BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Ames

Class: 4A Class Rank: 19 Conference: 4A-2 Record: (11-8-0) Overall: (49-46-0) Overall Strength =   89.14

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/19/2011 Home    W      90.16  54   7   4A 40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North        1.25     45.75                      
 2 08/26/2011 Away    L      72.79   7  45   4A  5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                -16.12    -21.88                      
 3 09/02/2011 Home    W      81.32  28  14   4A 33 ( 23- 68-  0) Ottumwa                -7.59     21.59                      
 4 09/09/2011 Away    W * *  86.30  24  17   4A 30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East        -2.61      9.61                      
 5 09/16/2011 Away    W      92.48  27   6   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City              3.57     17.43                      
 6 09/23/2011 Home    L      77.77  20  28   4A 20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge            -11.14      3.14                      
 7 09/30/2011 Away    L      81.45   0  41   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             -7.46    -33.54                      
 8 10/07/2011 Home    L * *  39.79  19  56   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown          -49.12     12.12                      
 9 10/21/2011 Home    L      82.46   0  26   4A  4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                 -6.45    -19.55                      
10 10/26/2011 Away    L      84.15   3  43   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            -4.76    -35.24                      
11 08/17/2012 Away    W      88.48  24   7   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             -0.43     17.43                      
12 08/24/2012 Away    W * *  95.30  63  47   4A 30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East         6.39      9.61                      
13 08/31/2012 Home    L      78.97  17  47   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         -9.94    -20.06                      
14 09/14/2012 Home    L * *  66.79  27  37   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown          -22.12     12.12                      
15 09/21/2012 Away    W      99.34  38  28   4A 20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge             10.44     -0.44                      
16 09/28/2012 Home    L      75.22  17  49   4A  5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                -13.69    -18.31                      
17 10/05/2012 Away    W     110.73  70   6   4A 40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North       21.82     42.18                      
18 10/12/2012 Home    W      87.83  55  29   4A 35 ( 21- 71-  0) Sioux City North       -1.08     27.08                      
19 10/19/2012 Away    L      64.80  24  62   4A 11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston              -24.11    -13.89                      
20 10/24/2012 Away    L      90.99  38  39   4A 17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East         2.08     -3.08                      
21 08/30/2013 Home    W * * 102.73  47  20   4A 30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East        13.82     13.18  NC                  
22 09/06/2013 Away    W     115.54  45  42   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         26.63    -23.63  NC                  
23 09/13/2013 Home    W * * 109.19  34  30   4A  7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      20.28    -16.28  NC                  
24 09/20/2013 Away    W * * 115.36  42   7   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           26.45      8.55  NC                  
25 09/27/2013 Home    W     126.77  62  21   4A 20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge             37.86      3.14                      
26 10/04/2013 Away    W     140.79  48  18   4A  5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 51.88    -21.88                      
27 10/11/2013 Home    W     113.16  70   0   4A 40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North       24.25     45.75                      
28 10/18/2013 Away    W      75.40  52  42   4A 35 ( 21- 71-  0) Sioux City North      -13.51     23.51                      
29 10/25/2013 Home    W     133.23  41   7   4A 11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston               44.32    -10.32                      
30 10/30/2013 Home    W     118.90  52  21   4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola              30.00      1.00                      
31 11/04/2013 Home    W     133.49  72  37   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              44.58     -9.58                      
32 11/08/2013 Home    L      75.88  20  63   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -13.03    -29.97                      
33 08/29/2014 Home    L * * 100.19  14  19   4A  7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      11.28    -16.28                      
34 09/05/2014 Away    W     121.24  24  10   4A  9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls            32.33    -18.33                      
35 09/12/2014 Away    W     111.75  44  20   4A 21 ( 46- 51-  0) Iowa City High         22.84      1.16                      
36 09/19/2014 Home    W * * 117.79  41   0   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           28.88     12.12                      
37 09/26/2014 Away    L     104.79  14  20   4A  5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 15.88    -21.88                      
38 10/02/2014 Away    W      85.40  55  35   4A 35 ( 21- 71-  0) Sioux City North       -3.51     23.51                      
39 10/10/2014 Home    L     101.97  24  31   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         13.06    -20.06                      
40 10/24/2014 Home    W     110.56  55   6   4A 36 ( 25- 63-  0) CB Jefferson           21.65     27.35                      
41 10/29/2014 Away    W     105.06  31  28   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              16.15    -13.15                      
42 11/03/2014 Neutral L      87.36  24  59   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            -1.55    -33.45                      
43 08/28/2015 Away    L * *  96.76  16  28   4A  7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial       7.85    -19.85  ND                  
44 09/04/2015 Home    L     100.67  18  21   4A  9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls            11.76    -14.76  ND                  
45 09/11/2015 Home    L      68.18  10  26   4A 21 ( 46- 51-  0) Iowa City High        -20.73      4.73  ND                  
46 09/18/2015 Away    W * * 107.36  33   6   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           18.45      8.55  ND                  
47 09/25/2015 Home    L     101.22  14  20   4A  5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 12.31    -18.31                      
