BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Winterset

Class: 3A Class Rank: 39 Conference: 3A-1 Record: (7-21-0) Overall: (43-50-0) Overall Strength =   68.83

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Away    L *  56.66   6  26   3A  21 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic              -12.01     -7.99                      
  2 09/07/2001 Home    L    65.48   6   7   2A  19 ( 59- 44-  0) Carroll Kuemper        -3.19      2.19                      
  3 09/14/2001 Home    L *  47.47   7  28   3A  35 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM           -21.21      0.21                      
  4 09/21/2001 Away    W    57.72  35  14   2A  60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke        -10.95     31.95                      
  5 09/28/2001 Away    W    62.11  13   7   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  -6.57     12.57                      
  6 10/05/2001 Home    L    36.58  14  38   2A  27 ( 47- 51-  0) Jefferson JSPC        -32.09      8.09                      
  7 10/12/2001 Home    W    91.72  28   7   4A  11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                 23.04     -2.04                      
  8 10/19/2001 Away    W    96.64  47  21   ZZ  44 ( 55- 40-  0) Grimes Dallas Center   27.97     -1.97                      
  9 10/26/2001 Home    W    66.29  12   7   3A  49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM               -2.39      7.39                      
 10 09/06/2002 Home    L    46.96   7  16   3A  57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk               -21.71     12.71                      
 11 09/13/2002 Away    L *  51.52   7  27   3A  35 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM           -17.15     -2.85                      
 12 09/20/2002 Away    L    67.64  12  15   ZZ  44 ( 55- 40-  0) Grimes Dallas Center   -1.03     -1.97                      
 13 09/27/2002 Home    W    77.72  13   6   4A  11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                  9.04     -2.04                      
 14 10/04/2002 Away    W    82.34  26   8   3A  49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM               13.67      4.33                      
 15 10/11/2002 Away    W   103.64  40   0   2A  27 ( 47- 51-  0) Jefferson JSPC         34.97      5.03                      
 16 10/18/2002 Home    L    21.05   6  38   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                 -47.62     15.62                      
 17 10/25/2002 Home    W    73.50  21  20   3A  23 ( 60- 37-  0) Boone                   4.83     -3.83                      
 18 11/01/2002 Away    L *  81.25  14  17   3A  12 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll                12.58    -15.58                      
 19 09/05/2003 Away    L    50.01   0   9   3A  57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk               -18.66      9.66                      
 20 09/12/2003 Home    L *  39.47   6  35   3A  35 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM           -29.21      0.21                      
 21 09/19/2003 Home    L    33.59   9  43   ZZ  44 ( 55- 40-  0) Grimes Dallas Center  -35.08      1.08                      
 22 09/26/2003 Away    W    80.77  21  14   4A  11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                 12.10     -5.10                      
 23 10/03/2003 Home    L    57.29  13  17   3A  49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM              -11.39      7.39                      
 24 10/10/2003 Home    L    58.58  21  23   2A  27 ( 47- 51-  0) Jefferson JSPC        -10.09      8.09                      
 25 10/17/2003 Away    W    63.11  21  14   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  -5.57     12.57                      
 26 10/24/2003 Away    L    68.55   0   7   3A  23 ( 60- 37-  0) Boone                  -0.12     -6.88                      
 27 10/31/2003 Home    L *  45.20   6  42   3A  12 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll               -23.47    -12.53                      
 28 08/27/2004 Home    L    45.41   7  29   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -23.26      1.26                      
 29 09/10/2004 Away    L *  63.52  13  21   3A  35 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM            -5.15     -2.85                      
 30 09/17/2004 Home    W    76.96  34  13   3A  57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                 8.29     12.71                      
 31 09/24/2004 Away    W    89.72  59   6   2A  60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke         21.05     31.95                      
 32 10/01/2004 Home    W    83.29  25   3   3A  49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM               14.61      7.39                      
 33 10/08/2004 Away    W    91.11  42   7   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  22.43     12.57                      
 34 10/15/2004 Away    L    60.77  22  35   4A  11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                 -7.90     -5.10                      
 35 10/22/2004 Home    W    70.37  46   0   3A  64 (  6- 84-  0) Saydel                  1.70     44.30                      
 36 10/29/2004 Home    W   122.59  55   0   ZZ  44 ( 55- 40-  0) Grimes Dallas Center   53.92      1.08                      
 37 11/03/2004 Away    L    75.40   0  14   3A   5 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake              6.73    -20.73                      
 38 08/26/2005 Away    W   105.47  48  13   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               36.79     -1.79                      
 39 09/09/2005 Home    L *  60.47  23  31   3A  35 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM            -8.21      0.21                      
 40 09/16/2005 Away    W    87.01  31   3   3A  57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                18.34      9.66                      
 41 09/23/2005 Home    W    73.67  40   0   2A  60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke          5.00     35.00                      
 42 09/30/2005 Away    W   104.34  49   9   3A  49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM               35.67      4.33                      
 43 10/07/2005 Home    W    90.05  44   7   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  21.38     15.62                      
 44 10/14/2005 Home    L    68.72  26  28   4A  11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                  0.04     -2.04                      
 45 10/21/2005 Away    W    61.43  48  14   3A  64 (  6- 84-  0) Saydel                 -7.25     41.25                      
 46 10/28/2005 Away    W   111.64  47   6   ZZ  44 ( 55- 40-  0) Grimes Dallas Center   42.97     -1.97                      
 47 11/02/2005 Away    L *  90.83  13  23   3A   2 (111- 10-  0) Harlan                 22.16    -32.16                      
