BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Harlan

Class: 3A Class Rank: 8 Conference: 3A-9 Record: (37-18-0) Overall: (78-30-0) Overall Strength =   99.58

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/19/2011 Away    L *  75.84  42  43   3A  41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig     -23.44     22.44                      
  2 09/04/2011 Home    W    91.43  28   3   4A  34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln             -7.86     32.86                      
  3 09/09/2011 Away    W * 126.82  42   6   3A  21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               27.54      8.46                      
  4 09/16/2011 Home    L *  72.46  20  42   3A  14 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll               -26.82      4.82                      
  5 09/23/2011 Home    W * 108.68  21  14   3A   4 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central        9.40     -2.40                      
  6 09/30/2011 Away    W    83.74  38  28   2A  31 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic              -15.55     25.55                      
  7 10/07/2011 Home    W   113.03  63   0   2A  52 ( 19- 72-  0) Red Oak                13.74     49.26                      
  8 10/14/2011 Away    W   114.64  41  14   3A  27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset              15.36     11.64                      
  9 10/21/2011 Home    L *  63.70  20  42   3A  23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM           -35.58     13.58                      
 10 10/26/2011 Away    W   107.96  35  30   3A   7 ( 77- 31-  0) Sioux City Heelan       8.67     -3.67                      
 11 10/31/2011 Home    W    94.76  28  24   3A  19 ( 58- 43-  0) Spencer                -4.52      8.52                      
 12 11/07/2011 Home    W   122.20  28   7   3A   5 ( 90- 25-  0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley   22.92     -1.92                      
 13 11/14/2011 Neutral L    77.79  14  35   3A   9 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah               -21.50      0.50                      
 14 08/24/2012 Home    W *  94.30  21   0   3A  41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig      -4.98     25.98                      
 15 08/31/2012 Away    W    83.97  21   7   4A  34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln            -15.31     29.31                      
 16 09/07/2012 Home    W    82.46  34  14   3A  50 ( 20- 70-  0) Perry                 -16.82     36.82                      
 17 09/14/2012 Away    W * 105.00  21  14   3A  14 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                 5.72      1.28                      
 18 09/21/2012 Home    W * 115.28  51  23   3A  21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               16.00     12.00                      
 19 09/28/2012 Away    L *  69.24  14  34   3A  23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM           -30.04     10.04                      
 20 10/05/2012 Home    W * 126.68  35  10   3A   4 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central       27.40     -2.40                      
 21 10/12/2012 Away    W    80.74  28  21 1 2A  31 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic              -18.55     25.55                      
 22 10/19/2012 Home    W    90.79  23  17 1 3A  26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               -8.50     14.50                      
 23 10/24/2012 Home    L *  73.46   7  28   3A  14 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll               -25.82      4.82                      
 24 08/30/2013 Away    W *  98.84  28   6   3A  41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig      -0.44     22.44  ND                  
 25 09/06/2013 Home    W    94.43  41  13   4A  34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln             -4.86     32.86  NC                  
 26 09/13/2013 Away    W    94.01  42  14   3A  50 ( 20- 70-  0) Perry                  -5.28     33.28                      
 27 09/20/2013 Home    L *  87.46   7  14   3A  14 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll               -11.82      4.82  ND                  
 28 09/27/2013 Away    W *  94.82  28  24   3A  21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               -4.46      8.46                      
 29 10/05/2013 Home    W * 112.70  34   7   3A  23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            13.42     13.58  was 10/04 suspended at halftime H 14 COM 7 resume 10/05
 30 10/11/2013 Away    W * 115.22  24  14   3A   4 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central       15.94     -5.94                      
 31 10/18/2013 Home    W   105.20  42   7   2A  31 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic                5.91     29.09                      
 32 10/25/2013 Away    W   111.33  30   7   3A  26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               12.04     10.96                      
 33 10/30/2013 Home    W    85.08  20  14   3A  32 ( 32- 58-  0) LeMars                -14.20     20.20                      
 34 11/04/2013 Home    W *  97.46  21  18   3A  14 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                -1.82      4.82                      
 35 11/08/2013 Home    L    68.41   0  31   3A   7 ( 77- 31-  0) Sioux City Heelan     -30.87     -0.13                      
