BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Ottumwa

Class: 4A Class Rank: 9 Conference: CIMLM Record: (45-5-0) Overall: (69-32-0) Overall Strength =   73.29

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Home    W    96.38  50  14   4A  26 ( 45- 49-  0) CB Lincoln             23.28     12.72                      
  2 09/07/2001 Away    W    90.09  30   7   4A  19 ( 36- 58-  0) Indianola              16.99      6.01                      
  3 09/14/2001 Home    W    79.91  19  15   ZZ  36 ( 38- 22-  0) Runnells Southeast P    6.80     -2.80                      
  4 09/21/2001 Away    W    72.52  14  10   4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown           -0.58      4.58                      
  5 09/28/2001 Away    W * 116.18  55   0   4A  31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln     43.08     11.92                      
  6 10/05/2001 Home    W *  91.19  35   6   4A  22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East        18.09     10.91                      
  7 10/12/2001 Away    W *  67.26  42   6   4A  46 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover      -5.84     41.84                      
  8 10/19/2001 Home    W *  79.73  42  15   4A  34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt    6.62     20.38                      
  9 10/26/2001 Home    W *  59.07  40   9   4A  47 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North      -14.03     45.03                      
 10 10/31/2001 Home    W    98.82  48  20   3A  31 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                 25.71      2.29                      
 11 11/05/2001 Away    L    80.36  33  41   4A   3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                  7.26    -15.26                      
 12 09/05/2002 Away    W    74.59  24  14   4A  23 ( 50- 47-  0) Sioux City East         1.48      8.52                      
 13 09/13/2002 Home    W    86.46  49  28   4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown           13.36      7.64                      
 14 09/20/2002 Away    L    22.87   0  51   3A  31 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                -50.23     -0.77                      
 15 09/27/2002 Home    L    69.43  32  53   4A   1 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling            -3.67    -17.33                      
 16 10/04/2002 Away    W *  86.13  61   6   4A  47 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North       13.03     41.97                      
 17 10/11/2002 Home    W * 112.13  54   0   4A  31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln     39.02     14.98                      
 18 10/18/2002 Away    W *  75.24  56  46   4A  22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East         2.14      7.86                      
 19 10/25/2002 Home    W *  70.21  49   7   4A  46 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover      -2.90     44.90                      
 20 11/01/2002 Away    W *  83.78  63  35   4A  34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   10.68     17.32                      
 21 11/06/2002 Home    L    42.82  14  42   3A  31 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                -30.29      2.29                      
 22 09/05/2003 Home    W   110.53  49   0   4A  23 ( 50- 47-  0) Sioux City East        37.43     11.57                      
 23 09/12/2003 Away    L    61.52   7  14   4A  17 ( 46- 51-  0) Marshalltown          -11.58      4.58                      
 24 09/19/2003 Home    L    45.82  13  38   3A  31 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                -27.29      2.29                      
 25 09/26/2003 Away    W    94.49  25  24   4A   1 ( 87- 24-  0) WDM Dowling            21.39    -20.39                      
 26 10/03/2003 Home    W *  81.07  53   0   4A  47 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North        7.97     45.03                      
 27 10/10/2003 Away    W * 102.18  62  21   4A  31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln     29.08     11.92                      
 28 10/17/2003 Home    W *  78.19  22   6   4A  22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East         5.09     10.91                      
 29 10/24/2003 Away    W *  78.26  63  16   4A  46 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover       5.16     41.84                      
 30 10/31/2003 Home    W *  97.73  45   0   4A  34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   24.62     20.38                      
 31 11/05/2003 Home    W   102.82  51  19   3A  31 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                 29.71      2.29                      
 32 11/10/2003 Away    L    66.36  14  36   4A   3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                 -6.74    -15.26                      
