BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Pella

Class: 3A Class Rank: 12 Conference: Little Hawkeye Record: (31-10-0) Overall: (83-28-0) Overall Strength =   81.29

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/31/2001 Away    W      85.72  31  14   3A 42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington              4.73     12.27                      
 2 09/14/2001 Away    W * *  75.58  21  20   3A 26 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              -5.41      6.41                      
 3 09/21/2001 Home    L *    67.15   7  23   3A  7 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell              -13.83     -2.17                      
 4 09/28/2001 Home    L *    54.45   6  10   3A 55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville             -26.54     22.54                      
 5 10/05/2001 Away    W      63.43  42   6   3A 64 (  6- 84-  0) Saydel                -17.55     53.55                      
 6 10/12/2001 Away    W      67.97  42  14   3A 63 ( 13- 77-  0) Nevada                -13.02     41.02                      
 7 10/19/2001 Home    L *    63.61   3   7   3A 36 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama       -17.38     13.38                      
 8 10/26/2001 Home    W *    76.96  42  21   3A 57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                -4.02     25.02                      
 9 10/29/2001 Home    W      68.67  42   7   2A 60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke        -12.32     47.32  start 09/07 | P 14 OC 7 Half | rained out 09/10 | finish 10/29
10 09/06/2002 Home    W      82.67  37  20   3A 42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington              1.68     15.32                      
11 09/13/2002 Away    W * * 105.58  44  13   3A 26 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              24.59      6.41                      
12 09/20/2002 Away    W *    77.50  41  25   3A 55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville              -3.48     19.48                      
13 09/27/2002 Home    W      93.95  47  28   3A 18 ( 65- 31-  0) Huxley Ballard         12.96      6.04                      
14 10/04/2002 Away    W *   103.02  44   0   3A 57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                22.03     21.97                      
15 10/11/2002 Home    W   *  95.41  49  21   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               14.43     13.57                      
16 10/18/2002 Home    W      74.38  56   6   3A 64 (  6- 84-  0) Saydel                 -6.61 *   56.61                      
17 10/25/2002 Away    W      80.73  50   6   2A 60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke         -0.26     44.26                      
18 11/01/2002 Home    W      86.92  62  12   3A 63 ( 13- 77-  0) Nevada                  5.93     44.07                      
19 11/06/2002 Home    W      72.05  46  27   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  -8.93     27.93                      
20 11/12/2002 Home    L      72.61  14  15   3A 20 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic               -8.38      7.38                      
21 09/05/2003 Away    W      89.72  21   0   3A 42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington              8.73     12.27                      
22 09/12/2003 Home    W * *  92.53  27   6   3A 26 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              11.54      9.46                      
23 09/19/2003 Home    W *    79.45  28   7   3A 55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville              -1.54     22.54                      
24 09/26/2003 Away    W      85.00  27  20   3A 18 ( 65- 31-  0) Huxley Ballard          4.02      2.98                      
25 10/03/2003 Home    W *    59.96  27  23   3A 57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk               -21.02     25.02                      
26 10/10/2003 Away    L   *  50.47   0  20   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -30.52     10.52                      
27 10/17/2003 Away    W      82.43  55   0   3A 64 (  6- 84-  0) Saydel                  1.45     53.55                      
28 10/24/2003 Home    W      83.67  56   6   2A 60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke          2.68     47.32                      
29 10/31/2003 Away    W      93.97  54   0   3A 63 ( 13- 77-  0) Nevada                 12.98     41.02                      
30 11/05/2003 Away    W * * 108.58  41   7   3A 26 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              27.59      6.41                      
31 11/11/2003 Home    W   *  81.41  21   7   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton                0.43     13.57                      
32 11/17/2003 Neutral L      55.84  14  35   3A 17 ( 55- 48-  0) Mount Vernon          -25.15      4.15                      
33 09/03/2004 Home    W      79.67  36  22   3A 42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington             -1.32     15.32                      
34 09/10/2004 Away    L * *  63.58   7  18   3A 26 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -17.41      6.41                      
35 09/17/2004 Away    L      75.63  22  25   3A 15 ( 55- 38-  0) Van Horne Benton       -5.35      2.35                      
36 09/24/2004 Home    W *    68.45  28  18   3A 55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville             -12.54     22.54                      
37 10/01/2004 Away    W      95.82  26   0   3A 40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle               14.84     11.16                      
