BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Waukon

Class: 2A Class Rank: 7 Conference: 2A-4 Record: (26-10-0) Overall: (86-28-0) Overall Strength =   99.04

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/26/2011 Away    L    57.90  14  38   ZZ  20 ( 12-  7-  0) West Union North Fay  -40.87     16.87                      
  2 09/02/2011 Home    L    76.90  32  43    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek      -21.86     10.86                      
  3 09/09/2011 Away    L    66.03   0  38   3A   6 ( 82- 27-  0) West Delaware         -32.73     -5.27                      
  4 09/16/2011 Home    L    73.02   0  24   3A   9 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah               -25.75      1.75                      
  5 09/23/2011 Away    L    67.44   0  28   3A  18 ( 63- 37-  0) Waverly-Shell Rock    -31.33      3.33                      
  6 09/30/2011 Home    W * 120.00  48   7   2A  19 ( 47- 46-  0) Independence           21.24     19.76                      
  7 10/07/2011 Away    L *  49.92  14  26   2A  43 ( 16- 75-  0) Oelwein               -48.84     36.84                      
  8 10/14/2011 Home    W    91.00  19   0   3A  42 ( 22- 66-  0) Charles City           -7.76     26.76                      
  9 10/21/2011 Home    L *  71.44   6  14   2A  18 ( 41- 52-  0) Cresco Crestwood      -27.33     19.33                      
 10 08/24/2012 Home    W *  86.38  41  13   2A  43 ( 16- 75-  0) Oelwein               -12.38     40.38                      
 11 08/31/2012 Away    W   109.54  36   2   3A  42 ( 22- 66-  0) Charles City           10.78     23.22                      
 12 09/07/2012 Away    W    93.15  35   7   1A  38 ( 30- 62-  0) Waterloo Columbus      -5.62     33.62                      
 13 09/14/2012 Home    W    83.69  43   8   1A  47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring  -15.07     50.07                      
 14 09/21/2012 Away    W   107.14  44  13   1A  26 ( 41- 52-  0) Osage                   8.38     22.62                      
 15 09/28/2012 Away    L    89.67  33  34   2A  12 ( 65- 43-  0) LaPorte City Union     -9.09      8.09                      
 16 10/05/2012 Home    W   126.90  45   6    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek       28.14     10.86                      
 17 10/12/2012 Away    W   119.22  41   0   ZZ  22 ( 31- 38-  0) Hampton-Dumont         20.46     20.54                      
 18 10/19/2012 Home    L *  82.68  31  34   2A  14 ( 66- 37-  0) New Hampton           -16.08     13.08                      
 19 10/24/2012 Away    W   115.88  35   0   2A  22 ( 45- 48-  0) Center Point-Urbana    17.12     17.88                      
 20 10/29/2012 Away    W    97.67  21  14   2A  12 ( 65- 43-  0) LaPorte City Union     -1.09      8.09                      
 21 11/02/2012 Away    L    78.56  20  32   1A   6 ( 70- 35-  0) Dyersville Beckman    -20.20      8.20                      
 22 08/30/2013 Away    W * 117.92  56   0   2A  43 ( 16- 75-  0) Oelwein                19.16     36.84  ND                  
 23 09/06/2013 Home    W   100.00  28   0   3A  42 ( 22- 66-  0) Charles City            1.24     26.76  ND                  
 24 09/13/2013 Home    W   102.60  47   6   1A  38 ( 30- 62-  0) Waterloo Columbus       3.84     37.16                      
 25 09/20/2013 Away    W   106.23  54   0   1A  47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring    7.47     46.53                      
 26 09/27/2013 Home    W   114.60  55  13   1A  26 ( 41- 52-  0) Osage                  15.84     26.16                      
 27 10/04/2013 Home    W   122.13  35   0   2A  12 ( 65- 43-  0) LaPorte City Union     23.37     11.63                      
 28 10/11/2013 Away    W   143.44  52   0    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek       44.68      7.32                      
