BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Pella

Class: 3A Class Rank: 13 Conference: 3A-7 Record: (23-7-0) Overall: (83-28-0) Overall Strength =   81.23

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Away    W    85.72  31  14   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington              4.74     12.26                      
  2 09/14/2001 Away    W *  75.58  21  20   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              -5.40      6.40                      
  3 09/21/2001 Home    L    67.15   7  23   3A   8 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell              -13.83     -2.17                      
  4 09/28/2001 Home    L    54.45   6  10   3A  55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville             -26.54     22.54                      
  5 10/05/2001 Away    W    63.43  42   6   3A  64 (  6- 84-  0) Saydel                -17.56     53.56                      
  6 10/12/2001 Away    W    67.96  42  14   3A  63 ( 13- 77-  0) Nevada                -13.02     41.02                      
  7 10/19/2001 Home    L    63.60   3   7   3A  37 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama       -17.38     13.38                      
  8 10/26/2001 Home    W    76.96  42  21   3A  57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                -4.02     25.02                      
  9 10/29/2001 Home    W    68.67  42   7   2A  60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke        -12.31     47.31  start 09/07 | P 14 OC 7 Half | rained out 09/10 | finish 10/29
 10 09/06/2002 Home    W    82.66  37  20   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington              1.68     15.32                      
 11 09/13/2002 Away    W * 105.58  44  13   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              24.60      6.40                      
 12 09/20/2002 Away    W    77.50  41  25   3A  55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville              -3.48     19.48                      
 13 09/27/2002 Home    W    93.94  47  28   3A  19 ( 65- 31-  0) Huxley Ballard         12.96      6.04                      
 14 10/04/2002 Away    W   103.01  44   0   3A  57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                22.03     21.97                      
 15 10/11/2002 Home    W *  95.41  49  21   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               14.43     13.57                      
 16 10/18/2002 Home    W    74.37  56   6   3A  64 (  6- 84-  0) Saydel                 -6.61 *   56.61                      
 17 10/25/2002 Away    W    80.72  50   6   2A  60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke         -0.26     44.26                      
 18 11/01/2002 Home    W    86.91  62  12   3A  63 ( 13- 77-  0) Nevada                  5.92     44.08                      
 19 11/06/2002 Home    W    72.05  46  27   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  -8.93     27.93                      
 20 11/12/2002 Home    L    72.61  14  15   3A  21 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic               -8.38      7.38                      
 21 09/05/2003 Away    W    89.72  21   0   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington              8.74     12.26                      
 22 09/12/2003 Home    W *  92.52  27   6   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              11.54      9.46                      
 23 09/19/2003 Home    W    79.45  28   7   3A  55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville              -1.54     22.54                      
 24 09/26/2003 Away    W    85.00  27  20   3A  19 ( 65- 31-  0) Huxley Ballard          4.01      2.99                      
 25 10/03/2003 Home    W    59.96  27  23   3A  57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk               -21.02     25.02                      
 26 10/10/2003 Away    L *  50.47   0  20   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -30.52     10.52                      
 27 10/17/2003 Away    W    82.43  55   0   3A  64 (  6- 84-  0) Saydel                  1.44     53.56                      
 28 10/24/2003 Home    W    83.67  56   6   2A  60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke          2.69     47.31                      
 29 10/31/2003 Away    W    93.96  54   0   3A  63 ( 13- 77-  0) Nevada                 12.98     41.02                      
 30 11/05/2003 Away    W * 108.58  41   7   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              27.60      6.40                      
 31 11/11/2003 Home    W *  81.41  21   7   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton                0.43     13.57                      
 32 11/17/2003 Neutral L    55.84  14  35   3A  18 ( 55- 48-  0) Mount Vernon          -25.15      4.15                      
 33 09/03/2004 Home    W    79.66  36  22   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington             -1.32     15.32                      
 34 09/10/2004 Away    L *  63.58   7  18   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -17.40      6.40                      
 35 09/17/2004 Away    L    75.63  22  25   3A  16 ( 55- 38-  0) Van Horne Benton       -5.35      2.35                      
 36 09/24/2004 Home    W    68.45  28  18   3A  55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville             -12.54     22.54                      
 37 10/01/2004 Away    W    95.82  26   0   3A  40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle               14.84     11.16                      
