BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Sumner-Fredericksburg

Class: 1A Class Rank: 28 Conference: 1A-4 Record: (11-10-0) Overall: (46-48-0) Overall Strength =   73.65

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/26/2011 Home    L    36.38   6  28   2A  43 ( 16- 75-  0) Oelwein               -37.21     15.21                      
  2 09/02/2011 Away    L    61.98   6  27   2A  18 ( 41- 52-  0) Cresco Crestwood      -11.60     -9.40                      
  3 09/09/2011 Away    L    70.44   0  21    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek       -3.14    -17.86                      
  4 09/16/2011 Home    L    73.02   0  14   1A   6 ( 70- 35-  0) Dyersville Beckman     -0.56    -13.44                      
  5 09/23/2011 Home    W *  75.78  33  14   1A  42 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                   2.20     16.80                      
  6 09/30/2011 Away    L    54.32   0  21   2A  27 ( 46- 46-  0) Monticello            -19.27     -1.73                      
  7 10/07/2011 Home    L    61.35  14  31   ZZ  20 ( 12-  7-  0) West Union North Fay  -12.23     -4.77                      
  8 10/14/2011 Away    L    72.49  24  28   ZZ  24 ( 10- 10-  0) Cascade                -1.09     -2.91                      
  9 10/21/2011 Home    W    86.87  41  12    A  46 ( 34- 60-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac      13.28     15.72                      
 10 08/24/2012 Home    W   107.32  34   0    8   9 ( 72- 30-  0) Turkey Valley          33.73      0.27                      
 11 08/31/2012 Away    W    67.11  27   7    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              -6.47     26.47                      
 12 09/07/2012 Home    L    85.90  22  24    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek       12.32    -14.32                      
 13 09/14/2012 Away    W   115.41  54   0    A  46 ( 34- 60-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac      41.82     12.18                      
 14 09/21/2012 Away    W *  87.32  33   6   1A  42 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                  13.74     13.26                      
 15 09/28/2012 Home    L    82.08   7  19   1A   2 ( 93- 22-  0) Dike-New Hartford       8.50    -20.50                      
 16 10/05/2012 Home    W *  96.67  20   6   1A  14 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                 23.08     -9.08                      
 17 10/12/2012 Away    W   101.73  12   7    A   3 ( 95- 18-  0) Saint Ansgar           28.14    -23.14                      
 18 10/19/2012 Away    L    74.90   6  13   ZZ  20 ( 12-  7-  0) West Union North Fay    1.31     -8.31                      
 19 10/24/2012 Home    W    60.94  15  14    A  42 ( 43- 56-  0) Nashua-Plainfield     -12.64     13.64                      
 20 10/29/2012 Away    L    78.63   7  26   1A   2 ( 93- 22-  0) Dike-New Hartford       5.04    -24.04                      
 21 08/30/2013 Away    W    89.86  33  20    8   9 ( 72- 30-  0) Turkey Valley          16.28     -3.28  ND                  
 22 09/06/2013 Home    W    57.57  28  14    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville             -16.01     30.01  ND                  
 23 09/13/2013 Away    L    85.44  28  34    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek       11.86    -17.86                      
 24 09/20/2013 Home    W   109.87  52   0    A  46 ( 34- 60-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac      36.28     15.72                      
 25 09/27/2013 Home    W *  97.78  41   0   1A  42 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                  24.20     16.80                      
 26 10/04/2013 Away    L    75.63   6  28   1A   2 ( 93- 22-  0) Dike-New Hartford       2.04    -24.04  ND                  
 27 10/11/2013 Away    W * 110.21  35  11   1A  14 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                 36.62    -12.62                      
 28 10/18/2013 Home    L    82.18  12  23    A   3 ( 95- 18-  0) Saint Ansgar            8.60    -19.60                      
 29 10/25/2013 Home    W   102.62  41  30   2A  10 ( 55- 31-  0) North Fayette Valley   29.04    -18.04                      
 30 10/30/2013 Away    L    85.63   6  18   1A   2 ( 93- 22-  0) Dike-New Hartford      12.04    -24.04                      
 31 08/29/2014 Home    W    75.38  31  14   2A  43 ( 16- 75-  0) Oelwein                 1.79     15.21                      