 29 10/18/2013 Home    W   108.68  40   6   ZZ  22 ( 31- 38-  0) Hampton-Dumont          9.91     24.09                      
 30 10/25/2013 Away    L *  84.22  14  19   2A  14 ( 66- 37-  0) New Hampton           -14.54      9.54                      
 31 10/30/2013 Home    W    95.78  48  24   2A  27 ( 46- 46-  0) Monticello             -2.99     26.99                      
 32 11/04/2013 Away    W   124.56  48  14   1A   6 ( 70- 35-  0) Dyersville Beckman     25.80      8.20                      
 33 11/08/2013 Away    W * 125.22  36   0   2A  14 ( 66- 37-  0) New Hampton            26.46      9.54                      
 34 11/16/2013 Neutral W    80.64  27  21   2A  26 ( 63- 41-  0) Albia                 -18.13     24.13                      
 35 11/22/2013 Neutral L    82.95  28  31   1A  10 ( 69- 39-  0) Carroll Kuemper       -15.82     12.82                      
 36 08/29/2014 Home    L    65.90  12  34    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek      -32.86     10.86                      
 37 09/05/2014 Away    L    99.56  22  23   3A   9 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                 0.79     -1.79                      
 38 09/12/2014 Home    W * 103.44  40  16   2A  18 ( 41- 52-  0) Cresco Crestwood        4.67     19.33                      
 39 09/19/2014 Away    L    80.56  20  30   1A   6 ( 70- 35-  0) Dyersville Beckman    -18.20      8.20                      
 40 09/26/2014 Home    L *  64.62  14  41   2A  10 ( 55- 31-  0) North Fayette Valley  -34.14      7.14                      
 41 10/03/2014 Away    W    95.15  44  14   1A  38 ( 30- 62-  0) Waterloo Columbus      -3.62     33.62                      
 42 10/10/2014 Home    L *  71.68  12  26   2A  14 ( 66- 37-  0) New Hampton           -27.08     13.08                      
 43 10/17/2014 Away    L    73.88  20  27   2A  22 ( 45- 48-  0) Center Point-Urbana   -24.88     17.88                      
 44 10/24/2014 Home    W *  90.38  48  16   2A  43 ( 16- 75-  0) Oelwein                -8.38     40.38                      
 45 08/28/2015 Away    W   115.44  30   6    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek       16.68      7.32  ND                  
 46 09/04/2015 Home    W   108.02  28  17   3A   9 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                 9.25      1.75  ND                  
 47 09/11/2015 Away    W *  94.98  40  28   2A  18 ( 41- 52-  0) Cresco Crestwood       -3.78     15.78  ND                  
 48 09/18/2015 Home    W    98.02  14   3   1A   6 ( 70- 35-  0) Dyersville Beckman     -0.74     11.74                      
 49 09/25/2015 Away    L *  55.17   8  48   2A  10 ( 55- 31-  0) North Fayette Valley  -43.60      3.60                      
 50 10/02/2015 Home    W    64.60  30  27   1A  38 ( 30- 62-  0) Waterloo Columbus     -34.16     37.16                      
 51 10/09/2015 Away    W * 122.22  46  13   2A  14 ( 66- 37-  0) New Hampton            23.46      9.54                      
 52 10/16/2015 Home    W   104.34  44  17   2A  22 ( 45- 48-  0) Center Point-Urbana     5.58     21.42                      
 53 10/23/2015 Away    W *  95.92  46  12   2A  43 ( 16- 75-  0) Oelwein                -2.84     36.84                      
 54 10/28/2015 Home    W   106.13  32  13   2A  12 ( 65- 43-  0) LaPorte City Union      7.37     11.63                      
 55 11/02/2015 Away    W   104.90  42  21   1A  17 ( 60- 39-  0) Aplington AP            6.14     14.86                      
 56 11/06/2015 Away    L *  91.17  20  24   2A  10 ( 55- 31-  0) North Fayette Valley   -7.60      3.60                      
 57 08/26/2016 Away    W   107.41  54   8    A  46 ( 34- 60-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac       8.65     37.35  ND                  
