BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Harlan

Class: 3A Class Rank: 7 Conference: 3A-9 Record: (37-18-0) Overall: (78-30-0) Overall Strength =   99.70

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/19/2011 Away    L * *  75.98  42  43   3A 41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig     -23.42     22.42                      
 2 09/04/2011 Home    W      91.53  28   3   4A 34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln             -7.87     32.87                      
 3 09/09/2011 Away    W * * 126.96  42   6   3A 21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               27.56      8.44                      
 4 09/16/2011 Home    L * *  72.56  20  42   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll               -26.84      4.84                      
 5 09/23/2011 Home    W * * 108.78  21  14   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central        9.38     -2.38                      
 6 09/30/2011 Away    W      83.87  38  28   2A 30 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic              -15.53     25.53                      
 7 10/07/2011 Home    W     113.13  63   0   2A 52 ( 19- 72-  0) Red Oak                13.73     49.27                      
 8 10/14/2011 Away    W     114.77  41  14   3A 27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset              15.37     11.63                      
 9 10/21/2011 Home    L * *  63.80  20  42   3A 23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM           -35.60     13.60                      
10 10/26/2011 Away    W     108.09  35  30   3A  6 ( 77- 31-  0) Sioux City Heelan       8.69     -3.69                      
11 10/31/2011 Home    W      94.87  28  24   3A 19 ( 58- 43-  0) Spencer                -4.53      8.53                      
12 11/07/2011 Home    W     122.31  28   7   3A  4 ( 90- 25-  0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley   22.91     -1.91                      
13 11/14/2011 Neutral L      77.90  14  35   3A  8 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah               -21.50      0.50                      
14 08/24/2012 Home    W * *  94.41  21   0   3A 41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig      -4.99     25.99                      
15 08/31/2012 Away    W      84.10  21   7   4A 34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln            -15.30     29.30                      
16 09/07/2012 Home    W      82.57  34  14   3A 50 ( 20- 70-  0) Perry                 -16.83     36.83                      
17 09/14/2012 Away    W * * 105.13  21  14   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                 5.73      1.27                      
18 09/21/2012 Home    W * * 115.38  51  23   3A 21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               15.99     12.01                      
19 09/28/2012 Away    L * *  69.38  14  34   3A 23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM           -30.02     10.02                      
20 10/05/2012 Home    W * * 126.78  35  10   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central       27.38     -2.38                      
21 10/12/2012 Away    W      80.87  28  21 1 2A 30 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic              -18.53     25.53                      
22 10/19/2012 Home    W      90.89  23  17 1 3A 26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               -8.51     14.51                      
23 10/24/2012 Home    L * *  73.56   7  28   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll               -25.84      4.84                      
24 08/30/2013 Away    W * *  98.98  28   6   3A 41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig      -0.42     22.42  ND                  
25 09/06/2013 Home    W      94.53  41  13   4A 34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln             -4.87     32.87  NC                  
26 09/13/2013 Away    W      94.14  42  14   3A 50 ( 20- 70-  0) Perry                  -5.26     33.26                      
27 09/20/2013 Home    L * *  87.56   7  14   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll               -11.84      4.84  ND                  
28 09/27/2013 Away    W * *  94.96  28  24   3A 21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               -4.44      8.44                      
29 10/05/2013 Home    W * * 112.80  34   7   3A 23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            13.40     13.60  was 10/04 suspended at halftime H 14 COM 7 resume 10/05
30 10/11/2013 Away    W * * 115.35  24  14   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central       15.95     -5.95                      
31 10/18/2013 Home    W     105.30  42   7   2A 30 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic                5.90     29.10                      
32 10/25/2013 Away    W     111.46  30   7   3A 26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               12.06     10.94                      
33 10/30/2013 Home    W      85.19  20  14   3A 32 ( 32- 58-  0) LeMars                -14.21     20.21                      
34 11/04/2013 Home    W * *  97.56  21  18   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                -1.84      4.84                      
35 11/08/2013 Home    L      68.52   0  31   3A  6 ( 77- 31-  0) Sioux City Heelan     -30.88     -0.12                      
