BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Walnut

Class: 8 Class Rank: 28 Conference: Rolling Hills Record: (5-17-0) Overall: (57-39-0) Overall Strength =   40.29

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/31/2001 Home    W      45.59  52  12    8 63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca                5.36     34.64                      
 2 09/07/2001 Away    L      -7.44  14  56    8 39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                 -47.68      5.68                      
 3 09/14/2001 Home    W      29.44  24  14   ZZ 81 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                 -10.80     20.80                      
 4 09/21/2001 Away    L       1.22  20  52   ZZ 69 ( 26- 47-  0) Elk Horn-Kimballton   -39.01      7.01                      
 5 09/28/2001 Away    L     -12.16  36  57    8 62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page            -52.39     31.39                      
 6 10/05/2001 Home    L *     1.26  26  79    8 13 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey           -38.97    -14.03                      
 7 10/12/2001 Home    L * * -18.80  22  65    8 49 ( 26- 63-  0) East Greene           -59.03     16.03                      
 8 10/19/2001 Away    W      42.65  64  30    8 63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca                2.42     31.58                      
 9 10/26/2001 Home           40.29   0   0   ZZ 39 (  0-  0-  0) open                    0.00 X  -12.28                      
10 09/06/2002 Away    L      22.78  27  42    8 34 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas        -17.46      2.46                      
11 09/13/2002 Away    W      22.77  60  28   ZZ 84 (  6- 54-  0) Russell               -17.46     49.46                      
12 09/20/2002 Home    W      33.65  64  14   ZZ 85 (  0-  4-  0) Des Moines Iowa Chri   -6.58 *   56.58                      
13 09/27/2002 Home    W      74.70  53   6    8 44 ( 49- 41-  0) Murray                 34.47     12.53                      
14 10/04/2002 Away    L       7.49  21  36   ZZ 81 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                 -32.74     17.74                      
15 10/11/2002 Home    W *    64.20  58  32    8 29 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM              23.96      2.04                      
16 10/18/2002 Away    L *     7.32  18  68    8 13 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey           -32.92    -17.08                      
17 10/25/2002 Home    W      43.59  72  34    8 63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca                3.36     34.64                      
18 11/02/2002 Away    W      73.84  54   8   1A 60 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian   33.60     12.40                      
19 08/29/2003 Away    W      58.49  54  18   ZZ 81 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                  18.26     17.74                      
20 09/05/2003 Home    W      66.72  48  16    8 34 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas         26.49      5.51                      
21 09/12/2003 Home    W      37.72  56   6   ZZ 84 (  6- 54-  0) Russell                -2.52     52.52                      
22 09/26/2003 Away    W      85.76  67  12    8 44 ( 49- 41-  0) Murray                 45.53      9.47                      
23 10/03/2003 Home    W      71.44  82  30   ZZ 81 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                  31.20     20.80                      
24 10/10/2003 Away    W *    92.25  69  18    8 29 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM              52.02     -1.02                      
25 10/17/2003 Home    L *    12.26   8  50    8 13 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey           -27.97    -14.03                      
26 10/24/2003 Away    W      58.65  82  32    8 63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca               18.42     31.58                      
27 10/31/2003 Home    W      78.78  76  22   1A 60 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian   38.55     15.45                      
28 08/27/2004 Home    W      71.17  55  14   ZZ 69 ( 26- 47-  0) Elk Horn-Kimballton    30.94     10.06                      
29 09/03/2004 Away    W      78.36  49   6    8 38 ( 48- 45-  0) Sidney                 38.13      4.87                      
30 09/10/2004 Home    W      62.50  45  14    8 39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                  22.27      8.73                      
31 09/17/2004 Away    W      35.26  28  22   ZZ 74 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut               -4.97     10.97                      