 38 10/08/2004 Home    W    69.79  21   8   3A  56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana     -11.20     24.20                      
 39 10/15/2004 Home    W    90.15  26  19   3A   8 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell                9.17     -2.17                      
 40 10/22/2004 Away    W    89.05  26  25 1 3A   6 ( 81- 25-  0) Williamsburg            8.07     -7.07                      
 41 10/29/2004 Away    L    62.66  25  33   3A  37 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama       -18.33     10.33                      
 42 11/03/2004 Away    L *  33.47   6  43   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -47.52     10.52                      
 43 09/02/2005 Away    W    82.72  34  20   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington              1.74     12.26                      
 44 09/09/2005 Home    L *  47.52   3  27   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -33.46      9.46                      
 45 09/16/2005 Home    L    61.58  14  28   3A  16 ( 55- 38-  0) Van Horne Benton      -19.41      5.41                      
 46 09/23/2005 Away    L    54.50  14  21   3A  55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville             -26.48     19.48                      
 47 09/30/2005 Home    W    94.77  40  12   3A  40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle               13.78     14.22                      
 48 10/07/2005 Away    W   100.84  41   0   3A  56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana      19.86     21.14                      
 49 10/14/2005 Away    L    49.21   3  40   3A   8 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell              -31.78     -5.22                      
 50 10/21/2005 Home    L    50.00   7  42   3A   6 ( 81- 25-  0) Williamsburg          -30.99     -4.01                      
 51 10/28/2005 Home    W   108.60  47   6   3A  37 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama        27.62     13.38                      
 52 09/01/2006 Home    L    45.66   7  27   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington            -35.32     15.32                      
 53 09/08/2006 Away    L *  49.58  12  37   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -31.40      6.40                      
 54 09/15/2006 Away    W    91.50  43  13   3A  55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville              10.52     19.48                      
 55 09/22/2006 Home    W    74.67  56  15   2A  60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke         -6.31     47.31                      
 56 09/29/2006 Away    L    35.20   7  42   3A  39 ( 43- 50-  0) Winterset             -45.78     10.78                      
 57 10/06/2006 Home    W    77.96  28   6   3A  57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                -3.02     25.02                      
 58 10/13/2006 Away    W    94.82  46  21   3A  40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle               13.84     11.16                      
 59 10/20/2006 Home    W    62.29  22  21   3A  49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM              -18.70     19.70                      
 60 10/27/2006 Away    L *  63.47  20  27   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -17.52     10.52                      
 61 08/31/2007 Away    L    62.72  20  26   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington            -18.26     12.26                      
 62 09/07/2007 Home    W *  78.52  27  20 1 3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              -2.46      9.46                      
 63 09/14/2007 Home    W    89.45  37   6   3A  55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville               8.46     22.54                      
 64 09/21/2007 Away    W    76.72  40   0   2A  60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke         -4.26     44.26                      
 65 09/28/2007 Home    W    87.14  36  16   3A  39 ( 43- 50-  0) Winterset               6.16     13.84                      
 66 10/05/2007 Away    W   103.01  56  12   3A  57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                22.03     21.97                      
 67 10/12/2007 Home    W    72.77  20  14   3A  40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle               -8.22     14.22                      
 68 10/19/2007 Away    L    57.34  14  21   3A  49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM              -23.64     16.64                      
 69 10/26/2007 Home    W * 107.41  47   7   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               26.43     13.57                      
 70 10/31/2007 Away    W    77.55  29  27   3A  23 ( 60- 37-  0) Boone                  -3.43      5.43                      
 71 11/06/2007 Home    L    31.77  17  52   3A  40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle              -49.22     14.22                      
 72 08/29/2008 Home    W    68.66  21  18   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington            -12.32     15.32  non-district        
 73 09/05/2008 Away    W *  79.58  35  30   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              -1.40      6.40  non-district        
 74 09/12/2008 Home    W *  79.62  20   0   3A  53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville            -1.36     21.36                      
 75 09/19/2008 Away    W *  91.47  35  14   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               10.48     10.52                      