36 08/29/2014 Home    W * * 104.41  45  14   3A 41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig       5.01     25.99                      
37 09/05/2014 Home    L * *  59.56   7  42   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll               -39.84      4.84                      
38 09/12/2014 Home    L * *  84.78   7  24   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central      -14.62     -2.38                      
39 09/19/2014 Away    L      60.61   0  34   3A 18 ( 64- 36-  0) Dallas Center-Grimes  -38.79      4.79                      
40 09/26/2014 Home    W      73.30  24  21   2A 30 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic              -26.10     29.10                      
41 10/03/2014 Away    L      64.77   0  23   3A 27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset             -34.63     11.63                      
42 10/10/2014 Home    L * *  70.80  20  35   3A 23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM           -28.60     13.60                      
43 10/17/2014 Home    W * * 106.38  19   0   3A 21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood                6.99     12.01                      
44 10/24/2014 Away    L      83.46  30  35   3A 26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM              -15.94     10.94                      
45 08/28/2015 Away    W * * 113.98  44   7   3A 41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig      14.58     22.42  ND                  
46 09/04/2015 Away    W * * 134.13  36   0   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                34.73      1.27  ND                  
47 09/11/2015 Away    W * * 122.35  38  21   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central       22.95     -5.95  ND                  
48 09/18/2015 Home    L      84.04  21  28   3A 18 ( 64- 36-  0) Dallas Center-Grimes  -15.36      8.36                      
49 09/25/2015 Away    W     135.87  69   7   2A 30 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic               36.47     25.53                      
50 10/02/2015 Home    W     105.20  34  13   3A 27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset               5.80     15.20                      
51 10/09/2015 Away    W * * 127.38  59  21   3A 23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            27.98     10.02                      
52 10/16/2015 Away    W * * 114.96  38  14   3A 21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               15.56      8.44                      
53 10/23/2015 Home    W     126.89  49   7   3A 26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               27.49     14.51                      
54 10/28/2015 Home    L * *  62.80  11  34   3A 23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM           -36.60     13.60                      
55 08/26/2016 Away    L * *  73.35  13  45   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central      -26.05     -5.95  ND                  
56 09/02/2016 Home    W      98.87  42  19   2A 21 ( 43- 45-  0) Greene County          -0.53     23.53  ND                  
57 09/09/2016 Away    L * *  68.38  49  70   3A 23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM           -31.02     10.02                      
58 09/16/2016 Home    L * *  79.38  41  49   3A 21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood              -20.01     12.01                      
59 09/23/2016 Away    W     112.46  58  34   3A 26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               13.06     10.94                      
60 09/30/2016 Home    L * *  91.56  32  35   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                -7.84      4.84                      
61 10/07/2016 Home    L      58.20  21  47   3A 27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset             -41.20     15.20                      
62 10/14/2016 Away    W * *  77.98  35  34   3A 41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig     -21.42     22.42                      
63 10/21/2016 Home    W     105.30  49  14   2A 30 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic                5.90     29.10                      
64 08/25/2017 Home    L * *  91.78  21  31   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central       -7.62     -2.38  ND                  
65 09/01/2017 Away    W     113.44  41   7   2A 21 ( 43- 45-  0) Greene County          14.04     19.96  ND                  
66 09/08/2017 Home    W * * 120.80  42   7   3A 23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            21.40     13.60                      
67 09/15/2017 Away    W * *  93.96  17  14   3A 21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               -5.44      8.44                      
68 09/22/2017 Home    W     132.89  55   7   3A 26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               33.49     14.51                      
69 09/29/2017 Away    W * * 138.13  40   0   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                38.73      1.27                      
70 10/06/2017 Away    W      88.77   7   6   3A 27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset             -10.63     11.63                      
71 10/13/2017 Home    W * * 115.41  56  14   3A 41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig      16.01     25.99                      
