BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Walnut

Class: 8 Class Rank: 29 Conference: 8-7 Record: (1-13-0) Overall: (57-39-0) Overall Strength =   40.21

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Home    W    45.59  52  12    8  63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca                5.36     34.64                      
  2 09/07/2001 Away    L    -7.44  14  56    8  39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                 -47.68      5.68                      
  3 09/14/2001 Home    W    29.44  24  14   ZZ  88 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                 -10.80     20.80                      
  4 09/21/2001 Away    L     1.22  20  52   ZZ  80 ( 26- 47-  0) Elk Horn-Kimballton   -39.01      7.01                      
  5 09/28/2001 Away    L   -12.16  36  57    8  62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page            -52.39     31.39                      
  6 10/05/2001 Home    L     1.26  26  79    8  15 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey           -38.97    -14.03                      
  7 10/12/2001 Home    L * -18.80  22  65    8  49 ( 26- 63-  0) East Greene           -59.03     16.03                      
  8 10/19/2001 Away    W    42.65  64  30    8  63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca                2.42     31.58                      
  9 10/26/2001 Home         40.21   0   0   ZZ   1 (  0-  0-  0) open                    0.00 X  -11.13                      
 10 09/06/2002 Away    L    22.78  27  42    8  35 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas        -17.46      2.46                      
 11 09/13/2002 Away    W    22.77  60  28   ZZ  90 (  6- 54-  0) Russell               -17.46     49.46                      
 12 09/20/2002 Home    W    33.65  64  14   ZZ  26 (  0-  4-  0) Des Moines Iowa Chri   -6.58 *   56.58                      
 13 09/27/2002 Home    W    74.70  53   6    8  44 ( 49- 41-  0) Murray                 34.47     12.53                      
 14 10/04/2002 Away    L     7.49  21  36   ZZ  88 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                 -32.74     17.74                      
 15 10/11/2002 Home    W    64.20  58  32    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM              23.96      2.04                      
 16 10/18/2002 Away    L     7.32  18  68    8  15 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey           -32.92    -17.08                      
 17 10/25/2002 Home    W    43.59  72  34    8  63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca                3.36     34.64                      
 18 11/02/2002 Away    W    73.84  54   8   1A  61 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian   33.60     12.40                      
 19 08/29/2003 Away    W    58.49  54  18   ZZ  88 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                  18.26     17.74                      
 20 09/05/2003 Home    W    66.72  48  16    8  35 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas         26.49      5.51                      
 21 09/12/2003 Home    W    37.72  56   6   ZZ  90 (  6- 54-  0) Russell                -2.52     52.52                      
 22 09/26/2003 Away    W    85.76  67  12    8  44 ( 49- 41-  0) Murray                 45.53      9.47                      
 23 10/03/2003 Home    W    71.44  82  30   ZZ  88 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                  31.20     20.80                      
 24 10/10/2003 Away    W    92.25  69  18    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM              52.02     -1.02                      
 25 10/17/2003 Home    L    12.26   8  50    8  15 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey           -27.97    -14.03                      
 26 10/24/2003 Away    W    58.65  82  32    8  63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca               18.42     31.58                      
 27 10/31/2003 Home    W    78.78  76  22   1A  61 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian   38.55     15.45                      
 28 08/27/2004 Home    W    71.17  55  14   ZZ  80 ( 26- 47-  0) Elk Horn-Kimballton    30.94     10.06                      
 29 09/03/2004 Away    W    78.36  49   6    8  38 ( 48- 45-  0) Sidney                 38.13      4.87                      
 30 09/10/2004 Home    W    62.50  45  14    8  39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                  22.27      8.73                      
 31 09/17/2004 Away    W    35.26  28  22   ZZ  83 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut               -4.97     10.97                      
 32 09/24/2004 Home    W    59.38  48  14   ZZ  85 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg                19.15     14.85                      