 76 09/26/2008 Home    W    84.77  25   7   3A  40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle                3.78     14.22                      
 77 10/03/2008 Away    W   115.21  29   0   3A   8 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell               34.22     -5.22                      
 78 10/10/2008 Home    W    99.60  45  13   3A  37 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama        18.62     13.38                      
 79 10/17/2008 Away    W   112.50  58   7   3A  55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville              31.52     19.48                      
 80 10/24/2008 Home    W    83.96  31   3   3A  57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                 2.98     25.02                      
 81 10/29/2008 Home    W * 118.52  61  14   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              37.54      9.46                      
 82 11/03/2008 Home    W   106.00  35  14   3A   6 ( 81- 25-  0) Williamsburg           25.01     -4.01                      
 83 11/07/2008 Home    W *  80.27  19   5   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant         -0.71     14.71                      
 84 11/17/2008 Neutral L    66.55  20  37   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah               -14.44     -2.56                      
 85 08/28/2009 Away    W   107.72  47   8   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington             26.74     12.26  nd                  
 86 09/04/2009 Home    W * 106.52  41   6   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              25.54      9.46  nd                  
 87 09/11/2009 Away    L *  61.67  43  44 1 3A  53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville           -19.31     18.31                      
 88 09/18/2009 Home    W * 100.41  40   7   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               19.43     13.57                      
 89 09/25/2009 Away    L    65.82  23  27   3A  40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle              -15.16     11.16                      
 90 10/02/2009 Home    L    72.15   3  14   3A   8 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell               -8.83     -2.17                      
 91 10/09/2009 Away    W   112.66  49   7   3A  37 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama        31.67     10.33                      
 92 10/16/2009 Home    W    96.45  52  14   3A  55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville              15.46     22.54                      
 93 10/23/2009 Away    W    80.01  21   0   3A  57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                -0.97     21.97                      
 94 10/28/2009 Away    W    95.05  31  24   3A   6 ( 81- 25-  0) Williamsburg           14.07     -7.07                      
 95 11/02/2009 Away    W    89.21  10   7   3A   8 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell                8.22     -5.22                      
 96 11/06/2009 Home    W *  63.62  24  20   3A  53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville           -17.36     21.36                      
 97 11/16/2009 Neutral W    89.66  30  21   2A   5 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton             8.68      0.32                      
 98 11/21/2009 Neutral L    78.31  14  35   3A   2 (111- 10-  0) Harlan                 -2.68    -18.32                      
 99 08/27/2010 Away    W    94.87  35  14   3A  31 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                 13.89      7.11  ND                  
100 09/03/2010 Home    W   113.45  55   0   3A  55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville              32.46     22.54  ND                  
101 09/10/2010 Home    W * 109.41  42   0   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               28.43     13.57                      
102 09/17/2010 Away    W * 109.58  35   0   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              28.60      6.40                      
103 09/24/2010 Home    W * 120.62  61   0   3A  53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville            39.64     21.36                      
104 10/01/2010 Away    W *  84.33  21   6   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant          3.34     11.66                      
105 10/08/2010 Away    W * 104.03  48   7   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                 23.05     17.95                      
106 10/15/2010 Home    W *  89.12  20   0   3A  34 ( 61- 36-  1) Fairfield               8.13     11.87                      
107 10/22/2010 Away    W *  80.52  35   0   3A  62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison           -0.47     35.47                      
108 10/27/2010 Home    W    77.59  17   7   ZZ  44 ( 55- 40-  0) Grimes Dallas Center   -3.39     13.39                      
109 11/01/2010 Home    W   117.29  56   0   3A  49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM               36.30     19.70                      
110 11/08/2010 Home    W    81.77  24   9   3A  40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle                0.78     14.22                      
111 11/15/2010 Neutral L    78.79  14  26   3A   3 (106- 15-  0) Solon                  -2.19     -9.81                      
      Averages              81.23  30.9 15.4

Best game:  120.62 = 61 point win over Centerville
Worst game:  31.77 = 35 point loss to Carlisle
Team stdev:  19.46