BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Johnston

Class: 4A Class Rank: 13 Conference: CIML Record: (37-37-0) Overall: (52-44-0) Overall Strength =   71.10

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08-31-2001 Home    W *    40.20  21   9   4A 47 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover     -30.72     42.72                      
 2 09-07-2001 Away    W      54.34   7   0   4A 40 ( 12- 78-  0) Sioux City West       -16.58     23.58                      
 3 09-14-2001 Home    L      51.53   0  10   4A 23 ( 50- 47-  0) Sioux City East       -19.39      9.39                      
 4 09-21-2001 Away    L *    55.53  28  34   4A 29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City            -15.39      9.39                      
 5 09-28-2001 Home    L      54.90   0  21   ZZ  4 ( 38- 22-  0) Runnells Southeast P  -16.02     -4.98                      
 6 10-05-2001 Away    L * *  48.49   0  45   4A  2 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling           -22.44    -22.56                      
 7 10-12-2001 Home    L * *  61.03  24  27 1 4A 19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola              -9.89      6.89                      
 8 10-19-2001 Away    L * *  63.46  14  20   4A 15 ( 38- 58-  0) Urbandale              -7.46      1.46                      
 9 10-26-2001 Away    L * *  64.36   7  31   4A  3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                 -6.56    -17.44                      
10 09-05-2002 Away    W *    77.12  46   0   4A 46 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North        6.20     39.80                      
11 09-13-2002 Home    W      71.81  36  35   3A 30 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                  0.89      0.11                      
12 09-20-2002 Away    L *    27.53   7  41   4A 29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City            -43.39      9.39                      
13 09-27-2002 Home    W      95.38  42   7   4A 26 ( 45- 49-  0) CB Lincoln             24.46     10.54                      
14 10-04-2002 Home    L * *  64.30  14  35   4A  3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                 -6.62    -14.38                      
15 10-11-2002 Away    W      79.96  24  23 2 ZZ  4 ( 38- 22-  0) Runnells Southeast P    9.04     -8.04                      
16 10-18-2002 Home    L * *  76.43  14  28   4A  2 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling             5.51    -19.51                      
17 10-25-2002 Away    L * *  65.09  27  29   4A 19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola              -5.84      3.84                      
18 11-01-2002 Home    W * *  72.41  41  35 3 4A 15 ( 38- 58-  0) Urbandale               1.49      4.51                      
19 09-05-2003 Home    W *    71.07  43   0   4A 46 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North        0.15     42.85                      
20 09-12-2003 Away    L      35.87  14  52   3A 30 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                -35.05     -2.95                      
21 09-19-2003 Home    W *    78.48  42  22   4A 29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City              7.55     12.45                      
22 09-26-2003 Away    W      66.44  33  30   4A 26 ( 45- 49-  0) CB Lincoln             -4.49      7.49                      
23 10-03-2003 Away    L * *  33.36  14  69   4A  3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                -37.56    -17.44                      
24 10-10-2003 Home    W      89.90  31  17   ZZ  4 ( 38- 22-  0) Runnells Southeast P   18.98     -4.98                      
25 10-17-2003 Away    L * *  83.49  24  34   4A  2 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling            12.56    -22.56                      
26 10-24-2003 Home    W * *  84.03  33  13   4A 19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola              13.11      6.89                      
27 10-31-2003 Away    W * *  72.46  17  14   4A 15 ( 38- 58-  0) Urbandale               1.54      1.46                      
28 11-05-2003 Away    L *    51.45   7  49   4A  1 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley            -19.48    -22.52                      
29 09-03-2004 Away    L      71.11  13  34   3A  3 ( 94- 22-  0) Sioux City Heelan       0.19    -21.19                      
30 09-10-2004 Home    W *    64.44  35  34 1 4A 21 ( 43- 51-  0) Fort Dodge             -6.48      7.48                      
31 09-17-2004 Away    L *    36.63   7  45   4A  9 ( 69- 32-  0) Ottumwa               -34.30     -3.70                      
