BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Ottumwa

Class: 5A Class Rank: 31 Conference: Iowa Alliance Record: (12-5-0) Overall: (21-24-0) Overall Strength =   50.20

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W- L- T) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08-27-2021 Home    L      26.53  14  35   4A 29 (10-35- 0) Oskaloosa             -23.05      2.05                      
 2 09-03-2021 Away    L      36.34   7  27   3A 28 (17-28- 0) Fairfield             -13.24     -6.76                      
 3 09-10-2021 Home    L *    10.42   0  45   5A 28 (15-30- 0) Des Moines Roosevelt  -39.17     -5.83                      
 4 09-17-2021 Away    L      20.20   0  42   4A 26 (23-23- 0) Burlington            -29.39    -12.61                      
 5 09-24-2021 Home    L      50.20   0   1   5A 13 (30-21- 0) CR Prairie              0.00 X  -35.23  pre-game forfeit    
 6 10-01-2021 Home    W      88.62  54   6   5A 34 (10-35- 0) CR Jefferson           39.03      8.97                      
 7 10-08-2021 Away    L      30.64   0  56   5A 17 (28-21- 0) Marion Linn-Mar       -18.95    -37.05                      
 8 10-15-2021 Away    W *    47.03  36  28   4A 35 ( 9-37- 0) Des Moines North       -2.56     10.56                      
 9 10-22-2021 Home    L     -12.16   0  70   5A 26 (22-25- 0) Waterloo West         -61.74     -8.26                      
10 08-26-2022 Away    W      53.34  21  20   4A 29 (10-35- 0) Oskaloosa               3.76     -2.76                      
11 09-02-2022 Home    W      57.53  22  16   3A 28 (17-28- 0) Fairfield               7.95     -1.95                      
12 09-09-2022 Away    L *    40.23  14  34   5A 28 (15-30- 0) Des Moines Roosevelt   -9.36    -10.64                      
13 09-16-2022 Home    L      22.39   7  42   4A 26 (23-23- 0) Burlington            -27.20     -7.80                      
14 09-23-2022 Away    L      54.63  14  49   5A 13 (30-21- 0) CR Prairie              5.04    -40.04                      
15 09-30-2022 Away    W      93.43  54   6   5A 34 (10-35- 0) CR Jefferson           43.84      4.16                      
16 10-07-2022 Home    L      53.83   7  35   5A 17 (28-21- 0) Marion Linn-Mar         4.25    -32.25                      
17 10-14-2022 Home    W *    46.22  32  20   4A 35 ( 9-37- 0) Des Moines North       -3.37     15.37                      
18 10-21-2022 Away    L      54.65  34  42   5A 26 (22-25- 0) Waterloo West           5.06    -13.06                      
19 08-25-2023 Away    L      38.04   8  23   3A 30 (14-31- 0) Keokuk                -11.55     -3.45                      
20 09-01-2023 Home    L *    46.42  20  29   5A 28 (15-30- 0) Des Moines Roosevelt   -3.17     -5.83                      
21 09-07-2023 Away    W *    64.60  29  12   5A 33 (13-32- 0) Des Moines Lincoln     15.02      1.98                      
22 09-15-2023 Home    W      49.53  30  28   4A 29 (10-35- 0) Oskaloosa              -0.05      2.05                      
23 09-22-2023 Home    L *    14.92   7  44   5A 29 (16-29- 0) Marshalltown          -34.67     -2.33                      
24 09-29-2023 Away    L *    24.85  23  62   5A 25 (15-31- 0) Ames                  -24.74    -14.26                      
25 10-06-2023 Away    L   *  34.45  14  76   5A  6 (32-20- 0) Waukee Northwest      -15.14    -46.86                      
26 10-13-2023 Home    W * *  51.46  52  32   5A 36 ( 7-38- 0) Des Moines East         1.87     18.13                      
27 10-20-2023 Away    W      64.65  21  19   5A 26 (22-25- 0) Waterloo West          15.06    -13.06                      
28 08-30-2024 Home    W      69.23  47  26   3A 30 (14-31- 0) Keokuk                 19.64      1.36                      
29 09-05-2024 Away    W *    82.23  50  28   5A 28 (15-30- 0) Des Moines Roosevelt   32.64    -10.64                      
30 09-13-2024 Home    W *    83.80  62  21   5A 33 (13-32- 0) Des Moines Lincoln     34.21      6.79  Ottumwa Homecoming - Cheer Performance at Half
31 09-20-2024 Away    W      94.34  69  27   4A 29 (10-35- 0) Oskaloosa              44.76     -2.76                      
32 09-27-2024 Away    W *    70.73  42  28   5A 29 (16-29- 0) Marshalltown           21.14     -7.14                      
33 10-04-2024 Home    W *    66.04  41  34   5A 25 (15-31- 0) Ames                   16.45     -9.45  Senior Night - Youth Cheer Performance at Half
34 10-11-2024 Home    L   *  39.64  13  65   5A  6 (32-20- 0) Waukee Northwest       -9.94    -42.06  Band Lighted half time show and MS/HS Cheer Performance
35 10-18-2024 Away    W * *  72.27  48  12   5A 36 ( 7-38- 0) Des Moines East        22.68     13.32  SENIOR NIGHT        
36 10-25-2024 Home    L      50.84  21  28   5A 26 (22-25- 0) Waterloo West           1.26     -8.26  Ottumwa Youth Football Night - Comp Cheer Performance at Half
37 08-29-2025 Home    W      54.53   7   0   4A 29 (10-35- 0) Oskaloosa               4.95      2.05                      
38 09-05-2025 Away    L      30.04   0  49   5A 22 (19-28- 0) Dallas Center-Grimes  -19.55    -29.45                      
39 09-12-2025 Home    W * *  60.46  35   6   5A 36 ( 7-38- 0) Des Moines East        10.87     18.13  Senior Night        
40 09-19-2025 Home    W *    49.80  21  14   5A 33 (13-32- 0) Des Moines Lincoln      0.21      6.79  Homecoming          
41 09-26-2025 Away    L   *  42.90   6  70   5A  2 (52-11- 0) Southeast Polk         -6.69 *  -57.31                      
42 10-03-2025 Away    L   *  26.45   0  70   5A  6 (32-20- 0) Waukee Northwest      -23.14    -46.86                      
43 10-10-2025 Home    L   *  55.25  13  38   5A 18 (27-21- 0) Norwalk                 5.67    -30.67  Band Lighted Halftime Performance and OYFL Night
44 10-16-2025 Away    W *    62.23  20  18   5A 28 (15-30- 0) Des Moines Roosevelt   12.64    -10.64                      
45 10-24-2025 Away    L   *  44.37  14  60   5A 11 (30-21- 0) Iowa City High         -5.21    -40.79                      
      Averages              50.04  22.9 33.2

Best game:   94.34 = 42 point win over Oskaloosa
Worst game: -12.16 = 70 point loss to Waterloo West
Team stdev:  22.17