BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Fairfield

Class: 3A Class Rank: 33 Conference: Southeast Record: (28-11-0) Overall: (61-36-1) Overall Strength =   70.93

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08-31-2001 Away    W      77.66  14   7   3A 36 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama         7.01     -0.01                      
 2 09-07-2001 Home    L   *  58.53  15  28   3A 26 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -12.12     -0.88                      
 3 09-14-2001 Home    W *    86.67  21   0   3A 42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington             16.02      4.98                      
 4 09-21-2001 Away    W * *  99.52  54   0   3A 62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison           28.87     25.13                      
 5 09-28-2001 Home    W      86.15  61   6   2A 63 ( 16- 74-  0) Central Lee            15.51     39.49                      
 6 10-05-2001 Home    W   * 111.62  52   0   3A 53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville            40.98     11.02                      
 7 10-12-2001 Away    W * *  79.33  17   7   3A 41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant          8.68      1.32                      
 8 10-19-2001 Away    W      60.24  21   9   2A 55 ( 33- 59-  0) Albia                 -10.40     22.40                      
 9 10-26-2001 Home    W * * 114.98  55   0   3A 52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                 44.33     10.67                      
10 10-31-2001 Home    L      57.61  10  20   3A 36 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama       -13.04      3.04                      
11 09-06-2002 Home    L      42.61   3  28   3A 36 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama       -28.04      3.04                      
12 09-13-2002 Home    L   *  57.41  10  20   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -13.23      3.23                      
13 09-20-2002 Away    L   *  54.58  13  33   3A 26 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -16.07     -3.93                      
14 09-27-2002 Home    W * *  78.98  28   9   3A 52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                  8.33     10.67                      
15 10-04-2002 Away    W *    69.72  14  13   3A 42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington             -0.93      1.93                      
16 10-11-2002 Away    W * *  92.33  23   0   3A 41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant         21.68      1.32                      
17 10-18-2002 Home    W      62.15  31   0   2A 63 ( 16- 74-  0) Central Lee            -8.49     39.49                      
18 10-25-2002 Home    W   *  74.62  28  13   3A 53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville             3.98     11.02                      
19 11-01-2002 Away    W * *  74.52  35   6   3A 62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison            3.87     25.13                      
20 11-06-2002 Away    L      34.37   7  51   3A 17 ( 55- 48-  0) Mount Vernon          -36.28     -7.72                      
21 09-05-2003 Away    L      43.66  20  47   3A 36 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama       -26.99     -0.01                      
22 09-12-2003 Away    L   *  50.47   6  26   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -20.18      0.18                      
23 09-19-2003 Home    L   *  64.53   7  14 1 3A 26 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              -6.12     -0.88                      
24 09-26-2003 Away    L * *  60.03  12  15   3A 52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                -10.62      7.62                      
25 10-03-2003 Home    W *    73.67  26  18   3A 42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington              3.02      4.98                      
26 10-10-2003 Home    W * *  80.27  31  17   3A 41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant          9.63      4.37                      
27 10-17-2003 Away    W      54.21  28   8   2A 63 ( 16- 74-  0) Central Lee           -16.44     36.44                      
28 10-24-2003 Away    L   *  55.68   7  14   3A 53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville           -14.97      7.97                      
29 10-31-2003 Home    W * *  52.46  17   7   3A 62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison          -18.18     28.18                      
30 09-03-2004 Home    W      82.61  51  36   3A 36 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama        11.96      3.04                      
31 09-10-2004 Away    W      85.37  21  14   3A 17 ( 55- 48-  0) Mount Vernon           14.72     -7.72                      
32 09-17-2004 Away    W * *  76.33  35  28   3A 41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant          5.68      1.32                      
33 09-24-2004 Home    W *    85.67  34  14   3A 42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington             15.02      4.98                      
34 10-01-2004 Home    W   * 118.53  47   0   3A 26 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              47.88     -0.88                      
35 10-08-2004 Away    L   *  49.47   0  21   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -21.18      0.18                      
36 10-15-2004 Home    W * *  98.46  62   6   3A 62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison           27.82     28.18                      
37 10-25-2004 Away    W * *  98.03  48  13   3A 52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                 27.38      7.62                      
38 10-29-2004 Home    T   *  59.62   0   0   3A 53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville           -11.02 *   11.02  rain and lightning – suspended in first quarter – declared tie
39 11-03-2004 Away    W      92.63  30  16   3A 15 ( 55- 38-  0) Van Horne Benton       21.99     -7.99                      
40 11-09-2004 Home    W   *  78.41  17   6   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton                7.77      3.23                      
41 11-15-2004 Neutral L      55.55  14  42   3A 10 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah               -15.09    -12.91                      
42 09-02-2005 Away    W      77.66  28  21   3A 36 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama         7.01     -0.01                      
43 09-09-2005 Home    W      85.31  10   0   3A 17 ( 55- 48-  0) Mount Vernon           14.66     -4.66                      
44 09-16-2005 Home    L * *  65.27  20  21   3A 41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant         -5.37      4.37                      
45 09-23-2005 Away    L *    57.72  15  26   3A 42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington            -12.93      1.93                      
46 09-30-2005 Away    L   *  57.58  21  38   3A 26 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -13.07     -3.93                      
47 10-07-2005 Home    L   *  41.41   6  32   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -29.23      3.23                      
48 10-14-2005 Away    W * *  71.52  35   9   3A 62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison            0.87     25.13                      
