BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Oelwein

Class: 2A Class Rank: 43 Conference: 2A-4 Record: (4-27-0) Overall: (16-75-0) Overall Strength =   60.07

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/26/2011 Away    W    97.36  28   6   1A  28 ( 46- 48-  0) SumnerFredericksburg   37.21    -15.21                      
  2 09/02/2011 Home    W    84.35  26  20   ZZ  20 ( 12-  7-  0) West Union North Fay   24.20    -18.20                      
  3 09/09/2011 Away    L    80.56   7  27   3A   9 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                20.41    -40.41                      
  4 09/16/2011 Home    L    77.89   0  14   3A  18 ( 63- 37-  0) Waverly-Shell Rock     17.74    -31.74                      
  5 09/23/2011 Away    W * 129.54  47   0   2A  19 ( 47- 46-  0) Independence           69.39    -22.39  homecoming          
  6 09/30/2011 Home    W    78.00  13   7   3A  42 ( 22- 66-  0) Charles City           17.85    -11.85                      
  7 10/07/2011 Home    W * 108.99  26  14   2A   7 ( 86- 28-  0) Waukon                 48.84    -36.84                      
  8 10/14/2011 Away    W *  93.98  32  21   2A  18 ( 41- 52-  0) Cresco Crestwood       33.83    -22.83                      
  9 10/21/2011 Home    L    77.49  14  37   3A   6 ( 82- 27-  0) West Delaware          17.34    -40.34                      
 10 10/26/2011 Away    L    76.09  13  34   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake             15.94    -36.94                      
 11 08/24/2012 Away    L *  72.54  13  41   2A   7 ( 86- 28-  0) Waukon                 12.38    -40.38                      
 12 08/31/2012 Home    L    63.35  12  27   ZZ  20 ( 12-  7-  0) West Union North Fay    3.20    -18.20                      
 13 09/07/2012 Away    L    41.75  18  48   2A  34 ( 21- 68-  0) Vinton-Shellsburg     -18.40    -11.60                      
 14 09/14/2012 Home    L *  65.44  13  27   2A  18 ( 41- 52-  0) Cresco Crestwood        5.29    -19.29                      
 15 09/21/2012 Home    L    41.89   7  57   3A  18 ( 63- 37-  0) Waverly-Shell Rock    -18.26    -31.74                      
 16 09/28/2012 Away    L    46.57   0  49   3A  17 ( 63- 40-  0) Western Dubuque       -13.58    -35.42                      
 17 10/05/2012 Away    L *  64.54   7  25   2A  19 ( 47- 46-  0) Independence            4.39    -22.39                      
 18 10/12/2012 Home    L    34.02   0  63   3A   9 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah               -26.13    -36.87                      
 19 10/19/2012 Away    L    48.03   0  56   3A   6 ( 82- 27-  0) West Delaware         -12.12    -43.88                      
 20 08/30/2013 Home    L *  40.99   0  56   2A   7 ( 86- 28-  0) Waukon                -19.16    -36.84  ND                  
 21 09/06/2013 Away    L *  34.17   0  61   2A  10 ( 55- 31-  0) North Fayette Valley  -25.98    -35.02  ND                  
 22 09/13/2013 Home    L    36.20  26  58   2A  34 ( 21- 68-  0) Vinton-Shellsburg     -23.95     -8.05                      
 23 09/20/2013 Away    L *  26.98   0  56   2A  18 ( 41- 52-  0) Cresco Crestwood      -33.17    -22.83                      
 24 09/27/2013 Away    L    53.44   0  42   3A  18 ( 63- 37-  0) Waverly-Shell Rock     -6.72    -35.28  ND                  
 25 10/04/2013 Home    L    57.03   7  42   3A  17 ( 63- 40-  0) Western Dubuque        -3.12    -31.88  Finished at Halftime
 26 10/11/2013 Home    L *  38.00  12  53   2A  19 ( 47- 46-  0) Independence          -22.15    -18.85                      
 27 10/18/2013 Away    L    37.56   0  63   3A   9 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah               -22.59    -40.41                      
 28 10/25/2013 Home    L    58.49  13  55   3A   6 ( 82- 27-  0) West Delaware          -1.66    -40.34                      
 29 08/29/2014 Away    L    58.36  14  31   1A  28 ( 46- 48-  0) SumnerFredericksburg   -1.79    -15.21                      
