BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Fairfield

Class: 3A Class Rank: 34 Conference: 3A-7 Record: (38-20-1) Overall: (61-36-1) Overall Strength =   70.81

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Away    W    77.66  14   7   3A  37 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama         7.01     -0.01                      
  2 09/07/2001 Home    L *  58.52  15  28   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -12.12     -0.88                      
  3 09/14/2001 Home    W    86.66  21   0   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington             16.02      4.98                      
  4 09/21/2001 Away    W *  99.52  54   0   3A  62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison           28.87     25.13                      
  5 09/28/2001 Home    W    86.15  61   6   2A  63 ( 16- 74-  0) Central Lee            15.51     39.49                      
  6 10/05/2001 Home    W * 111.62  52   0   3A  53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville            40.97     11.03                      
  7 10/12/2001 Away    W *  79.33  17   7   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant          8.68      1.32                      
  8 10/19/2001 Away    W    60.24  21   9   2A  55 ( 33- 59-  0) Albia                 -10.40     22.40                      
  9 10/26/2001 Home    W * 114.97  55   0   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                 44.33     10.67                      
 10 10/31/2001 Home    L    57.60  10  20   3A  37 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama       -13.04      3.04                      
 11 09/06/2002 Home    L    42.60   3  28   3A  37 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama       -28.04      3.04                      
 12 09/13/2002 Home    L *  57.41  10  20   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -13.23      3.23                      
 13 09/20/2002 Away    L *  54.58  13  33   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -16.06     -3.94                      
 14 09/27/2002 Home    W *  78.97  28   9   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                  8.33     10.67                      
 15 10/04/2002 Away    W    69.72  14  13   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington             -0.93      1.93                      
 16 10/11/2002 Away    W *  92.33  23   0   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant         21.68      1.32                      
 17 10/18/2002 Home    W    62.15  31   0   2A  63 ( 16- 74-  0) Central Lee            -8.49     39.49                      
 18 10/25/2002 Home    W *  74.62  28  13   3A  53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville             3.97     11.03                      
 19 11/01/2002 Away    W *  74.52  35   6   3A  62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison            3.87     25.13                      
 20 11/06/2002 Away    L    34.36   7  51   3A  18 ( 55- 48-  0) Mount Vernon          -36.28     -7.72                      
 21 09/05/2003 Away    L    43.66  20  47   3A  37 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama       -26.99     -0.01                      
 22 09/12/2003 Away    L *  50.47   6  26   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -20.18      0.18                      
 23 09/19/2003 Home    L *  64.52   7  14 1 3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              -6.12     -0.88                      
 24 09/26/2003 Away    L *  60.03  12  15   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                -10.62      7.62                      
 25 10/03/2003 Home    W    73.66  26  18   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington              3.02      4.98                      
 26 10/10/2003 Home    W *  80.27  31  17   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant          9.63      4.37                      
 27 10/17/2003 Away    W    54.21  28   8   2A  63 ( 16- 74-  0) Central Lee           -16.44     36.44                      
 28 10/24/2003 Away    L *  55.67   7  14   3A  53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville           -14.97      7.97                      
 29 10/31/2003 Home    W *  52.46  17   7   3A  62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison          -18.18     28.18                      
 30 09/03/2004 Home    W    82.60  51  36   3A  37 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama        11.96      3.04                      
 31 09/10/2004 Away    W    85.36  21  14   3A  18 ( 55- 48-  0) Mount Vernon           14.72     -7.72                      
 32 09/17/2004 Away    W *  76.33  35  28   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant          5.68      1.32                      
 33 09/24/2004 Home    W    85.66  34  14   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington             15.02      4.98                      
 34 10/01/2004 Home    W * 118.52  47   0   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              47.88     -0.88                      
 35 10/08/2004 Away    L *  49.47   0  21   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -21.18      0.18                      
 36 10/15/2004 Home    W *  98.46  62   6   3A  62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison           27.82     28.18                      
 37 10/25/2004 Away    W *  98.03  48  13   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                 27.38      7.62                      
 38 10/29/2004 Home    T *  59.62   0   0   3A  53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville           -11.03     11.03  rain and lightning – suspended in first quarter – declared tie
 39 11/03/2004 Away    W    92.63  30  16   3A  16 ( 55- 38-  0) Van Horne Benton       21.99     -7.99                      
 40 11/09/2004 Home    W *  78.41  17   6   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton                7.77      3.23                      
 41 11/15/2004 Neutral L    55.55  14  42   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah               -15.10    -12.90                      
 42 09/02/2005 Away    W    77.66  28  21   3A  37 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama         7.01     -0.01                      
 43 09/09/2005 Home    W    85.31  10   0   3A  18 ( 55- 48-  0) Mount Vernon           14.66     -4.66                      
 44 09/16/2005 Home    L *  65.27  20  21   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant         -5.37      4.37                      
 45 09/23/2005 Away    L    57.72  15  26   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington            -12.93      1.93                      
 46 09/30/2005 Away    L *  57.58  21  38   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -13.06     -3.94                      
 47 10/07/2005 Home    L *  41.41   6  32   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -29.23      3.23                      
 48 10/14/2005 Away    W *  71.52  35   9   3A  62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison            0.87     25.13                      
 49 10/21/2005 Home    W *  94.97  55  20   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                 24.33     10.67                      