32 09-24-2004 Home    L *    33.72  14  33   4A 34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt  -37.20     18.20                      
33 10-01-2004 Home    W * *  67.41  22  21   4A 15 ( 38- 58-  0) Urbandale              -3.51      4.51                      
34 10-08-2004 Away    L * *  53.36   0  35   4A  3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                -17.56    -17.44                      
35 10-15-2004 Away    L      63.96   6  21   ZZ  4 ( 38- 22-  0) Runnells Southeast P   -6.96     -8.04                      
36 10-22-2004 Home    L * *  58.43  14  46   4A  2 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling           -12.49    -19.51                      
37 10-29-2004 Away    W * *  82.09  49  34   4A 19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola              11.16      3.84                      
38 09-02-2005 Home    W     103.05  21   7   3A  3 ( 94- 22-  0) Sioux City Heelan      32.13    -18.13                      
39 09-09-2005 Away    L *    59.50  14  21   4A 21 ( 43- 51-  0) Fort Dodge            -11.43      4.43                      
40 09-16-2005 Home    W *    74.57  17  14   4A  9 ( 69- 32-  0) Ottumwa                 3.65     -0.65                      
41 09-23-2005 Away    L *    42.78  28  41   4A 34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt  -28.14     15.14                      
42 09-30-2005 Away    W * *  79.46  31  21   4A 15 ( 38- 58-  0) Urbandale               8.54      1.46                      
43 10-07-2005 Home    L * *  50.30  17  52   4A  3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                -20.62    -14.38                      
44 10-14-2005 Home    W      90.90  24   9   ZZ  4 ( 38- 22-  0) Runnells Southeast P   19.98     -4.98                      
45 10-20-2005 Away    L * *  58.49   7  42   4A  2 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling           -12.44    -22.56                      
46 10-28-2005 Home    L * *  60.03   6  10   4A 19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola             -10.89      6.89                      
47 09-01-2006 Away    W      60.34  41  28   4A 40 ( 12- 78-  0) Sioux City West       -10.58     23.58                      
48 09-08-2006 Home    W *    71.20  50   7   4A 47 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover       0.28     42.72                      
49 09-15-2006 Away    W      75.04  41  14   4A 39 ( 25- 66-  0) CB Jefferson            4.12     22.88                      
50 09-22-2006 Away    W *    83.50  24   7   4A 21 ( 43- 51-  0) Fort Dodge             12.57      4.43                      
51 09-29-2006 Home    W * *  70.41  24  20   4A 15 ( 38- 58-  0) Urbandale              -0.51      4.51                      
52 10-06-2006 Away    L * *  60.09  21  28   4A 19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola             -10.84      3.84                      
53 10-13-2006 Home    W * *  86.30  52  51   4A  3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                 15.38    -14.38                      
54 10-20-2006 Away    L      41.96  11  48   ZZ  4 ( 38- 22-  0) Runnells Southeast P  -28.96     -8.04                      
55 10-27-2006 Home    L * *  62.43  17  45   4A  2 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling            -8.49    -19.51                      
56 08-31-2007 Home    W      98.28  54   0   4A 40 ( 12- 78-  0) Sioux City West        27.36     26.64                      
57 09-07-2007 Away    W *    74.26  43   0   4A 47 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover       3.33     39.67                      
58 09-14-2007 Home    W      82.99  38   0   4A 39 ( 25- 66-  0) CB Jefferson           12.06     25.94                      
59 09-21-2007 Home    W *    98.44  41   6   4A 21 ( 43- 51-  0) Fort Dodge             27.52      7.48                      
60 09-28-2007 Away    W * * 100.46  41  10   4A 15 ( 38- 58-  0) Urbandale              29.54      1.46                      
61 10-05-2007 Home    W * *  95.03  45  14   4A 19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola              24.11      6.89                      
62 10-12-2007 Away    L * *  84.36  10  14   4A  3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                 13.44    -17.44                      
63 10-19-2007 Home    L * *  73.35  18  21   4A  7 ( 25- 17-  0) Southeast Polk          2.43     -5.43                      
64 10-26-2007 Away    W * * 113.49  34  14   4A  2 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling            42.56    -22.56                      
65 08-29-2008 Home    W *    93.30  35  14   4A  8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                   22.38     -1.38  non-district        
