BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Waukee

Class: 4A Class Rank: 4 Conference: 4A-6 Record: (9-1-0) Overall: (79-31-0) Overall Strength =  110.53

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/19/2011 Away    L    99.66  20  31   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                -10.48     -0.52                      
  2 08/26/2011 Home    W    95.31  28  21   4A  17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East       -14.82     21.82                      
  3 09/02/2011 Away    L    74.41   0  38   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk        -35.72     -2.28                      
  4 09/09/2011 Home    W   108.22  60  19   4A  33 ( 24- 67-  0) Ottumwa                -1.92     42.92                      
  5 09/23/2011 Home    W   103.81  42   6   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             -6.33     42.33                      
  6 09/30/2011 Away    W   102.23  50  28   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           -7.90     29.90                      
  7 10/07/2011 Away    W   105.22  33  17   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge             -4.92     20.92                      
  8 10/14/2011 Home    L    77.79  14  55   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -32.35     -8.65                      
  9 10/21/2011 Away    W   116.57  26   0   4A  19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                    6.43     19.57                      
 10 10/26/2011 Home    L    70.31   6  24   4A  17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East       -39.82     21.82                      
 11 08/24/2012 Home    L    94.79  21  45   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -15.35     -8.65                      
 12 08/31/2012 Away    W    94.23  49  35   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown          -15.90     29.90                      
 13 09/07/2012 Home    W    91.81  34  10   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City            -18.33     42.33                      
 14 09/14/2012 Away    W * 118.68  45  29   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston                8.54      7.46                      
 15 09/21/2012 Home    W   105.11  49  14   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   -5.03     40.03                      
 16 09/28/2012 Home    L    75.87   8  41   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk        -34.27      1.27                      
 17 10/05/2012 Away    W    99.17  48  28   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East       -10.96     30.96                      
 18 10/12/2012 Away    W   116.97  54   7   4A  34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln              6.84     40.16                      
 19 10/19/2012 Home    W    79.53  35   7   4A  39 ( 12- 79-  0) Sioux City West       -30.61 *   58.61                      
 20 10/24/2012 Home    W   122.22  55   0   4A  33 ( 24- 67-  0) Ottumwa                12.08     42.92                      
 21 10/29/2012 Away    L    86.02   0  38   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling           -24.12    -13.88                      
 22 08/30/2013 Away    L   116.33  17  23   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley              6.19    -12.19  NC                  
 23 09/06/2013 Home    W   132.69  62   6   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           22.55     33.45  NC                  
 24 09/13/2013 Away    W   107.35  56  20   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             -2.78     38.78  NC                  
 25 09/20/2013 Home    W * 112.14  20   7   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston                2.00     11.00  NC                  
 26 09/27/2013 Away    W   121.65  55   7   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   11.51     36.49                      
 27 10/04/2013 Away    W   133.41  30   9   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         23.28     -2.28                      
 28 10/11/2013 Home    W   131.63  59   3   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East        21.50     34.50                      
 29 10/18/2013 Home    W    75.43  23  14   4A  34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln            -34.71     43.71                      
 30 10/24/2013 Away    W    95.07  46   6   4A  39 ( 12- 79-  0) Sioux City West       -15.06     55.06                      
 31 10/30/2013 Home    W   102.80  56  13   3A  52 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Hoover      -7.33     50.33                      
 32 11/04/2013 Home    W   142.10  44   7   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      31.96      5.04                      
 33 11/08/2013 Neutral L   117.25   9  14   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling             7.11    -12.11                      
 34 08/29/2014 Home    W   140.79  28   6   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             30.65     -8.65                      
 35 09/05/2014 Away    W   119.41  48  41   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk          9.28     -2.28                      
 36 09/12/2014 Away    L    93.02  14  45   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling           -17.12    -13.88                      
 37 09/19/2014 Home    W * 129.14  37   7   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston               19.00     11.00                      
 38 09/26/2014 Away    W   123.23  45   2   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           13.10     29.90                      
 39 10/03/2014 Home    W   139.39  41   0   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              29.26     11.74                      
 40 10/10/2014 Away    W   127.35  49  13   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola              17.21     18.79                      
 41 10/17/2014 Away    W   122.22  47  14   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge             12.08     20.92                      
 42 10/24/2014 Home    W   126.81  59   0   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             16.67     42.33                      
 43 10/29/2014 Home    W   126.31  45   7   4A  17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East        16.18     21.82                      
 44 11/03/2014 Home    W   132.87  41  17   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         22.73      1.27                      
 45 11/07/2014 Home    W   130.79  12   0   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             20.65     -8.65                      
 46 11/14/2014 Neutral L   109.25  28  41   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            -0.89    -12.11                      
 47 08/28/2015 Away    L    91.33  13  44   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -18.81    -12.19  ND                  
 48 09/04/2015 Home    W   111.87  24  21   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk          1.73      1.27  ND                  
 49 09/11/2015 Home    L   113.48  21  28   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling             3.34    -10.34  ND                  
 50 09/18/2015 Away    W * 111.68  30  21   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston                1.54      7.46  ND                  
 51 09/25/2015 Home    W   103.69  41  14   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           -6.45     33.45                      
 52 10/02/2015 Away    W   115.94  28  14   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale               5.80      8.20                      
 53 10/09/2015 Home    W   115.81  42  14   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola               5.67     22.33                      
 54 10/16/2015 Home    W    88.68  31  28   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge            -21.46     24.46                      