 50 10/28/2005 Away    W *  77.67  33  18   3A  53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville             7.03      7.97                      
 51 09/01/2006 Away    W    92.66  28   6   3A  37 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama        22.01     -0.01                      
 52 09/08/2006 Home    W *  71.41  24  20   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton                0.77      3.23                      
 53 09/15/2006 Home    L    28.66   6  43   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington            -41.98      4.98                      
 54 09/22/2006 Away    W *  96.58  36  14   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              25.94     -3.94                      
 55 09/29/2006 Away    W *  87.52  42   0   3A  62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison           16.87     25.13                      
 56 10/06/2006 Home    W *  75.62  36  20   3A  53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville             4.97     11.03                      
 57 10/13/2006 Away    W *  77.03  42  28   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                  6.38      7.62                      
 58 10/20/2006 Home    W    93.38  44   0   2A  48 ( 49- 45-  0) Davis County           22.74     21.26                      
 59 10/27/2006 Home    L *  53.27  21  34   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant        -17.37      4.37                      
 60 08/31/2007 Home    L    58.60  34  43   3A  37 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama       -12.04      3.04                      
 61 09/07/2007 Away    W *  81.47  32  21   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               10.82      0.18                      
 62 09/14/2007 Away    W    88.72  41  21   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington             18.07      1.93                      
 63 09/21/2007 Home    W *  91.52  48  28   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              20.88     -0.88                      
 64 09/28/2007 Home    W *  66.46  36  12   3A  62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison           -4.18     28.18                      
 65 10/05/2007 Away    W *  76.67  27  13   3A  53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville             6.03      7.97                      
 66 10/12/2007 Home    L *  23.97  20  56   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                -46.67     10.67                      
 67 10/19/2007 Away    W    92.44  55  15   2A  48 ( 49- 45-  0) Davis County           21.79     18.21                      
 68 10/26/2007 Away    L *  59.33  20  30   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant        -11.32      1.32                      
 69 10/31/2007 Away    L    49.94  41  69   3A  20 ( 56- 40-  0) Central Clinton       -20.71     -7.29                      
 70 08/29/2008 Away    W    73.24  32   7   2A  55 ( 33- 59-  0) Albia                   2.60     22.40  non-district        
 71 09/05/2008 Home    W *  73.41  34  28 2 3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton                2.77      3.23  non-district        
 72 09/12/2008 Away    L    47.05   0  41   3A   6 ( 81- 25-  0) Williamsburg          -23.59    -17.41                      
 73 09/19/2008 Home    L    35.79  21  42   3A  56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana     -34.86     13.86                      
 74 09/26/2008 Away    W *  80.52  41   6   3A  62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison            9.87     25.13                      
 75 10/03/2008 Home    L *  31.97   0  28   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                -38.67     10.67                      
 76 10/10/2008 Away    L *  54.58  15  35   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -16.06     -3.94                      
 77 10/17/2008 Home    L    31.66  24  58   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington            -38.98      4.98                      
 78 10/24/2008 Away    L *  59.33  20  30   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant        -11.32      1.32                      
 79 08/28/2009 Home    W    72.19  27   0   2A  55 ( 33- 59-  0) Albia                   1.54     25.46  nd                  
 80 09/04/2009 Away    W *  77.47  14   7   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton                6.82      0.18  nd                  
 81 09/11/2009 Home    L    64.00   0  21   3A   6 ( 81- 25-  0) Williamsburg           -6.65    -14.35                      
 82 09/18/2009 Away    L    48.84  26  37   3A  56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana     -21.80     10.80                      
 83 09/25/2009 Home    W *  62.46  28   8   3A  62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison           -8.18     28.18                      
 84 10/02/2009 Away    W *  70.03  14   7   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                 -0.62      7.62                      
 85 10/09/2009 Home    W *  99.52  55  27   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              28.88     -0.88                      
 86 10/16/2009 Away    W    78.72  10   0   3A  42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington              8.07      1.93                      
 87 10/23/2009 Home    W *  86.27  20   0   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant         15.63      4.37                      
 88 10/28/2009 Away    L    66.21   7  27   3A   8 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell               -4.44    -15.56                      
 89 08/27/2010 Home    W    72.38  23   0   2A  48 ( 49- 45-  0) Davis County            1.74     21.26  ND                  
 90 09/03/2010 Home    W    84.88  37  27   3A  20 ( 56- 40-  0) Central Clinton        14.24     -4.24  ND                  
 91 09/14/2010 Away    L *  55.33  14  28   3A  41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant        -15.32      1.32  was 09/10 now 09/13 now 09/14
 92 09/17/2010 Away    W *  64.52  22   3   3A  62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison           -6.13     25.13                      
 93 09/24/2010 Home    W *  87.41  34  14   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               16.77      3.23                      
 94 10/01/2010 Away    L *  73.58  19  20   3A  27 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa               2.94     -3.94                      
 95 10/08/2010 Home    W * 112.62  53   0   3A  53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville            41.97     11.03                      
 96 10/15/2010 Away    L *  62.51   0  20   3A  13 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                  -8.13    -11.87                      
 97 10/22/2010 Home    W *  76.97  34  17   3A  52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                  6.33     10.67                      
 98 10/27/2010 Away    L    52.82  16  33   3A  40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle              -17.82      0.82                      
      Averages              70.81  25.7 18.8

Best game:  118.52 = 47 point win over Oskaloosa
Worst game:  23.97 = 36 point loss to Keokuk
Team stdev:  19.59