 58 09/02/2016 Home    L *  84.68  20  21   2A  14 ( 66- 37-  0) New Hampton           -14.08     13.08  ND                  
 59 09/09/2016 Away    W   115.56  32   7   1A   6 ( 70- 35-  0) Dyersville Beckman     16.80      8.20                      
 60 09/16/2016 Home    W    89.21  20  14   1A  12 ( 51- 28-  0) Cascade                -9.56     15.56                      
 61 09/23/2016 Away    W   101.15  43   7   1A  38 ( 30- 62-  0) Waterloo Columbus       2.38     33.62                      
 62 09/30/2016 Home    W   109.78  44   6   2A  27 ( 46- 46-  0) Monticello             11.01     26.99                      
 63 10/07/2016 Home    L    66.13  16  37   2A  12 ( 65- 43-  0) LaPorte City Union    -32.63     11.63                      
 64 10/14/2016 Away    W * 101.92  48   8   2A  43 ( 16- 75-  0) Oelwein                 3.16     36.84                      
 65 10/21/2016 Away    L *  77.17  16  34   2A  10 ( 55- 31-  0) North Fayette Valley  -21.60      3.60                      
 66 08/25/2017 Home    W   113.87  56   0    A  46 ( 34- 60-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac      15.10     40.90  ND                  
 67 09/01/2017 Away    W *  97.22  28  20   2A  14 ( 66- 37-  0) New Hampton            -1.54      9.54  ND                  
 68 09/08/2017 Home    W   105.02  53  35   1A   6 ( 70- 35-  0) Dyersville Beckman      6.26     11.74                      
 69 09/15/2017 Away    L    81.75  20  25   1A  12 ( 51- 28-  0) Cascade               -17.01     12.01                      
 70 09/22/2017 Home    W   105.60  51   7   1A  38 ( 30- 62-  0) Waterloo Columbus       6.84     37.16                      
 71 09/29/2017 Away    W    99.32  51  27   2A  27 ( 46- 46-  0) Monticello              0.55     23.45                      
 72 10/06/2017 Away    W   105.67  50  35   2A  12 ( 65- 43-  0) LaPorte City Union      6.91      8.09  was 10/06 now 10/06 
 73 10/13/2017 Home    W *  98.38  62  22   2A  43 ( 16- 75-  0) Oelwein                -0.38     40.38                      
 74 10/20/2017 Home    W * 126.62  56  21   2A  10 ( 55- 31-  0) North Fayette Valley   27.86      7.14                      
 75 10/27/2017 Away    W   127.09  46  16   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake             28.33      1.67                      
 76 11/03/2017 Away    W * 110.22  34  13   2A  14 ( 66- 37-  0) New Hampton            11.46      9.54                      
 77 11/11/2017 Neutral W   119.98  36  19   3A   5 ( 90- 25-  0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley   21.21     -4.21                      
 78 11/17/2017 Neutral W   122.90  29   0   2A   9 ( 84- 29-  0) Williamsburg           24.13      4.87                      
 79 08/24/2018 Away    L    96.56  20  24   3A   9 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                -2.21     -1.79  ND                  
 80 08/31/2018 Home    W *  94.44  22   7   2A  18 ( 41- 52-  0) Cresco Crestwood       -4.33     19.33  ND                  
 81 09/07/2018 Away    W * 114.22  46  21   2A  14 ( 66- 37-  0) New Hampton            15.46      9.54  ND                  
 82 09/14/2018 Away    W   105.75  40  21   1A  12 ( 51- 28-  0) Cascade                 6.99     12.01  ND                  
 83 09/21/2018 Home    W    99.78  40  12   2A  27 ( 46- 46-  0) Monticello              1.01     26.99                      
 84 09/28/2018 Away    W *  91.92  46  16   2A  43 ( 16- 75-  0) Oelwein                -6.84     36.84                      
 85 10/05/2018 Home    W    87.60  38  12   1A  38 ( 30- 62-  0) Waterloo Columbus     -11.16     37.16                      
 86 10/12/2018 Away    W    88.51  44  24   2A  38 ( 34- 60-  0) Anamosa               -10.25     30.25                      
