BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Harlan

Class: 3A Class Rank: 2 Conference: 3A-1 Record: (55-1-0) Overall: (111-10-0) Overall Strength =   99.68

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Home    W    93.50  28   7   3A  23 ( 60- 37-  0) Boone                  -5.81     26.81                      
  2 09/14/2001 Home    W *  73.42  35  25   3A  45 ( 32- 58-  0) Glenwood              -25.89     35.89                      
  3 09/21/2001 Home    W    96.48  45  15   2A  19 ( 59- 44-  0) Carroll Kuemper        -2.82     32.82                      
  4 09/28/2001 Away    L    62.02   7  26   3A  14 ( 54- 41-  0) Denison-Schleswig     -37.29     18.29                      
  5 10/05/2001 Home    W * 111.20  44  14   3A  12 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll                11.89     18.11                      
  6 10/12/2001 Away    W * 106.44  44  16   3A  17 ( 50- 42-  0) CB Lewis Central        7.14     20.86                      
  7 10/26/2001 Home    W *  96.61  30   7   3A  21 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic               -2.70     25.70                      
  8 10/31/2001 Away    W   103.34  42  13   3A  29 ( 48- 49-  0) MOC-Floyd Valley        4.03     24.97                      
  9 11/05/2001 Home    W    91.96  21   7   3A  14 ( 54- 41-  0) Denison-Schleswig      -7.34     21.34                      
 10 11/12/2001 Neutral W    91.68  21  14   3A   8 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell               -7.63     14.63                      
 11 11/17/2001 Neutral L    69.56   9  12   3A  30 ( 50- 43-  0) Western Dubuque       -29.74     26.74                      
 12 09/06/2002 Away    W   118.33  55   6   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant         19.02     29.98                      
 13 09/13/2002 Away    W *  95.25  31  20   3A  12 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll                -4.05     15.05                      
 14 09/20/2002 Home    W * 118.42  55   0   3A  45 ( 32- 58-  0) Glenwood               19.11     35.89                      
 15 09/27/2002 Home    W    94.96  31  14   3A  14 ( 54- 41-  0) Denison-Schleswig      -4.34     21.34                      
 16 10/04/2002 Away    W * 112.44  41   7   3A  17 ( 50- 42-  0) CB Lewis Central       13.14     20.86                      
 17 10/11/2002 Away    W * 102.52  55   0   3A  61 ( 28- 58-  0) Red Oak                 3.21     51.79                      
 18 10/18/2002 Home    W   114.48  48   0   2A  19 ( 59- 44-  0) Carroll Kuemper        15.18     32.82                      
 19 10/25/2002 Home    W *  92.47  31   7   3A  35 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM            -6.84     30.84                      
 20 11/01/2002 Away    L *  73.66  21  24 1 3A  21 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic              -25.64     22.64                      
 21 11/06/2002 Away    W    81.34  24  17   3A  29 ( 48- 49-  0) MOC-Floyd Valley      -17.97     24.97                      
 22 11/12/2002 Away    L    82.80  21  24   3A  10 ( 74- 32-  0) LeMars                -16.51     13.51                      
 23 09/05/2003 Home    W    95.27  29   0   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant         -4.04     33.04                      
 24 09/12/2003 Home    W *  88.20  28  21   3A  12 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll               -11.11     18.11                      
 25 09/19/2003 Away    W * 105.47  46   7   3A  45 ( 32- 58-  0) Glenwood                6.17     32.83                      
 26 09/26/2003 Away    W   106.02  31   6   3A  14 ( 54- 41-  0) Denison-Schleswig       6.71     18.29                      
 27 10/03/2003 Home    W * 116.39  49   8   3A  17 ( 50- 42-  0) CB Lewis Central       17.08     23.92                      
 28 10/10/2003 Home    W *  99.46  61   6   3A  61 ( 28- 58-  0) Red Oak                 0.16 *   54.84                      
 29 10/17/2003 Away    W    97.54  42  14   2A  19 ( 59- 44-  0) Carroll Kuemper        -1.77     29.77                      
 30 10/24/2003 Away    W * 125.52  54   0   3A  35 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM            26.22     27.78                      
