BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Ottumwa

Class: 4A Class Rank: 9 Conference: CIML Record: (51-24-0) Overall: (69-32-0) Overall Strength =   73.29

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/31/2001 Home    W      96.38  50  14   4A 26 ( 45- 49-  0) CB Lincoln             23.28     12.72                      
 2 09/07/2001 Away    W *    90.09  30   7   4A 19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola              16.99      6.01                      
 3 09/14/2001 Home    W      79.90  19  15   ZZ  4 ( 38- 22-  0) Runnells Southeast P    6.80     -2.80                      
 4 09/21/2001 Away    W *    72.52  14  10   4A 17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown           -0.58      4.58                      
 5 09/28/2001 Away    W * * 116.18  55   0   4A 31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln     43.08     11.92                      
 6 10/05/2001 Home    W * *  91.19  35   6   4A 22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East        18.09     10.91                      
 7 10/12/2001 Away    W * *  67.26  42   6   4A 47 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover      -5.84     41.84                      
 8 10/19/2001 Home    W * *  79.72  42  15   4A 34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt    6.63     20.37                      
 9 10/26/2001 Home    W * *  59.07  40   9   4A 46 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North      -14.03     45.03                      
10 10/31/2001 Home    W      98.81  48  20   3A 30 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                 25.72      2.28                      
11 11/05/2001 Away    L *    80.36  33  41   4A  3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                  7.26    -15.26                      
12 09/05/2002 Away    W      74.58  24  14   4A 23 ( 50- 47-  0) Sioux City East         1.48      8.52                      
13 09/13/2002 Home    W *    86.46  49  28   4A 17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown           13.36      7.64                      
14 09/20/2002 Away    L      22.87   0  51   3A 30 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                -50.23     -0.77                      
15 09/27/2002 Home    L *    69.43  32  53   4A  2 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling            -3.67    -17.33                      
16 10/04/2002 Away    W * *  86.12  61   6   4A 46 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North       13.03     41.97                      
17 10/11/2002 Home    W * * 112.12  54   0   4A 31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln     39.03     14.97                      
18 10/18/2002 Away    W * *  75.24  56  46   4A 22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East         2.14      7.86                      
19 10/25/2002 Home    W * *  70.20  49   7   4A 47 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover      -2.90     44.90                      
20 11/01/2002 Away    W * *  83.78  63  35   4A 34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   10.68     17.32                      
21 11/06/2002 Home    L      42.81  14  42   3A 30 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                -30.28      2.28                      
22 09/05/2003 Home    W     110.53  49   0   4A 23 ( 50- 47-  0) Sioux City East        37.43     11.57                      
23 09/12/2003 Away    L *    61.52   7  14   4A 17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown          -11.58      4.58                      
24 09/19/2003 Home    L      45.81  13  38   3A 30 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                -27.28      2.28                      
25 09/26/2003 Away    W *    94.49  25  24   4A  2 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling            21.39    -20.39                      
26 10/03/2003 Home    W * *  81.07  53   0   4A 46 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North        7.97     45.03                      
27 10/10/2003 Away    W * * 102.18  62  21   4A 31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln     29.08     11.92                      
28 10/17/2003 Home    W * *  78.19  22   6   4A 22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East         5.09     10.91                      
29 10/24/2003 Away    W * *  78.26  63  16   4A 47 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover       5.16     41.84                      
30 10/31/2003 Home    W * *  97.72  45   0   4A 34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   24.63     20.37                      
31 11/05/2003 Home    W     102.81  51  19   3A 30 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                 29.72      2.28                      
32 11/10/2003 Away    L *    66.36  14  36   4A  3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                 -6.74    -15.26                      