 36 08/29/2014 Home    W * 104.30  45  14   3A  41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig       5.02     25.98                      
 37 09/05/2014 Home    L *  59.46   7  42   3A  14 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll               -39.82      4.82                      
 38 09/12/2014 Home    L *  84.68   7  24   3A   4 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central      -14.60     -2.40                      
 39 09/19/2014 Away    L    60.48   0  34   ZZ  14 ( 64- 36-  0) Grimes Dallas Center  -38.80      4.80                      
 40 09/26/2014 Home    W    73.20  24  21   2A  31 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic              -26.09     29.09                      
 41 10/03/2014 Away    L    64.64   0  23   3A  27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset             -34.64     11.64                      
 42 10/10/2014 Home    L *  70.70  20  35   3A  23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM           -28.58     13.58                      
 43 10/17/2014 Home    W * 106.28  19   0   3A  21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood                7.00     12.00                      
 44 10/24/2014 Away    L    83.33  30  35   3A  26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM              -15.96     10.96                      
 45 08/28/2015 Away    W * 113.84  44   7   3A  41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig      14.56     22.44  ND                  
 46 09/04/2015 Away    W * 134.00  36   0   3A  14 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                34.72      1.28  ND                  
 47 09/11/2015 Away    W * 122.22  38  21   3A   4 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central       22.94     -5.94  ND                  
 48 09/18/2015 Home    L    83.94  21  28   ZZ  14 ( 64- 36-  0) Grimes Dallas Center  -15.35      8.35                      
 49 09/25/2015 Away    W   135.74  69   7   2A  31 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic               36.45     25.55                      
 50 10/02/2015 Home    W   105.10  34  13   3A  27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset               5.82     15.18                      
 51 10/09/2015 Away    W * 127.24  59  21   3A  23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            27.96     10.04                      
 52 10/16/2015 Away    W * 114.82  38  14   3A  21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               15.54      8.46                      
 53 10/23/2015 Home    W   126.79  49   7   3A  26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               27.50     14.50                      
 54 10/28/2015 Home    L *  62.70  11  34   3A  23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM           -36.58     13.58                      
 55 08/26/2016 Away    L *  73.22  13  45   3A   4 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central      -26.06     -5.94  ND                  
 56 09/02/2016 Home    W    98.77  42  19   ZZ  21 ( 43- 45-  0) Jefferson Greene       -0.52     23.52  ND                  
 57 09/09/2016 Away    L *  68.24  49  70   3A  23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM           -31.04     10.04                      
 58 09/16/2016 Home    L *  79.28  41  49   3A  21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood              -20.00     12.00                      
 59 09/23/2016 Away    W   112.33  58  34   3A  26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               13.04     10.96                      
 60 09/30/2016 Home    L *  91.46  32  35   3A  14 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                -7.82      4.82                      
 61 10/07/2016 Home    L    58.10  21  47   3A  27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset             -41.18     15.18                      
 62 10/14/2016 Away    W *  77.84  35  34   3A  41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig     -21.44     22.44                      
 63 10/21/2016 Home    W   105.20  49  14   2A  31 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic                5.91     29.09                      
 64 08/25/2017 Home    L *  91.68  21  31   3A   4 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central       -7.60     -2.40  ND                  
 65 09/01/2017 Away    W   113.31  41   7   ZZ  21 ( 43- 45-  0) Jefferson Greene       14.02     19.98  ND                  
 66 09/08/2017 Home    W * 120.70  42   7   3A  23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            21.42     13.58                      
 67 09/15/2017 Away    W *  93.82  17  14   3A  21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               -5.46      8.46                      
 68 09/22/2017 Home    W   132.79  55   7   3A  26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               33.50     14.50                      
 69 09/29/2017 Away    W * 138.00  40   0   3A  14 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                38.72      1.28                      
 70 10/06/2017 Away    W    88.64   7   6   3A  27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset             -10.64     11.64                      
 71 10/13/2017 Home    W * 115.30  56  14   3A  41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig      16.02     25.98                      
 72 10/20/2017 Away    W    95.74  22   0   2A  31 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic               -3.55     25.55                      
