BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Ames

Class: 4A Class Rank: 19 Conference: 4A-2 Record: (11-8-0) Overall: (49-46-0) Overall Strength =   89.03

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/19/2011 Home    W    90.06  54   7   4A  40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North        1.26     45.74                      
  2 08/26/2011 Away    L    72.66   7  45   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                -16.14    -21.86                      
  3 09/02/2011 Home    W    81.22  28  14   4A  33 ( 24- 67-  0) Ottumwa                -7.58     21.58                      
  4 09/09/2011 Away    W *  86.17  24  17   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East        -2.62      9.62                      
  5 09/16/2011 Away    W    92.35  27   6   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City              3.55     17.45                      
  6 09/23/2011 Home    L    77.68  20  28   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge            -11.12      3.12                      
  7 09/30/2011 Away    L    81.33   0  41   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             -7.47    -33.53                      
  8 10/07/2011 Home    L *  39.69  19  56   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown          -49.11     12.11                      
  9 10/21/2011 Home    L    82.37   0  26   4A   4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                 -6.43    -19.57                      
 10 10/26/2011 Away    L    84.02   3  43   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            -4.78    -35.22                      
 11 08/17/2012 Away    W    88.35  24   7   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             -0.45     17.45                      
 12 08/24/2012 Away    W *  95.17  63  47   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East         6.38      9.62                      
 13 08/31/2012 Home    L    78.87  17  47   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         -9.93    -20.07                      
 14 09/14/2012 Home    L *  66.69  27  37   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown          -22.11     12.11                      
 15 09/21/2012 Away    W    99.22  38  28   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge             10.42     -0.42                      
 16 09/28/2012 Home    L    75.12  17  49   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                -13.68    -18.32                      
 17 10/05/2012 Away    W   110.61  70   6   4A  40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North       21.81     42.19                      
 18 10/12/2012 Home    W    87.73  55  29   4A  35 ( 22- 70-  0) Sioux City North       -1.07     27.07                      
 19 10/19/2012 Away    L    64.68  24  62   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston              -24.12    -13.88                      
 20 10/24/2012 Away    L    90.86  38  39   4A  17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East         2.06     -3.06                      
 21 08/30/2013 Home    W * 102.63  47  20   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East        13.83     13.17  NC                  
 22 09/06/2013 Away    W   115.41  45  42   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         26.61    -23.61  NC                  
 23 09/13/2013 Home    W * 109.10  34  30   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      20.30    -16.30  NC                  
 24 09/20/2013 Away    W * 115.23  42   7   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           26.43      8.57  NC                  
 25 09/27/2013 Home    W   126.68  62  21   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge             37.88      3.12                      
 26 10/04/2013 Away    W   140.66  48  18   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 51.86    -21.86                      
 27 10/11/2013 Home    W   113.06  70   0   4A  40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North       24.26     45.74                      
 28 10/18/2013 Away    W    75.27  52  42   4A  35 ( 22- 70-  0) Sioux City North      -13.52     23.52                      
 29 10/25/2013 Home    W   133.14  41   7   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston               44.34    -10.34                      
 30 10/30/2013 Home    W   118.81  52  21   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola              30.01      0.99                      
 31 11/04/2013 Home    W   133.39  72  37   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              44.60     -9.60                      
 32 11/08/2013 Home    L    75.79  20  63   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -13.01    -29.99                      
 33 08/29/2014 Home    L * 100.10  14  19   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      11.30    -16.30                      
 34 09/05/2014 Away    W   121.12  24  10   4A   9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls            32.32    -18.32                      
 35 09/12/2014 Away    W   111.63  44  20   4A  21 ( 46- 51-  0) Iowa City High         22.83      1.17                      
 36 09/19/2014 Home    W * 117.69  41   0   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           28.89     12.11                      
 37 09/26/2014 Away    L   104.66  14  20   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 15.86    -21.86                      
 38 10/02/2014 Away    W    85.27  55  35   4A  35 ( 22- 70-  0) Sioux City North       -3.52     23.52                      
 39 10/10/2014 Home    L   101.87  24  31   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         13.07    -20.07                      
 40 10/24/2014 Home    W   110.46  55   6   4A  36 ( 25- 63-  0) CB Jefferson           21.66     27.34                      
 41 10/29/2014 Away    W   104.94  31  28   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              16.14    -13.14                      
 42 11/03/2014 Neutral L    87.25  24  59   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            -1.55    -33.45                      
 43 08/28/2015 Away    L *  96.64  16  28   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial       7.84    -19.84  ND                  
 44 09/04/2015 Home    L   100.57  18  21   4A   9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls            11.78    -14.78  ND                  
 45 09/11/2015 Home    L    68.08  10  26   4A  21 ( 46- 51-  0) Iowa City High        -20.72      4.72  ND                  
 46 09/18/2015 Away    W * 107.23  33   6   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           18.43      8.57  ND                  
 47 09/25/2015 Home    L   101.12  14  20   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 12.32    -18.32                      