33 09/03/2004 Away    W     111.77  50   0   4A 28 ( 40- 52-  0) Sioux City North       38.68     11.32                      
34 09/10/2004 Home    W     106.99  62   0   4A 39 ( 25- 66-  0) CB Jefferson           33.89     28.11                      
35 09/17/2004 Home    W *   107.40  45   7   4A 13 ( 52- 44-  0) Johnston               34.30      3.70                      
36 09/24/2004 Away    L *    66.45  14  41   4A  1 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley             -6.65    -20.35                      
37 10/01/2004 Away    W * *  79.12  48   0   4A 46 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North        6.03     41.97                      
38 10/08/2004 Home    W * * 117.12  66   7   4A 31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln     44.03     14.97                      
39 10/15/2004 Away    W * *  85.24  34  14   4A 22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East        12.14      7.86                      
40 10/22/2004 Home    W * *  83.20  55   0   4A 47 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover      10.10     44.90                      
41 10/29/2004 Away    W * *  72.78  24   7   4A 34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   -0.32     17.32                      
42 11/03/2004 Away    L      67.96   7  18   ZZ  4 ( 38- 22-  0) Runnells Southeast P   -5.14     -5.86                      
43 09/02/2005 Home    W      78.72  20   0   4A 28 ( 40- 52-  0) Sioux City North        5.62     14.38                      
44 09/09/2005 Away    W      89.04  48   7   4A 39 ( 25- 66-  0) CB Jefferson           15.94     25.06                      
45 09/16/2005 Away    L *    69.45  14  17   4A 13 ( 52- 44-  0) Johnston               -3.65      0.65                      
46 09/23/2005 Home    L *    61.39  20  49   4A  1 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley            -11.71    -17.29                      
47 09/30/2005 Home    W * *  70.07  55  13   4A 46 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North       -3.03     45.03                      
48 10/07/2005 Away    L * *  47.18   7  21   4A 31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln    -25.92     11.92                      
49 10/14/2005 Home    W * *  73.19  18   7   4A 22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East         0.09     10.91                      
50 10/21/2005 Away    W * *  92.26  73  12   4A 47 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover      19.16     41.84                      
51 10/28/2005 Home    W * *  60.72  35  27   4A 34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt  -12.37     20.37                      
52 09/01/2006 Home    W      76.72  21   3   4A 28 ( 40- 52-  0) Sioux City North        3.62     14.38                      
53 09/08/2006 Home    L *    55.39  14  49   4A  1 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley            -17.71    -17.29                      
54 09/15/2006 Away    L      70.87   7  10   3A 30 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                 -2.23     -0.77                      
55 09/21/2006 Away    W * *  75.26  44   0   4A 47 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover       2.16     41.84                      
56 09/29/2006 Home    W * *  77.72  52  27   4A 34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt    4.63     20.37                      
57 10/06/2006 Away    W * *  74.12  49   6   4A 46 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North        1.03     41.97                      
58 10/13/2006 Home    W * *  75.19  28  15   4A 22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East         2.09     10.91                      
59 10/20/2006 Home    L * *  54.12  20  24   4A 31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln    -18.97     14.97                      
60 10/26/2006 Away    W      74.58  36  26   4A 23 ( 50- 47-  0) Sioux City East         1.48      8.52                      
61 11/01/2006 Away    L      57.96  21  42   ZZ  4 ( 38- 22-  0) Runnells Southeast P  -15.14     -5.86                      
62 08/31/2007 Away    W      68.77  28  21   4A 28 ( 40- 52-  0) Sioux City North       -4.32     11.32                      
63 09/07/2007 Away    L *    59.45   6  40   4A  1 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley            -13.65    -20.35                      
64 09/14/2007 Home    L      29.81   7  48   3A 30 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                -43.28      2.28                      
65 09/21/2007 Home    W * *  48.20  26   6   4A 47 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover     -24.90     44.90                      
66 09/28/2007 Away    W * *  72.78  24   7   4A 34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   -0.32     17.32                      
67 10/05/2007 Home    W * *  55.07  41  14   4A 46 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North      -18.03     45.03                      
68 10/12/2007 Away    L * *  51.24   3  17   4A 22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East       -21.86      7.86                      
