BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Sumner-Fredericksburg

Class: 1A Class Rank: 25 Conference: (13-16-0) Overall: (33-34-0) Overall Strength =  101.85

 N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/26/2011 Home    L    65.79   6  28   2A 41 ( 8-56) Oelwein               -36.06     14.06                      
 2 09/02/2011 Away    L    92.56   6  27   3A 36 (26-40) Cresco Crestwood       -9.28    -11.72                      
 3 09/09/2011 Away    L * 100.97   0  21   1A  5 (60-18) South Winneshiek       -0.88    -20.12                      
 4 09/16/2011 Home    L   107.50   0  14   2A  7 (55-23) Dyersville Beckman      5.65    -19.65                      
 5 09/23/2011 Home    W * 103.25  33  14   1A 43 (17-48) Jesup                   1.41     17.59                      
 6 09/30/2011 Away    L    80.83   0  21   2A 33 (29-36) Monticello            -21.02      0.02                      
 7 10/07/2011 Home    L    89.90  14  31   ZZ  3 (12- 7) West Union North Fay  -11.95     -5.05                      
 8 10/14/2011 Away    L   102.41  24  28   ZZ  6 (10-10) Cascade                 0.57     -4.57                      
 9 10/21/2011 Home    W * 101.46  41  12   1A 53 (11-52) Monona MFL-MarMac      -0.39     29.39                      
10 08/24/2012 Home    W   130.43  34   0    8  8 (51-22) Turkey Valley          28.59      5.41                      
11 08/31/2012 Away    W    92.41  27   7    A 51 (18-49) Postville              -9.44     29.44                      
12 09/07/2012 Home    L * 116.66  22  24   1A  5 (60-18) South Winneshiek       14.81    -16.81                      
13 09/14/2012 Away    W * 129.77  54   0   1A 53 (11-52) Monona MFL-MarMac      27.93     26.07                      
14 09/21/2012 Away    W * 114.57  33   6   1A 43 (17-48) Jesup                  12.72     14.28                      
15 09/28/2012 Home    L * 109.33   7  19   1A  3 (65-17) Dike-New Hartford       7.48    -19.48                      
16 10/05/2012 Home    W   126.89  20   6    A  3 (49-30) Denver                 25.05    -11.05                      
17 10/12/2012 Away    W   128.87  12   7   1A  4 (68-13) Saint Ansgar           27.02    -22.02                      
18 10/19/2012 Away    L   103.21   6  13   ZZ  3 (12- 7) West Union North Fay    1.37     -8.37                      
19 10/24/2012 Home    W    94.01  15  14    A 27 (39-34) Nashua-Plainfield      -7.84      8.84                      
20 10/29/2012 Away    L * 105.64   7  26   1A  3 (65-17) Dike-New Hartford       3.80    -22.80                      
21 08/30/2013 Away    W   112.75  33  20    8  8 (51-22) Turkey Valley          10.90      2.10  ND                  
22 09/06/2013 Home    W    83.09  28  14    A 51 (18-49) Postville             -18.75     32.75  ND                  
23 09/13/2013 Away    L * 115.97  28  34   1A  5 (60-18) South Winneshiek       14.12    -20.12                      
24 09/20/2013 Home    W * 124.46  52   0   1A 53 (11-52) Monona MFL-MarMac      22.61     29.39                      
25 09/27/2013 Home    W * 125.25  41   0   1A 43 (17-48) Jesup                  23.41     17.59                      
26 10/04/2013 Away    L * 102.64   6  28   1A  3 (65-17) Dike-New Hartford       0.80    -22.80  ND                  
27 10/11/2013 Away    W   140.20  35  11    A  3 (49-30) Denver                 38.36    -14.36                      
28 10/18/2013 Home    L   109.55  12  23   1A  4 (68-13) Saint Ansgar            7.71    -18.71                      
29 10/25/2013 Home    W   140.84  41  30   2A  2 (46-14) North Fayette Valley   38.99    -27.99                      
30 10/30/2013 Away    L * 112.64   6  18   1A  3 (65-17) Dike-New Hartford      10.80    -22.80                      
31 08/29/2014 Home    W   104.79  31  14   2A 41 ( 8-56) Oelwein                 2.94     14.06                      
32 09/05/2014 Away    W   120.41  54   6    A 51 (18-49) Postville              18.56     29.44                      
33 09/12/2014 Home    L * 100.01  18  21   1A 21 (49-25) Hudson                 -1.83     -1.17                      
