BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Centerville

Class: 3A Class Rank: 53 Conference: 3A-7 Record: (16-35-1) Overall: (50-44-1) Overall Strength =   61.22

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Away    L    18.44   0  34   2A  48 ( 49- 45-  0) Davis County          -42.71      8.71                      
  2 09/07/2001 Home    L *  44.41   6  29   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -16.74     -6.26                      
  3 09/14/2001 Home    W    56.19  33  22   2A  55 ( 33- 59-  0) Albia                  -4.96     15.96                      
  4 09/21/2001 Away    L    50.72  40  58   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington            -10.43     -7.57                      
  5 09/28/2001 Home    L *  31.27   7  42   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant        -29.88     -5.12                      
  6 10/05/2001 Away    L *  20.17   0  52   3A  34 ( 61- 36-  1) Fairfield             -40.97    -11.03                      
  7 10/12/2001 Home    W *  72.97  20   7   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                 11.83      1.17                      
  8 10/19/2001 Away    W    49.21  56  41   2A  63 ( 16- 74-  0) Central Lee           -11.94     26.94                      
  9 10/26/2001 Home    L *  12.46  18  48   3A  62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison          -48.69     18.69                      
 10 09/06/2002 Home    W    64.38  21   6   2A  48 ( 49- 45-  0) Davis County            3.23     11.77                      
 11 09/13/2002 Away    W    90.24  42   0   2A  55 ( 33- 59-  0) Albia                  29.09     12.91                      
 12 09/20/2002 Home    W *  81.27  21   6   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant         20.12     -5.12                      
 13 09/27/2002 Away    W    95.72  33   6   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington             34.57     -7.57                      
 14 10/04/2002 Away    W *  58.52  21   8   3A  62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison           -2.63     15.63                      
 15 10/11/2002 Home    W    68.15  51  14   2A  63 ( 16- 74-  0) Central Lee             7.00     30.00                      
 16 10/18/2002 Home    W *  66.97  14   7   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                  5.83      1.17                      
 17 10/25/2002 Away    L *  57.17  13  28   3A  34 ( 61- 36-  1) Fairfield              -3.97    -11.03                      
 18 11/01/2002 Away    L *  33.58   0  41   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -27.57    -13.43                      
 19 09/05/2003 Away    L    51.44  16  17   2A  48 ( 49- 45-  0) Davis County           -9.71      8.71                      
 20 09/12/2003 Home    W    52.19   7   0   2A  55 ( 33- 59-  0) Albia                  -8.96     15.96                      
 21 09/19/2003 Away    L *  62.33   0   7   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant          1.18     -8.18                      
 22 09/26/2003 Home    W    72.66  14   7   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington             11.52     -4.52                      
 23 10/03/2003 Home    W *  70.46  42  14   3A  62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison            9.31     18.69                      
 24 10/10/2003 Away    W    83.21  49   0   2A  63 ( 16- 74-  0) Central Lee            22.06     26.94                      
 25 10/17/2003 Away    L *  34.03  12  41   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                -27.12     -1.88                      
 26 10/24/2003 Home    W *  76.12  14   7   3A  34 ( 61- 36-  1) Fairfield              14.97     -7.97                      
 27 10/31/2003 Home    L *  49.52  16  38   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -11.62    -10.38                      
 28 09/03/2004 Home    W    64.38  40  25   2A  48 ( 49- 45-  0) Davis County            3.23     11.77                      
 29 09/10/2004 Away    W    81.24  33   0   2A  55 ( 33- 59-  0) Albia                  20.09     12.91                      
 30 09/17/2004 Away    L *  22.47   0  48   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -38.68     -9.32                      
 31 09/24/2004 Home    L *  46.27  20  40   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant        -14.88     -5.12                      
 32 10/01/2004 Home    W *  71.97  32  20   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                 10.83      1.17                      
 33 10/08/2004 Away    W    71.72  31  28 1 3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington             10.57     -7.57                      
 34 10/15/2004 Away    L *  30.58   6  50   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -30.57    -13.43                      
 35 10/22/2004 Home    W *  63.46  29   8   3A  62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison            2.31     18.69                      
 36 10/29/2004 Away    T *  72.17   0   0   3A  34 ( 61- 36-  1) Fairfield              11.03    -11.03  rain and lightning – suspended in first quarter – declared tie
 37 09/02/2005 Away    W    75.44  35  12   2A  48 ( 49- 45-  0) Davis County           14.29      8.71                      
 38 09/09/2005 Home    L    32.19   7  20   2A  55 ( 33- 59-  0) Albia                 -28.96     15.96                      
 39 09/16/2005 Home    L *  53.41  17  31   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               -7.74     -6.26                      
 40 09/23/2005 Away    L *  34.33   0  35   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant        -26.82     -8.18                      
 41 09/30/2005 Away    L *  24.03   0  39   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                -37.12     -1.88                      
 42 10/07/2005 Home    L    37.66   0  28   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington            -23.48     -4.52                      
 43 10/14/2005 Home    L *  20.52   6  57   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -40.62    -10.38                      
 44 10/21/2005 Away    L *  34.52  33  44   3A  62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison          -26.63     15.63                      
 45 10/28/2005 Home    L *  54.12  18  33   3A  34 ( 61- 36-  1) Fairfield              -7.03     -7.97                      
 46 09/01/2006 Away    L *  65.47  16  21   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton                4.32     -9.32                      
 47 09/08/2006 Home    W    60.19  42  27   2A  55 ( 33- 59-  0) Albia                  -0.96     15.96                      
 48 09/15/2006 Away    W    89.44  50  13   2A  48 ( 49- 45-  0) Davis County           28.29      8.71                      