 33 10/01/2004 Home    W    96.59 105  14    8  63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca               56.36     34.64                      
 34 10/08/2004 Away    W    36.80  33  29   ZZ  81 ( 23- 30-  0) Malvern                -3.43      7.43                      
 35 10/15/2004 Home    W    79.64  61  18   ZZ  76 ( 29- 23-  0) Hastings Nishna Vall   39.41      3.59                      
 36 10/29/2004 Away    W    99.71  49  14    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton                59.48    -24.48                      
 37 11/06/2004 Home    W    33.21  51  44   ZZ  83 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut               -7.03     14.03                      
 38 11/13/2004 Away    L    44.32  29  42    8  15 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey             4.08    -17.08                      
 39 08/26/2005 Away    W    39.22  32  26   ZZ  80 ( 26- 47-  0) Elk Horn-Kimballton    -1.01      7.01                      
 40 09/02/2005 Home    W    42.31  24  14    8  38 ( 48- 45-  0) Sidney                  2.07      7.93                      
 41 09/09/2005 Away    L    12.56  26  48    8  39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                 -27.68      5.68                      
 42 09/16/2005 Home    W    69.21  61  18   ZZ  83 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut               28.97     14.03                      
 43 09/23/2005 Away    L    14.44  12  26   ZZ  85 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg               -25.80     11.80                      
 44 09/30/2005 Away    W    58.65  50   0    8  63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca               18.42     31.58                      
 45 10/07/2005 Home    W    61.75  40   8   ZZ  81 ( 23- 30-  0) Malvern                21.52     10.48                      
 46 10/14/2005 Away    W    69.69  64  34   ZZ  76 ( 29- 23-  0) Hastings Nishna Vall   29.46      0.54                      
 47 10/28/2005 Home    W    85.65  54  30    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton                45.42    -21.42                      
 48 11/05/2005 Away    L    26.56  40  48    8  39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                 -13.68      5.68                      
 49 08/25/2006 Home    L   -13.83   0  44   ZZ  80 ( 26- 47-  0) Elk Horn-Kimballton   -54.06     10.06                      
 50 09/01/2006 Away    W    61.91  44   8    8  50 ( 31- 62-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills    21.68     14.32                      
 51 09/08/2006 Home    W    71.38  54   8   ZZ  85 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg                31.15     14.85                      
 52 09/15/2006 Away    W    67.26  50  12   ZZ  83 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut               27.03     10.97                      
 53 09/22/2006 Home    L    34.26  32  52    8  15 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey            -5.97    -14.03                      
 54 09/29/2006 Away    W    46.84  58  20    8  62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page              6.61     31.39                      
 55 10/06/2006 Home    L     5.44  20  34   ZZ  88 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                 -34.80     20.80                      
 56 10/13/2006 Away    W    14.65  20  14    8  63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca              -25.58     31.58                      
 57 10/20/2006 Away    W    49.25  44  36    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM               9.02     -1.02                      
 58 10/27/2006 Home    L    33.65   8  36    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton                -6.58    -21.42                      
 59 08/31/2007 Home    W    53.86  52  21    8  50 ( 31- 62-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills    13.62     17.38                      
 60 09/07/2007 Away    W    61.44  47  14   ZZ  85 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg                21.20     11.80                      
 61 09/14/2007 Away    W    70.26  41   0   ZZ  83 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut               30.03     10.97  non-district        
 62 09/21/2007 Away    W    94.32  51  14    8  15 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey            54.08    -17.08                      
 63 09/28/2007 Home    W    45.79  54  14    8  62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page              5.55     34.45                      
 64 10/05/2007 Away    W    51.49  48  19   ZZ  88 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                  11.26     17.74                      