 31 10/31/2003 Home    W * 100.61  48  21   3A  21 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic                1.30     25.70                      
 32 11/05/2003 Home    W    88.59  35  14   ZZ  44 ( 55- 40-  0) Grimes Dallas Center  -10.72     31.72                      
 33 11/11/2003 Away    W * 112.52  63  22   3A  35 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM            13.22     27.78                      
 34 11/17/2003 Neutral W   125.27  62  21   3A  10 ( 74- 32-  0) LeMars                 25.97     15.03                      
 35 11/22/2003 Neutral W    79.84  38  35   3A  18 ( 55- 48-  0) Mount Vernon          -19.47     22.47                      
 36 09/03/2004 Away    W    94.01  52  17   3A  57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                -5.29     40.29                      
 37 09/10/2004 Home    W   104.74  48   6   3A  46 ( 41- 53-  0) Webster City            5.44     36.56                      
 38 09/17/2004 Home    W * 104.42  48   7   3A  45 ( 32- 58-  0) Glenwood                5.11     35.89                      
 39 09/24/2004 Away    W * 118.25  41   7   3A  12 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll                18.95     15.05                      
 40 10/01/2004 Home    W   102.58  42   0   2A  27 ( 47- 51-  0) Jefferson JSPC          3.28     38.72                      
 41 10/08/2004 Away    W * 118.44  42   2   3A  17 ( 50- 42-  0) CB Lewis Central       19.14     20.86                      
 42 10/15/2004 Home    W   105.96  28   0   3A  14 ( 54- 41-  0) Denison-Schleswig       6.66     21.34                      
 43 10/22/2004 Away    W * 112.66  49  13   3A  21 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic               13.36     22.64                      
 44 10/29/2004 Away    W * 106.52  42   7   3A  35 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM             7.22     27.78                      
 45 11/03/2004 Home    W    80.28  52  43   3A  29 ( 48- 49-  0) MOC-Floyd Valley      -19.03     28.03                      
 46 11/09/2004 Away    W   116.02  35   0   3A  14 ( 54- 41-  0) Denison-Schleswig      16.71     18.29                      
 47 11/15/2004 Neutral W   106.24  51  17   4A  11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                  6.94     27.06                      
 48 11/20/2004 Neutral W   118.55  42   7   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                19.24     15.76                      
 49 09/02/2005 Home    W    85.96  37   7   3A  57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk               -13.35     43.35                      
 50 09/09/2005 Away    W   125.80  60   0   3A  46 ( 41- 53-  0) Webster City           26.49     33.51                      
 51 09/16/2005 Away    W *  97.47  38   7   3A  45 ( 32- 58-  0) Glenwood               -1.83     32.83                      
 52 09/23/2005 Home    W * 103.20  42  20   3A  12 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll                 3.89     18.11                      
 53 09/30/2005 Away    W    94.64  31   0   2A  27 ( 47- 51-  0) Jefferson JSPC         -4.67     35.67                      
 54 10/07/2005 Home    W * 111.39  43   7   3A  17 ( 50- 42-  0) CB Lewis Central       12.08     23.92                      
 55 10/14/2005 Away    W   116.02  49  14   3A  14 ( 54- 41-  0) Denison-Schleswig      16.71     18.29                      
 56 10/21/2005 Home    W *  87.61  48  34   3A  21 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic              -11.70     25.70                      
 57 10/28/2005 Home    W *  98.47  37   7   3A  35 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM            -0.84     30.84                      
 58 11/02/2005 Home    W *  77.14  23  13   3A  39 ( 43- 50-  0) Winterset             -22.16     32.16                      
 59 11/08/2005 Home    W   101.72  48  17   4A  11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                  2.41     28.59                      
 60 11/14/2005 Neutral W    98.27  35  21   3A  10 ( 74- 32-  0) LeMars                 -1.03     15.03                      
