BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Johnston

Class: 4A Class Rank: 13 Conference: CIMLC Record: (19-28-0) Overall: (52-44-0) Overall Strength =   71.10

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Home    W    40.21  21   9   4A  46 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover     -30.72     42.72                      
  2 09/07/2001 Away    W    54.34   7   0   4A  40 ( 12- 78-  0) Sioux City West       -16.58     23.58                      
  3 09/14/2001 Home    L    51.53   0  10   4A  23 ( 50- 47-  0) Sioux City East       -19.39      9.39                      
  4 09/21/2001 Away    L    55.53  28  34   4A  29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City            -15.39      9.39                      
  5 09/28/2001 Home    L    54.91   0  21   ZZ  36 ( 38- 22-  0) Runnells Southeast P  -16.02     -4.98                      
  6 10/05/2001 Away    L *  48.49   0  45   4A   1 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling           -22.44    -22.56                      
  7 10/12/2001 Home    L *  61.03  24  27 1 4A  19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola              -9.89      6.89                      
  8 10/19/2001 Away    L *  63.47  14  20   4A  15 ( 38- 58-  0) Urbandale              -7.46      1.46                      
  9 10/26/2001 Away    L *  64.36   7  31   4A   3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                 -6.56    -17.44                      
 10 09/05/2002 Away    W    77.13  46   0   4A  47 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North        6.20     39.80                      
 11 09/13/2002 Home    W    71.82  36  35   3A  31 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                  0.89      0.11                      
 12 09/20/2002 Away    L    27.53   7  41   4A  29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City            -43.39      9.39                      
 13 09/27/2002 Home    W    95.38  42   7   4A  26 ( 45- 49-  0) CB Lincoln             24.46     10.54                      
 14 10/04/2002 Home    L *  64.31  14  35   4A   3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                 -6.62    -14.38                      
 15 10/11/2002 Away    W    79.96  24  23 2 ZZ  36 ( 38- 22-  0) Runnells Southeast P    9.04     -8.04                      
 16 10/18/2002 Home    L *  76.43  14  28   4A   1 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling             5.51    -19.51                      
 17 10/25/2002 Away    L *  65.09  27  29   4A  19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola              -5.84      3.84                      
 18 11/01/2002 Home    W *  72.41  41  35 3 4A  15 ( 38- 58-  0) Urbandale               1.49      4.51                      
 19 09/05/2003 Home    W    71.07  43   0   4A  47 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North        0.15     42.85                      
 20 09/12/2003 Away    L    35.87  14  52   3A  31 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                -35.05     -2.95                      
 21 09/19/2003 Home    W    78.48  42  22   4A  29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City              7.55     12.45                      
 22 09/26/2003 Away    W    66.44  33  30   4A  26 ( 45- 49-  0) CB Lincoln             -4.49      7.49                      
 23 10/03/2003 Away    L *  33.36  14  69   4A   3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                -37.56    -17.44                      
 24 10/10/2003 Home    W    89.91  31  17   ZZ  36 ( 38- 22-  0) Runnells Southeast P   18.98     -4.98                      
 25 10/17/2003 Away    L *  83.49  24  34   4A   1 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling            12.56    -22.56                      
 26 10/24/2003 Home    W *  84.03  33  13   4A  19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola              13.11      6.89                      
 27 10/31/2003 Away    W *  72.47  17  14   4A  15 ( 38- 58-  0) Urbandale               1.54      1.46                      
 28 11/05/2003 Away    L    51.45   7  49   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley            -19.47    -22.53                      
 29 09/03/2004 Away    L    71.12  13  34   3A   4 ( 94- 22-  0) Sioux City Heelan       0.19    -21.19                      
 30 09/10/2004 Home    W    64.44  35  34 1 4A  21 ( 43- 51-  0) Fort Dodge             -6.48      7.48                      
 31 09/17/2004 Away    L    36.63   7  45   4A   9 ( 69- 32-  0) Ottumwa               -34.30     -3.70                      
