BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Williamsburg

Class: 3A Class Rank: 6 Conference: 3A-6 Record: (25-12-0) Overall: (81-25-0) Overall Strength =   86.83

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Away    W    93.44  40  14   3A  44 ( 47- 48-  0) Center Point-Urbana     6.92     19.08                      
  2 09/07/2001 Home    W    52.09  14   8    A  32 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley   -34.44     40.44                      
  3 09/14/2001 Away    W    85.16  19   7   2A  11 ( 67- 35-  0) Wellman Mid-Prairie    -1.36     13.36                      
  4 09/21/2001 Home    W *  81.79  25   0   3A  56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana      -4.74     29.74                      
  5 09/28/2001 Home    W    76.79  27   7   2A  36 ( 43- 48-  0) West Liberty           -9.74     29.74                      
  6 10/05/2001 Away    W    78.08  28  12   2A  32 ( 55- 41-  0) Wilton                 -8.45     24.45                      
  7 10/12/2001 Away    W * 108.32  19   3   3A   3 (106- 15-  0) Solon                  21.79     -5.79                      
  8 10/19/2001 Home    W    75.45  53  12   ZZ  78 (  3- 15-  0) Durant-Bennett        -11.07     52.07                      
  9 10/26/2001 Home    W    97.55  36   0   2A  24 ( 53- 43-  0) Tipton                 11.02     24.98                      
 10 10/31/2001 Away    L *  64.36   0  14   3A  18 ( 55- 48-  0) Mount Vernon          -22.16      8.16                      
 11 09/06/2002 Home    W   105.39  41   0   3A  44 ( 47- 48-  0) Center Point-Urbana    18.86     22.14                      
 12 09/13/2002 Away    W   103.42  40  14   2A   6 ( 85- 24-  0) Sigourney-Keota        16.90      9.10                      
 13 09/20/2002 Home    W    77.02  39  13   ZZ  64 ( 20- 27-  0) Riverside Highland-L   -9.51     35.51                      
 14 09/27/2002 Away    W    88.84  44  15   2A  36 ( 43- 48-  0) West Liberty            2.32     26.68                      
 15 10/04/2002 Home    W   111.02  52   0   2A  32 ( 55- 41-  0) Wilton                 24.50     27.50                      
 16 10/11/2002 Home    W *  87.79  38   7   3A  56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana       1.26     29.74                      
 17 10/18/2002 Away    W    92.60  34   6   2A  24 ( 53- 43-  0) Tipton                  6.08     21.92                      
 18 10/25/2002 Away    W   111.16  52  14   2A  11 ( 67- 35-  0) Wellman Mid-Prairie    24.64     13.36                      
 19 11/01/2002 Home    W    78.03  54   0   2A  64 ( 15- 76-  0) Louisa-Muscatine       -8.49 *   62.49                      
 20 11/06/2002 Home    W   109.36  48  13   2A   6 ( 85- 24-  0) Sigourney-Keota        22.84     12.16                      
 21 11/12/2002 Home    W * 128.26  41   2   3A   3 (106- 15-  0) Solon                  41.74     -2.74                      
 22 11/18/2002 Neutral W   122.92  42   7   2A   3 ( 93- 20-  0) North Fayette          36.40     -1.40                      
 23 11/23/2002 Neutral L    85.59  32  35   1A   2 ( 97- 18-  0) Emmetsburg             -0.93     -2.07                      
 24 09/05/2003 Away    L    64.44   6   9   3A  44 ( 47- 48-  0) Center Point-Urbana   -22.08     19.08                      
 25 09/12/2003 Home    W    87.36  27  14   2A   6 ( 85- 24-  0) Sigourney-Keota         0.84     12.16                      
 26 09/19/2003 Away    W    67.07  27  14   ZZ  64 ( 20- 27-  0) Riverside Highland-L  -19.45     32.45                      
 27 09/26/2003 Home    W    76.79  27   7   2A  36 ( 43- 48-  0) West Liberty           -9.74     29.74                      
 28 10/03/2003 Away    W    70.08  21  13   2A  32 ( 55- 41-  0) Wilton                -16.45     24.45                      
 29 10/10/2003 Away    W * 101.84  49   7   3A  56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana      15.32     26.68                      
 30 10/17/2003 Home    L    59.55   7   9   2A  24 ( 53- 43-  0) Tipton                -26.98     24.98                      
 31 10/24/2003 Home    W    76.11  19  13   2A  11 ( 67- 35-  0) Wellman Mid-Prairie   -10.42     16.42                      
 32 10/31/2003 Away    W    70.09  49   6   2A  64 ( 15- 76-  0) Louisa-Muscatine      -16.44 *   59.44                      
 33 11/05/2003 Away    L *  70.32  20  42   3A   3 (106- 15-  0) Solon                 -16.21     -5.79                      
 34 09/03/2004 Home    W    66.39  17  15   3A  44 ( 47- 48-  0) Center Point-Urbana   -20.14     22.14                      
 35 09/10/2004 Away    L    60.42  13  30   2A   6 ( 85- 24-  0) Sigourney-Keota       -26.10      9.10                      
 36 09/17/2004 Away    W * 114.84  62   7   3A  56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana      28.32     26.68                      
 37 09/24/2004 Home    W    94.77  48  20   3A  40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle                8.24     19.76                      