 61 11/19/2005 Neutral W   105.28  34  13   3A   9 ( 70- 32-  0) West Delaware           5.97     15.03                      
 62 09/01/2006 Away    W    84.02  15  12   3A  14 ( 54- 41-  0) Denison-Schleswig     -15.29     18.29                      
 63 09/08/2006 Home    W   103.06  21   7   3A   4 ( 94- 22-  0) Sioux City Heelan       3.76     10.24                      
 64 09/15/2006 Away    W * 101.47  35   0   3A  45 ( 32- 58-  0) Glenwood                2.17     32.83                      
 65 09/22/2006 Home    W *  75.47  24  17   3A  35 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM           -23.84     30.84                      
 66 09/29/2006 Away    W   110.11  54   0   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  10.80     43.20                      
 67 10/06/2006 Home    W *  92.39  24   7   3A  17 ( 50- 42-  0) CB Lewis Central       -6.92     23.92                      
 68 10/13/2006 Away    W *  94.25  28  18   3A  12 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll                -5.05     15.05                      
 69 10/20/2006 Home    W * 110.61  46   9   3A  21 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic               11.30     25.70                      
 70 10/27/2006 Away    W    89.82  40  18   2A  20 ( 62- 38-  0) Clarinda               -9.49     31.49                      
 71 11/01/2006 Home    W   100.48  42  14   3A  24 ( 45- 48-  0) Spencer                 1.17     26.83                      
 72 11/07/2006 Away    L    79.80  14  20   3A  10 ( 74- 32-  0) LeMars                -19.51     13.51                      
 73 08/31/2007 Home    W   115.96  38   0   3A  14 ( 54- 41-  0) Denison-Schleswig      16.66     21.34                      
 74 09/07/2007 Away    W    96.12  38  34   3A   4 ( 94- 22-  0) Sioux City Heelan      -3.19      7.19                      
 75 09/14/2007 Home    W * 105.42  48   6   3A  45 ( 32- 58-  0) Glenwood                6.11     35.89                      
 76 09/21/2007 Away    W * 106.52  42   7   3A  35 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM             7.22     27.78                      
 77 09/28/2007 Home    W   102.05  49   0   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                   2.75     46.25                      
 78 10/05/2007 Away    W * 125.44  47   0   3A  17 ( 50- 42-  0) CB Lewis Central       26.14     20.86                      
 79 10/12/2007 Home    W * 112.20  38   7   3A  12 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll                12.89     18.11                      
 80 10/19/2007 Away    W * 114.66  45   7   3A  21 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic               15.36     22.64                      
 81 10/26/2007 Home    W    89.76  35  10   2A  20 ( 62- 38-  0) Clarinda               -9.54     34.54                      
 82 10/31/2007 Home    W   123.74  48   7   3A  10 ( 74- 32-  0) LeMars                 24.44     16.56                      
 83 11/06/2007 Home    L    85.06  17  21   3A   4 ( 94- 22-  0) Sioux City Heelan     -14.24     10.24                      
 84 08/29/2008 Home    W    90.96  20   7   3A  14 ( 54- 41-  0) Denison-Schleswig      -8.34     21.34  non-district        
 85 09/05/2008 Away    L    77.12  13  28   3A   4 ( 94- 22-  0) Sioux City Heelan     -22.19      7.19  non-district        
 86 09/12/2008 Home    W * 115.61  42   0   3A  21 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic               16.30     25.70                      
 87 09/19/2008 Away    W    65.34  31  30 1 3A  49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM              -33.96     34.96                      
 88 09/26/2008 Home    W * 106.14  49  10   3A  39 ( 43- 50-  0) Winterset               6.84     32.16                      
 89 10/03/2008 Away    W *  91.47  41  16   3A  45 ( 32- 58-  0) Glenwood               -7.83     32.83                      
 90 10/10/2008 Home    W    75.67  49   7   2A  60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke        -23.64 *   65.64                      
 91 10/17/2008 Away    W * 106.52  56  21   3A  35 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM             7.22     27.78                      
 92 10/24/2008 Home    W *  96.39  35  14   3A  17 ( 50- 42-  0) CB Lewis Central       -2.92     23.92                      