72 10/20/2017 Away    W      95.87  22   0   2A 30 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic               -3.53     25.53                      
73 10/27/2017 Home    W     134.52  42   7   3A  6 ( 77- 31-  0) Sioux City Heelan      35.12     -0.12                      
74 11/03/2017 Home    W     120.11  41  15   3A 14 ( 72- 33-  0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton   20.71      5.29                      
75 11/09/2017 Neutral L     104.08  39  41   3A  2 (102- 17-  0) Pella                   4.68     -6.68                      
76 08/24/2018 Home    W * * 115.41  49   7   3A 41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig      16.01     25.99  ND                  
77 08/31/2018 Home    L      92.11  32  34   3A 14 ( 72- 33-  0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton   -7.29      5.29  ND                  
78 09/07/2018 Away    W * * 127.13  35   6   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                27.73      1.27  ND                  
79 09/14/2018 Home    W     112.30  56  14   2A 30 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic               12.90     29.10  ND                  
80 09/21/2018 Away    W     106.46  28  10   3A 26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM                7.06     10.94                      
81 09/28/2018 Home    W * * 117.38  42  12   3A 21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               17.99     12.01                      
82 10/05/2018 Away    L * *  70.35  14  49   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central      -29.05     -5.95                      
83 10/12/2018 Home    W * * 133.80  48   0   3A 23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            34.40     13.60                      
84 10/19/2018 Away    W     115.77  28   0   3A 27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset              16.37     11.63                      
85 10/26/2018 Away    W     105.10  36  14   3A 31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa               5.70     16.30                      
86 11/02/2018 Away    L * *  84.35  14  35   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central      -15.05     -5.95                      
87 08/30/2019 Away    W * *  81.98  27  22   3A 41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig     -17.42     22.42  ND                  
88 09/06/2019 Away    L      77.68  27  47   3A 14 ( 72- 33-  0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton  -21.71      1.71  ND                  
89 09/13/2019 Home    W * * 107.56  34  21   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                 8.16      4.84  ND                  
90 09/20/2019 Away    W     109.87  49  13   2A 30 ( 35- 56-  0) Atlantic               10.47     25.53  ND                  
91 09/27/2019 Home    W      97.89  41  28   3A 26 ( 47- 49-  0) Adel ADM               -1.51     14.51                      
92 10/04/2019 Away    L * *  83.96  21  28   3A 21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood              -15.44      8.44                      
93 10/11/2019 Home    W * * 109.78  14   6   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central       10.38     -2.38                      
94 10/18/2019 Away    W * * 129.38  40   0   3A 23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            29.98     10.02                      
95 10/25/2019 Home    W     105.20  39  18   3A 27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset               5.80     15.20                      
96 11/01/2019 Away    L      92.61   7   9   3A 18 ( 64- 36-  0) Dallas Center-Grimes   -6.79      4.79                      
97 08/28/2020 Home    W      97.66  40  28   3A 24 ( 55- 46-  0) Grinnell               -1.74     13.74  ND                  
98 09/04/2020 Away    W     110.87  21  18   3A  2 (102- 17-  0) Pella                  11.47     -8.47  ND                  
99 09/11/2020 Home    W * *  96.38  22  13   3A 21 ( 52- 43-  0) Glenwood               -3.01     12.01                      
100 09/18/2020 Home    W * * 108.41  35   0   3A 41 ( 27- 62-  0) Denison-Schleswig       9.01     25.99                      
101 09/25/2020 Away    W * * 112.13  28  14   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                12.73      1.27                      
102 10/02/2020 Away    W * * 117.38  35   7   3A 23 ( 53- 46-  0) Creston COM            17.98     10.02                      
103 10/09/2020 Home    W * * 119.78  28  10   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central       20.38     -2.38                      
104 10/23/2020 Home    W     114.25  36   7   3A 25 ( 56- 42-  0) Bondurant-Farrar       14.85     14.15                      
105 10/30/2020 Home    W      97.74  49  42   3A 20 ( 60- 39-  0) Carlisle               -1.66      8.66                      
106 11/06/2020 Home    W * * 108.78  21  14   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central        9.38     -2.38                      
107 11/12/2020 Neutral W     140.10  44   7   3A  4 ( 90- 25-  0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley   40.70     -3.70                      
108 11/19/2020 Neutral L      72.88   6  30   3A 10 ( 76- 32-  0) Eldridge North Scott  -26.52      2.52                      
      Averages              99.70  31.0 19.1

Best game:  140.10 = 37 point win over Boyden-Hull-Rock Valley
Worst game:  58.20 = 26 point loss to Winterset
Team stdev:  20.25