BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Carlisle

Class: 3A Class Rank: 40 Conference: Raccoon River Record: (14-5-0) Overall: (61-39-0) Overall Strength =   68.44

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/31/2001 Away    W * *  48.43  21   0   3A 64 (  6- 84-  0) Saydel                -19.87     40.87                      
 2 09/07/2001 Home    L      30.03   0  14   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville         -38.27     24.27                      
 3 09/14/2001 Away    W      60.54  21  20   2A 38 ( 45- 50-  0) Bondurant-Farrar       -7.76      8.76                      
 4 09/21/2001 Home    W      67.55  33  14   1A 41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley         -0.75     19.75                      
 5 09/28/2001 Away    L      35.47   7  42   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -32.83     -2.17                      
 6 10/05/2001 Home    L      49.51  17  21 1 1A 33 ( 68- 29-  0) Mount Ayr             -18.79     14.79                      
 7 10/12/2001 Away    L      32.81   0  35   2A 20 ( 62- 38-  0) Clarinda              -35.48      0.48                      
 8 10/19/2001 Home    W      53.88  28   7   2A 61 ( 20- 71-  0) Shenandoah            -14.41     35.41                      
 9 10/26/2001 Away    L      64.85  24  28   2A 19 ( 68- 33-  0) Prairie City-Monroe    -3.45     -0.55                      
10 09/06/2002 Home    W * *  65.38  41   0   3A 64 (  6- 84-  0) Saydel                 -2.92     43.92                      
11 09/13/2002 Away    W      67.08  28   8   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville          -1.21     21.21                      
12 09/20/2002 Home    W      70.48  24  10   2A 38 ( 45- 50-  0) Bondurant-Farrar        2.18     11.82                      
13 09/27/2002 Away    W      88.10  29  13   2A 14 ( 61- 38-  0) West Marshall          19.81     -3.81                      
14 10/04/2002 Home    W      93.80  34   0   2A 30 ( 49- 49-  0) Alleman North Polk     25.50      8.50                      
15 10/11/2002 Away    W     109.40  48   0   2A 35 ( 49- 51-  0) Gilbert                41.10      6.90                      
16 10/18/2002 Home    L      53.80   6  18   2A 19 ( 68- 33-  0) Prairie City-Monroe   -14.50      2.50                      
17 10/25/2002 Away    W      67.54  13  12   2A 22 ( 55- 39-  0) Baxter CMB             -0.76      1.76                      
18 11/01/2002 Home    W      71.33   9   8   2A  9 ( 65- 34-  0) Roland-Story            3.03     -2.03                      
19 11/06/2002 Home    W      47.70  24  18   2A 58 ( 40- 55-  0) Eddyville-Blakesburg  -20.59     26.59                      
20 11/12/2002 Away    L      39.81  13  41   2A 20 ( 62- 38-  0) Clarinda              -28.48      0.48                      
21 09/05/2003 Away    W * *  62.43  41   6   3A 64 (  6- 84-  0) Saydel                 -5.87     40.87                      
22 09/12/2003 Home    W      75.03  37   6   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville           6.73     24.27                      
23 09/19/2003 Away    W      94.54  41   6   2A 38 ( 45- 50-  0) Bondurant-Farrar       26.24      8.76                      
24 09/26/2003 Home    L      62.05  14  21   2A 14 ( 61- 38-  0) West Marshall          -6.25     -0.75                      
25 10/03/2003 Away    W     104.85  42   0   2A 30 ( 49- 49-  0) Alleman North Polk     36.55      5.45                      
26 10/10/2003 Home    W      98.34  48   8   2A 35 ( 49- 51-  0) Gilbert                30.04      9.96                      
27 10/17/2003 Away    W      76.85  20  12   2A 19 ( 68- 33-  0) Prairie City-Monroe     8.55     -0.55                      
28 10/24/2003 Home    W      84.48  27   6   2A 22 ( 55- 39-  0) Baxter CMB             16.19      4.81                      
29 10/31/2003 Away    W      87.39  28  14   2A  9 ( 65- 34-  0) Roland-Story           19.09     -5.09                      
30 11/05/2003 Home    L      39.76  17  42   2A 20 ( 62- 38-  0) Clarinda              -28.54      3.54                      
31 09/03/2004 Home    W * *  71.38  47   0   3A 64 (  6- 84-  0) Saydel                  3.08     43.92                      
32 09/10/2004 Away    W      73.08  26   0   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville           4.79     21.21                      
33 09/17/2004 Home    L      38.15   6  51   3A  7 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell              -30.14    -14.86                      
34 09/24/2004 Away    L      60.05  20  48   3A  5 ( 81- 25-  0) Williamsburg           -8.25    -19.75                      
35 10/01/2004 Home    L      53.46   0  26   3A 12 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                 -14.84    -11.16                      