 32 09/24/2004 Home    L    33.73  14  33   4A  34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt  -37.20     18.20                      
 33 10/01/2004 Home    W *  67.41  22  21   4A  15 ( 38- 58-  0) Urbandale              -3.51      4.51                      
 34 10/08/2004 Away    L *  53.36   0  35   4A   3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                -17.56    -17.44                      
 35 10/15/2004 Away    L    63.96   6  21   ZZ  36 ( 38- 22-  0) Runnells Southeast P   -6.96     -8.04                      
 36 10/22/2004 Home    L *  58.43  14  46   4A   1 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling           -12.49    -19.51                      
 37 10/29/2004 Away    W *  82.09  49  34   4A  19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola              11.16      3.84                      
 38 09/02/2005 Home    W   103.06  21   7   3A   4 ( 94- 22-  0) Sioux City Heelan      32.14    -18.14                      
 39 09/09/2005 Away    L    59.50  14  21   4A  21 ( 43- 51-  0) Fort Dodge            -11.43      4.43                      
 40 09/16/2005 Home    W    74.57  17  14   4A   9 ( 69- 32-  0) Ottumwa                 3.65     -0.65                      
 41 09/23/2005 Away    L    42.78  28  41   4A  34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt  -28.14     15.14                      
 42 09/30/2005 Away    W *  79.47  31  21   4A  15 ( 38- 58-  0) Urbandale               8.54      1.46                      
 43 10/07/2005 Home    L *  50.31  17  52   4A   3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                -20.62    -14.38                      
 44 10/14/2005 Home    W    90.91  24   9   ZZ  36 ( 38- 22-  0) Runnells Southeast P   19.98     -4.98                      
 45 10/20/2005 Away    L *  58.49   7  42   4A   1 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling           -12.44    -22.56                      
 46 10/28/2005 Home    L *  60.03   6  10   4A  19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola             -10.89      6.89                      
 47 09/01/2006 Away    W    60.34  41  28   4A  40 ( 12- 78-  0) Sioux City West       -10.58     23.58                      
 48 09/08/2006 Home    W    71.21  50   7   4A  46 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover       0.28     42.72                      
 49 09/15/2006 Away    W    75.04  41  14   4A  39 ( 25- 66-  0) CB Jefferson            4.12     22.88                      
 50 09/22/2006 Away    W    83.50  24   7   4A  21 ( 43- 51-  0) Fort Dodge             12.57      4.43                      
 51 09/29/2006 Home    W *  70.41  24  20   4A  15 ( 38- 58-  0) Urbandale              -0.51      4.51                      
 52 10/06/2006 Away    L *  60.09  21  28   4A  19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola             -10.84      3.84                      
 53 10/13/2006 Home    W *  86.31  52  51   4A   3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                 15.38    -14.38                      
 54 10/20/2006 Away    L    41.96  11  48   ZZ  36 ( 38- 22-  0) Runnells Southeast P  -28.96     -8.04                      
 55 10/27/2006 Home    L *  62.43  17  45   4A   1 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling            -8.49    -19.51                      
 56 08/31/2007 Home    W    98.29  54   0   4A  40 ( 12- 78-  0) Sioux City West        27.36     26.64                      
 57 09/07/2007 Away    W    74.26  43   0   4A  46 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover       3.34     39.66                      
 58 09/14/2007 Home    W    82.99  38   0   4A  39 ( 25- 66-  0) CB Jefferson           12.06     25.94                      
 59 09/21/2007 Home    W    98.44  41   6   4A  21 ( 43- 51-  0) Fort Dodge             27.52      7.48                      
 60 09/28/2007 Away    W * 100.47  41  10   4A  15 ( 38- 58-  0) Urbandale              29.54      1.46                      
 61 10/05/2007 Home    W *  95.03  45  14   4A  19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola              24.11      6.89                      
 62 10/12/2007 Away    L *  84.36  10  14   4A   3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                 13.44    -17.44                      
 63 10/19/2007 Home    L *  73.36  18  21   4A   7 ( 25- 17-  0) Southeast Polk          2.43     -5.43                      
 64 10/26/2007 Away    W * 113.49  34  14   4A   1 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling            42.56    -22.56                      
 65 08/29/2008 Home    W    93.31  35  14   4A   8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                   22.38     -1.38  non-district        