69 10/19/2007 Away    L * *  55.18  14  20   4A 31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln    -17.92     11.92                      
70 10/26/2007 Home    W      64.53  23  20   4A 23 ( 50- 47-  0) Sioux City East        -8.57     11.57                      
71 08/29/2008 Home    L *    47.35  10  39   4A  7 ( 25- 17-  0) Southeast Polk        -25.75     -3.25  non-district        
72 09/05/2008 Home    W      77.81  21  14   3A 30 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                  4.72      2.28  non-district        
73 09/12/2008 Away    L      60.77  19  20   4A 28 ( 40- 52-  0) Sioux City North      -12.32     11.32  non-district        
74 09/19/2008 Home    L *    46.30  17  56   4A  3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                -26.80    -12.20  non-district        
75 09/26/2008 Away    W * *  78.78  51  28   4A 34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt    5.68     17.32                      
76 10/03/2008 Away    W * *  79.18  45  27   4A 31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln      6.08     11.92                      
77 10/10/2008 Home    W * *  62.07  41   7   4A 46 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North      -11.03     45.03                      
78 10/17/2008 Away    W * *  73.24  21  13   4A 22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East         0.14      7.86                      
79 10/24/2008 Home    W * *  59.20  37   6   4A 47 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover     -13.90     44.90                      
80 10/29/2008 Home    W      67.99  35  12   4A 39 ( 25- 66-  0) CB Jefferson           -5.11     28.11                      
81 11/03/2008 Away    L *    58.45  21  56   4A  1 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley            -14.65    -20.35                      
82 08/28/2009 Away    W *    90.41  21  10   4A  7 ( 25- 17-  0) Southeast Polk         17.31     -6.31  nc                  
83 09/04/2009 Away    W     101.87  42  14   3A 30 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                 28.77     -0.77  nc                  
84 09/11/2009 Home    W      78.72  27   7   4A 28 ( 40- 52-  0) Sioux City North        5.62     14.38  nc                  
85 09/18/2009 Away    L *    60.36   7  35   4A  3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                -12.74    -15.26  nc                  
86 09/25/2009 Home    W * *  76.72  47  23   4A 34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt    3.63     20.37                      
87 10/02/2009 Home    W * *  70.12  24  12   4A 31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln     -2.97     14.97                      
88 10/09/2009 Away    W * *  77.12  52   6   4A 46 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North        4.03     41.97                      
89 10/16/2009 Home    L * *  39.19  21  44   4A 22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East       -33.91     10.91                      
90 10/23/2009 Away    W * * 100.26  69   0   4A 47 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover      27.16     41.84                      
91 10/28/2009 Home    L *    54.40  13  28   4A 13 ( 52- 44-  0) Johnston              -18.70      3.70                      
92 08/21/2010 Home    L *    59.40  21  31   4A 13 ( 52- 44-  0) Johnston              -13.70      3.70  NC                  
93 08/27/2010 Away    L *    83.45   7  17   4A  1 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley             10.35    -20.35  NC                  
94 09/03/2010 Home    L *    62.30  21  31   4A  8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                  -10.79      0.79  NC                  
95 09/13/2010 Home    L *    46.72   7  31   4A 11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                -26.38      2.38  was 09/10 now 09/13 
96 09/17/2010 Away    W * *  50.12  55  36   4A 46 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North      -22.97     41.97                      
97 09/24/2010 Away    W * *  60.26  29   0   4A 47 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover     -12.84     41.84                      
98 10/01/2010 Home    W * *  82.19  27   7   4A 22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East         9.09     10.91                      
99 10/08/2010 Away    W * *  64.18  37  34   4A 31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln     -8.92     11.92                      
100 10/22/2010 Home    W * *  64.72  30  18   4A 34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   -8.37     20.37                      
101 10/27/2010 Away    L *    57.36   7  38   4A  3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                -15.74    -15.26                      
      Averages              73.29  32.2 19.2

Best game:  117.12 = 59 point win over Des Moines Lincoln
Worst game:  22.87 = 51 point loss to Newton
Team stdev:  18.81