 38 10/01/2004 Away    W    75.50  21   7   3A  55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville             -11.02     25.02                      
 39 10/08/2004 Home    L *  64.58  22  33   3A  16 ( 55- 38-  0) Van Horne Benton      -21.95     10.95                      
 40 10/15/2004 Away    L *  48.66   6  28   3A  37 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama       -37.87     15.87                      
 41 10/22/2004 Home    L    78.46  25  26 1 3A  13 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                  -8.07      7.07                      
 42 10/29/2004 Home    L *  72.15  20  31   3A   8 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell              -14.37      3.37                      
 43 09/02/2005 Away    L    64.44  21  24   3A  44 ( 47- 48-  0) Center Point-Urbana   -22.08     19.08                      
 44 09/09/2005 Home    L    58.36  12  28   2A   6 ( 85- 24-  0) Sigourney-Keota       -28.16     12.16                      
 45 09/16/2005 Home    W *  91.79  42   7   3A  56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana       5.26     29.74                      
 46 09/23/2005 Away    W   107.82  38   0   3A  40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle               21.30     16.70                      
 47 09/30/2005 Home    W    80.45  44  22   3A  55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville              -6.08     28.08                      
 48 10/07/2005 Away    W * 106.63  41  13   3A  16 ( 55- 38-  0) Van Horne Benton       20.11      7.89                      
 49 10/14/2005 Home    W *  76.60  25  16   3A  37 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama        -9.92     18.92                      
 50 10/21/2005 Away    W   117.51  42   7   3A  13 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                  30.99      4.01                      
 51 10/28/2005 Away    L *  59.21   7  34   3A   8 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell              -27.32      0.32                      
 52 11/02/2005 Away    W    80.58  33  27 1 3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              -5.94     11.94                      
 53 11/08/2005 Home    W *  93.15  24  14   3A   8 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell                6.63      3.37                      
 54 11/14/2005 Neutral L    77.28  27  34   3A   9 ( 70- 32-  0) West Delaware          -9.25      2.25                      
 55 09/01/2006 Home    W    79.39  29  14   3A  44 ( 47- 48-  0) Center Point-Urbana    -7.14     22.14                      
 56 09/08/2006 Away    W    99.42  35  13   2A   6 ( 85- 24-  0) Sigourney-Keota        12.90      9.10                      
 57 09/15/2006 Away    W    80.50  24   0   3A  58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence           -6.02     30.02  homecoming          
 58 09/22/2006 Home    W * 107.15  24   0   3A   8 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell               20.63      3.37                      
 59 09/29/2006 Home    W    83.85  37  14   3A  50 ( 25- 66-  0) Vinton-Shellsburg      -2.68     25.68                      
 60 10/06/2006 Away    W * 108.66  38   0   3A  37 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama        22.13     15.87                      
 61 10/13/2006 Away    W    86.80  30  29   3A   9 ( 70- 32-  0) West Delaware           0.28      0.72                      
 62 10/20/2006 Home    W    92.92  28   7   3A  26 ( 48- 47-  0) Oelwein                 6.40     14.60                      
 63 10/27/2006 Away    W *  91.63  31  18   3A  16 ( 55- 38-  0) Van Horne Benton        5.11      7.89                      
 64 11/01/2006 Home    L *  64.66  23  24   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington            -21.86     20.86                      
 65 08/31/2007 Away    W    78.44  18   7   3A  44 ( 47- 48-  0) Center Point-Urbana    -8.08     19.08                      
 66 09/07/2007 Home    W   116.36  56  14   2A   6 ( 85- 24-  0) Sigourney-Keota        29.84     12.16                      
 67 09/14/2007 Home    W   100.44  47   0   3A  58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence           13.92     33.08                      
 68 09/21/2007 Away    L *  83.21   7  10   3A   8 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell               -3.32      0.32                      
 69 09/28/2007 Away    W   104.90  41   0   3A  50 ( 25- 66-  0) Vinton-Shellsburg      18.38     22.62                      
 70 10/05/2007 Home    L *  42.60   0  25   3A  37 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama       -43.92     18.92                      
 71 10/12/2007 Home    W    85.75  31  28   3A   9 ( 70- 32-  0) West Delaware          -0.77      3.77                      
 72 10/19/2007 Away    L    51.97   7  30   3A  26 ( 48- 47-  0) Oelwein               -34.55     11.55                      