 33 09/03/2004 Away    W   111.78  50   0   4A  28 ( 40- 52-  0) Sioux City North       38.68     11.32                      
 34 09/10/2004 Home    W   106.99  62   0   4A  39 ( 25- 66-  0) CB Jefferson           33.89     28.11                      
 35 09/17/2004 Home    W   107.40  45   7   4A  13 ( 52- 44-  0) Johnston               34.30      3.70                      
 36 09/24/2004 Away    L    66.45  14  41   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley             -6.65    -20.35                      
 37 10/01/2004 Away    W *  79.13  48   0   4A  47 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North        6.03     41.97                      
 38 10/08/2004 Home    W * 117.13  66   7   4A  31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln     44.02     14.98                      
 39 10/15/2004 Away    W *  85.24  34  14   4A  22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East        12.14      7.86                      
 40 10/22/2004 Home    W *  83.21  55   0   4A  46 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover      10.10     44.90                      
 41 10/29/2004 Away    W *  72.78  24   7   4A  34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   -0.32     17.32                      
 42 11/03/2004 Away    L    67.96   7  18   ZZ  36 ( 38- 22-  0) Runnells Southeast P   -5.14     -5.86                      
 43 09/02/2005 Home    W    78.72  20   0   4A  28 ( 40- 52-  0) Sioux City North        5.62     14.38                      
 44 09/09/2005 Away    W    89.04  48   7   4A  39 ( 25- 66-  0) CB Jefferson           15.94     25.06                      
 45 09/16/2005 Away    L    69.45  14  17   4A  13 ( 52- 44-  0) Johnston               -3.65      0.65                      
 46 09/23/2005 Home    L    61.40  20  49   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley            -11.71    -17.29                      
 47 09/30/2005 Home    W *  70.07  55  13   4A  47 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North       -3.03     45.03                      
 48 10/07/2005 Away    L *  47.18   7  21   4A  31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln    -25.92     11.92                      
 49 10/14/2005 Home    W *  73.19  18   7   4A  22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East         0.09     10.91                      
 50 10/21/2005 Away    W *  92.26  73  12   4A  46 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover      19.16     41.84                      
 51 10/28/2005 Home    W *  60.73  35  27   4A  34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt  -12.38     20.38                      
 52 09/01/2006 Home    W    76.72  21   3   4A  28 ( 40- 52-  0) Sioux City North        3.62     14.38                      
 53 09/08/2006 Home    L    55.40  14  49   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley            -17.71    -17.29                      
 54 09/15/2006 Away    L    70.87   7  10   3A  31 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                 -2.23     -0.77                      
 55 09/21/2006 Away    W *  75.26  44   0   4A  46 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover       2.16     41.84                      
 56 09/29/2006 Home    W *  77.73  52  27   4A  34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt    4.62     20.38                      
 57 10/06/2006 Away    W *  74.13  49   6   4A  47 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North        1.03     41.97                      
 58 10/13/2006 Home    W *  75.19  28  15   4A  22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East         2.09     10.91                      
 59 10/20/2006 Home    L *  54.13  20  24   4A  31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln    -18.98     14.98                      
 60 10/26/2006 Away    W    74.59  36  26   4A  23 ( 50- 47-  0) Sioux City East         1.48      8.52                      
 61 11/01/2006 Away    L    57.96  21  42   ZZ  36 ( 38- 22-  0) Runnells Southeast P  -15.14     -5.86                      
 62 08/31/2007 Away    W    68.78  28  21   4A  28 ( 40- 52-  0) Sioux City North       -4.32     11.32                      
 63 09/07/2007 Away    L    59.45   6  40   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley            -13.65    -20.35                      
 64 09/14/2007 Home    L    29.82   7  48   3A  31 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                -43.29      2.29                      
 65 09/21/2007 Home    W *  48.21  26   6   4A  46 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover     -24.90     44.90                      
 66 09/28/2007 Away    W *  72.78  24   7   4A  34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   -0.32     17.32                      
 67 10/05/2007 Home    W *  55.07  41  14   4A  47 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North      -18.03     45.03                      
