BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Essex

Class: 8 Class Rank: 39 Conference: 8-8 Record: (25-19-0) Overall: (50-45-0) Overall Strength =   33.00

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Away    W *  55.84  65  18    8  62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page             22.81     24.19                      
  2 09/07/2001 Home    W    80.71  56  14    8  29 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                 47.68     -5.68                      
  3 09/14/2001 Away    L    31.22  32  34 2 ZZ  80 ( 26- 47-  0) Elk Horn-Kimballton    -1.80     -0.20                      
  4 09/21/2001 Home    L     0.26  12  66    8  15 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey           -32.77    -21.23                      
  5 09/28/2001 Home    W    72.44  59   6   ZZ  88 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                  39.41     13.59                      
  6 10/05/2001 Away    L    -7.74  28  63    8  49 ( 26- 63-  0) East Greene           -40.77      5.77                      
  7 10/12/2001 Away    W *  62.65  60   6    8  63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca               29.62     24.38                      
  8 10/19/2001 Home    W *  25.79  61  41    8  62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page             -7.24     27.24                      
  9 10/26/2001 Home         33.00   0   0   ZZ   1 (  0-  0-  0) open                    0.00 X  -18.33                      
 10 09/06/2002 Home    L   -23.79   8  58   ZZ  83 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut              -56.82      6.82                      
 11 09/13/2002 Away    L *  -0.64   6  42    8  38 ( 48- 45-  0) Sidney                -33.67     -2.33                      
 12 09/20/2002 Home    L *  21.65  12  52    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton               -11.37    -28.63                      
 13 09/27/2002 Away    W    34.80  22  20   ZZ  81 ( 23- 30-  0) Malvern                 1.78      0.22                      
 14 10/04/2002 Home    L    -7.36  14  58   ZZ  76 ( 29- 23-  0) Hastings Nishna Vall  -40.39     -3.61                      
 15 10/11/2002 Away    W *  62.84  60   6    8  62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page             29.81     24.19                      
 16 10/18/2002 Home    W *  78.86  62   6    8  50 ( 31- 62-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills    45.83     10.17                      
 17 11/01/2002 Away    L    -1.56   8  38   ZZ  85 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg               -34.59      4.59                      
 18 09/05/2003 Away    W    43.26  28  14   ZZ  83 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut               10.23      3.77                      
 19 09/12/2003 Home    W *  44.31  12   0    8  38 ( 48- 45-  0) Sidney                 11.28      0.72                      
 20 09/19/2003 Away    L *  14.71   0  50    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton               -18.32    -31.68                      
 21 09/26/2003 Home    L     1.75  14  42   ZZ  81 ( 23- 30-  0) Malvern               -31.28      3.28                      
 22 10/03/2003 Away    W    55.69  30  14   ZZ  76 ( 29- 23-  0) Hastings Nishna Vall   22.67     -6.67                      
 23 10/10/2003 Home    W *  57.79  52   0    8  62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page             24.76     27.24                      
 24 10/17/2003 Away    W *  72.91  63  16    8  50 ( 31- 62-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills    39.88      7.12                      
 25 10/24/2003 Away    W    31.74  24  12   1A  63 ( 10- 64-  0) Clarinda Academy       -1.29     13.29                      
 26 10/31/2003 Home    L    23.38  34  36   ZZ  85 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg                -9.65      7.65                      
 27 09/03/2004 Home    W *  76.59  83  12    8  63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca               43.57     27.43                      
 28 09/10/2004 Away    L    10.76  14  45    8  29 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                -22.27     -8.73                      
 29 09/17/2004 Home    L   -20.25   6  56   ZZ  81 ( 23- 30-  0) Malvern               -53.28      3.28                      
 30 09/24/2004 Away    W    83.69  58  14   ZZ  76 ( 29- 23-  0) Hastings Nishna Vall   50.67     -6.67                      
 31 10/01/2004 Away    W *  57.36  44  22    8  38 ( 48- 45-  0) Sidney                 24.33     -2.33                      
 32 10/08/2004 Home    W *  77.86  61   6    8  50 ( 31- 62-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills    44.83     10.17                      