 30 09/05/2014 Home    L    60.97  13  17   2A  38 ( 34- 60-  0) Anamosa                 0.82     -4.82                      
 31 09/12/2014 Home    L    57.02   0  30   1A   6 ( 70- 35-  0) Dyersville Beckman     -3.13    -26.87                      
 32 09/19/2014 Away    L *  67.17  14  42   2A  10 ( 55- 31-  0) North Fayette Valley    7.02    -35.02                      
 33 09/26/2014 Home    W    89.60  42  14   1A  38 ( 30- 62-  0) Waterloo Columbus      29.45     -1.45                      
 34 10/03/2014 Away    L *  61.22  14  42   2A  14 ( 66- 37-  0) New Hampton             1.07    -29.07                      
 35 10/10/2014 Home    L    59.34  20  38   2A  22 ( 45- 48-  0) Center Point-Urbana    -0.81    -17.19                      
 36 10/17/2014 Home    L    66.22  18  26   3A  40 ( 47- 47-  0) Van Horne Benton        6.07    -14.07                      
 37 10/24/2014 Away    L *  68.54  16  48   2A   7 ( 86- 28-  0) Waukon                  8.38    -40.38                      
 38 08/28/2015 Home    L    63.81   0   8   1A  28 ( 46- 48-  0) SumnerFredericksburg    3.66    -11.66  ND                  
 39 09/04/2015 Away    L    37.51  18  49   2A  38 ( 34- 60-  0) Anamosa               -22.64     -8.36  ND                  
 40 09/11/2015 Away    L    59.56  12  43   1A   6 ( 70- 35-  0) Dyersville Beckman     -0.59    -30.41                      
 41 09/18/2015 Home    L *  68.62  15  38   2A  10 ( 55- 31-  0) North Fayette Valley    8.47    -31.47                      
 42 09/25/2015 Away    W    81.15  43  27   1A  38 ( 30- 62-  0) Waterloo Columbus      20.99     -4.99                      
 43 10/02/2015 Home    L *  58.68  13  40   2A  14 ( 66- 37-  0) New Hampton            -1.47    -25.53                      
 44 10/09/2015 Away    L    79.88  19  20   2A  22 ( 45- 48-  0) Center Point-Urbana    19.73    -20.73                      
 45 10/16/2015 Away    L    69.76   6  14   3A  40 ( 47- 47-  0) Van Horne Benton        9.61    -17.61  ND                  
 46 10/23/2015 Home    L *  62.99  12  46   2A   7 ( 86- 28-  0) Waukon                  2.84    -36.84                      
 47 08/26/2016 Away    L    34.76   6  49   3A  40 ( 47- 47-  0) Van Horne Benton      -25.39    -17.61  ND                  
 48 09/02/2016 Away    L    40.88   8  48   2A  22 ( 45- 48-  0) Center Point-Urbana   -19.27    -20.73  ND                  
 49 09/09/2016 Home    L    53.60   6  14   1A  38 ( 30- 62-  0) Waterloo Columbus      -6.55     -1.45                      
 50 09/16/2016 Away    L    28.67   0  62   2A  12 ( 65- 43-  0) LaPorte City Union    -31.48    -30.52                      
 51 09/23/2016 Home    L *  48.62   8  51   2A  10 ( 55- 31-  0) North Fayette Valley  -11.53    -31.47                      
 52 09/30/2016 Away    L    44.75   6  48   1A  12 ( 51- 28-  0) Cascade               -15.40    -26.60                      
 53 10/07/2016 Home    L    52.78  32  51   2A  27 ( 46- 46-  0) Monticello             -7.37    -11.63                      
 54 10/14/2016 Home    L *  56.99   8  48   2A   7 ( 86- 28-  0) Waukon                 -3.16    -36.84                      
 55 10/21/2016 Away    L    42.56   8  56   1A   6 ( 70- 35-  0) Dyersville Beckman    -17.59    -30.41                      
 56 08/25/2017 Home    L    26.22   0  48   3A  40 ( 47- 47-  0) Van Horne Benton      -33.93    -14.07  ND                  
 57 09/01/2017 Home    L    52.34   8  33   2A  22 ( 45- 48-  0) Center Point-Urbana    -7.81    -17.19  ND                  
 58 09/08/2017 Away    L    51.15   0  14   1A  38 ( 30- 62-  0) Waterloo Columbus      -9.01     -4.99                      
 59 09/15/2017 Home    L    29.13   0  58   2A  12 ( 65- 43-  0) LaPorte City Union    -31.02    -26.98                      
 60 09/22/2017 Away    L *  57.17   8  46   2A  10 ( 55- 31-  0) North Fayette Valley   -2.98    -35.02                      
 61 09/29/2017 Home    L    38.21  14  59   1A  12 ( 51- 28-  0) Cascade               -21.94    -23.06                      