49 10-21-2005 Home    W * *  94.98  55  20   3A 52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                 24.33     10.67                      
50 10-28-2005 Away    W   *  77.68  33  18   3A 53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville             7.03      7.97                      
51 09-01-2006 Away    W      92.66  28   6   3A 36 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama        22.01     -0.01                      
52 09-08-2006 Home    W   *  71.41  24  20   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton                0.77      3.23                      
53 09-15-2006 Home    L *    28.67   6  43   3A 42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington            -41.98      4.98                      
54 09-22-2006 Away    W   *  96.58  36  14   3A 26 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              25.93     -3.93                      
55 09-29-2006 Away    W * *  87.52  42   0   3A 62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison           16.87     25.13                      
56 10-06-2006 Home    W   *  75.62  36  20   3A 53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville             4.98     11.02                      
57 10-13-2006 Away    W * *  77.03  42  28   3A 52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                  6.38      7.62                      
58 10-20-2006 Home    W      93.38  44   0   2A 48 ( 49- 45-  0) Davis County           22.74     21.26                      
59 10-27-2006 Home    L * *  53.27  21  34   3A 41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant        -17.37      4.37                      
60 08-31-2007 Home    L      58.61  34  43   3A 36 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama       -12.04      3.04                      
61 09-07-2007 Away    W   *  81.47  32  21   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               10.82      0.18                      
62 09-14-2007 Away    W *    88.72  41  21   3A 42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington             18.07      1.93                      
63 09-21-2007 Home    W   *  91.53  48  28   3A 26 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              20.88     -0.88                      
64 09-28-2007 Home    W * *  66.46  36  12   3A 62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison           -4.18     28.18                      
65 10-05-2007 Away    W   *  76.68  27  13   3A 53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville             6.03      7.97                      
66 10-12-2007 Home    L * *  23.98  20  56   3A 52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                -46.67     10.67                      
67 10-19-2007 Away    W      92.44  55  15   2A 48 ( 49- 45-  0) Davis County           21.79     18.21                      
68 10-26-2007 Away    L * *  59.33  20  30   3A 41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant        -11.32      1.32                      
69 10-31-2007 Away    L      49.94  41  69   3A 19 ( 56- 40-  0) Central Clinton       -20.71     -7.29                      
70 08-29-2008 Away    W      73.24  32   7   2A 55 ( 33- 59-  0) Albia                   2.60     22.40  non-district        
71 09-05-2008 Home    W   *  73.41  34  28 2 3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton                2.77      3.23  non-district        
72 09-12-2008 Away    L      47.05   0  41   3A  5 ( 81- 25-  0) Williamsburg          -23.59    -17.41                      
73 09-19-2008 Home    L      35.79  21  42   3A 56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana     -34.86     13.86                      
74 09-26-2008 Away    W * *  80.52  41   6   3A 62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison            9.87     25.13                      
75 10-03-2008 Home    L * *  31.98   0  28   3A 52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                -38.67     10.67                      
76 10-10-2008 Away    L   *  54.58  15  35   3A 26 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa             -16.07     -3.93                      
77 10-17-2008 Home    L *    31.67  24  58   3A 42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington            -38.98      4.98                      
78 10-24-2008 Away    L * *  59.33  20  30   3A 41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant        -11.32      1.32                      
79 08-28-2009 Home    W      72.19  27   0   2A 55 ( 33- 59-  0) Albia                   1.54     25.46  nd                  
80 09-04-2009 Away    W   *  77.47  14   7   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton                6.82      0.18  nd                  
81 09-11-2009 Home    L      64.00   0  21   3A  5 ( 81- 25-  0) Williamsburg           -6.65    -14.35                      
82 09-18-2009 Away    L      48.84  26  37   3A 56 ( 34- 61-  0) Clear Creek-Amana     -21.80     10.80                      
83 09-25-2009 Home    W * *  62.46  28   8   3A 62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison           -8.18     28.18                      
84 10-02-2009 Away    W * *  70.03  14   7   3A 52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                 -0.62      7.62                      
85 10-09-2009 Home    W   *  99.53  55  27   3A 26 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa              28.88     -0.88                      
86 10-16-2009 Away    W *    78.72  10   0   3A 42 ( 48- 46-  0) Washington              8.07      1.93                      
87 10-23-2009 Home    W * *  86.27  20   0   3A 41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant         15.63      4.37                      
88 10-28-2009 Away    L      66.21   7  27   3A  7 ( 76- 27-  0) Grinnell               -4.44    -15.56                      
89 08-27-2010 Home    W      72.38  23   0   2A 48 ( 49- 45-  0) Davis County            1.74     21.26  ND                  
90 09-03-2010 Home    W      84.88  37  27   3A 19 ( 56- 40-  0) Central Clinton        14.24     -4.24  ND                  
91 09-14-2010 Away    L * *  55.33  14  28   3A 41 ( 58- 36-  0) Mount Pleasant        -15.32      1.32  was 09/10 now 09/13 now 09/14
92 09-17-2010 Away    W * *  64.52  22   3   3A 62 ( 22- 68-  0) Fort Madison           -6.13     25.13                      
93 09-24-2010 Home    W   *  87.41  34  14   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton               16.77      3.23                      
94 10-01-2010 Away    L   *  73.58  19  20   3A 26 ( 55- 41-  0) Oskaloosa               2.93     -3.93                      
95 10-08-2010 Home    W   * 112.62  53   0   3A 53 ( 50- 44-  1) Centerville            41.98     11.02                      
96 10-15-2010 Away    L   *  62.51   0  20   3A 12 ( 83- 28-  0) Pella                  -8.13    -11.87                      
97 10-22-2010 Home    W * *  76.98  34  17   3A 52 ( 42- 53-  0) Keokuk                  6.33     10.67                      
98 10-27-2010 Away    L      52.82  16  33   3A 40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle              -17.82      0.82                      
      Averages              70.82  25.7 18.8

Best game:  118.53 = 47 point win over Oskaloosa
Worst game:  23.98 = 36 point loss to Keokuk
Team stdev:  19.59