BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Waukee

Class: 4A Class Rank: 4 Conference: 4A-6 Record: (9-1-0) Overall: (79-31-0) Overall Strength =  110.92

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/19/2011 Away    L      99.79  20  31   4A  5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                -10.46     -0.54                      
 2 08/26/2011 Home    W      95.41  28  21   4A 17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East       -14.83     21.83                      
 3 09/02/2011 Away    L      74.54   0  38   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk        -35.71     -2.29                      
 4 09/09/2011 Home    W     108.32  60  19   4A 33 ( 23- 68-  0) Ottumwa                -1.93     42.93                      
 5 09/23/2011 Home    W     103.91  42   6   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             -6.34     42.34                      
 6 09/30/2011 Away    W     102.36  50  28   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           -7.89     29.89                      
 7 10/07/2011 Away    W     105.34  33  17   4A 20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge             -4.90     20.90                      
 8 10/14/2011 Home    L      77.88  14  55   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -32.36     -8.64                      
 9 10/21/2011 Away    W     116.70  26   0   4A 19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                    6.45     19.55                      
10 10/26/2011 Home    L      70.41   6  24   4A 17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East       -39.83     21.83                      
11 08/24/2012 Home    L      94.88  21  45   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -15.36     -8.64                      
12 08/31/2012 Away    W      94.36  49  35   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown          -15.89     29.89                      
13 09/07/2012 Home    W      91.91  34  10   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City            -18.34     42.34                      
14 09/14/2012 Away    W * * 118.80  45  29   4A 11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston                8.56      7.44                      
15 09/21/2012 Home    W     105.20  49  14   4A 32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   -5.04     40.04                      
16 09/28/2012 Home    L      75.97   8  41   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk        -34.28      1.28                      
17 10/05/2012 Away    W      99.30  48  28   4A 30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East       -10.94     30.94                      
18 10/12/2012 Away    W     117.10  54   7   4A 34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln              6.85     40.15                      
19 10/19/2012 Home    W      79.63  35   7   4A 39 ( 14- 77-  0) Sioux City West       -30.62 *   58.62                      
20 10/24/2012 Home    W     122.32  55   0   4A 33 ( 23- 68-  0) Ottumwa                12.07     42.93                      
21 10/29/2012 Away    L      86.15   0  38   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling           -24.10    -13.90                      
22 08/30/2013 Away    L     116.45  17  23   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley              6.21    -12.21  NC                  
23 09/06/2013 Home    W     132.79  62   6   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           22.54     33.46  NC                  
24 09/13/2013 Away    W     107.48  56  20   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             -2.77     38.77  NC                  
25 09/20/2013 Home    W * * 112.23  20   7   4A 11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston                1.99     11.01  NC                  
26 09/27/2013 Away    W     121.78  55   7   4A 32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   11.53     36.47                      
27 10/04/2013 Away    W     133.54  30   9   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         23.29     -2.29                      
28 10/11/2013 Home    W     131.73  59   3   4A 30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East        21.48     34.52                      
29 10/18/2013 Home    W      75.53  23  14   4A 34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln            -34.72     43.72                      
30 10/24/2013 Away    W      95.20  46   6   4A 39 ( 14- 77-  0) Sioux City West       -15.05     55.05                      
31 10/30/2013 Home    W     102.90  56  13   3A 52 ( 26- 58-  0) Des Moines Hoover      -7.35     50.35                      
32 11/04/2013 Home    W     142.19  44   7   4A  7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      31.95      5.05                      
33 11/08/2013 Neutral L     117.36   9  14   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling             7.11    -12.11                      
34 08/29/2014 Home    W     140.88  28   6   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             30.64     -8.64                      
35 09/05/2014 Away    W     119.54  48  41   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk          9.29     -2.29                      
36 09/12/2014 Away    L      93.15  14  45   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling           -17.10    -13.90                      
37 09/19/2014 Home    W * * 129.23  37   7   4A 11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston               18.99     11.01                      
38 09/26/2014 Away    W     123.36  45   2   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           13.11     29.89                      
39 10/03/2014 Home    W     139.49  41   0   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              29.25     11.75                      
40 10/10/2014 Away    W     127.48  49  13   4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola              17.23     18.77                      
41 10/17/2014 Away    W     122.34  47  14   4A 20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge             12.10     20.90                      
42 10/24/2014 Home    W     126.91  59   0   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             16.66     42.34                      
43 10/29/2014 Home    W     126.41  45   7   4A 17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East        16.17     21.83                      
44 11/03/2014 Home    W     132.97  41  17   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         22.72      1.28                      
45 11/07/2014 Home    W     130.88  12   0   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             20.64     -8.64                      
46 11/14/2014 Neutral L     109.36  28  41   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            -0.89    -12.11                      
47 08/28/2015 Away    L      91.45  13  44   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -18.79    -12.21  ND                  
48 09/04/2015 Home    W     111.97  24  21   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk          1.72      1.28  ND                  
49 09/11/2015 Home    L     113.57  21  28   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling             3.33    -10.33  ND                  
50 09/18/2015 Away    W * * 111.80  30  21   4A 11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston                1.56      7.44  ND                  
51 09/25/2015 Home    W     103.79  41  14   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           -6.46     33.46                      
52 10/02/2015 Away    W     116.06  28  14   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale               5.82      8.18                      
53 10/09/2015 Home    W     115.90  42  14   4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola               5.66     22.34                      
54 10/16/2015 Home    W      88.77  31  28   4A 20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge            -21.47     24.47                      
55 10/23/2015 Away    W      95.48  40  16   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City            -14.77     38.77                      
