BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Villisca

Class: 8 Class Rank: 63 Conference: 8-8 Record: (9-24-0) Overall: (17-69-0) Overall Strength =    6.58

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Away    L     1.76  12  52    8  29 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                 -5.36    -34.64                      
  2 09/07/2001 Away    L   -30.51   3  56   ZZ  88 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                 -37.63    -15.37                      
  3 09/14/2001 Home    L     1.26   0  53    8  15 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey            -5.86    -47.14                      
  4 09/21/2001 Home    L * -34.21   6  46    8  62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page            -41.34      1.34                      
  5 09/28/2001 Away    L   -22.74  14  64    8  49 ( 26- 63-  0) East Greene           -29.86    -20.14                      
  6 10/05/2001 Away    L   -18.78   6  58   ZZ  80 ( 26- 47-  0) Elk Horn-Kimballton   -25.90    -26.10                      
  7 10/12/2001 Home    L * -22.50   6  60    8  39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                 -29.62    -24.38                      
  8 10/19/2001 Home    L     4.71  30  64    8  29 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                 -2.42    -31.58                      
  9 09/06/2002 Home    L   -41.39  12  62    8  60 ( 23- 67-  0) Mormon Trail          -48.52     -1.48                      
 10 09/13/2002 Home    L   -27.28   0  62    8  35 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas        -34.40    -27.60                      
 11 09/20/2002 Away    L     0.32  14  71    8  15 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey            -6.81    -50.19                      
 12 10/04/2002 Home    L   -16.80   0  55    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM             -23.92    -31.08                      
 13 10/12/2002 Away    W    31.84  32  28   1A  61 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian   24.72    -20.72                      
 14 10/18/2002 Home    L     5.70  24  46    8  44 ( 49- 41-  0) Murray                 -1.42    -20.58                      
 15 10/25/2002 Away    L     3.76  34  72    8  29 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                 -3.36    -34.64                      
 16 11/01/2002 Home    L   -30.56   6  56   ZZ  88 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                 -37.69    -12.31                      
 17 09/05/2003 Away    L   -40.34   6  58    8  60 ( 23- 67-  0) Mormon Trail          -47.46     -4.54                      
 18 09/12/2003 Away    L    -2.22  22  62    8  35 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas         -9.34    -30.66                      
 19 09/19/2003 Home    L     4.26  22  72    8  15 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey            -2.86    -47.14                      
 20 10/03/2003 Away    L    -8.75  12  62    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM             -15.87    -34.13                      
 21 10/10/2003 Home    L    14.78  30  40   1A  61 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian    7.66    -17.66                      
 22 10/17/2003 Away    L   -19.24  36  86    8  44 ( 49- 41-  0) Murray                -26.36    -23.64                      
 23 10/24/2003 Home    L   -11.29  32  82    8  29 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                -18.42    -31.58                      
 24 10/31/2003 Away    W    46.49  48  24   ZZ  88 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                  39.37    -15.37                      
 25 09/03/2004 Away    L * -36.44  12  83    8  39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                 -43.57    -27.43                      
 26 09/10/2004 Home    L   -39.79   6  72   ZZ  83 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut              -46.92    -19.08                      
 27 09/17/2004 Away    L   -34.56   0  63   ZZ  85 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg               -41.69    -21.31                      
 28 09/24/2004 Home    L * -17.14  22  62    8  50 ( 31- 62-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills   -24.27    -15.73                      
 29 10/01/2004 Away    L   -49.24  14 105    8  29 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                -56.36    -34.64                      
 30 10/08/2004 Home    L *  -4.35   6  72    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton               -11.47 *  -54.53                      
 31 10/22/2004 Away    L   -51.20   0  84   ZZ  81 ( 23- 30-  0) Malvern               -58.32    -25.68                      
 32 10/29/2004 Home    L     4.64  26  58   ZZ  76 ( 29- 23-  0) Hastings Nishna Vall   -2.48    -29.52                      
 33 09/02/2005 Home    L * -40.50   8  80    8  39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                 -47.62    -24.38                      
 34 09/09/2005 Away    L    25.26  16  20   ZZ  83 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut               18.14    -22.14                      
 35 09/16/2005 Home    L   -28.62   6  60   ZZ  85 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg               -35.74    -18.26                      
 36 09/23/2005 Away    W *  39.91  28  14    8  50 ( 31- 62-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills    32.79    -18.79                      
 37 09/30/2005 Home    L   -11.29   0  50    8  29 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                -18.42    -31.58                      
 38 10/07/2005 Away    L *   5.71  19  78    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton                -1.41 *  -57.59                      
 39 10/21/2005 Home    L    18.75  25  36   ZZ  81 ( 23- 30-  0) Malvern                11.63    -22.63                      
 40 10/28/2005 Away    L     7.69  26  58   ZZ  76 ( 29- 23-  0) Hastings Nishna Vall    0.57    -32.57                      
 41 09/01/2006 Away    L *  16.36  30  49    8  38 ( 48- 45-  0) Sidney                  9.24    -28.24                      
 42 09/08/2006 Home    L *  -6.50   6  44    8  39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                 -13.62    -24.38                      