 66 09/06/2008 Away    W   106.59  56  14   4A  23 ( 50- 47-  0) Sioux City East        35.66      6.34  non-district        
 67 09/12/2008 Away    W    61.26  30   0   4A  46 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover      -9.66     39.66  non-district        
 68 09/19/2008 Home    W   104.46  52  13   4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown           33.54      5.46  non-district        
 69 09/26/2008 Home    W *  70.41  25  21   4A  15 ( 38- 58-  0) Urbandale              -0.51      4.51                      
 70 10/03/2008 Away    W *  74.09  17  10   4A  19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola               3.16      3.84                      
 71 10/10/2008 Home    W * 103.36  62  35   4A   7 ( 25- 17-  0) Southeast Polk         32.43     -5.43                      
 72 10/17/2008 Home    L *  44.31   7  48   4A   3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                -26.62    -14.38                      
 73 10/24/2008 Away    L *  58.49  10  45   4A   1 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling           -12.44    -22.56                      
 74 10/29/2008 Home    W   100.48  56  14   4A  29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City             29.55     12.45                      
 75 11/03/2008 Neutral L *  84.96  25  32   4A   1 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling            14.04    -21.04                      
 76 08/28/2009 Away    W    88.36  30  17   4A   8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                   17.44     -4.44  nc                  
 77 09/04/2009 Home    W    85.53  42  18   4A  23 ( 50- 47-  0) Sioux City East        14.61      9.39  nc                  
 78 09/11/2009 Home    W    73.21  52   7   4A  46 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover       2.28     42.72  nc                  
 79 09/18/2009 Away    L    64.52  17  21   4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown           -6.41      2.41  nc                  
 80 09/25/2009 Away    L *  58.47  17  28   4A  15 ( 38- 58-  0) Urbandale             -12.46      1.46                      
 81 10/02/2009 Home    W *  88.03  45  21   4A  19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola              17.11      6.89                      
 82 10/09/2009 Away    W * 101.41  36  14   4A   7 ( 25- 17-  0) Southeast Polk         30.49     -8.49                      
 83 10/16/2009 Away    L *  72.36  15  31   4A   3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                  1.44    -17.44                      
 84 10/23/2009 Home    L *  41.43   0  49   4A   1 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling           -29.49    -19.51                      
 85 10/28/2009 Away    W    89.63  28  13   4A   9 ( 69- 32-  0) Ottumwa                18.70     -3.70                      
 86 11/02/2009 Away    L *  69.36   3  22   4A   3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                 -1.56    -17.44                      
 87 08/21/2010 Away    W    84.63  31  21   4A   9 ( 69- 32-  0) Ottumwa                13.70     -3.70  NC                  
 88 08/27/2010 Home    L    25.38  13  48   4A  26 ( 45- 49-  0) CB Lincoln            -45.54     10.54  NC                  
 89 09/03/2010 Away    L    65.52  31  34   4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown           -5.41      2.41  NC                  
 90 09/17/2010 Home    W *  83.41  31  14   4A  15 ( 38- 58-  0) Urbandale              12.49      4.51                      
 91 09/24/2010 Away    W * 102.09  42   7   4A  19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola              31.16      3.84                      
 92 09/30/2010 Away    W    96.34  56   7   4A  40 ( 12- 78-  0) Sioux City West        25.42     23.58  NC                  
 93 10/08/2010 Home    L *  48.43   0  42   4A   1 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling           -22.49    -19.51                      
 94 10/15/2010 Away    L *  67.36  20  41   4A   3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                 -3.56    -17.44                      
 95 10/22/2010 Home    W *  79.36  20  17   4A   7 ( 25- 17-  0) Southeast Polk          8.43     -5.43                      
 96 10/27/2010 Away    L *  66.41   7  20   4A   7 ( 25- 17-  0) Southeast Polk         -4.51     -8.49                      
      Averages              71.10  25.5 24.1

Best game:  113.49 = 20 point win over West Des Moines Dowling
Worst game:  25.38 = 35 point loss to Council Bluffs Lincoln
Team stdev:  19.51