  14  35   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central      -15.05     -5.95                      
87 08-30-2019 Away    W * *  81.98  27  22   3A 41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig     -17.42     22.42  ND                  
88 09-06-2019 Away    L      77.68  27  47   3A 14 ( 72- 33-  0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton  -21.71      1.71  ND                  
89 09-13-2019 Home    W   * 107.56  34  21   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                 8.16      4.84  ND                  
90 09-20-2019 Away    W *   109.87  49  13   2A 30 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic               10.47     25.53  ND                  
91 09-27-2019 Home    W      97.89  41  28   3A 26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               -1.51     14.51                      
92 10-04-2019 Away    L * *  83.96  21  28   3A 21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood              -15.44      8.44                      
93 10-11-2019 Home    W * * 109.78  14   6   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central       10.38     -2.38                      
94 10-18-2019 Away    W * * 129.38  40   0   3A 23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            29.98     10.02                      
95 10-25-2019 Home    W     105.20  39  18   3A 27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset               5.80     15.20                      
96 11-01-2019 Away    L      92.61   7   9   3A 18 ( 64- 36-  0) Dallas Center-Grimes   -6.79      4.79                      
97 08-28-2020 Home    W      97.66  40  28   3A 24 ( 55- 46-  0) Grinnell               -1.74     13.74  ND                  
98 09-04-2020 Away    W     110.87  21  18   3A  2 (102- 17-  0) Pella                  11.47     -8.47  ND                  
99 09-11-2020 Home    W * *  96.38  22  13   3A 21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               -3.01     12.01                      
100 09-18-2020 Home    W * * 108.41  35   0   3A 41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig       9.01     25.99                      
101 09-25-2020 Away    W   * 112.13  28  14   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                12.73      1.27                      
102 10-02-2020 Away    W * * 117.38  35   7   3A 23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            17.98     10.02                      
103 10-09-2020 Home    W * * 119.78  28  10   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central       20.38     -2.38                      
104 10-23-2020 Home    W     114.25  36   7   3A 25 ( 56- 42-  0) Bondurant-Farrar       14.85     14.15                      
105 10-30-2020 Home    W      97.74  49  42   3A 20 ( 60- 39-  0) Carlisle               -1.66      8.66                      
106 11-06-2020 Home    W * * 108.78  21  14   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central        9.38     -2.38                      
107 11-12-2020 Neutral W     140.10  44   7   3A  4 ( 90- 25-  0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley   40.70     -3.70                      
108 11-19-2020 Neutral L      72.88   6  30   3A 10 ( 76- 32-  0) Eldridge North Scott  -26.52      2.52                      
      Averages              99.70  31.0 19.1

Best game:  140.10 = 37 point win over Boyden-Hull-Rock Valley
Worst game:  58.20 = 26 point loss to Winterset
Team stdev:  20.25