BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Winterset

Class: 3A Class Rank: 39 Conference: Raccoon River Record: (17-14-0) Overall: (43-50-0) Overall Strength =   68.83

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08-31-2001 Away    L   *  56.66   6  26   3A 20 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic              -12.01     -7.99                      
 2 09-07-2001 Home    L      65.48   6   7   2A 18 ( 59- 44-  0) Carroll Kuemper        -3.19      2.19                      
 3 09-14-2001 Home    L   *  47.46   7  28   3A 34 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM           -21.21      0.21                      
 4 09-21-2001 Away    W      57.73  35  14   2A 60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke        -10.95     31.95                      
 5 09-28-2001 Away    W *    62.11  13   7   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  -6.57     12.57                      
 6 10-05-2001 Home    L      36.58  14  38   2A 27 ( 47- 51-  0) Jefferson JSPC        -32.09      8.09                      
 7 10-12-2001 Home    W      91.72  28   7   4A 11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                 23.04     -2.04                      
 8 10-19-2001 Away    W *    96.65  47  21   3A 37 ( 55- 40-  0) Dallas Center-Grimes   27.98     -1.98                      
 9 10-26-2001 Home    W *    66.29  12   7   3A 49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM               -2.39      7.39                      
10 09-06-2002 Home    L      46.96   7  16   3A 57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk               -21.71     12.71                      
11 09-13-2002 Away    L   *  51.52   7  27   3A 34 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM           -17.15     -2.85                      
12 09-20-2002 Away    L *    67.65  12  15   3A 37 ( 55- 40-  0) Dallas Center-Grimes   -1.02     -1.98                      
13 09-27-2002 Home    W      77.72  13   6   4A 11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                  9.04     -2.04                      
14 10-04-2002 Away    W *    82.34  26   8   3A 49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM               13.67      4.33                      
15 10-11-2002 Away    W     103.64  40   0   2A 27 ( 47- 51-  0) Jefferson JSPC         34.97      5.03                      
16 10-18-2002 Home    L *    21.05   6  38   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                 -47.62     15.62                      
17 10-25-2002 Home    W *    73.51  21  20   3A 22 ( 60- 37-  0) Boone                   4.83     -3.83                      
18 11-01-2002 Away    L * *  81.26  14  17   3A 11 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll                12.58    -15.58                      
19 09-05-2003 Away    L      50.02   0   9   3A 57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk               -18.66      9.66                      
20 09-12-2003 Home    L   *  39.46   6  35   3A 34 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM           -29.21      0.21                      
21 09-19-2003 Home    L *    33.59   9  43   3A 37 ( 55- 40-  0) Dallas Center-Grimes  -35.08      1.08                      
22 09-26-2003 Away    W      80.77  21  14   4A 11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                 12.10     -5.10                      
23 10-03-2003 Home    L *    57.29  13  17   3A 49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM              -11.39      7.39                      
24 10-10-2003 Home    L      58.58  21  23   2A 27 ( 47- 51-  0) Jefferson JSPC        -10.09      8.09                      
25 10-17-2003 Away    W *    63.11  21  14   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  -5.57     12.57                      
26 10-24-2003 Away    L *    68.56   0   7   3A 22 ( 60- 37-  0) Boone                  -0.11     -6.89                      
27 10-31-2003 Home    L * *  45.20   6  42   3A 11 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll               -23.47    -12.53                      
28 08-27-2004 Home    L      45.41   7  29   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -23.26      1.26                      
29 09-10-2004 Away    L   *  63.52  13  21   3A 34 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM            -5.15     -2.85                      
30 09-17-2004 Home    W      76.96  34  13   3A 57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                 8.29     12.71                      
31 09-24-2004 Away    W      89.73  59   6   2A 60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke         21.05     31.95                      
32 10-01-2004 Home    W *    83.29  25   3   3A 49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM               14.61      7.39                      
33 10-08-2004 Away    W *    91.11  42   7   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  22.43     12.57                      
34 10-15-2004 Away    L      60.77  22  35   4A 11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                 -7.90     -5.10                      
35 10-22-2004 Home    W *    70.38  46   0   3A 64 (  6- 84-  0) Saydel                  1.70     44.30                      
36 10-29-2004 Home    W *   122.59  55   0   3A 37 ( 55- 40-  0) Dallas Center-Grimes   53.92      1.08                      
37 11-03-2004 Away    L      75.42   0  14   3A  4 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake              6.74    -20.74                      
38 08-26-2005 Away    W     105.47  48  13   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               36.79     -1.79                      
39 09-09-2005 Home    L   *  60.46  23  31   3A 34 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM            -8.21      0.21                      
40 09-16-2005 Away    W      87.02  31   3   3A 57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                18.34      9.66                      
41 09-23-2005 Home    W      73.67  40   0   2A 60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke          5.00     35.00                      
42 09-30-2005 Away    W *   104.34  49   9   3A 49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM               35.67      4.33                      
43 10-07-2005 Home    W *    90.05  44   7   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  21.38     15.62                      
44 10-14-2005 Home    L      68.72  26  28   4A 11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                  0.04     -2.04                      
45 10-21-2005 Away    W *    61.43  48  14   3A 64 (  6- 84-  0) Saydel                 -7.24     41.24                      
46 10-28-2005 Away    W *   111.65  47   6   3A 37 ( 55- 40-  0) Dallas Center-Grimes   42.98     -1.98                      