36 10/08/2004 Away    L      48.66   6  28   3A 36 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama       -19.64     -2.36                      
37 10/15/2004 Away    L      34.63  13  57   3A 15 ( 55- 38-  0) Van Horne Benton      -33.66    -10.34                      
38 10/22/2004 Home    L   *  56.45  20  22   3A 55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville             -11.85      9.85                      
39 10/29/2004 Home    W      91.79  49  14   3A 56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana      23.49     11.51                      
40 09/02/2005 Away    W * *  53.43  39  13   3A 64 (  6- 84-  0) Saydel                -14.87     40.87                      
41 09/09/2005 Home    W      51.03  21  14   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville         -17.27     24.27                      
42 09/16/2005 Away    L      66.21  14  34   3A  7 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell               -2.09    -17.91                      
43 09/23/2005 Home    L      47.00   0  38   3A  5 ( 81- 25-  0) Williamsburg          -21.30    -16.70                      
44 09/30/2005 Away    L      54.51  12  40   3A 12 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                 -13.78    -14.22                      
45 10/07/2005 Home    L      54.61  28  41   3A 36 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama       -13.69      0.69                      
46 10/14/2005 Home    L      66.58   7  16   3A 15 ( 55- 38-  0) Van Horne Benton       -1.72     -7.28                      
47 10/21/2005 Away    L   *  26.50  14  49   3A 55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville             -41.79      6.79                      
48 10/28/2005 Away    W      68.84  21  12   3A 56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana       0.54      8.46                      
49 09/01/2006 Home    W * *  50.38  44  18   3A 64 (  6- 84-  0) Saydel                -17.92     43.92                      
50 09/08/2006 Away    W      73.08  32   6   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville           4.79     21.21                      
51 09/15/2006 Home    L * *  26.29   6  41   3A 49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM              -42.01      7.01                      
52 09/22/2006 Away    L *    56.20  17  31   3A 39 ( 43- 50-  0) Winterset             -12.10     -1.90                      
53 09/29/2006 Home    W   *  86.45  35   7   3A 55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville              18.15      9.85                      
54 10/06/2006 Away    W      57.73  27   6   2A 60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke        -10.57     31.57                      
55 10/13/2006 Home    L      54.46  21  46   3A 12 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                 -13.84    -11.16                      
56 10/20/2006 Away    L      43.47  21  48   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -24.83     -2.17                      
57 10/27/2006 Home    W   *  71.96  23   7   3A 57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                 3.66     12.34                      
58 08/31/2007 Away    W * *  78.43  51   0   3A 64 (  6- 84-  0) Saydel                 10.13     40.87                      
59 09/07/2007 Home    W      66.03  28   6   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville          -2.27     24.27                      
60 09/14/2007 Away    W * *  87.34  45  22   3A 49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM               19.04      3.96                      
61 09/21/2007 Home    W *    95.15  35   7   3A 39 ( 43- 50-  0) Winterset              26.85      1.15                      
62 09/28/2007 Away    W   *  99.50  38   0   3A 55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville              31.21      6.79                      
63 10/05/2007 Home    W      82.67  49   0   2A 60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke         14.37     34.63                      
64 10/12/2007 Away    L      76.51  14  20   3A 12 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                   8.22    -14.22                      
65 10/19/2007 Home    W      95.41  35   7   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               27.12      0.88                      
66 10/26/2007 Away    W   *  99.02  47   7   3A 57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                30.72      9.28                      
67 10/31/2007 Home    W * *  85.59  31  13   3A 37 ( 55- 40-  0) Dallas Center-Grimes   17.30      0.70                      
68 11/06/2007 Away    W     117.51  52  17   3A 12 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                  49.22    -14.22                      