 55 10/23/2015 Away    W    95.35  40  16   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City            -14.78     38.78                      
 56 10/28/2015 Home    W   119.31  55  24   4A  17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East         9.18     21.82                      
 57 11/02/2015 Home    L    83.79   7  42   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -26.35     -8.65                      
 58 08/26/2016 Away    W   116.94  24   9   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale               6.80      8.20  ND                  
 59 09/02/2016 Home    L    91.79   7  34   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -18.35     -8.65  ND                  
 60 09/09/2016 Home    W   110.12  34  31   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 -0.02      3.02  ND                  
 61 09/16/2016 Away    L    87.02   0  37   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling           -23.12    -13.88  ND                  
 62 09/23/2016 Home    W   111.11  48   7   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt    0.97     40.03                      
 63 09/30/2016 Away    W   136.86  73  28   4A  17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East        26.72     18.28                      
 64 10/07/2016 Home    W    77.63  22  20   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East       -32.50     34.50                      
 65 10/14/2016 Away    W * 112.68  24  14   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston                2.54      7.46                      
 66 10/21/2016 Home    W   103.73  56  14   4A  35 ( 22- 70-  0) Sioux City North       -6.40     48.40                      
 67 10/28/2016 Home    W   139.87  52  21   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         29.73      1.27                      
 68 11/04/2016 Away    L   102.02  14  36   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            -8.12    -13.88                      
 69 08/25/2017 Home    W   120.39  29   7   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              10.26     11.74  ND                  
 70 09/01/2017 Away    L   114.33  21  29   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley              4.19    -12.19  ND                  
 71 09/08/2017 Away    W   143.66  53  20   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 33.52     -0.52  ND                  
 72 09/15/2017 Home    L    93.48  21  48   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling           -16.66    -10.34  ND                  
 73 09/22/2017 Away    W   108.65  48  13   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   -1.49     36.49                      
 74 09/29/2017 Home    W   121.31  49  16   4A  17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East        11.18     21.82                      
 75 10/06/2017 Away    W   114.17  42   7   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East         4.04     30.96                      
 76 10/13/2017 Home    L *  86.14  18  31   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston              -24.00     11.00                      
 77 10/19/2017 Away    W   122.27  63   6   4A  35 ( 22- 70-  0) Sioux City North       12.14     44.86                      
 78 10/27/2017 Away    L    98.64  21  31   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial     -11.50      1.50                      
 79 08/24/2018 Home    L    86.48  14  48   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling           -23.66    -10.34  ND                  
 80 08/31/2018 Away    W   119.41  21  14   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk          9.28     -2.28  ND                  
 81 09/07/2018 Away    W   125.13  33   6   4A  14 ( 58- 42-  0) CR Prairie             15.00     12.00  ND                  
 82 09/14/2018 Home    L   117.79  27  28   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley              7.65     -8.65  ND                  
 83 09/21/2018 Away    W   127.35  63   7   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             17.22     38.78                      
 84 09/28/2018 Home    W    83.63  27  19   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East       -26.50     34.50                      
 85 10/05/2018 Away    W   120.76  50   0   4A  33 ( 24- 67-  0) Ottumwa                10.62     39.38                      
 86 10/12/2018 Away    W   119.35  42  14   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola               9.21     18.79                      
 87 10/19/2018 Home    W * 100.14  31  30   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston              -10.00     11.00                      
 88 10/26/2018 Home    W   118.39  42  22   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale               8.26     11.74                      
 89 11/02/2018 Away    L    74.12   7  40   4A   9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls           -36.02      3.02                      
 90 08/30/2019 Away    L   120.02  17  21   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling             9.88    -13.88  ND                  
 91 09/06/2019 Home    L   105.87  35  38   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         -4.27      1.27  ND                  
 92 09/13/2019 Home    W   130.59  43   7   4A  14 ( 58- 42-  0) CR Prairie             20.46     15.54  ND                  
 93 09/20/2019 Away    L    94.33  10  38   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -15.81    -12.19  ND                  
 94 09/27/2019 Home    W   128.81  61   0   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             18.67     42.33                      
 95 10/04/2019 Away    W   119.17  47   7   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East         9.04     30.96                      
 96 10/11/2019 Home    W   129.22  74  12   4A  33 ( 24- 67-  0) Ottumwa                19.08     42.92                      
 97 10/18/2019 Home    W   122.81  42   7   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola              12.67     22.33                      
 98 10/25/2019 Away    W * 125.68  40  17   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston               15.54      7.46                      
 99 11/01/2019 Home    W   124.59  45  15   4A  14 ( 58- 42-  0) CR Prairie             14.46     15.54                      
100 11/08/2019 Away    L   106.33  10  26   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             -3.81    -12.19                      
101 08/28/2020 Home    L    97.87  10  21   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk        -12.27      1.27                      
102 09/04/2020 Home    W   111.12  21  17   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                  0.98      3.02                      
103 09/11/2020 Away    W   125.64  24   7   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      15.50      1.50                      
104 09/18/2020 Away    L   121.02  34  37   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            10.88    -13.88                      
105 09/25/2020 Home    W * 127.14  45  17   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston               17.00     11.00                      
106 10/02/2020 Away    W   130.33  31  23   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             20.19    -12.19                      
107 10/09/2020 Home    W   119.39  38  17   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale               9.26     11.74                      
108 10/23/2020 Home    W * 119.52  34   3   4A  16 ( 43- 50-  0) Marion Linn-Mar         9.39     21.61                      
109 10/30/2020 Home    W   109.81  50  28   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola              -0.33     22.33                      
110 11/06/2020 Home    L    86.12   7  28   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                -24.02      3.02                      
      Averages             110.53  34.3 19.6

Best game:  143.66 = 33 point win over Ankeny
Worst game:  70.31 = 18 point loss to Sioux City East
Team stdev:  17.43