BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Newton

Class: 3A Class Rank: 31 Conference: 3A-8 Record: (4-2-0) Overall: (57-40-0) Overall Strength =   72.53

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Away    W    87.78  59  27   4A  34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   15.44     16.56                      
  2 09/07/2001 Home    W    89.19  41  14   4A  22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East        16.84     10.16                      
  3 09/14/2001 Away    W    98.47  42  13   4A  15 ( 38- 58-  0) Urbandale              26.12      2.88                      
  4 09/21/2001 Home    W    98.99  54   0   4A  39 ( 25- 66-  0) CB Jefferson           26.64     27.36                      
  5 09/28/2001 Home    W    93.44  44  14   4A  21 ( 43- 51-  0) Fort Dodge             21.10      8.90                      
  6 10/05/2001 Away    W    86.52  38  20   4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown           14.17      3.83                      
  7 10/12/2001 Away    L    73.45   7  27   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley              1.11    -21.11                      
  8 10/19/2001 Home    W    85.31  26  13   4A   8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                   12.96      0.04                      
  9 10/26/2001 Away    W   106.53  45   0   4A  29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City             34.19     10.81                      
 10 10/31/2001 Away    L    46.63  20  48   4A   9 ( 69- 32-  0) Ottumwa               -25.71     -2.29                      
 11 09/06/2002 Home    L    71.06  14  32   3A   4 ( 94- 22-  0) Sioux City Heelan      -1.28    -16.72                      
 12 09/13/2002 Away    L    71.45  35  36   4A  13 ( 52- 44-  0) Johnston               -0.89     -0.11                      
 13 09/20/2002 Home    W   122.57  51   0   4A   9 ( 69- 32-  0) Ottumwa                50.23      0.77                      
 14 09/27/2002 Away    W    74.78  42  29   4A  28 ( 40- 52-  0) Sioux City North        2.43     10.57                      
 15 10/04/2002 Home    W    63.48  34  29   4A  29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City             -8.87     13.87                      
 16 10/11/2002 Away    W    80.50  21   7   4A  21 ( 43- 51-  0) Fort Dodge              8.15      5.85                      
 17 10/18/2002 Home    W    75.46  24  14   4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown            3.12      6.88                      
 18 10/25/2002 Home    W   100.40  17   7   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley             28.05    -18.05                      
 19 11/01/2002 Away    W    88.36  13   0   4A   8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                   16.02     -3.02                      
 20 11/06/2002 Away    W   102.63  42  14   4A   9 ( 69- 32-  0) Ottumwa                30.29     -2.29                      
 21 11/11/2002 Away    L    79.36   0   9   4A   3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                  7.02    -16.02                      
 22 09/05/2003 Away    W    95.12  44  41   3A   4 ( 94- 22-  0) Sioux City Heelan      22.77    -19.77                      
 23 09/12/2003 Home    W   107.40  52  14   4A  13 ( 52- 44-  0) Johnston               35.05      2.95                      
 24 09/19/2003 Away    W    99.63  38  13   4A   9 ( 69- 32-  0) Ottumwa                27.29     -2.29                      
 25 09/26/2003 Home    W    84.72  54  28   4A  28 ( 40- 52-  0) Sioux City North       12.38     13.62                      
 26 10/03/2003 Away    L    54.53  21  28   4A  29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City            -17.81     10.81                      
 27 10/10/2003 Home    W    99.44  49  13   4A  21 ( 43- 51-  0) Fort Dodge             27.10      8.90                      
 28 10/17/2003 Away    W    78.52  31  21   4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown            6.17      3.83                      
 29 10/24/2003 Away    L    56.45   0  37   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley            -15.89    -21.11                      
 30 10/31/2003 Home    L    69.31  25  28   4A   8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                   -3.04      0.04                      
 31 11/05/2003 Away    L    42.63  19  51   4A   9 ( 69- 32-  0) Ottumwa               -29.71     -2.29                      
 32 09/03/2004 Away    W    66.13  48  13   4A  47 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North       -6.22     41.22                      
 33 09/10/2004 Home    L    55.03  14  23   4A  19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola             -17.31      8.31                      
