BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Ames

Class: 5A Class Rank: 25 Conference: Iowa Alliance Record: (10-6-0) Overall: (15-31-0) Overall Strength =   61.40

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W- L- T) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/27/2021 Away    W *    63.73  14   7   5A 29 (16-29- 0) Marshalltown            2.28      4.72                      
 2 09/03/2021 Home    L *    45.04  21  42   4A 21 (30-18- 0) Fort Dodge            -16.40     -4.60                      
 3 09/10/2021 Home    L      47.57   5  43   5A 11 (30-21- 0) Iowa City High        -13.88    -24.12                      
 4 09/17/2021 Away    W *    78.27  49   7   5A 36 ( 7-38- 0) Des Moines East        16.82     25.18                      
 5 09/24/2021 Home    W      72.30  27  14   5A 24 (17-28- 0) Sioux City North       10.86      2.14                      
 6 10/01/2021 Away    W   *  75.67  52  31   5A 30 (18-27- 0) CB Lincoln             14.22      6.78                      
 7 10/08/2021 Away    L      63.90   6  49   5A  1 (48-11- 0) WDM Dowling             2.46    -45.46                      
 8 10/15/2021 Home    L *    40.80  36  38   5A 33 (13-32- 0) Des Moines Lincoln    -20.65     18.65                      
 9 10/22/2021 Away    L   *  75.55  19  37   5A  8 (33-21- 0) Johnston               14.11    -32.11                      
10 08/26/2022 Home    W *    67.92  33  17   5A 29 (16-29- 0) Marshalltown            6.47      9.53                      
11 09/02/2022 Away    W *    74.85  36  32   4A 21 (30-18- 0) Fort Dodge             13.41     -9.41                      
12 09/09/2022 Away    L      54.37  19  55   5A 11 (30-21- 0) Iowa City High         -7.07    -28.93                      
13 09/16/2022 Home    W *    85.46  54   0   5A 36 ( 7-38- 0) Des Moines East        24.01     29.99                      
14 09/23/2022 Away    W      93.11  57  28   5A 24 (17-28- 0) Sioux City North       31.67     -2.67                      
15 09/30/2022 Home    W   *  78.86  42  13   5A 30 (18-27- 0) CB Lincoln             17.42     11.58                      
16 10/07/2022 Home    L      58.09   7  51   5A  1 (48-11- 0) WDM Dowling            -3.35    -40.65                      
17 10/14/2022 Away    W *    94.60  60  13   5A 33 (13-32- 0) Des Moines Lincoln     33.16     13.84                      
18 10/21/2022 Home    L   *  66.74   9  31   5A  8 (33-21- 0) Johnston                5.30    -27.30                      
19 10/28/2022 Away    L      60.90   3  49   5A  2 (52-11- 0) Southeast Polk         -0.54    -45.46                      
20 08/25/2023 Away    L      58.84   7  35   5A 16 (24-25- 0) Waukee                 -2.60    -25.40                      
21 09/01/2023 Home    L      57.84   6  42   5A  4 (29-24- 0) Ankeny Centennial      -3.60    -32.40                      
22 09/08/2023 Home    L      64.57  28  49   5A 11 (30-21- 0) Iowa City High          3.12    -24.12                      
23 09/15/2023 Away    W * *  80.23  34  14   5A 28 (15-30- 0) Des Moines Roosevelt   18.78      1.22                      
24 09/22/2023 Away    L      59.04  13  52   5A  5 (42-20- 0) WDM Valley             -2.40    -36.60                      
25 09/29/2023 Home    W *    86.18  62  23   5A 31 (21-24- 0) Ottumwa                24.74     14.26                      
26 10/06/2023 Away    W *    90.73  48  14   5A 29 (16-29- 0) Marshalltown           29.28      4.72                      
27 10/13/2023 Home    L   *  75.62  28  35   5A 14 (33-18- 0) Sioux City East        14.18    -21.18                      
28 10/20/2023 Home    L      49.64   7  49   5A  6 (32-20- 0) Waukee Northwest      -11.80    -30.20                      
29 08/30/2024 Home    L      37.03  14  59   5A 16 (24-25- 0) Waukee                -24.41    -20.59  Ames Youth Football Night
30 09/06/2024 Away    L      57.65  14  55   5A  4 (29-24- 0) Ankeny Centennial      -3.79    -37.21                      
31 09/13/2024 Away    L      51.37  14  53   5A 11 (30-21- 0) Iowa City High        -10.07    -28.93                      
32 09/20/2024 Home    W * *  83.42  49  21   5A 28 (15-30- 0) Des Moines Roosevelt   21.97      6.03  Ames Homecoming     
33 09/27/2024 Home    L      58.23  14  49   5A  5 (42-20- 0) WDM Valley             -3.21    -31.79  Youth Cheer Clinic/Hall of Fame Game
34 10/04/2024 Away    L *    44.99  34  41   5A 31 (21-24- 0) Ottumwa               -16.45      9.45  Senior Night - Youth Cheer Performance at Half
35 10/11/2024 Home    L *    46.92  21  26   5A 29 (16-29- 0) Marshalltown          -14.53      9.53  Ames Senior Night   
36 10/18/2024 Away    L   *  65.43  34  56   5A 14 (33-18- 0) Sioux City East         3.98    -25.98  PARENT NIGHT        
37 10/25/2024 Away    L      52.45   6  50   5A  6 (32-20- 0) Waukee Northwest       -8.99    -35.01                      
38 08/29/2025 Away    L *    30.73  14  40   5A 29 (16-29- 0) Marshalltown          -30.72      4.72                      
39 09/05/2025 Away    L      43.64   3  41   5A 21 (23-23- 0) Urbandale             -17.80    -20.20                      
40 09/12/2025 Home    L   *  53.74  14  49   5A  8 (33-21- 0) Johnston               -7.70    -27.30                      
41 09/19/2025 Home    L      27.25   0  53   5A 18 (27-21- 0) Norwalk               -34.19    -18.81  Ames Athletic Hall of Fame Night and Little Cheer Clinic
42 09/26/2025 Away    L * *  54.23  14  20   5A 28 (15-30- 0) Des Moines Roosevelt   -7.22      1.22  ROOSEVELT HOMECOMING
43 10/03/2025 Home    W   *  56.86  28  21   5A 30 (18-27- 0) CB Lincoln             -4.58     11.58  Ames Homecoming     
44 10/10/2025 Home    L   *  45.34   3  55   5A  3 (41-17- 0) Ankeny                -16.11    -35.89                      
45 10/17/2025 Away    L      37.04   3  45   5A 22 (19-28- 0) Dallas Center-Grimes  -24.40    -17.60  Band Golf Tennis Cross Country Dance Senior Night Salute to Service Night
46 10/24/2025 Home    L   *  57.62  14  39   5A 14 (33-18- 0) Sioux City East        -3.82    -21.18  Ames Senior Night   
      Averages              61.40  23.4 35.7

Best game:   94.60 = 47 point win over Des Moines Lincoln
Worst game:  27.25 = 53 point loss to Norwalk
Team stdev:  16.60