 32 09/05/2014 Away    W    95.11  54   6    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              21.53     26.47                      
 33 09/12/2014 Home    L    71.46  18  21   1A  24 ( 68- 36-  0) Hudson                 -2.13     -0.87                      
 34 09/19/2014 Away    W    84.41  42  19    A  46 ( 34- 60-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac      10.82     12.18                      
 35 09/26/2014 Home    L    43.90   0  44    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek      -29.68    -14.32                      
 36 10/03/2014 Home    W   107.67  30   6    A   7 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley          34.09    -10.09                      
 37 10/10/2014 Away    W *  93.32  54  21   1A  42 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                  19.74     13.26                      
 38 10/17/2014 Home    L    80.08  14  28   1A   2 ( 93- 22-  0) Dike-New Hartford       6.50    -20.50                      
 39 10/24/2014 Away    W    91.41  32   7    A  34 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR          17.82      7.18                      
 40 10/29/2014 Away    L    64.73  16  48    A   3 ( 95- 18-  0) Saint Ansgar           -8.86    -23.14                      
 41 08/28/2015 Away    W    69.92   8   0   2A  43 ( 16- 75-  0) Oelwein                -3.66     11.66  ND                  
 42 09/04/2015 Home    W    88.57  45   0    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              14.99     30.01  ND                  
 43 09/11/2015 Away    L    77.00  27  28   1A  24 ( 68- 36-  0) Hudson                  3.41     -4.41                      
 44 09/18/2015 Home    W    77.87  26   6    A  46 ( 34- 60-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac       4.28     15.72                      
 45 09/25/2015 Away    L    51.44   8  48    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek      -22.14    -17.86                      
 46 10/02/2015 Away    W   121.21  34   0    A   7 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley          47.63    -13.63  ND                  
 47 10/09/2015 Home    L *  29.78   7  34   1A  42 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                 -43.80     16.80                      
 48 10/16/2015 Away    L    63.63  14  48   1A   2 ( 93- 22-  0) Dike-New Hartford      -9.96    -24.04                      
 49 10/23/2015 Home    W    74.86  19   7    A  34 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR           1.28     10.72                      
 50 08/26/2016 Home    L    78.36  18  20   1A  17 ( 60- 39-  0) Aplington AP            4.77     -6.77  ND                  
 51 09/02/2016 Away    L    31.33   0  32    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan         -42.25     10.25  ND                  
 52 09/09/2016 Away    W    82.53  42   6    A  57 ( 21- 69-  0) Conrad BCLUW            8.95     27.05                      
 53 09/16/2016 Home    L    47.21  26  48   1A  31 ( 51- 41-  0) Belmond-Klemme        -26.38      4.38                      
 54 09/23/2016 Away    W *  86.23  46  12   1A  47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring   12.65     21.35                      
 55 09/30/2016 Home    L *  52.67  12  42   1A  14 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                -20.92     -9.08                      
 56 10/07/2016 Away    L    57.44   6  40    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek      -16.14    -17.86                      
 57 10/14/2016 Home    W    87.87  36   6    A  46 ( 34- 60-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac      14.28     15.72                      
 58 10/21/2016 Away    L    51.66  12  26    A  36 ( 32- 59-  0) Lake Mills            -21.93      7.93                      
 59 08/25/2017 Away    L    66.90  16  33   1A  17 ( 60- 39-  0) Aplington AP           -6.68    -10.32  ND                  
 60 09/01/2017 Home    L    44.79   6  21    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan         -28.80     13.80  ND                  
 61 09/08/2017 Home    W    72.99  36   6    A  57 ( 21- 69-  0) Conrad BCLUW           -0.59     30.59                      
 62 09/15/2017 Away    L    44.75   6  34   1A  31 ( 51- 41-  0) Belmond-Klemme        -28.83      0.83                      
 63 09/22/2017 Home    W *  68.69  28   8   1A  47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring   -4.89     24.89                      