 93 10/29/2008 Home    W   115.28  58  14   3A  29 ( 48- 49-  0) MOC-Floyd Valley       15.97     28.03                      
 94 11/03/2008 Home    W    73.48  21  20   3A  24 ( 45- 48-  0) Spencer               -25.83     26.83                      
 95 11/07/2008 Away    L    75.12  21  38   3A   4 ( 94- 22-  0) Sioux City Heelan     -24.19      7.19                      
 96 08/28/2009 Away    W   116.02  56  21   3A  14 ( 54- 41-  0) Denison-Schleswig      16.71     18.29  nd                  
 97 09/04/2009 Home    W   107.06  24   6   3A   4 ( 94- 22-  0) Sioux City Heelan       7.76     10.24  nd                  
 98 09/11/2009 Away    W * 114.66  38   0   3A  21 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic               15.36     22.64                      
 99 09/18/2009 Home    W    89.29  42  14   3A  49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM              -10.02     38.02                      
100 09/25/2009 Away    W * 115.20  48   3   3A  39 ( 43- 50-  0) Winterset              15.90     29.10                      
101 10/02/2009 Home    W * 104.42  41   0   3A  45 ( 32- 58-  0) Glenwood                5.11     35.89                      
102 10/09/2009 Away    W    85.72  49   0   2A  60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke        -13.58 *   62.58                      
103 10/16/2009 Home    W * 112.47  44   0   3A  35 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM            13.16     30.84                      
104 10/23/2009 Away    W * 106.44  28   0   3A  17 ( 50- 42-  0) CB Lewis Central        7.14     20.86                      
105 10/28/2009 Home    W   113.28  49   7   3A  29 ( 48- 49-  0) MOC-Floyd Valley       13.97     28.03                      
106 11/02/2009 Home    W   109.29  48   0   3A  49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM                9.98     38.02                      
107 11/06/2009 Home    W    96.06  21  14   3A   4 ( 94- 22-  0) Sioux City Heelan      -3.24     10.24                      
108 11/16/2009 Neutral W * 117.73  42   7   3A  12 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll                18.42     16.58                      
109 11/21/2009 Neutral W   101.98  35  14   3A  13 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                   2.68     18.32                      
110 08/20/2010 Home    W   119.96  49   7   3A  14 ( 54- 41-  0) Denison-Schleswig      20.66     21.34  ND                  
111 09/03/2010 Away    L    48.44  34  49   4A  26 ( 45- 49-  0) CB Lincoln            -50.87     35.87  NC                  
112 09/10/2010 Home    W *  98.42  35   0   3A  45 ( 32- 58-  0) Glenwood               -0.89     35.89                      
113 09/17/2010 Away    W * 118.25  55  21   3A  12 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll                18.95     15.05                      
114 09/24/2010 Away    W *  85.44  21  14   3A  17 ( 50- 42-  0) CB Lewis Central      -13.86     20.86                      
115 10/01/2010 Home    W * 115.61  42   0   3A  21 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic               16.30     25.70                      
116 10/08/2010 Away    W * 103.52  63   7   3A  61 ( 28- 58-  0) Red Oak                 4.21     51.79                      
117 10/15/2010 Home    W *  88.14  55  34   3A  39 ( 43- 50-  0) Winterset             -11.16     32.16                      
118 10/22/2010 Away    W * 104.52  36   3   3A  35 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM             5.22     27.78                      
119 10/27/2010 Home    W    76.17  21   7   3A  47 ( 41- 54-  0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton  -23.14     37.14                      
120 11/01/2010 Home    W   108.33  38   7   3A  15 ( 65- 37-  0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley    9.03     21.97                      
121 11/08/2010 Home    L    82.06  21  28   3A   4 ( 94- 22-  0) Sioux City Heelan     -17.24     10.24                      
      Averages              99.68  38.7 11.8

Best game:  125.80 = 60 point win over Webster City
Worst game:  48.44 = 15 point loss to Council Bluffs Lincoln
Team stdev:  15.17