BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Ottumwa
Class: 4A Class Rank: 36 Conference: (3-2) Overall: (3-7) Overall Strength = 83.77
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 08/19/2011 Away L 81.59 20 45 4A 21 ( 4- 6) Johnston -6.29 -18.71
2 08/26/2011 Home L 97.11 7 42 4A 1 (14- 0) WDM Valley 9.23 * -44.23
3 09/02/2011 Away L 80.24 14 28 4A 30 ( 4- 6) Ames -7.64 -6.36
4 09/09/2011 Away L 74.37 19 60 4A 16 ( 6- 4) Waukee -13.51 -27.49
5 09/16/2011 Home W * 89.42 55 20 4A 45 ( 1- 8) Des Moines North 1.54 * 33.46
6 09/23/2011 Home W * 96.31 56 10 4A 47 ( 1- 8) Des Moines Hoover 8.43 * 37.57
7 09/30/2011 Home L * 79.42 3 10 4A 35 ( 4- 6) Des Moines East -8.46 1.46
8 10/07/2011 Away L * 98.09 31 49 4A 11 ( 9- 2) Des Moines Lincoln 10.21 -28.21
9 10/21/2011 Away W * 88.95 35 27 4A 41 ( 3- 7) Des Moines Roosevelt 1.07 6.93
10 10/26/2011 Away L 93.31 7 49 4A 1 (14- 0) WDM Valley 5.43 * -47.43
Averages 87.88 24.7 34.0
Best game: 98.09 = 18 point loss to Des Moines Lincoln
Worst game: 74.37 = 41 point loss to Waukee
Team stdev: 8.47