47 11-02-2005 Away    L   *  90.83  13  23   3A  1 (111- 10-  0) Harlan                 22.16    -32.16                      
48 09-01-2006 Home    W      81.82  28   0   2A 41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35    13.14     14.86                      
49 09-08-2006 Away    L   *  68.52   7  10   3A 34 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM            -0.15     -2.85                      
50 09-15-2006 Away    L      67.47  14  17 1 3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               -1.21     -1.79                      
51 09-22-2006 Home    W *    80.77  31  17   3A 40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle               12.10      1.90                      
52 09-29-2006 Home    W     114.46  42   7   3A 12 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                  45.79    -10.79                      
53 10-06-2006 Away    W      86.50  44  19   3A 55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville              17.83      7.17                      
54 10-13-2006 Away    W      88.02  41  12   3A 57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                19.34      9.66                      
55 10-20-2006 Home    W      74.67  41   0   2A 60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke          6.00     35.00                      
56 10-27-2006 Away    L *    46.34  22  40   3A 49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM              -22.33      4.33                      
57 08-31-2007 Away    W      61.87  12   7   2A 41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35    -6.80     11.80                      
58 09-07-2007 Home    L   *  64.46  16  20   3A 34 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM            -4.21      0.21                      
59 09-14-2007 Home    L      53.41   7  21   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -15.26      1.26                      
60 09-21-2007 Away    L *    41.82   7  35   3A 40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle              -26.85     -1.15                      
61 09-28-2007 Away    L      62.51  16  36   3A 12 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                  -6.16    -13.84                      
62 10-05-2007 Home    L      51.45  14  21 1 3A 55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville             -17.23     10.23                      
63 10-12-2007 Home    W      83.96  28   0   3A 57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                15.29     12.71                      
64 10-19-2007 Away    W      70.73  41   7   2A 60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke          2.05     31.95                      
65 10-26-2007 Home    L *    39.29  20  42   3A 49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM              -29.39      7.39                      
66 08-29-2008 Away    L      52.02  14  21   3A 57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk               -16.66      9.66  non-district        
67 09-05-2008 Home    L *    47.59   7  27   3A 37 ( 55- 40-  0) Dallas Center-Grimes  -21.08      1.08  non-district        
68 09-12-2008 Home    W      52.67  19   0   2A 60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke        -16.00     35.00                      
69 09-19-2008 Away    L   *  58.66  22  40   3A 20 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic              -10.01     -7.99                      
70 09-26-2008 Away    L   *  61.83  10  49   3A  1 (111- 10-  0) Harlan                 -6.84    -32.16                      
71 10-03-2008 Home    L *    33.29  14  42   3A 49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM              -35.39      7.39                      
72 10-10-2008 Home    W   *  96.46  48  20   3A 34 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM            27.79      0.21                      
73 10-17-2008 Away    L   *  50.44  17  45   3A 16 ( 50- 42-  0) CB Lewis Central      -18.23     -9.77                      
74 10-24-2008 Away    L   *  52.47   6  20   3A 45 ( 32- 58-  0) Glenwood              -16.21      2.21                      
75 08-28-2009 Home    L      45.96   7  17   3A 57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk               -22.71     12.71  nd                  
76 09-04-2009 Away    W *    73.65  23  20   3A 37 ( 55- 40-  0) Dallas Center-Grimes    4.98     -1.98  nd                  
77 09-11-2009 Away    W      47.73  18   7   2A 60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke        -20.95     31.95                      
78 09-18-2009 Home    W   *  90.61  20   3   3A 20 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic               21.93     -4.93                      
79 09-25-2009 Home    L   *  52.77   3  48   3A  1 (111- 10-  0) Harlan                -15.90    -29.10                      
80 10-02-2009 Away    L *    63.34  34  35   3A 49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM               -5.33      4.33                      
81 10-09-2009 Away    L   *  69.52  29  31   3A 34 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM             0.85     -2.85                      
82 10-16-2009 Home    L   *  33.39   0  42   3A 16 ( 50- 42-  0) CB Lewis Central      -35.29     -6.71                      
83 10-23-2009 Home    L   *  28.41   0  35   3A 45 ( 32- 58-  0) Glenwood              -40.26      5.26                      
84 08-27-2010 Away    L      58.02  20  21   3A 57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk               -10.66      9.66  ND                  
85 09-03-2010 Home    L *    65.77  37  38 2 3A 40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle               -2.90      1.90  ND                  
86 09-10-2010 Away    W   * 110.66  41   7   3A 20 ( 50- 44-  0) Atlantic               41.99     -7.99                      
87 09-17-2010 Home    W   * 114.46  70   0   3A 61 ( 28- 58-  0) Red Oak                45.79     24.21                      
88 09-24-2010 Home    W * *  89.20  42  34   3A 11 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll                20.53    -12.53                      
89 10-01-2010 Away    W   *  92.52  28   7   3A 34 ( 50- 45-  0) Creston COM            23.85     -2.85                      
90 10-08-2010 Home    W   *  96.41  40   7   3A 45 ( 32- 58-  0) Glenwood               27.74      5.26                      
91 10-15-2010 Away    L   *  79.83  34  55   3A  1 (111- 10-  0) Harlan                 11.16    -32.16                      
92 10-22-2010 Home    L   *  52.39   6  29   3A 16 ( 50- 42-  0) CB Lewis Central      -16.29     -6.71                      
93 10-27-2010 Away    L      77.38   3   6   3A 14 ( 65- 37-  0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley    8.71    -11.71                      
      Averages              68.83  22.9 19.2

Best game:  122.59 = 55 point win over Grimes Dallas Center-Grimes
Worst game:  21.05 = 32 point loss to Perry
Team stdev:  21.51