69 11/12/2007 Neutral L      84.58  20  26   3A  3 ( 94- 22-  0) Sioux City Heelan      16.28    -22.28                      
70 08/29/2008 Home    W      65.03  35  14   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville          -3.27     24.27  non-district        
71 09/05/2008 Away    L *    44.26   0  40   3A 11 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll               -24.04    -15.96  non-district        
72 09/12/2008 Home    W      71.61  12   8   3A 36 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama         3.31      0.69                      
73 09/19/2008 Away    L      41.68   7  28   3A 53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville           -26.62      5.62                      
74 09/26/2008 Away    L      64.51   7  25   3A 12 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                  -3.78    -14.22                      
75 10/03/2008 Home    W      95.41  35   7   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               27.12      0.88                      
76 10/10/2008 Home    W   *  87.45  42  13   3A 55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville              19.15      9.85                      
77 10/17/2008 Away    L   *  54.02  17  22   3A 57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk               -14.28      9.28                      
78 10/24/2008 Away    L      76.21  28  38   3A  7 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell                7.91    -17.91                      
79 08/28/2009 Away    W      79.08  52  20   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville          10.79     21.21  nd                  
80 09/04/2009 Home    L *    57.20   7  31   3A 11 ( 72- 30-  0) Carroll               -11.10    -12.90  nd                  
81 09/11/2009 Away    W      91.66  35  14   3A 36 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama        23.36     -2.36                      
82 09/18/2009 Home    L      26.62  13  46   3A 53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville           -41.68      8.68                      
83 09/25/2009 Home    W      83.46  27  23   3A 12 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                  15.16    -11.16                      
84 10/02/2009 Away    W      91.47  28   7   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               23.17     -2.17                      
85 10/09/2009 Away    W   *  96.50  35   0   3A 55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville              28.21      6.79                      
86 10/16/2009 Home    W   *  69.96  17   3   3A 57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                 1.66     12.34                      
87 10/23/2009 Home    L      82.15  14  15   3A  7 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell               13.86    -14.86                      
88 10/28/2009 Away    L      24.84   3  38   3A 56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana     -43.46      8.46                      
89 08/27/2010 Home    W      71.03  47  20   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville           2.73     24.27  ND                  
90 09/03/2010 Away    W *    71.20  38  37 2 3A 39 ( 43- 50-  0) Winterset               2.90     -1.90  ND                  
91 09/10/2010 Home    W * *  92.38  68   0   3A 64 (  6- 84-  0) Saydel                 24.08     43.92                      
92 09/17/2010 Away    W * *  91.11  41   6   3A 59 ( 29- 62-  0) Perry                  22.81     12.19                      
93 09/24/2010 Home    W   *  86.45  35   7   3A 55 ( 41- 48-  0) Knoxville              18.15      9.85                      
94 10/01/2010 Away    W * *  90.34  33   7   3A 49 ( 44- 52-  0) Adel ADM               22.04      3.96                      
95 10/08/2010 Home    W   *  69.96  17   3   3A 57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                 1.66     12.34                      
96 10/15/2010 Away    L * *  62.65  20  28   3A 37 ( 55- 40-  0) Dallas Center-Grimes   -5.65     -2.35                      
97 10/22/2010 Away    L   *  70.87  13  16   3A 30 ( 57- 40-  0) Newton                  2.57     -5.57                      
98 10/27/2010 Home    W      86.12  33  16   3A 33 ( 61- 36-  1) Fairfield              17.82     -0.82                      
99 11/01/2010 Home    W   *  73.96  35  17   3A 57 ( 39- 54-  0) Norwalk                 5.66     12.34                      
100 11/08/2010 Away    L      67.51   9  24   3A 12 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                  -0.78    -14.22                      
      Averages              68.44  25.5 18.4

Best game:  117.51 = 35 point win over Pella
Worst game:  24.84 = 35 point loss to Tiffin Clear Creek-Amana
Team stdev:  20.58