BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Johnston

Class: 4A Class Rank: 21 Conference: (1-5) Overall: (4-6) Overall Strength =  105.37

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 08/19/2011 Home    W   111.28  45  20   4A  36 ( 3- 7) Ottumwa                 6.29     18.71                      
  2 08/26/2011 Away    W   122.75  28   0   4A  32 ( 5- 5) CB Lincoln             17.76     10.24                      
  3 09/02/2011 Home    L   100.60  21  35   4A  13 ( 8- 3) Marshalltown           -4.39     -9.61                      
  4 09/16/2011 Away    L *  90.13  10  31   4A  17 ( 6- 5) Urbandale             -14.86     -6.14                      
  5 09/23/2011 Home    W *  99.27  14   7   4A  27 ( 1- 8) Indianola              -5.72     12.72                      
  6 09/30/2011 Home    W   112.41  49   7   4A  40 ( 3- 7) Sioux City West         7.42 *   34.58                      
  7 10/07/2011 Away    L * 112.45  14  27   4A   6 ( 9- 3) WDM Dowling             7.46    -20.46                      
  8 10/14/2011 Home    L * 103.34   6  31   4A   5 (11- 2) Ankeny                 -1.65    -23.35                      
  9 10/21/2011 Away    L *  94.55   0  46   4A   2 (10- 2) Southeast Polk        -10.44 *  -35.56                      
 10 10/26/2011 Away    L * 103.13  15  23   4A  17 ( 6- 5) Urbandale              -1.86     -6.14                      
      Averages             104.99  20.2 22.7

Best game:  122.75 = 28 point win over Council Bluffs Lincoln
Worst game:  90.13 = 21 point loss to Urbandale
Team stdev:   9.74