66 09-06-2008 Away    W     106.58  56  14   4A 23 ( 50- 47-  0) Sioux City East        35.66      6.34  non-district        
67 09-12-2008 Away    W *    61.26  30   0   4A 47 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover      -9.67     39.67  non-district        
68 09-19-2008 Home    W *   104.46  52  13   4A 17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown           33.54      5.46  non-district        
69 09-26-2008 Home    W * *  70.41  25  21   4A 15 ( 38- 58-  0) Urbandale              -0.51      4.51                      
70 10-03-2008 Away    W * *  74.09  17  10   4A 19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola               3.16      3.84                      
71 10-10-2008 Home    W * * 103.35  62  35   4A  7 ( 25- 17-  0) Southeast Polk         32.43     -5.43                      
72 10-17-2008 Home    L * *  44.30   7  48   4A  3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                -26.62    -14.38                      
73 10-24-2008 Away    L * *  58.49  10  45   4A  2 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling           -12.44    -22.56                      
74 10-29-2008 Home    W *   100.48  56  14   4A 29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City             29.55     12.45                      
75 11-03-2008 Neutral L * *  84.96  25  32   4A  2 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling            14.04    -21.04                      
76 08-28-2009 Away    W *    88.36  30  17   4A  8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                   17.44     -4.44  nc                  
77 09-04-2009 Home    W      85.53  42  18   4A 23 ( 50- 47-  0) Sioux City East        14.61      9.39  nc                  
78 09-11-2009 Home    W *    73.20  52   7   4A 47 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover       2.28     42.72  nc                  
79 09-18-2009 Away    L *    64.52  17  21   4A 17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown           -6.41      2.41  nc                  
80 09-25-2009 Away    L * *  58.46  17  28   4A 15 ( 38- 58-  0) Urbandale             -12.46      1.46                      
81 10-02-2009 Home    W * *  88.03  45  21   4A 19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola              17.11      6.89                      
82 10-09-2009 Away    W * * 101.41  36  14   4A  7 ( 25- 17-  0) Southeast Polk         30.49     -8.49                      
83 10-16-2009 Away    L * *  72.36  15  31   4A  3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                  1.44    -17.44                      
84 10-23-2009 Home    L * *  41.43   0  49   4A  2 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling           -29.49    -19.51                      
85 10-28-2009 Away    W *    89.63  28  13   4A  9 ( 69- 32-  0) Ottumwa                18.70     -3.70                      
86 11-02-2009 Away    L * *  69.36   3  22   4A  3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                 -1.56    -17.44                      
87 08-21-2010 Away    W *    84.63  31  21   4A  9 ( 69- 32-  0) Ottumwa                13.70     -3.70  NC                  
88 08-27-2010 Home    L      25.38  13  48   4A 26 ( 45- 49-  0) CB Lincoln            -45.54     10.54  NC                  
89 09-03-2010 Away    L *    65.52  31  34   4A 17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown           -5.41      2.41  NC                  
90 09-17-2010 Home    W * *  83.41  31  14   4A 15 ( 38- 58-  0) Urbandale              12.49      4.51                      
91 09-24-2010 Away    W * * 102.09  42   7   4A 19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola              31.16      3.84                      
92 09-30-2010 Away    W      96.34  56   7   4A 40 ( 12- 78-  0) Sioux City West        25.42     23.58  NC                  
93 10-08-2010 Home    L * *  48.43   0  42   4A  2 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling           -22.49    -19.51                      
94 10-15-2010 Away    L * *  67.36  20  41   4A  3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                 -3.56    -17.44                      
95 10-22-2010 Home    W * *  79.35  20  17   4A  7 ( 25- 17-  0) Southeast Polk          8.43     -5.43                      
96 10-27-2010 Away    L * *  66.41   7  20   4A  7 ( 25- 17-  0) Southeast Polk         -4.51     -8.49                      
      Averages              71.10  25.5 24.1

Best game:  113.49 = 20 point win over West Des Moines Dowling
Worst game:  25.38 = 35 point loss to Council Bluffs Lincoln
Team stdev:  19.51