34 09/19/2014 Away    W *  98.77  42  19   1A 53 (11-52) Monona MFL-MarMac      -3.07     26.07                      
35 09/26/2014 Home    L *  74.66   0  44   1A  5 (60-18) South Winneshiek      -27.19    -16.81                      
36 10/03/2014 Home    W   134.22  30   6    A  6 (57-20) Wapsie Valley          32.37     -8.37                      
37 10/10/2014 Away    W * 120.57  54  21   1A 43 (17-48) Jesup                  18.72     14.28                      
38 10/17/2014 Home    L * 107.33  14  28   1A  3 (65-17) Dike-New Hartford       5.48    -19.48                      
39 10/24/2014 Away    W * 122.77  32   7   1A 31 (35-33) Guttenberg CR          20.92      4.08                      
40 10/29/2014 Away    L    91.87  16  48   1A  4 (68-13) Saint Ansgar           -9.98    -22.02                      
41 08/28/2015 Away    W    99.10   8   0   2A 41 ( 8-56) Oelwein                -2.74     10.74   ND                 
42 09/04/2015 Home    W   114.09  45   0    A 51 (18-49) Postville              12.25     32.75   ND                 
43 09/11/2015 Away    L * 105.33  27  28   1A 21 (49-25) Hudson                  3.48     -4.48                      
44 09/18/2015 Home    W *  92.46  26   6   1A 53 (11-52) Monona MFL-MarMac      -9.39     29.39                      
45 09/25/2015 Away    L *  81.97   8  48   1A  5 (60-18) South Winneshiek      -19.88    -20.12                      
46 10/02/2015 Away    W   147.53  34   0    A  6 (57-20) Wapsie Valley          45.69    -11.69   ND                 
47 10/09/2015 Home    L *  57.25   7  34   1A 43 (17-48) Jesup                 -44.59     17.59                      
48 10/16/2015 Away    L *  90.64  14  48   1A  3 (65-17) Dike-New Hartford     -11.20    -22.80                      
49 10/23/2015 Home    W * 106.46  19   7   1A 31 (35-33) Guttenberg CR           4.61      7.39                      
50 08/26/2016 Home    L   111.31  18  20   2A 17 (49-24) Aplington AP            9.47    -11.47  ND                  
51 09/02/2016 Away    L    52.56   0  32    A 39 (29-37) East Buchanan         -49.28     17.28  ND                  
52 09/09/2016 Away    W   110.69  42   6    A 49 (17-47) Conrad BCLUW            8.85     27.15                      
53 09/16/2016 Home    L    71.38  26  48    A 25 (34-32) Belmond-Klemme        -30.47      8.47                      
54 09/23/2016 Away    W   113.31  46  12   1A 51 (15-50) Manly Central Spring   11.46     22.54                      
55 09/30/2016 Home    L    82.89  12  42    A  3 (49-30) Denver                -18.95    -11.05                      
56 10/07/2016 Away    L *  87.97   6  40   1A  5 (60-18) South Winneshiek      -13.88    -20.12                      
57 10/14/2016 Home    W * 102.46  36   6   1A 53 (11-52) Monona MFL-MarMac       0.61     29.39                      
58 10/21/2016 Away    L    73.37  12  26   1A 44 (19-45) Lake Mills            -28.48     14.48                      
59 08/25/2017 Away    L    99.63  16  33   2A 17 (49-24) Aplington AP           -2.22    -14.78   ND                 
60 09/01/2017 Home    L    66.25   6  21    A 39 (29-37) East Buchanan         -35.60     20.60   ND                 
61 09/08/2017 Home    W   101.38  36   6    A 49 (17-47) Conrad BCLUW           -0.47     30.47                      
62 09/15/2017 Away    L    68.69   6  34    A 25 (34-32) Belmond-Klemme        -33.16      5.16                      
63 09/22/2017 Home    W    95.99  28   8   1A 51 (15-50) Manly Central Spring   -5.85     25.85                      
64 09/29/2017 Away    L    68.20   0  48    A  3 (49-30) Denver                -33.64    -14.36                      
65 10/06/2017 Home    L *  78.66   0  40   1A  5 (60-18) South Winneshiek      -23.19    -16.81                      
66 10/13/2017 Away    W *  91.77  28  12   1A 53 (11-52) Monona MFL-MarMac     -10.07     26.07                      
67 10/20/2017 Home    W   113.05  46  17   1A 44 (19-45) Lake Mills             11.21     17.79                      
      Averages             101.85  22.2 19.9

Best game:  147.53 = 34 point win over Fairbank Wapsie Valley
Worst game:  52.56 = 32 point loss to Winthrop East Buchanan
Team stdev:  20.50