38 10/08/2004 Home    W      69.79  21   8   3A 56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana     -11.20     24.20                      
39 10/15/2004 Home    W *    90.15  26  19   3A  7 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell                9.17     -2.17                      
40 10/22/2004 Away    W      89.05  26  25 1 3A  5 ( 81- 25-  0) Williamsburg            8.07     -7.07                      
41 10/29/2004 Away    L *    62.66  25  33   3A 36 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama       -18.33     10.33                      
42 11/03/2004 Away    L   *  33.47   6  43   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -47.52     10.52                      
43 09/02/2005 Away    W      82.72  34  20   3A 42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington              1.73     12.27                      
44 09/09/2005 Home    L * *  47.53   3  27   3A 26 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -33.46      9.46                      
45 09/16/2005 Home    L      61.58  14  28   3A 15 ( 55- 38-  0) Van Horne Benton      -19.41      5.41                      
46 09/23/2005 Away    L *    54.50  14  21   3A 55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville             -26.48     19.48                      
47 09/30/2005 Home    W      94.77  40  12   3A 40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle               13.78     14.22                      
48 10/07/2005 Away    W     100.84  41   0   3A 56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana      19.86     21.14                      
49 10/14/2005 Away    L *    49.21   3  40   3A  7 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell              -31.78     -5.22                      
50 10/21/2005 Home    L      50.00   7  42   3A  5 ( 81- 25-  0) Williamsburg          -30.99     -4.01                      
51 10/28/2005 Home    W *   108.61  47   6   3A 36 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama        27.62     13.38                      
52 09/01/2006 Home    L      45.67   7  27   3A 42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington            -35.32     15.32                      
53 09/08/2006 Away    L * *  49.58  12  37   3A 26 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -31.41      6.41                      
54 09/15/2006 Away    W *    91.50  43  13   3A 55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville              10.52     19.48                      
55 09/22/2006 Home    W      74.67  56  15   2A 60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke         -6.32     47.32                      
56 09/29/2006 Away    L      35.20   7  42   3A 39 ( 43- 50-  0) Winterset             -45.79     10.79                      
57 10/06/2006 Home    W *    77.96  28   6   3A 57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                -3.02     25.02                      
58 10/13/2006 Away    W      94.82  46  21   3A 40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle               13.84     11.16                      
59 10/20/2006 Home    W      62.29  22  21   3A 49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM              -18.70     19.70                      
60 10/27/2006 Away    L   *  63.47  20  27   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -17.52     10.52                      
61 08/31/2007 Away    L      62.72  20  26   3A 42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington            -18.27     12.27                      
62 09/07/2007 Home    W * *  78.53  27  20 1 3A 26 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              -2.46      9.46                      
63 09/14/2007 Home    W *    89.45  37   6   3A 55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville               8.46     22.54                      
64 09/21/2007 Away    W      76.73  40   0   2A 60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke         -4.26     44.26                      
65 09/28/2007 Home    W      87.15  36  16   3A 39 ( 43- 50-  0) Winterset               6.16     13.84                      
66 10/05/2007 Away    W *   103.02  56  12   3A 57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                22.03     21.97                      
67 10/12/2007 Home    W      72.77  20  14   3A 40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle               -8.22     14.22                      
68 10/19/2007 Away    L      57.34  14  21   3A 49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM              -23.64     16.64                      
69 10/26/2007 Home    W   * 107.41  47   7   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               26.43     13.57                      
70 10/31/2007 Away    W      77.56  29  27   3A 22 ( 60- 37-  0) Boone                  -3.42      5.42                      
71 11/06/2007 Home    L      31.77  17  52   3A 40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle              -49.22     14.22                      
72 08/29/2008 Home    W      68.67  21  18   3A 42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington            -12.32     15.32  non-district        
73 09/05/2008 Away    W * *  79.58  35  30   3A 26 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              -1.41      6.41  non-district        
74 09/12/2008 Home    W   *  79.62  20   0   3A 53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville            -1.36     21.36                      
75 09/19/2008 Away    W   *  91.47  35  14   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               10.48     10.52                      