 43 09/15/2006 Home    L *  37.65  22  46    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton                30.53 *  -54.53                      
 44 09/22/2006 Away    L    21.25  24  44    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM              14.13    -34.13                      
 45 09/29/2006 Home    L     6.26   0  48    8  15 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey            -0.86    -47.14                      
 46 10/06/2006 Away    L    22.44   8  14   ZZ  85 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg                15.31    -21.31                      
 47 10/13/2006 Home    L    32.71  14  20    8  29 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                 25.58    -31.58                      
 48 10/20/2006 Away    L   -31.51   0  54   ZZ  88 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                 -38.63    -15.37                      
 49 10/27/2006 Away    L * -31.16   6  46    8  62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page            -38.28     -1.72                      
 50 08/31/2007 Home    L *  30.31  26  28    8  38 ( 48- 45-  0) Sidney                 23.18    -25.18                      
 51 09/07/2007 Away    L *  20.56  16  30    8  39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                  13.43    -27.43                      
 52 09/14/2007 Away    L *  17.71  19  66    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton                10.59 *  -57.59                      
 53 09/21/2007 Home    L    12.20  22  48    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM               5.08    -31.08                      
 54 09/28/2007 Away    W    59.32  40  38    8  15 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey            52.19    -50.19                      
 55 10/05/2007 Home    W    43.38  42  24   ZZ  85 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg                36.26    -18.26  non-district        
 56 10/12/2007 Away    L    -8.24   6  56    8  29 ( 57- 39-  0) Walnut                -15.36    -34.64                      
 57 10/19/2007 Home    L     8.44  36  47   ZZ  88 ( 21- 50-  0) Exira                   1.31    -12.31                      
 58 10/26/2007 Home    W *  19.79  46  32    8  62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page             12.66      1.34                      
 59 08/29/2008 Away    L    30.20   0   8    8  34 ( 42- 52-  0) Afton East Union       23.07    -31.07  non-district        
 60 09/05/2008 Home    L    45.48  20  32    8  10 ( 85- 29-  0) Lenox                  38.36    -50.36  non-district        
 61 09/12/2008 Home    L *  49.19  21  26    8  16 ( 31- 10-  0) East Mills             42.07    -47.07                      
 62 09/19/2008 Away    L    24.44  28  32   ZZ  85 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg                17.31    -21.31                      
 63 09/26/2008 Home    W *  54.79  61  12    8  62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page             47.66      1.34                      
 64 10/03/2008 Away    L * -11.29   0  76    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton               -18.41 *  -57.59                      
 65 10/10/2008 Home    W *  48.50  47  30    8  39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                  41.38    -24.38                      
 66 10/17/2008 Away    W    65.26  44   8   ZZ  83 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut               58.14    -22.14                      
 67 10/24/2008 Home    W *  38.31  19  13    8  38 ( 48- 45-  0) Sidney                 31.18    -25.18                      
 68 10/29/2008 Away    L    16.32  12  53    8  15 ( 83- 27-  0) Adair-Casey             9.19    -50.19                      
 69 08/28/2009 Home    W    36.14  14  13    8  34 ( 42- 52-  0) Afton East Union       29.02    -28.02  nd                  
 70 09/04/2009 Away    L     9.54  12  63    8  10 ( 85- 29-  0) Lenox                   2.41    -53.41  nd                  
 71 09/11/2009 Away    L *  16.25   3  44    8  16 ( 31- 10-  0) East Mills              9.12    -50.12                      
 72 09/18/2009 Home    W    51.38  34   8   ZZ  85 ( 35- 46-  0) Hamburg                44.26    -18.26                      
 73 09/25/2009 Away    W *  48.84  56  16    8  62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page             41.72     -1.72                      
 74 10/02/2009 Home    L *  24.65  21  58    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton                17.53 *  -54.53                      
 75 10/09/2009 Away    W *  87.56  61   8    8  39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                  80.43    -27.43                      
 76 10/16/2009 Home    L   -15.79   8  50   ZZ  83 ( 34- 50-  0) Farragut              -22.92    -19.08                      
 77 10/23/2009 Away    L *  29.36  42  48    8  38 ( 48- 45-  0) Sidney                 22.24    -28.24                      
 78 08/27/2010 Home    L    -6.80   7  52    8  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM             -13.92    -31.08  ND                  
 79 09/03/2010 Away    W    38.78  15  14    8  35 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas         31.66    -30.66  ND                  
 80 09/10/2010 Away    W *  43.56  31  22    8  39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                  36.43    -27.43                      
 81 09/17/2010 Home    W *  13.79  30  22    8  62 ( 14- 72-  0) South Page              6.66      1.34                      
 82 09/24/2010 Away    L * -29.09  14  69    8  50 ( 31- 62-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills   -36.21    -18.79                      
 83 10/01/2010 Home    L *   7.19   7  54    8  16 ( 31- 10-  0) East Mills              0.07    -47.07                      
 84 10/08/2010 Away    L *   4.71  14  74    8   6 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton                -2.41 *  -57.59                      
 85 10/15/2010 Home    L *   2.96  27  60    8  36 (  6-  4-  0) Nishnabotna            -4.17    -28.83                      
 86 10/22/2010 Away    L *  -6.64   9  51    8  38 ( 48- 45-  0) Sidney                -13.76    -28.24                      
      Averages               6.58  19.1 48.1

Best game:   87.56 = 53 point win over Essex
Worst game: -51.20 = 84 point loss to Malvern
Team stdev:  29.81