 34 09/17/2004 Away    L    79.49  14  28   4A   1 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling             7.15    -21.15                      
 35 09/24/2004 Home    W    63.38  35  32   4A  26 ( 45- 49-  0) CB Lincoln             -8.96     11.96                      
 36 10/01/2004 Home    L    69.40   7  28   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley             -2.95    -18.05                      
 37 10/08/2004 Away    L    51.36   7  31   4A   8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                  -20.98     -3.02                      
 38 10/15/2004 Home    W    75.48  25   8   4A  29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City              3.13     13.87                      
 39 10/22/2004 Away    W    67.50  35  34 2 4A  21 ( 43- 51-  0) Fort Dodge             -4.85      5.85                      
 40 10/29/2004 Home    L    61.46  20  24   4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown          -10.88      6.88                      
 41 09/02/2005 Home    W    83.07  68  13   4A  47 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North       10.73     44.27                      
 42 09/09/2005 Away    L    60.09  14  21   4A  19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola             -12.25      5.25                      
 43 09/16/2005 Home    L    56.43   0  34   4A   1 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling           -15.91    -18.09                      
 44 09/23/2005 Away    W    73.44  24  14   4A  26 ( 45- 49-  0) CB Lincoln              1.10      8.90                      
 45 09/30/2005 Away    L    71.45  20  42   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley             -0.89    -21.11                      
 46 10/07/2005 Home    L    54.31  17  35   4A   8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                  -18.04      0.04                      
 47 10/14/2005 Away    W    85.53  36  12   4A  29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City             13.19     10.81                      
 48 10/21/2005 Home    W    66.44  41  38 2 4A  21 ( 43- 51-  0) Fort Dodge             -5.90      8.90                      
 49 10/28/2005 Away    W    80.52  39  27   4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown            8.17      3.83                      
 50 09/01/2006 Home    W    68.53  24  17   4A  23 ( 50- 47-  0) Sioux City East        -3.81     10.81                      
 51 09/08/2006 Away    W    74.09  35  28   4A  19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola               1.75      5.25                      
 52 09/15/2006 Home    W    74.57  10   7   4A   9 ( 69- 32-  0) Ottumwa                 2.23      0.77                      
 53 09/21/2006 Away    W    90.36  23   8   4A   8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                   18.02     -3.02                      
 54 09/29/2006 Home    W    75.07  61  14   4A  47 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North        2.73     44.27                      
 55 10/06/2006 Away    W    65.26  54  20   4A  46 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover      -7.08     41.08                      
 56 10/13/2006 Home    W    73.73  21   0   4A  34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt    1.38     19.62                      
 57 10/20/2006 Away    W    68.24  10   7   4A  22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East        -4.10      7.10                      
 58 10/27/2006 Away    W    64.18  17  14   4A  31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln     -8.16     11.16                      
 59 11/01/2006 Home    L    68.31  21  38   4A   3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                 -4.04    -12.96                      
 60 09/01/2007 Away    W   109.59  55  10   4A  23 ( 50- 47-  0) Sioux City East        37.24      7.76                      
 61 09/07/2007 Home    W    94.03  44  14   4A  19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola              21.69      8.31                      
 62 09/14/2007 Away    W   115.63  48   7   4A   9 ( 69- 32-  0) Ottumwa                43.29     -2.29                      
 63 09/20/2007 Home    L    69.31   0   3   4A   8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                   -3.04      0.04                      
 64 09/28/2007 Away    W    81.13  63  13   4A  47 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North        8.78     41.22                      
 65 10/05/2007 Home    W    68.21  54  14   4A  46 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover      -4.14     44.14                      