 48 09/01/2006 Home    W    81.82  28   0   2A  41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35    13.14     14.86                      
 49 09/08/2006 Away    L *  68.52   7  10   3A  35 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM            -0.15     -2.85                      
 50 09/15/2006 Away    L    67.47  14  17 1 3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               -1.21     -1.79                      
 51 09/22/2006 Home    W    80.77  31  17   3A  40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle               12.10      1.90                      
 52 09/29/2006 Home    W   114.46  42   7   3A  13 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                  45.78    -10.78                      
 53 10/06/2006 Away    W    86.50  44  19   3A  55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville              17.83      7.17                      
 54 10/13/2006 Away    W    88.01  41  12   3A  57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                19.34      9.66                      
 55 10/20/2006 Home    W    74.67  41   0   2A  60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke          6.00     35.00                      
 56 10/27/2006 Away    L    46.34  22  40   3A  49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM              -22.33      4.33                      
 57 08/31/2007 Away    W    61.87  12   7   2A  41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35    -6.80     11.80                      
 58 09/07/2007 Home    L *  64.47  16  20   3A  35 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM            -4.21      0.21                      
 59 09/14/2007 Home    L    53.41   7  21   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -15.26      1.26                      
 60 09/21/2007 Away    L    41.82   7  35   3A  40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle              -26.85     -1.15                      
 61 09/28/2007 Away    L    62.51  16  36   3A  13 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                  -6.16    -13.84                      
 62 10/05/2007 Home    L    51.45  14  21 1 3A  55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville             -17.23     10.23                      
 63 10/12/2007 Home    W    83.96  28   0   3A  57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                15.29     12.71                      
 64 10/19/2007 Away    W    70.72  41   7   2A  60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke          2.05     31.95                      
 65 10/26/2007 Home    L    39.29  20  42   3A  49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM              -29.39      7.39                      
 66 08/29/2008 Away    L    52.01  14  21   3A  57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk               -16.66      9.66  non-district        
 67 09/05/2008 Home    L    47.59   7  27   ZZ  44 ( 55- 40-  0) Grimes Dallas Center  -21.08      1.08  non-district        
 68 09/12/2008 Home    W    52.67  19   0   2A  60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke        -16.00     35.00                      
 69 09/19/2008 Away    L *  58.66  22  40   3A  21 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic              -10.01     -7.99                      
 70 09/26/2008 Away    L *  61.83  10  49   3A   2 (111- 10-  0) Harlan                 -6.84    -32.16                      
 71 10/03/2008 Home    L    33.29  14  42   3A  49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM              -35.39      7.39                      
 72 10/10/2008 Home    W *  96.47  48  20   3A  35 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM            27.79      0.21                      
 73 10/17/2008 Away    L *  50.44  17  45   3A  17 ( 50- 42-  0) CB Lewis Central      -18.23     -9.77                      
 74 10/24/2008 Away    L *  52.47   6  20   3A  45 ( 32- 58-  0) Glenwood              -16.20      2.20                      
 75 08/28/2009 Home    L    45.96   7  17   3A  57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk               -22.71     12.71  nd                  
 76 09/04/2009 Away    W    73.64  23  20   ZZ  44 ( 55- 40-  0) Grimes Dallas Center    4.97     -1.97  nd                  
 77 09/11/2009 Away    W    47.72  18   7   2A  60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke        -20.95     31.95                      
 78 09/18/2009 Home    W *  90.61  20   3   3A  21 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic               21.94     -4.94                      
 79 09/25/2009 Home    L *  52.78   3  48   3A   2 (111- 10-  0) Harlan                -15.90    -29.10                      
 80 10/02/2009 Away    L    63.34  34  35   3A  49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM               -5.33      4.33                      
 81 10/09/2009 Away    L *  69.52  29  31   3A  35 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM             0.85     -2.85                      
 82 10/16/2009 Home    L *  33.39   0  42   3A  17 ( 50- 42-  0) CB Lewis Central      -35.28     -6.72                      
 83 10/23/2009 Home    L *  28.42   0  35   3A  45 ( 32- 58-  0) Glenwood              -40.26      5.26                      
 84 08/27/2010 Away    L    58.01  20  21   3A  57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk               -10.66      9.66  ND                  
 85 09/03/2010 Home    L    65.77  37  38 2 3A  40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle               -2.90      1.90  ND                  
 86 09/10/2010 Away    W * 110.66  41   7   3A  21 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic               41.99     -7.99                      
 87 09/17/2010 Home    W * 114.46  70   0   3A  61 ( 28- 58-  0) Red Oak                45.79     24.21                      
 88 09/24/2010 Home    W *  89.20  42  34   3A  12 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll                20.53    -12.53                      
 89 10/01/2010 Away    W *  92.52  28   7   3A  35 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM            23.85     -2.85                      
 90 10/08/2010 Home    W *  96.42  40   7   3A  45 ( 32- 58-  0) Glenwood               27.74      5.26                      
 91 10/15/2010 Away    L *  79.83  34  55   3A   2 (111- 10-  0) Harlan                 11.16    -32.16                      
 92 10/22/2010 Home    L *  52.39   6  29   3A  17 ( 50- 42-  0) CB Lewis Central      -16.28     -6.72                      
 93 10/27/2010 Away    L    77.39   3   6   3A  15 ( 65- 37-  0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley    8.72    -11.72                      
      Averages              68.83  22.9 19.2

Best game:  122.59 = 55 point win over Grimes Dallas Center-Grimes
Worst game:  21.05 = 32 point loss to Perry
Team stdev:  21.51