 48 10/02/2015 Home    W    97.73  57  21   4A  35 ( 22- 70-  0) Sioux City North        8.93     27.07                      
 49 10/09/2015 Away    L    91.41  28  49   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk          2.61    -23.61                      
 50 10/16/2015 Home    W *  89.63  49  35   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East         0.83     13.17                      
 51 10/23/2015 Away    W    91.00  56  30   4A  36 ( 25- 63-  0) CB Jefferson            2.20     23.80                      
 52 10/28/2015 Away    L    79.33   7  50   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             -9.47    -33.53                      
 53 08/26/2016 Home    W * 106.69  33   3   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           17.89     12.11  ND                  
 54 09/02/2016 Away    L    79.12   7  35   4A   9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls            -9.68    -18.32  ND                  
 55 09/09/2016 Away    W    90.63  30  27 1 4A  21 ( 46- 51-  0) Iowa City High          1.83      1.17                      
 56 09/16/2016 Home    L    78.68  21  28   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge            -10.12      3.12  ND                  
 57 09/23/2016 Away    W    90.97  28   7   4A  34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln              2.17     18.83                      
 58 09/30/2016 Home    W    83.53  52  20   4A  39 ( 12- 79-  0) Sioux City West        -5.27     37.27                      
 59 10/07/2016 Home    L *  50.10   0  55   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial     -38.70    -16.30                      
 60 10/14/2016 Away    W    83.82  42  37   4A  31 ( 39- 48-  0) Des Moines Lincoln     -4.98      9.98                      
 61 10/21/2016 Home    L    54.48   0  66   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling           -34.32    -31.68                      
 62 08/25/2017 Away    W * 110.23  43  13   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           21.43      8.57  ND                  
 63 09/01/2017 Home    L    45.57   7  65   4A   9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls           -43.22    -14.78  ND                  
 64 09/08/2017 Home    W   107.08  56  33   4A  21 ( 46- 51-  0) Iowa City High         18.28      4.72  ND                  
 65 09/15/2017 Away    L    79.22  52  62   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge             -9.58     -0.42  ND                  
 66 09/22/2017 Home    W   100.43  55  21   4A  34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln             11.63     22.37                      
 67 09/28/2017 Away    W   108.07  74  21   4A  39 ( 12- 79-  0) Sioux City West        19.27     33.73                      
 68 10/06/2017 Away    L *  68.64  13  53   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial     -20.16    -19.84                      
 69 10/13/2017 Home    L    69.27  41  47 1 4A  31 ( 39- 48-  0) Des Moines Lincoln    -19.52     13.52                      
 70 10/20/2017 Away    L    91.02  28  61   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling             2.22    -35.22                      
 71 08/24/2018 Home    L    72.57   0  31   4A   9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls           -16.22    -14.78  ND                  
 72 08/31/2018 Away    L    61.22  24  52   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge            -27.58     -0.42  ND                  
 73 09/07/2018 Away    W   122.63  35   0   4A  21 ( 46- 51-  0) Iowa City High         33.83      1.17  ND                  
 74 09/14/2018 Home    W *  84.69  21  13   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           -4.11     12.11  ND                  
 75 09/21/2018 Home    W    77.06  40   6   4A  40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North      -11.74     45.74                      
 76 09/28/2018 Away    W   115.97  49   3   4A  34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln             27.17     18.83                      
 77 10/05/2018 Home    W    73.46  41  29   4A  36 ( 25- 63-  0) CB Jefferson          -15.34     27.34                      
 78 10/12/2018 Away    L    77.33   0  45   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -11.47    -33.53                      
 79 10/19/2018 Home    L    87.39  10  21   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              -1.40     -9.60                      
 80 08/30/2019 Away    L    71.12   3  39   4A   9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls           -17.68    -18.32  ND                  
 81 09/06/2019 Home    L    50.68   7  42   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge            -38.12      3.12  ND                  
 82 09/13/2019 Home    L    81.08  25  28   4A  21 ( 46- 51-  0) Iowa City High         -7.72      4.72  ND                  
 83 09/20/2019 Away    L *  66.23  14  28   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown          -22.57      8.57  ND                  
 84 09/27/2019 Away    W    86.61  52  12   4A  40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North       -2.19     42.19                      
 85 10/04/2019 Home    W   103.43  58  21   4A  34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln             14.63     22.37                      
 86 10/11/2019 Away    W   106.00  48   7   4A  36 ( 25- 63-  0) CB Jefferson           17.20     23.80                      
 87 10/18/2019 Home    L    56.79   7  69   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -32.01    -29.99                      
 88 10/25/2019 Away    L    62.94  10  49   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale             -25.86    -13.14                      
 89 08/28/2020 Away    L    62.22  54  81   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge            -26.58     -0.42                      
 90 09/04/2020 Home    L    71.39  13  40   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale             -17.40     -9.60                      
 91 09/25/2020 Away    L * 104.64  17  21   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      15.84    -19.84                      
 92 10/02/2020 Home    L    56.81   0  31   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola             -31.99      0.99                      
 93 10/09/2020 Away    W    91.76  42  21   4A  33 ( 24- 67-  0) Ottumwa                 2.96     18.04                      
 94 10/16/2020 Home    W    79.79  35  31   4A  29 ( 24- 68-  0) CR Jefferson           -9.00     13.00                      
 95 10/23/2020 Away    L    64.41   0  48   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk        -24.39    -23.61                      
      Averages              89.03  31.0 30.3

Best game:  140.66 = 30 point win over Ankeny
Worst game:  39.69 = 37 point loss to Marshalltown
Team stdev:  20.67