 62 10/06/2017 Away    L    43.32   6  38   2A  27 ( 46- 46-  0) Monticello            -16.83    -15.17                      
 63 10/13/2017 Away    L *  60.54  22  62   2A   7 ( 86- 28-  0) Waukon                  0.38    -40.38                      
 64 10/20/2017 Home    L    55.02  16  48   1A   6 ( 70- 35-  0) Dyersville Beckman     -5.13    -26.87                      
 65 08/24/2018 Home    L *  42.00  14  51   2A  19 ( 47- 46-  0) Independence          -18.15    -18.85  ND                  
 66 08/31/2018 Home    W    69.78  40  27   1A  42 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                   9.63      3.37  ND                  
 67 09/07/2018 Away    W    76.75  12   7   2A  34 ( 21- 68-  0) Vinton-Shellsburg      16.60    -11.60  ND                  
 68 09/14/2018 Away    L    69.54   6  12   3A  42 ( 22- 66-  0) Charles City            9.39    -15.39  ND                  
 69 09/21/2018 Home    L     7.60   0  54   1A  38 ( 30- 62-  0) Waterloo Columbus     -52.55     -1.45                      
 70 09/28/2018 Home    L *  66.99  16  46   2A   7 ( 86- 28-  0) Waukon                  6.84    -36.84                      
 71 10/05/2018 Away    L *  77.17   6  24   2A  10 ( 55- 31-  0) North Fayette Valley   17.02    -35.02                      
 72 10/12/2018 Away    L    39.32  14  50   2A  27 ( 46- 46-  0) Monticello            -20.83    -15.17                      
 73 10/19/2018 Home    W    73.97  44  35   2A  38 ( 34- 60-  0) Anamosa                13.82     -4.82                      
 74 08/30/2019 Away    L *  33.54   0  49   2A  19 ( 47- 46-  0) Independence          -26.61    -22.39  ND                  
 75 09/06/2019 Away    W    66.32  33  27   1A  42 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                   6.17     -0.17  ND                  
 76 09/13/2019 Home    W    75.20  21  14   2A  34 ( 21- 68-  0) Vinton-Shellsburg      15.05     -8.05  ND                  
 77 09/20/2019 Home    L    55.00  16  33   3A  42 ( 22- 66-  0) Charles City           -5.15    -11.85  ND                  
 78 09/27/2019 Away    L    47.15  22  40   1A  38 ( 30- 62-  0) Waterloo Columbus     -13.01     -4.99                      
 79 10/04/2019 Away    L *  59.54  14  55   2A   7 ( 86- 28-  0) Waukon                 -0.62    -40.38                      
 80 10/11/2019 Home    L *  71.62  22  42   2A  10 ( 55- 31-  0) North Fayette Valley   11.47    -31.47                      
 81 10/18/2019 Home    L    57.78  20  34   2A  27 ( 46- 46-  0) Monticello             -2.37    -11.63                      
 82 10/25/2019 Away    L    53.51  20  35   2A  38 ( 34- 60-  0) Anamosa                -6.64     -8.36                      
 83 08/28/2020 Away    W   104.67  30  16   2A  12 ( 65- 43-  0) LaPorte City Union     44.52    -30.52  ND                  
 84 09/04/2020 Home    L    64.87  20  41   2A  13 ( 63- 40-  0) Mount Vernon            4.72    -25.72  ND                  
 85 09/11/2020 Home    L *  45.00   0  34   2A  19 ( 47- 46-  0) Independence          -15.15    -18.85                      
 86 09/18/2020 Away    L *  54.54  12  58   2A   7 ( 86- 28-  0) Waukon                 -5.62    -40.38                      
 87 09/25/2020 Home    W * 106.62  30  15   2A  10 ( 55- 31-  0) North Fayette Valley   46.47    -31.47                      
 88 10/02/2020 Away    L *  83.22   8  14   2A  14 ( 66- 37-  0) New Hampton            23.07    -29.07                      
 89 10/09/2020 Home    L *  44.44   6  41   2A  18 ( 41- 52-  0) Cresco Crestwood      -15.71    -19.29                      
 90 10/16/2020 Away    W    92.13  42  28   2A  24 ( 41- 56-  0) Tama South Tama        31.98    -17.98                      
 91 10/23/2020 Away    L    76.07  12  41   2A   4 ( 91- 22-  0) Solon                  15.92    -44.92                      
      Averages              60.07  13.8 37.2

Best game:  129.54 = 47 point win over Independence
Worst game:   7.60 = 54 point loss to Waterloo Columbus
Team stdev:  20.64