 73 10/26/2007 Home    L *  72.58  27  30   3A  16 ( 55- 38-  0) Van Horne Benton      -13.95     10.95                      
 74 08/29/2008 Away    W    75.16  28  26   2A  11 ( 67- 35-  0) Wellman Mid-Prairie   -11.36     13.36  non-district        
 75 09/05/2008 Home    W    95.39  38   7   3A  44 ( 47- 48-  0) Center Point-Urbana     8.86     22.14  non-district        
 76 09/12/2008 Home    W   110.12  41   0   3A  34 ( 61- 36-  1) Fairfield              23.59     17.41                      
 77 09/19/2008 Away    W * 104.72  44   8   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington             18.20     17.80                      
 78 09/26/2008 Away    W    88.58  42  28   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa               2.06     11.94                      
 79 10/03/2008 Home    W    91.46  49   0   3A  62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison            4.94     44.06                      
 80 10/10/2008 Home    L    50.27  21  37   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant        -36.25     20.25                      
 81 10/17/2008 Away    W    83.03  27   7   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                 -3.49     23.49                      
 82 10/24/2008 Away    W *  72.84  27  14   3A  56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana     -13.68     26.68                      
 83 10/29/2008 Home    W *  86.15  31  28 1 3A   8 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell               -0.37      3.37                      
 84 11/03/2008 Away    L    61.51  14  35   3A  13 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                 -25.01      4.01                      
 85 08/28/2009 Home    L    68.11  19  21   2A  11 ( 67- 35-  0) Wellman Mid-Prairie   -18.42     16.42  nd                  
 86 09/04/2009 Away    W    86.44  19   0   3A  44 ( 47- 48-  0) Center Point-Urbana    -0.08     19.08  nd                  
 87 09/11/2009 Away    W    93.17  21   0   3A  34 ( 61- 36-  1) Fairfield               6.65     14.35                      
 88 09/18/2009 Home    W * 128.66  63   0   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington             42.14     20.86                      
 89 09/25/2009 Home    W   131.52  67   7   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              45.00     15.00                      
 90 10/02/2009 Away    W    81.52  48  12   3A  62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison           -5.01     41.01                      
 91 10/09/2009 Away    W    93.33  45  21   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant          6.80     17.20                      
 92 10/16/2009 Home    W   102.97  63  20   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                 16.45     26.55                      
 93 10/23/2009 Home    W *  97.79  48   7   3A  56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana      11.26     29.74                      
 94 10/28/2009 Home    L    72.46  24  31   3A  13 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                 -14.07      7.07                      
 95 08/27/2010 Away    W   115.44  55   7   3A  44 ( 47- 48-  0) Center Point-Urbana    28.92     19.08  ND                  
 96 09/03/2010 Home    W    83.27  38  21   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant         -3.25     20.25  ND                  
 97 09/10/2010 Away    W * 126.36  48   0   3A  18 ( 55- 48-  0) Mount Vernon           39.84      8.16                      
 98 09/17/2010 Home    W * 118.15  42   7   3A   8 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell               31.63      3.37                      
 99 09/24/2010 Away    W * 106.66  42   6   3A  37 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama        20.13     15.87                      
100 10/01/2010 Home    W * 118.58  62  19   3A  16 ( 55- 38-  0) Van Horne Benton       32.05     10.95                      
101 10/08/2010 Away    L *  77.32   7  22   3A   3 (106- 15-  0) Solon                  -9.21     -5.79                      
102 10/15/2010 Home    W *  68.79  35  23   3A  56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana     -17.74     29.74                      
103 10/22/2010 Away    W *  76.72  26  18   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington             -9.80     17.80                      
104 10/27/2010 Home    W    98.53  56  27   3A  33 ( 42- 50-  0) Maquoketa              12.01     16.99                      
105 11/01/2010 Home    W *  86.79  65  35   3A  56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana       0.26     29.74                      
106 11/08/2010 Away    L *  73.32   0  19   3A   3 (106- 15-  0) Solon                 -13.21     -5.79                      
      Averages              86.83  32.5 14.5

Best game:  131.52 = 60 point win over Oskaloosa
Worst game:  42.60 = 25 point loss to Tama South Tama
Team stdev:  19.49