 65 10/12/2007 Home    W    55.59  56   6    8  63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca               15.36     34.64                      
 66 10/19/2007 Home    W    78.20  46   6    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM              37.96      2.04                      
 67 10/26/2007 Away    L    55.71  29  38    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton                15.48    -24.48                      
 68 10/30/2007 Away    W    36.56  52  50 1  8  39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                  -3.68      5.68                      
 69 11/03/2007 Home    L     8.65   9  62    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton               -31.58    -21.42                      
 70 08/29/2008 Away    W    68.44  72  32   ZZ  85 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg                28.20     11.80  non-district        
 71 09/05/2008 Home    W    70.21  50   6   ZZ  83 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut               29.97     14.03  non-district        
 72 09/12/2008 Away    L    13.25   8  36    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM             -26.98     -1.02                      
 73 09/19/2008 Home    W    29.44  36  26   ZZ  88 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                 -10.80     20.80                      
 74 09/26/2008 Home    L    18.26  24  60    8  15 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey           -21.97    -14.03                      
 75 10/03/2008 Away    W    37.22  42  38   ZZ  80 ( 26- 47-  0) Elk Horn-Kimballton    -3.01      7.01                      
 76 10/10/2008 Away    L *  32.39  16  46    8   7 ( 65- 37-  0) Glidden-Ralston        -7.84    -22.16                      
 77 10/17/2008 Home    L *  22.20  38  40    8  49 ( 26- 63-  0) East Greene           -18.03     16.03                      
 78 10/24/2008 Away    L *  10.55  14  46    8  27 ( 48- 47-  0) Coon Rapids-Bayard    -29.68     -2.32                      
 79 08/21/2009 Away    W   104.56  70   0    8  39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                  64.32      5.68  nd                  
 80 08/28/2009 Home    W    65.38  52  12   ZZ  85 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg                25.15     14.85  nd                  
 81 09/04/2009 Away    L    21.26  22  30   ZZ  83 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut              -18.97     10.97  nd                  
 82 09/11/2009 Home    L    30.20  12  20    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM             -10.04      2.04                      
 83 09/18/2009 Home    W    55.34  68  18    8  64 (  4- 15-  0) Tama Meskwaki          15.11     34.89  nd                  
 84 09/25/2009 Away    L    42.32  40  55    8  15 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey             2.08    -17.08                      
 85 10/02/2009 Home    L    36.64  14  21   ZZ  70 ( 10-  9-  0) Exira-Elk Horn-Kimba   -3.59     -3.41  nd                  
 86 10/09/2009 Home    L *  17.33   6  48    8   7 ( 65- 37-  0) Glidden-Ralston       -22.90    -19.10                      
 87 10/16/2009 Away    L * -12.74  14  54    8  49 ( 26- 63-  0) East Greene           -52.98     12.98                      
 88 10/23/2009 Home    L * -14.50  14  68    8  27 ( 48- 47-  0) Coon Rapids-Bayard    -54.74      0.74                      
 89 08/27/2010 Away    L     9.36  24  50    8  38 ( 48- 45-  0) Sidney                -30.87      4.87  ND                  
 90 09/03/2010 Home    L    -6.04  26  68    8  36 (  6-  4-  0) Nishnabotna           -46.28      4.28  ND                  
 91 09/10/2010 Home    W *  52.96  52  25    8  47 ( 31- 57-  0) Charter Oak-Ute        12.73     14.27                      
 92 09/17/2010 Away    L *   0.39   0  62    8   7 ( 65- 37-  0) Glidden-Ralston       -39.84    -22.16                      
 93 09/24/2010 Home    L *  14.35  12  52    8  14 ( 48- 45-  0) Woodbine              -25.89    -14.11                      
 94 10/01/2010 Away    L * -33.45   0  76    8  27 ( 48- 47-  0) Coon Rapids-Bayard    -73.68     -2.32                      
 95 10/08/2010 Away    L * -20.74   8  56    8  49 ( 26- 63-  0) East Greene           -60.98     12.98                      
 96 10/15/2010 Home    L *  17.55  22  55    8  18 ( 60- 37-  0) Westside Ar-We-Va     -22.68    -10.32                      
 97 10/22/2010 Away    L *  12.68  12  53    8  17 ( 39- 53-  0) Dunlap Boyer Valley   -27.56    -13.44                      
      Averages              40.21  38.8 30.7

Best game:  104.56 = 70 point win over Essex
Worst game: -33.45 = 76 point loss to Coon Rapids-Bayard
Team stdev:  30.88