32 09/24/2004 Home    W      59.38  48  14   ZZ 77 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg                19.15     14.85                      
33 10/01/2004 Home    W      96.59 105  14    8 63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca               56.36     34.64                      
34 10/08/2004 Away    W      36.80  33  29   ZZ 71 ( 23- 30-  0) Malvern                -3.43      7.43                      
35 10/15/2004 Home    W      79.64  61  18   ZZ 63 ( 29- 23-  0) Hastings Nishna Vall   39.41      3.59                      
36 10/29/2004 Away    W      99.71  49  14    8  5 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton                59.48    -24.48                      
37 11/06/2004 Home    W      33.21  51  44   ZZ 74 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut               -7.03     14.03                      
38 11/13/2004 Away    L *    44.32  29  42    8 13 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey             4.08    -17.08                      
39 08/26/2005 Away    W      39.22  32  26   ZZ 69 ( 26- 47-  0) Elk Horn-Kimballton    -1.01      7.01                      
40 09/02/2005 Home    W      42.31  24  14    8 38 ( 48- 45-  0) Sidney                  2.07      7.93                      
41 09/09/2005 Away    L      12.56  26  48    8 39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                 -27.68      5.68                      
42 09/16/2005 Home    W      69.21  61  18   ZZ 74 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut               28.97     14.03                      
43 09/23/2005 Away    L      14.44  12  26   ZZ 77 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg               -25.80     11.80                      
44 09/30/2005 Away    W      58.65  50   0    8 63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca               18.42     31.58                      
45 10/07/2005 Home    W      61.75  40   8   ZZ 71 ( 23- 30-  0) Malvern                21.52     10.48                      
46 10/14/2005 Away    W      69.69  64  34   ZZ 63 ( 29- 23-  0) Hastings Nishna Vall   29.46      0.54                      
47 10/28/2005 Home    W      85.65  54  30    8  5 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton                45.42    -21.42                      
48 11/05/2005 Away    L      26.56  40  48    8 39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                 -13.68      5.68                      
49 08/25/2006 Home    L     -13.83   0  44   ZZ 69 ( 26- 47-  0) Elk Horn-Kimballton   -54.06     10.06                      
50 09/01/2006 Away    W      61.91  44   8    8 50 ( 31- 62-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills    21.68     14.32                      
51 09/08/2006 Home    W      71.38  54   8   ZZ 77 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg                31.15     14.85                      
52 09/15/2006 Away    W      67.26  50  12   ZZ 74 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut               27.03     10.97                      
53 09/22/2006 Home    L *    34.26  32  52    8 13 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey            -5.97    -14.03                      
54 09/29/2006 Away    W      46.84  58  20    8 62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page              6.61     31.39                      
55 10/06/2006 Home    L       5.44  20  34   ZZ 81 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                 -34.80     20.80                      
56 10/13/2006 Away    W      14.65  20  14    8 63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca              -25.58     31.58                      
57 10/20/2006 Away    W *    49.25  44  36    8 29 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM               9.02     -1.02                      
58 10/27/2006 Home    L      33.65   8  36    8  5 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton                -6.58    -21.42                      
59 08/31/2007 Home    W      53.86  52  21    8 50 ( 31- 62-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills    13.62     17.38                      
60 09/07/2007 Away    W      61.44  47  14   ZZ 77 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg                21.20     11.80                      
61 09/14/2007 Away    W      70.26  41   0   ZZ 74 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut               30.03     10.97  non-district        
62 09/21/2007 Away    W *    94.32  51  14    8 13 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey            54.08    -17.08                      
63 09/28/2007 Home    W      45.79  54  14    8 62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page              5.55     34.45                      
64 10/05/2007 Away    W      51.49  48  19   ZZ 81 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                  11.26     17.74                      