 68 10/12/2007 Away    L *  51.24   3  17   4A  22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East       -21.86      7.86                      
 69 10/19/2007 Away    L *  55.18  14  20   4A  31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln    -17.92     11.92                      
 70 10/26/2007 Home    W    64.53  23  20   4A  23 ( 50- 47-  0) Sioux City East        -8.57     11.57                      
 71 08/29/2008 Home    L    47.36  10  39   4A   7 ( 25- 17-  0) Southeast Polk        -25.75     -3.25  non-district        
 72 09/05/2008 Home    W    77.82  21  14   3A  31 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                  4.71      2.29  non-district        
 73 09/12/2008 Away    L    60.78  19  20   4A  28 ( 40- 52-  0) Sioux City North      -12.32     11.32  non-district        
 74 09/19/2008 Home    L    46.31  17  56   4A   3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                -26.80    -12.20  non-district        
 75 09/26/2008 Away    W *  78.78  51  28   4A  34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt    5.68     17.32                      
 76 10/03/2008 Away    W *  79.18  45  27   4A  31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln      6.08     11.92                      
 77 10/10/2008 Home    W *  62.07  41   7   4A  47 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North      -11.03     45.03                      
 78 10/17/2008 Away    W *  73.24  21  13   4A  22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East         0.14      7.86                      
 79 10/24/2008 Home    W *  59.21  37   6   4A  46 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover     -13.90     44.90                      
 80 10/29/2008 Home    W    67.99  35  12   4A  39 ( 25- 66-  0) CB Jefferson           -5.11     28.11                      
 81 11/03/2008 Away    L    58.45  21  56   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley            -14.65    -20.35                      
 82 08/28/2009 Away    W    90.41  21  10   4A   7 ( 25- 17-  0) Southeast Polk         17.31     -6.31  nc                  
 83 09/04/2009 Away    W   101.87  42  14   3A  31 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                 28.77     -0.77  nc                  
 84 09/11/2009 Home    W    78.72  27   7   4A  28 ( 40- 52-  0) Sioux City North        5.62     14.38  nc                  
 85 09/18/2009 Away    L    60.36   7  35   4A   3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                -12.74    -15.26  nc                  
 86 09/25/2009 Home    W *  76.73  47  23   4A  34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt    3.62     20.38                      
 87 10/02/2009 Home    W *  70.13  24  12   4A  31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln     -2.98     14.98                      
 88 10/09/2009 Away    W *  77.13  52   6   4A  47 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North        4.03     41.97                      
 89 10/16/2009 Home    L *  39.19  21  44   4A  22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East       -33.91     10.91                      
 90 10/23/2009 Away    W * 100.26  69   0   4A  46 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover      27.16     41.84                      
 91 10/28/2009 Home    L    54.40  13  28   4A  13 ( 52- 44-  0) Johnston              -18.70      3.70                      
 92 08/21/2010 Home    L    59.40  21  31   4A  13 ( 52- 44-  0) Johnston              -13.70      3.70  NC                  
 93 08/27/2010 Away    L    83.45   7  17   4A   2 (103- 19-  0) WDM Valley             10.35    -20.35  NC                  
 94 09/03/2010 Home    L    62.31  21  31   4A   8 ( 59- 40-  0) Ames                  -10.80      0.80  NC                  
 95 09/13/2010 Home    L    46.72   7  31   4A  11 ( 62- 39-  0) Waukee                -26.39      2.39  was 09/10 now 09/13 
 96 09/17/2010 Away    W *  50.13  55  36   4A  47 ( 10- 80-  0) Des Moines North      -22.97     41.97                      
 97 09/24/2010 Away    W *  60.26  29   0   4A  46 (  6- 84-  0) Des Moines Hoover     -12.84     41.84                      
 98 10/01/2010 Home    W *  82.19  27   7   4A  22 ( 55- 43-  0) Des Moines East         9.09     10.91                      
 99 10/08/2010 Away    W *  64.18  37  34   4A  31 ( 48- 47-  0) Des Moines Lincoln     -8.92     11.92                      
100 10/22/2010 Home    W *  64.73  30  18   4A  34 ( 31- 60-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   -8.38     20.38                      
101 10/27/2010 Away    L    57.36   7  38   4A   3 ( 96- 25-  0) Ankeny                -15.74    -15.26                      
      Averages              73.29  32.2 19.2

Best game:  117.13 = 59 point win over Des Moines Lincoln
Worst game:  22.87 = 51 point loss to Newton
Team stdev:  18.81