 33 10/15/2004 Away    L   -22.74   0  52   ZZ  83 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut              -55.77      3.77                      
 34 10/22/2004 Away    W *  48.84  60  20    8  62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page             15.81     24.19                      
 35 10/29/2004 Home    L    -4.62  22  52   ZZ  85 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg               -37.65      7.65                      
 36 09/02/2005 Away    W *  80.65  80   8    8  63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca               47.62     24.38                      
 37 09/09/2005 Home    W    60.71  48  26    8  29 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                 27.68     -5.68                      
 38 09/16/2005 Away    W    86.80  60   6   ZZ  81 ( 23- 30-  0) Malvern                53.78      0.22                      
 39 09/23/2005 Home    W    40.64  20  16   ZZ  76 ( 29- 23-  0) Hastings Nishna Vall    7.61     -3.61                      
 40 09/30/2005 Home    W *  76.31  50   6    8  38 ( 48- 45-  0) Sidney                 43.28      0.72                      
 41 10/07/2005 Away    W * 103.91  84   6    8  50 ( 31- 62-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills    70.88      7.12                      
 42 10/14/2005 Home    W    94.21  74   6   ZZ  83 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut               61.18      6.82                      
 43 10/21/2005 Home    W *  55.79  50   0    8  62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page             22.76     27.24                      
 44 10/28/2005 Away    W    70.44  64  22   ZZ  85 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg                37.41      4.59                      
 45 11/05/2005 Home    W    46.71  48  40    8  29 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                 13.68     -5.68                      
 46 11/12/2005 Home    L     7.48   6  56    8  10 ( 85- 29-  0) Lenox                 -25.55    -24.45                      
 47 09/01/2006 Home    W    86.26  60  28    8  15 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey            53.23    -21.23                      
 48 09/08/2006 Away    W *  46.65  44   6    8  63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca               13.62     24.38                      
 49 09/15/2006 Away    L    37.69  34  36   ZZ  76 ( 29- 23-  0) Hastings Nishna Vall    4.67     -6.67                      
 50 09/22/2006 Home    W    77.38  58   6   ZZ  85 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg                44.35      7.65                      
 51 09/29/2006 Away    W    64.80  32   0   ZZ  81 ( 23- 30-  0) Malvern                31.78      0.22                      
 52 10/06/2006 Home    W *  82.86  66   6    8  50 ( 31- 62-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills    49.83     10.17                      
 53 10/13/2006 Away    W *  48.36  24  11    8  38 ( 48- 45-  0) Sidney                 15.33     -2.33                      
 54 10/20/2006 Home    W    98.21  72   0   ZZ  83 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut               65.18      6.82                      
 55 10/27/2006 Away    W    93.25  52   0    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM              60.22     -8.22                      
 56 11/01/2006 Home    W *  77.65  50  34    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton                44.63    -28.63                      
 57 11/06/2006 Away    W    79.32  32  10    8  15 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey            46.29    -24.29                      
 58 11/10/2006 Neutral W    80.91  42   0    8  31 ( 58- 41-  0) Thornburg Tri-County   47.88     -5.88                      
 59 11/17/2006 Neutral L    42.45   6  24    8   8 ( 82- 26-  0) Northeast Hamilton      9.42    -27.42                      
 60 08/31/2007 Away    W    73.32  30  14    8  15 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey            40.29    -24.29                      
 61 09/07/2007 Home    W *  19.59  30  16    8  63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca              -13.43     27.43                      
 62 09/14/2007 Home    L *  16.19  14  52    8  16 ( 31- 10-  0) East Mills            -16.84    -21.16                      
 63 09/21/2007 Away    W    64.44  50  14   ZZ  85 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg                31.41      4.59                      
 64 09/28/2007 Home    W    68.69  52   0   1A  63 ( 10- 64-  0) Clarinda Academy       35.66     16.34  non-district        
 65 10/05/2007 Away    W *  63.91  38   0    8  50 ( 31- 62-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills    30.88      7.12                      