 87 10/19/2018 Home    W * 109.62  40  22   2A  10 ( 55- 31-  0) North Fayette Valley   10.86      7.14                      
 88 10/26/2018 Home    W   116.13  40  11   2A  12 ( 65- 43-  0) LaPorte City Union     17.37     11.63                      
 89 11/02/2018 Home    W    81.46  24  21   2A  21 ( 40- 55-  0) Algona                -17.30     20.30                      
 90 11/10/2018 Neutral L    66.98  12  48   3A   5 ( 90- 25-  0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley  -31.79     -4.21                      
 91 08/30/2019 Home    W   126.02  36   7   3A   9 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                27.25      1.75  ND                  
 92 09/06/2019 Away    W *  87.98  26  21   2A  18 ( 41- 52-  0) Cresco Crestwood      -10.78     15.78  ND                  
 93 09/13/2019 Home    W * 117.68  38   6   2A  14 ( 66- 37-  0) New Hampton            18.92     13.08  ND                  
 94 09/20/2019 Home    W   112.21  42  13   1A  12 ( 51- 28-  0) Cascade                13.44     15.56  ND                  
 95 09/27/2019 Away    W   120.32  52   7   2A  27 ( 46- 46-  0) Monticello             21.55     23.45                      
 96 10/04/2019 Home    W *  99.38  55  14   2A  43 ( 16- 75-  0) Oelwein                 0.62     40.38                      
 97 10/11/2019 Away    W    78.15  20   7   1A  38 ( 30- 62-  0) Waterloo Columbus     -20.62     33.62                      
 98 10/18/2019 Home    W   130.97  66   0   2A  38 ( 34- 60-  0) Anamosa                32.20     33.80                      
 99 10/25/2019 Away    W * 115.17  56  36   2A  10 ( 55- 31-  0) North Fayette Valley   16.40      3.60                      
100 11/01/2019 Home    W   104.26  52  16   2A  33 ( 47- 47-  0) Tipton                  5.49     30.51                      
101 11/08/2019 Home    W    90.72  32  12   2A  30 ( 49- 52-  0) West Liberty           -8.04     28.04                      
102 11/16/2019 Neutral W   111.90  32  14   2A   9 ( 84- 29-  0) Williamsburg           13.13      4.87                      
103 11/22/2019 Neutral L    55.88  12  37   1A  18 ( 65- 36-  0) Ida Grove O-A-BC-IG   -42.89     17.89                      
104 08/28/2020 Away    L    99.56  18  19   3A   9 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                 0.79     -1.79  ND                  
105 09/04/2020 Home    W   126.89  45  10   3A  18 ( 63- 37-  0) Waverly-Shell Rock     28.13      6.87  ND                  
106 09/11/2020 Away    W * 109.22  34  14   2A  14 ( 66- 37-  0) New Hampton            10.46      9.54                      
107 09/18/2020 Home    W * 104.38  58  12   2A  43 ( 16- 75-  0) Oelwein                 5.62     40.38                      
108 10/02/2020 Home    W * 133.44  54   0   2A  18 ( 41- 52-  0) Cresco Crestwood       34.67     19.33                      
109 10/09/2020 Away    W * 121.17  48  22   2A  10 ( 55- 31-  0) North Fayette Valley   22.40      3.60                      
110 10/23/2020 Home    W   113.03  56  14   2A  29 ( 34- 58-  0) Forest City            14.27     27.73                      
111 10/30/2020 Home    W   103.78  46  14   2A  27 ( 46- 46-  0) Monticello              5.01     26.99                      
112 11/06/2020 Home    W   117.52  24   8   2A   4 ( 91- 22-  0) Solon                  18.76     -2.76                      
113 11/14/2020 Neutral W   106.46  38  21   ZZ  15 ( 79- 30-  0) Monroe Prairie City-    7.69      9.31                      
114 11/20/2020 Neutral W   105.82  28  14   2A  11 ( 64- 40-  0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR    7.05      6.95                      
      Averages              99.04  34.9 16.9

Best game:  143.44 = 52 point win over Calmar South Winneshiek
Worst game:  49.92 = 12 point loss to Oelwein
Team stdev:  19.31