 73 10/27/2017 Home    W   134.41  42   7   3A   7 ( 77- 31-  0) Sioux City Heelan      35.13     -0.13                      
 74 11/03/2017 Home    W   120.01  41  15   3A  15 ( 72- 33-  0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton   20.73      5.27                      
 75 11/09/2017 Neutral L   103.97  39  41   3A   3 (102- 17-  0) Pella                   4.68     -6.68                      
 76 08/24/2018 Home    W * 115.30  49   7   3A  41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig      16.02     25.98  ND                  
 77 08/31/2018 Home    L    92.01  32  34   3A  15 ( 72- 33-  0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton   -7.27      5.27  ND                  
 78 09/07/2018 Away    W * 127.00  35   6   3A  14 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                27.72      1.28  ND                  
 79 09/14/2018 Home    W   112.20  56  14   2A  31 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic               12.91     29.09  ND                  
 80 09/21/2018 Away    W   106.33  28  10   3A  26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM                7.04     10.96                      
 81 09/28/2018 Home    W * 117.28  42  12   3A  21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               18.00     12.00                      
 82 10/05/2018 Away    L *  70.22  14  49   3A   4 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central      -29.06     -5.94                      
 83 10/12/2018 Home    W * 133.70  48   0   3A  23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            34.42     13.58                      
 84 10/19/2018 Away    W   115.64  28   0   3A  27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset              16.36     11.64                      
 85 10/26/2018 Away    W   104.97  36  14   3A  31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa               5.69     16.31                      
 86 11/02/2018 Away    L *  84.22  14  35   3A   4 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central      -15.06     -5.94                      
 87 08/30/2019 Away    W *  81.84  27  22   3A  41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig     -17.44     22.44  ND                  
 88 09/06/2019 Away    L    77.55  27  47   3A  15 ( 72- 33-  0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton  -21.73      1.73  ND                  
 89 09/13/2019 Home    W * 107.46  34  21   3A  14 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                 8.18      4.82  ND                  
 90 09/20/2019 Away    W   109.74  49  13   2A  31 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic               10.45     25.55  ND                  
 91 09/27/2019 Home    W    97.79  41  28   3A  26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               -1.50     14.50                      
 92 10/04/2019 Away    L *  83.82  21  28   3A  21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood              -15.46      8.46                      
 93 10/11/2019 Home    W * 109.68  14   6   3A   4 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central       10.40     -2.40                      
 94 10/18/2019 Away    W * 129.24  40   0   3A  23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            29.96     10.04                      
 95 10/25/2019 Home    W   105.10  39  18   3A  27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset               5.82     15.18                      
 96 11/01/2019 Away    L    92.48   7   9   ZZ  14 ( 64- 36-  0) Grimes Dallas Center   -6.80      4.80                      
 97 08/28/2020 Home    W    97.57  40  28   3A  24 ( 55- 46-  0) Grinnell               -1.72     13.72  ND                  
 98 09/04/2020 Away    W   110.74  21  18   3A   3 (102- 17-  0) Pella                  11.46     -8.46  ND                  
 99 09/11/2020 Home    W *  96.28  22  13   3A  21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               -3.00     12.00                      
100 09/18/2020 Home    W * 108.30  35   0   3A  41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig       9.02     25.98                      
101 09/25/2020 Away    W * 112.00  28  14   3A  14 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                12.72      1.28                      
102 10/02/2020 Away    W * 117.24  35   7   3A  23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            17.96     10.04                      
103 10/09/2020 Home    W * 119.68  28  10   3A   4 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central       20.40     -2.40                      
104 10/23/2020 Home    W   114.15  36   7   3A  25 ( 56- 42-  0) Bondurant-Farrar       14.86     14.14                      
105 10/30/2020 Home    W    97.64  49  42   3A  20 ( 60- 39-  0) Carlisle               -1.65      8.65                      
106 11/06/2020 Home    W * 108.68  21  14   3A   4 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central        9.40     -2.40                      
107 11/12/2020 Neutral W   139.98  44   7   3A   5 ( 90- 25-  0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley   40.69     -3.69                      
108 11/19/2020 Neutral L    72.77   6  30   3A  11 ( 76- 32-  0) Eldridge North Scott  -26.51      2.51                      
      Averages              99.58  31.0 19.1

Best game:  139.98 = 37 point win over Boyden-Hull-Rock Valley
Worst game:  58.10 = 26 point loss to Winterset
Team stdev:  20.25