76 09/26/2008 Home    W      84.77  25   7   3A 40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle                3.78     14.22                      
77 10/03/2008 Away    W *   115.21  29   0   3A  7 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell               34.22     -5.22                      
78 10/10/2008 Home    W *    99.61  45  13   3A 36 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama        18.62     13.38                      
79 10/17/2008 Away    W *   112.50  58   7   3A 55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville              31.52     19.48                      
80 10/24/2008 Home    W *    83.96  31   3   3A 57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                 2.98     25.02                      
81 10/29/2008 Home    W * * 118.53  61  14   3A 26 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              37.54      9.46                      
82 11/03/2008 Home    W     106.00  35  14   3A  5 ( 81- 25-  0) Williamsburg           25.01     -4.01                      
83 11/07/2008 Home    W   *  80.27  19   5   3A 41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant         -0.71     14.71                      
84 11/17/2008 Neutral L      66.55  20  37   3A 10 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah               -14.43     -2.57                      
85 08/28/2009 Away    W     107.72  47   8   3A 42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington             26.73     12.27  nd                  
86 09/04/2009 Home    W * * 106.53  41   6   3A 26 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              25.54      9.46  nd                  
87 09/11/2009 Away    L   *  61.68  43  44 1 3A 53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville           -19.31     18.31                      
88 09/18/2009 Home    W   * 100.41  40   7   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               19.43     13.57                      
89 09/25/2009 Away    L      65.82  23  27   3A 40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle              -15.16     11.16                      
90 10/02/2009 Home    L *    72.15   3  14   3A  7 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell               -8.83     -2.17                      
91 10/09/2009 Away    W *   112.66  49   7   3A 36 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama        31.67     10.33                      
92 10/16/2009 Home    W *    96.45  52  14   3A 55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville              15.46     22.54                      
93 10/23/2009 Away    W *    80.02  21   0   3A 57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                -0.97     21.97                      
94 10/28/2009 Away    W      95.05  31  24   3A  5 ( 81- 25-  0) Williamsburg           14.07     -7.07                      
95 11/02/2009 Away    W *    89.21  10   7   3A  7 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell                8.22     -5.22                      
96 11/06/2009 Home    W   *  63.62  24  20   3A 53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville           -17.36     21.36                      
97 11/16/2009 Neutral W      89.66  30  21   2A  4 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton             8.68      0.32                      
98 11/21/2009 Neutral L      78.30  14  35   3A  1 (111- 10-  0) Harlan                 -2.69    -18.31                      
99 08/27/2010 Away    W *    94.87  35  14   3A 30 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                 13.88      7.12  ND                  
100 09/03/2010 Home    W *   113.45  55   0   3A 55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville              32.46     22.54  ND                  
101 09/10/2010 Home    W   * 109.41  42   0   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               28.43     13.57                      
102 09/17/2010 Away    W * * 109.58  35   0   3A 26 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              28.59      6.41                      
103 09/24/2010 Home    W   * 120.62  61   0   3A 53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville            39.64     21.36                      
104 10/01/2010 Away    W   *  84.33  21   6   3A 41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant          3.34     11.66                      
105 10/08/2010 Away    W   * 104.03  48   7   3A 52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                 23.04     17.96                      
106 10/15/2010 Home    W   *  89.12  20   0   3A 33 ( 61- 36-  1) Fairfield               8.13     11.87                      
107 10/22/2010 Away    W   *  80.52  35   0   3A 62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison           -0.47     35.47                      
108 10/27/2010 Home    W      77.59  17   7   3A 37 ( 55- 40-  0) Dallas Center-Grimes   -3.39     13.39                      
109 11/01/2010 Home    W     117.29  56   0   3A 49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM               36.30     19.70                      
110 11/08/2010 Home    W      81.77  24   9   3A 40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle                0.78     14.22                      
111 11/15/2010 Neutral L      78.79  14  26   3A  2 (106- 15-  0) Solon                  -2.20     -9.80                      
      Averages              81.23  30.9 15.4

Best game:  120.62 = 61 point win over Centerville
Worst game:  31.77 = 35 point loss to Carlisle
Team stdev:  19.46