56 10/28/2015 Home    W     119.41  55  24   4A 17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East         9.17     21.83                      
57 11/02/2015 Home    L      83.88   7  42   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -26.36     -8.64                      
58 08/26/2016 Away    W     117.06  24   9   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale               6.82      8.18  ND                  
59 09/02/2016 Home    L      91.88   7  34   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -18.36     -8.64  ND                  
60 09/09/2016 Home    W     110.22  34  31   4A  5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 -0.03      3.03  ND                  
61 09/16/2016 Away    L      87.15   0  37   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling           -23.10    -13.90  ND                  
62 09/23/2016 Home    W     111.20  48   7   4A 32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt    0.96     40.04                      
63 09/30/2016 Away    W     136.99  73  28   4A 17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East        26.74     18.26                      
64 10/07/2016 Home    W      77.73  22  20   4A 30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East       -32.52     34.52                      
65 10/14/2016 Away    W * * 112.80  24  14   4A 11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston                2.56      7.44                      
66 10/21/2016 Home    W     103.83  56  14   4A 35 ( 21- 71-  0) Sioux City North       -6.42     48.42                      
67 10/28/2016 Home    W     139.97  52  21   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         29.72      1.28                      
68 11/04/2016 Away    L     102.15  14  36   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            -8.10    -13.90                      
69 08/25/2017 Home    W     120.49  29   7   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              10.25     11.75  ND                  
70 09/01/2017 Away    L     114.45  21  29   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley              4.21    -12.21  ND                  
71 09/08/2017 Away    W     143.79  53  20   4A  5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 33.54     -0.54  ND                  
72 09/15/2017 Home    L      93.57  21  48   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling           -16.67    -10.33  ND                  
73 09/22/2017 Away    W     108.78  48  13   4A 32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   -1.47     36.47                      
74 09/29/2017 Home    W     121.41  49  16   4A 17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East        11.17     21.83                      
75 10/06/2017 Away    W     114.30  42   7   4A 30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East         4.06     30.94                      
76 10/13/2017 Home    L * *  86.23  18  31   4A 11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston              -24.01     11.01                      
77 10/19/2017 Away    W     122.40  63   6   4A 35 ( 21- 71-  0) Sioux City North       12.16     44.84                      
78 10/27/2017 Away    L      98.76  21  31   4A  7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial     -11.48      1.48                      
79 08/24/2018 Home    L      86.57  14  48   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling           -23.67    -10.33  ND                  
80 08/31/2018 Away    W     119.54  21  14   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk          9.29     -2.29  ND                  
81 09/07/2018 Away    W     125.26  33   6   4A 14 ( 58- 42-  0) CR Prairie             15.01     11.99  ND                  
82 09/14/2018 Home    L     117.88  27  28   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley              7.64     -8.64  ND                  
83 09/21/2018 Away    W     127.48  63   7   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             17.23     38.77                      
84 09/28/2018 Home    W      83.73  27  19   4A 30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East       -26.52     34.52                      
85 10/05/2018 Away    W     120.89  50   0   4A 33 ( 23- 68-  0) Ottumwa                10.64     39.36                      
86 10/12/2018 Away    W     119.48  42  14   4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola               9.23     18.77                      
87 10/19/2018 Home    W * * 100.23  31  30   4A 11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston              -10.01     11.01                      
88 10/26/2018 Home    W     118.49  42  22   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale               8.25     11.75                      
89 11/02/2018 Away    L      74.24   7  40   4A  9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls           -36.01      3.01                      
90 08/30/2019 Away    L     120.15  17  21   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling             9.90    -13.90  ND                  
91 09/06/2019 Home    L     105.97  35  38   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         -4.28      1.28  ND                  
92 09/13/2019 Home    W     130.69  43   7   4A 14 ( 58- 42-  0) CR Prairie             20.44     15.56  ND                  
93 09/20/2019 Away    L      94.45  10  38   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -15.79    -12.21  ND                  
94 09/27/2019 Home    W     128.91  61   0   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             18.66     42.34                      
95 10/04/2019 Away    W     119.30  47   7   4A 30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East         9.06     30.94                      
96 10/11/2019 Home    W     129.32  74  12   4A 33 ( 23- 68-  0) Ottumwa                19.07     42.93                      
97 10/18/2019 Home    W     122.90  42   7   4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola              12.66     22.34                      
98 10/25/2019 Away    W * * 125.80  40  17   4A 11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston               15.56      7.44                      
99 11/01/2019 Home    W     124.69  45  15   4A 14 ( 58- 42-  0) CR Prairie             14.44     15.56                      
100 11/08/2019 Away    L     106.45  10  26   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             -3.79    -12.21                      
101 08/28/2020 Home    L      97.97  10  21   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk        -12.28      1.28                      
102 09/04/2020 Home    W     111.22  21  17   4A  5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                  0.97      3.03                      
103 09/11/2020 Away    W     125.76  24   7   4A  7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      15.52      1.48                      
104 09/18/2020 Away    L     121.15  34  37   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            10.90    -13.90                      
105 09/25/2020 Home    W * * 127.23  45  17   4A 11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston               16.99     11.01                      
106 10/02/2020 Away    W     130.45  31  23   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             20.21    -12.21                      
107 10/09/2020 Home    W     119.49  38  17   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale               9.25     11.75                      
108 10/23/2020 Home    W * * 119.62  34   3   4A 16 ( 43- 50-  0) Marion Linn-Mar         9.37     21.63                      
109 10/30/2020 Home    W     109.90  50  28   4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola              -0.34     22.34                      
110 11/06/2020 Home    L      86.22   7  28   4A  5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                -24.03      3.03                      
      Averages             110.64  34.3 19.6

Best game:  143.79 = 33 point win over Ankeny
Worst game:  70.41 = 18 point loss to Sioux City East
Team stdev:  17.43