48 10/02/2015 Home    W      97.83  57  21   4A 35 ( 21- 71-  0) Sioux City North        8.92     27.08                      
49 10/09/2015 Away    L      91.54  28  49   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk          2.63    -23.63                      
50 10/16/2015 Home    W * *  89.73  49  35   4A 30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East         0.82     13.18                      
51 10/23/2015 Away    W      91.13  56  30   4A 36 ( 25- 63-  0) CB Jefferson            2.22     23.78                      
52 10/28/2015 Away    L      79.45   7  50   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             -9.46    -33.54                      
53 08/26/2016 Home    W * * 106.79  33   3   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           17.88     12.12  ND                  
54 09/02/2016 Away    L      79.24   7  35   4A  9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls            -9.67    -18.33  ND                  
55 09/09/2016 Away    W      90.75  30  27 1 4A 21 ( 46- 51-  0) Iowa City High          1.84      1.16                      
56 09/16/2016 Home    L      78.77  21  28   4A 20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge            -10.14      3.14  ND                  
57 09/23/2016 Away    W      91.10  28   7   4A 34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln              2.19     18.81                      
58 09/30/2016 Home    W      83.63  52  20   4A 39 ( 14- 77-  0) Sioux City West        -5.28     37.28                      
59 10/07/2016 Home    L * *  50.19   0  55   4A  7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial     -38.72    -16.28                      
60 10/14/2016 Away    W      83.94  42  37   4A 31 ( 39- 48-  0) Des Moines Lincoln     -4.97      9.97                      
61 10/21/2016 Home    L      54.57   0  66   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling           -34.34    -31.66                      
62 08/25/2017 Away    W * * 110.36  43  13   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           21.45      8.55  ND                  
63 09/01/2017 Home    L      45.67   7  65   4A  9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls           -43.24    -14.76  ND                  
64 09/08/2017 Home    W     107.18  56  33   4A 21 ( 46- 51-  0) Iowa City High         18.27      4.73  ND                  
65 09/15/2017 Away    L      79.34  52  62   4A 20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge             -9.56     -0.44  ND                  
66 09/22/2017 Home    W     100.53  55  21   4A 34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln             11.62     22.38                      
67 09/28/2017 Away    W     108.20  74  21   4A 39 ( 14- 77-  0) Sioux City West        19.29     33.71                      
68 10/06/2017 Away    L * *  68.76  13  53   4A  7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial     -20.15    -19.85                      
69 10/13/2017 Home    L      69.37  41  47 1 4A 31 ( 39- 48-  0) Des Moines Lincoln    -19.54     13.54                      
70 10/20/2017 Away    L      91.15  28  61   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling             2.24    -35.24                      
71 08/24/2018 Home    L      72.67   0  31   4A  9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls           -16.24    -14.76  ND                  
72 08/31/2018 Away    L      61.34  24  52   4A 20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge            -27.56     -0.44  ND                  
73 09/07/2018 Away    W     122.75  35   0   4A 21 ( 46- 51-  0) Iowa City High         33.84      1.16  ND                  
74 09/14/2018 Home    W * *  84.79  21  13   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           -4.12     12.12  ND                  
75 09/21/2018 Home    W      77.16  40   6   4A 40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North      -11.75     45.75                      
76 09/28/2018 Away    W     116.10  49   3   4A 34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln             27.19     18.81                      
77 10/05/2018 Home    W      73.56  41  29   4A 36 ( 25- 63-  0) CB Jefferson          -15.35     27.35                      
78 10/12/2018 Away    L      77.45   0  45   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -11.46    -33.54                      
79 10/19/2018 Home    L      87.49  10  21   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              -1.42     -9.58                      
80 08/30/2019 Away    L      71.24   3  39   4A  9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls           -17.67    -18.33  ND                  
81 09/06/2019 Home    L      50.77   7  42   4A 20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge            -38.14      3.14  ND                  
82 09/13/2019 Home    L      81.18  25  28   4A 21 ( 46- 51-  0) Iowa City High         -7.73      4.73  ND                  
83 09/20/2019 Away    L * *  66.36  14  28   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown          -22.55      8.55  ND                  
84 09/27/2019 Away    W      86.73  52  12   4A 40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North       -2.18     42.18                      
85 10/04/2019 Home    W     103.53  58  21   4A 34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln             14.62     22.38                      
86 10/11/2019 Away    W     106.13  48   7   4A 36 ( 25- 63-  0) CB Jefferson           17.22     23.78                      
87 10/18/2019 Home    L      56.88   7  69   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -32.03    -29.97                      
88 10/25/2019 Away    L      63.06  10  49   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale             -25.85    -13.15                      
89 08/28/2020 Away    L      62.34  54  81   4A 20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge            -26.56     -0.44                      
90 09/04/2020 Home    L      71.49  13  40   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale             -17.42     -9.58                      
91 09/25/2020 Away    L * * 104.76  17  21   4A  7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      15.85    -19.85                      
92 10/02/2020 Home    L      56.90   0  31   4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola             -32.00      1.00                      
93 10/09/2020 Away    W      91.89  42  21   4A 33 ( 23- 68-  0) Ottumwa                 2.98     18.02                      
94 10/16/2020 Home    W      79.89  35  31   4A 29 ( 24- 68-  0) CR Jefferson           -9.02     13.02                      
95 10/23/2020 Away    L      64.54   0  48   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk        -24.37    -23.63                      
      Averages              89.14  31.0 30.3

Best game:  140.79 = 30 point win over Ankeny
Worst game:  39.79 = 37 point loss to Marshalltown
Team stdev:  20.67