 64 09/29/2017 Away    L *  38.21   0  48   1A  14 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                -35.38    -12.62                      
 65 10/06/2017 Home    L    47.90   0  40    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek      -25.68    -14.32                      
 66 10/13/2017 Away    W    77.41  28  12    A  46 ( 34- 60-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac       3.82     12.18                      
 67 10/20/2017 Home    W    91.12  46  17    A  36 ( 32- 59-  0) Lake Mills             17.53     11.47                      
 68 08/24/2018 Away    W    82.11  42   7    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville               8.53     26.47  ND                  
 69 08/31/2018 Home    W   123.90  44   8    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek       50.32    -14.32  ND                  
 70 09/07/2018 Away    W    99.17  26  22   2A  10 ( 55- 31-  0) North Fayette Valley   25.58    -21.58  ND                  
 71 09/14/2018 Home    W   101.87  44   0    A  46 ( 34- 60-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac      28.28     15.72  ND                  
 72 09/21/2018 Away    W    90.66  32   7    A  36 ( 32- 59-  0) Lake Mills             17.07      7.93                      
 73 09/28/2018 Home    L *  64.60  14  22   1A  26 ( 41- 52-  0) Osage                  -8.98      0.98                      
 74 10/04/2018 Home    W *  85.67  16  13   1A  14 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                 12.08     -9.08  was 10/05 now 10/04 
 75 10/12/2018 Away    L    68.90   6  21   1A  17 ( 60- 39-  0) Aplington AP           -4.68    -10.32                      
 76 10/19/2018 Home    W    94.07  42   0    A  50 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler    20.48     21.52                      
 77 10/26/2018 Away    L    69.41  16  42   1A   3 (101- 19-  0) Van Meter              -4.18    -21.82                      
 78 08/30/2019 Home    W    69.57  40  14    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              -4.01     30.01  ND                  
 79 09/06/2019 Away    L    63.44  14  42    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek      -10.14    -17.86  ND                  
 80 09/13/2019 Home    L    65.62   0  26   2A  10 ( 55- 31-  0) North Fayette Valley   -7.96    -18.04  ND                  
 81 09/20/2019 Away    L    22.41   0  39    A  46 ( 34- 60-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac     -51.18     12.18  ND                  
 82 09/27/2019 Home    W    69.12  13   6    A  36 ( 32- 59-  0) Lake Mills             -4.47     11.47                      
 83 10/04/2019 Away    L *  50.14  12  38   1A  26 ( 41- 52-  0) Osage                 -23.44     -2.56                      
 84 10/11/2019 Away    L *  64.21   6  28   1A  14 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                 -9.38    -12.62                      
 85 10/18/2019 Home    L    56.36   0  24   1A  17 ( 60- 39-  0) Aplington AP          -17.23     -6.77                      
 86 10/25/2019 Away    W    72.61  23   6    A  50 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler    -0.98     17.98                      
 87 08/28/2020 Home    W    77.57  34   0    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville               3.99     30.01  ND                  
 88 09/04/2020 Away    L    67.17   7  35   2A  10 ( 55- 31-  0) North Fayette Valley   -6.42    -21.58  ND                  
 89 09/11/2020 Home    L *  55.67   0  27   1A  14 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                -17.92     -9.08                      
 90 09/18/2020 Away    L *  67.14  13  22   1A  26 ( 41- 52-  0) Osage                  -6.44     -2.56                      
 91 09/25/2020 Away    L *  37.15   0  28   1A  38 ( 30- 62-  0) Waterloo Columbus     -36.44      8.44  ND                  
 92 10/02/2020 Home    W *  66.69  26   8   1A  47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring   -6.89     24.89                      
 93 10/09/2020 Home    W *  60.78  22  18   1A  42 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                 -12.80     16.80                      
 94 10/16/2020 Away    L *  40.21   7  53   1A  14 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                -33.38    -12.62                      
      Averages              73.65  21.1 20.1

Best game:  123.90 = 36 point win over Calmar South Winneshiek
Worst game:  22.41 = 39 point loss to Monona MFL-MarMac
Team stdev:  20.87