 66 10/12/2007 Away    W   100.78  45   0   4A  34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   28.44     16.56                      
 67 10/19/2007 Home    W    79.19  48  31   4A  22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East         6.84     10.16                      
 68 10/26/2007 Home    W    93.13  49  14   4A  31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln     20.78     14.22                      
 69 10/31/2007 Home    W    79.46  42  28   4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown            7.12      6.88                      
 70 11/05/2007 Away    L    77.45   0  16   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley              5.11    -21.11                      
 71 08/29/2008 Away    W    77.44  27  13   4A  26 ( 45- 49-  0) CB Lincoln              5.10      8.90  non-district        
 72 09/05/2008 Away    L    67.63  14  21   4A   9 ( 69- 32-  0) Ottumwa                -4.71     -2.29  non-district        
 73 09/12/2008 Neutral L    52.24   7  27   4A  11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                -20.10      0.10  non-district        
 74 09/19/2008 Home    L    39.40  12  63   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley            -32.95    -18.05  non-district        
 75 09/26/2008 Away    W    79.50  34  21   4A  21 ( 43- 51-  0) Fort Dodge              7.15      5.85  non-district        
 76 10/03/2008 Home    L    59.46  34  40   4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown          -12.88      6.88  non-district        
 77 10/10/2008 Home    W    54.29  45  35   4A  40 ( 12- 78-  0) Sioux City West       -18.06     28.06  non-district        
 78 10/17/2008 Away    L    51.53  21  31   4A  29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City            -20.81     10.81  non-district        
 79 10/24/2008 Away    L    61.36   0  14   4A   8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                  -10.98     -3.02  non-district        
 80 08/28/2009 Home    L    25.38  17  52   4A  26 ( 45- 49-  0) CB Lincoln            -46.96     11.96  nc                  
 81 09/04/2009 Home    L    43.57  14  42   4A   9 ( 69- 32-  0) Ottumwa               -28.77      0.77  nc                  
 82 09/11/2009 Away    L    40.77   9  42   4A  11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                -31.57     -1.43  nc                  
 83 09/18/2009 Away    L    58.45   7  42   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley            -13.89    -21.11  nc                  
 84 09/25/2009 Home    L    60.44  20  23   4A  21 ( 43- 51-  0) Fort Dodge            -11.90      8.90  nc                  
 85 10/02/2009 Away    L    51.52   0  17   4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown          -20.83      3.83  nc                  
 86 10/10/2009 Away    W    52.34  32  27   4A  40 ( 12- 78-  0) Sioux City West       -20.00     25.00  nc                  
 87 10/16/2009 Home    L    43.48  20  35   4A  29 ( 35- 60-  0) Mason City            -28.87     13.87  nc                  
 88 10/23/2009 Home    L    36.31   6  42   4A   8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                  -36.04      0.04  nc                  
 89 08/27/2010 Home    L    58.46  14  35   3A  13 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                 -13.89     -7.11  ND                  
 90 09/03/2010 Away    L    67.58  30  37   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              -4.76     -2.24  ND                  
 91 09/10/2010 Home    L    64.59  14  17   ZZ  44 ( 55- 40-  0) Grimes Dallas Center   -7.76      4.76                      
 92 09/17/2010 Away    W *  78.43  57   6   3A  64 (  6- 84-  0) Saydel                  6.08     44.92                      
 93 09/24/2010 Home    W *  67.05  24  10   3A  59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  -5.29     19.29                      
 94 10/01/2010 Away    L *  60.50  23  24   3A  55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville             -11.84     10.84                      
 95 10/08/2010 Home    L *  54.29  13  20   3A  49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM              -18.06     11.06                      
 96 10/15/2010 Away    W *  65.01  13   7   3A  57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                -7.33     13.33                      
 97 10/22/2010 Home    W *  69.77  16  13   3A  40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle               -2.58      5.58                      
      Averages              72.53  28.0 22.1

Best game:  122.57 = 51 point win over Ottumwa
Worst game:  25.38 = 35 point loss to Council Bluffs Lincoln
Team stdev:  18.50