65 10/12/2007 Home    W      55.59  56   6    8 63 ( 17- 69-  0) Villisca               15.36     34.64                      
66 10/19/2007 Home    W *    78.20  46   6    8 29 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM              37.96      2.04                      
67 10/26/2007 Away    L      55.71  29  38    8  5 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton                15.48    -24.48                      
68 10/30/2007 Away    W      36.56  52  50 1  8 39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                  -3.68      5.68                      
69 11/03/2007 Home    L       8.65   9  62    8  5 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton               -31.58    -21.42                      
70 08/29/2008 Away    W      68.44  72  32   ZZ 77 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg                28.20     11.80  non-district        
71 09/05/2008 Home    W      70.21  50   6   ZZ 74 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut               29.97     14.03  non-district        
72 09/12/2008 Away    L *    13.25   8  36    8 29 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM             -26.98     -1.02                      
73 09/19/2008 Home    W      29.44  36  26   ZZ 81 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                 -10.80     20.80                      
74 09/26/2008 Home    L *    18.26  24  60    8 13 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey           -21.97    -14.03                      
75 10/03/2008 Away    W      37.22  42  38   ZZ 69 ( 26- 47-  0) Elk Horn-Kimballton    -3.01      7.01                      
76 10/10/2008 Away    L * *  32.39  16  46    8  6 ( 65- 37-  0) Glidden-Ralston        -7.84    -22.16                      
77 10/17/2008 Home    L * *  22.20  38  40    8 49 ( 26- 63-  0) East Greene           -18.03     16.03                      
78 10/24/2008 Away    L   *  10.55  14  46    8 26 ( 48- 47-  0) Coon Rapids-Bayard    -29.68     -2.32                      
79 08/21/2009 Away    W     104.56  70   0    8 39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                  64.32      5.68  nd                  
80 08/28/2009 Home    W      65.38  52  12   ZZ 77 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg                25.15     14.85  nd                  
81 09/04/2009 Away    L      21.26  22  30   ZZ 74 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut              -18.97     10.97  nd                  
82 09/11/2009 Home    L *    30.20  12  20    8 29 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM             -10.04      2.04                      
83 09/18/2009 Home    W      55.34  68  18    8 64 (  4- 15-  0) Tama Meskwaki          15.11     34.89  nd                  
84 09/25/2009 Away    L *    42.32  40  55    8 13 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey             2.08    -17.08                      
85 10/02/2009 Home    L *    36.64  14  21    A 34 ( 10-  9-  0) Exira-Elk Horn-Kimb    -3.59     -3.41  nd                  
86 10/09/2009 Home    L * *  17.33   6  48    8  6 ( 65- 37-  0) Glidden-Ralston       -22.90    -19.10                      
87 10/16/2009 Away    L * * -12.74  14  54    8 49 ( 26- 63-  0) East Greene           -52.98     12.98                      
88 10/23/2009 Home    L   * -14.50  14  68    8 26 ( 48- 47-  0) Coon Rapids-Bayard    -54.74      0.74                      
89 08/27/2010 Away    L       9.36  24  50    8 38 ( 48- 45-  0) Sidney                -30.87      4.87  ND                  
90 09/03/2010 Home    L      -6.04  26  68    8 35 (  6-  4-  0) Nishnabotna           -46.28      4.28  ND                  
91 09/10/2010 Home    W   *  52.96  52  25    8 47 ( 31- 57-  0) Charter Oak-Ute        12.73     14.27                      
92 09/17/2010 Away    L * *   0.39   0  62    8  6 ( 65- 37-  0) Glidden-Ralston       -39.84    -22.16                      
93 09/24/2010 Home    L   *  14.35  12  52    8 14 ( 48- 45-  0) Woodbine              -25.89    -14.11                      
94 10/01/2010 Away    L   * -33.45   0  76    8 26 ( 48- 47-  0) Coon Rapids-Bayard    -73.68     -2.32                      
95 10/08/2010 Away    L * * -20.74   8  56    8 49 ( 26- 63-  0) East Greene           -60.98     12.98                      
96 10/15/2010 Home    L   *  17.55  22  55    8 17 ( 60- 37-  0) Westside Ar-We-Va     -22.68    -10.32                      
97 10/22/2010 Away    L   *  12.68  12  53    8 16 ( 39- 53-  0) Dunlap Boyer Valley   -27.56    -13.44                      
      Averages              40.22  38.8 30.7

Best game:  104.56 = 70 point win over Essex
Worst game: -33.45 = 76 point loss to Coon Rapids-Bayard
Team stdev:  30.88