 66 10/12/2007 Home    W *  36.31  32  28    8  38 ( 48- 45-  0) Sidney                  3.28      0.72                      
 67 10/19/2007 Away    W    83.26  54   0   ZZ  83 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut               50.23      3.77                      
 68 10/26/2007 Home    W    50.20  44  32    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM              17.17     -5.17  non-district        
 69 10/30/2007 Home    L    36.71  50  52 1  8  29 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                  3.68     -5.68                      
 70 08/29/2008 Home    L   -11.80   0  50    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM             -44.83     -5.17  non-district        
 71 09/05/2008 Away    L     4.49  32  50   ZZ  88 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                 -28.54     10.54  non-district        
 72 09/12/2008 Away    W *  14.84  26  20    8  62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page            -18.19     24.19                      
 73 09/19/2008 Home    L *   1.65   6  66    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton               -31.37    -28.63                      
 74 09/26/2008 Away    L    15.44  24  37   ZZ  85 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg               -17.59      4.59                      
 75 10/03/2008 Home    L *  19.31  22  35    8  38 ( 48- 45-  0) Sidney                -13.72      0.72                      
 76 10/10/2008 Away    L *  -8.35  30  47    8  63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca              -41.38     24.38                      
 77 10/17/2008 Home    L *  26.19   8  36    8  16 ( 31- 10-  0) East Mills             -6.84    -21.16                      
 78 10/24/2008 Away    L    -6.74  38  74   ZZ  83 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut              -39.77      3.77                      
 79 08/21/2009 Home    L   -31.29   0  70    8  29 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                -64.32     -5.68  nd                  
 80 08/28/2009 Away    L    -2.75  12  56    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM             -35.78     -8.22  nd                  
 81 09/11/2009 Home    L * -30.21  20  56    8  62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page            -63.24     27.24                      
 82 09/18/2009 Away    L *  10.71   8  62    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton               -22.32    -31.68                      
 83 09/25/2009 Home    L   -32.62   8  66   ZZ  85 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg               -65.65      7.65                      
 84 10/02/2009 Away    L * -15.64  22  73    8  38 ( 48- 45-  0) Sidney                -48.67     -2.33                      
 85 10/09/2009 Home    L * -47.41   8  61    8  63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca              -80.43     27.43                      
 86 10/16/2009 Away    L *  -0.75   0  58    8  16 ( 31- 10-  0) East Mills            -33.78    -24.22                      
 87 10/23/2009 Home    L   -15.79  14  56   ZZ  83 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut              -48.82      6.82                      
 88 08/27/2010 Away    L    -4.22  20  38    8  58 ( 35- 54-  0) Seymour               -37.25     19.25  ND                  
 89 09/03/2010 Home    L     3.14   8  40    8  34 ( 42- 52-  0) Afton East Union      -29.89     -2.11  ND                  
 90 09/10/2010 Home    L *  -3.41  22  31    8  63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca              -36.43     27.43                      
 91 09/17/2010 Away    L * -40.09   0  66    8  50 ( 31- 62-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills   -73.12      7.12                      
 92 09/24/2010 Home    L *  17.65  20  64    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton               -15.37    -28.63                      
 93 10/01/2010 Away    L *  -7.64  14  57    8  38 ( 48- 45-  0) Sidney                -40.67     -2.33                      
 94 10/08/2010 Home    W *  25.79  32  12    8  62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page             -7.24     27.24                      
 95 10/15/2010 Away    L *  -2.75   6  66    8  16 ( 31- 10-  0) East Mills            -35.78    -24.22                      
 96 10/22/2010 Home    L * -52.04   6  94    8  36 (  6-  4-  0) Nishnabotna           -85.07     -2.93                      
      Averages              33.00  32.6 31.2

Best game:  103.91 = 78 point win over Tabor Fremont-Mills
Worst game: -52.04 = 88 point loss to Hamburg-Farragut Nishnabotna
Team stdev:  38.77