 49 09/22/2006 Home    L *  26.97  14  47   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                -34.17      1.17                      
 50 09/29/2006 Home    L *  39.52  14  46   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -21.62    -10.38                      
 51 10/06/2006 Away    L *  56.17  20  36   3A  34 ( 61- 36-  1) Fairfield              -4.97    -11.03                      
 52 10/13/2006 Home    W *  84.46  56  14   3A  62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison           23.31     18.69                      
 53 10/20/2006 Away    L *  28.33  14  55   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant        -32.82     -8.18                      
 54 10/27/2006 Home    L    25.66  21  61   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington            -35.48     -4.52                      
 55 08/31/2007 Home    W * 111.41  44   0   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               50.26     -6.26                      
 56 09/07/2007 Away    W    95.24  47   0   2A  55 ( 33- 59-  0) Albia                  34.09     12.91                      
 57 09/14/2007 Home    W    99.38  50   0   2A  48 ( 49- 45-  0) Davis County           38.23     11.77                      
 58 09/21/2007 Away    L *  60.03  28  31   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                 -1.12     -1.88                      
 59 09/28/2007 Away    W *  76.58  28  26   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              15.43    -13.43                      
 60 10/05/2007 Home    L *  55.12  13  27   3A  34 ( 61- 36-  1) Fairfield              -6.03     -7.97                      
 61 10/12/2007 Away    W * 100.52  55   0   3A  62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison           39.37     15.63                      
 62 10/19/2007 Home    W * 102.27  36   0   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant         41.12     -5.12                      
 63 10/26/2007 Away    L    61.72  18  25   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington              0.57     -7.57                      
 64 08/29/2008 Away    W    58.44  34  28 2 2A  48 ( 49- 45-  0) Davis County           -2.71      8.71  non-district        
 65 09/05/2008 Home    W    96.19  58   7   2A  55 ( 33- 59-  0) Albia                  35.04     15.96  non-district        
 66 09/12/2008 Away    L *  62.51   0  20   3A  13 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                   1.36    -21.36                      
 67 09/19/2008 Home    W    87.77  28   7   3A  40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle               26.62     -5.62                      
 68 09/26/2008 Home    W    91.96  43   7   3A  57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                30.81      5.19                      
 69 10/03/2008 Away    W    97.50  36   0   3A  55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville              36.35     -0.35                      
 70 10/10/2008 Home    W   121.15  41   3   3A   8 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell               60.00    -22.00                      
 71 10/17/2008 Away    W    95.66  38  13   3A  37 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama        34.51     -9.51                      
 72 10/24/2008 Home    W *  88.41  28   7   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               27.26     -6.26                      
 73 10/29/2008 Home    W    70.79  30  16   3A  56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana       9.64      4.36                      
 74 11/03/2008 Away    L *  56.33  21  34   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant         -4.82     -8.18                      
 75 08/28/2009 Home    W    71.38  40  18   2A  48 ( 49- 45-  0) Davis County           10.23     11.77  nd                  
 76 09/04/2009 Away    W    82.24  34   0   2A  55 ( 33- 59-  0) Albia                  21.09     12.91  nd                  
 77 09/11/2009 Home    W *  80.46  44  43 1 3A  13 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                  19.31    -18.31                      
 78 09/18/2009 Away    W   102.82  46  13   3A  40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle               41.68     -8.68                      
 79 09/25/2009 Away    W    84.01  39  14   3A  57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                22.87      2.13                      
 80 10/02/2009 Home    W    85.45  27   0   3A  55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville              24.30      2.70                      
 81 10/09/2009 Away    W    94.21  29  21   3A   8 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell               33.06    -25.06                      
 82 10/16/2009 Home    W   106.60  46   7   3A  37 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama        45.46     -6.46                      
 83 10/23/2009 Away    W *  80.47  20  10   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               19.32     -9.32                      
 84 10/28/2009 Home    W    97.66  40   8   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington             36.52     -4.52                      
 85 11/02/2009 Home    W    73.79  30  13   3A  56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana      12.64      4.36                      
 86 11/06/2009 Away    L *  78.51  20  24   3A  13 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                  17.36    -21.36                      
 87 08/27/2010 Home    L    35.19  18  28   2A  55 ( 33- 59-  0) Albia                 -25.96     15.96  ND                  
 88 09/03/2010 Away    L    19.44  10  43   2A  48 ( 49- 45-  0) Davis County          -41.71      8.71  ND                  
 89 09/11/2010 Home    L *  33.52   6  44   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -27.62    -10.38  was 09/10 now 09/11 
 90 09/17/2010 Away    L *  26.33   6  49   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant        -34.82     -8.18                      
 91 09/24/2010 Away    L *  21.51   0  61   3A  13 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                 -39.64    -21.36                      
 92 10/01/2010 Home    L *  24.97   7  42   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                -36.17      1.17                      
 93 10/08/2010 Away    L *  19.17   0  53   3A  34 ( 61- 36-  1) Fairfield             -41.97    -11.03                      
 94 10/15/2010 Home    L *  11.46  10  41   3A  62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison          -49.69     18.69                      
 95 10/22/2010 Away    L *   7.47   7  70   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -53.68     -9.32                      
      Averages              61.22  23.9 23.9

Best game:  121.15 = 38 point win over Grinnell
Worst game:   7.47 = 63 point loss to Chariton
Team stdev:  27.23