BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Johnston

Class: 4A Class Rank: 11 Conference: 4A-6 Record: (1-8-0) Overall: (61-42-0) Overall Strength =  101.23

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/19/2011 Home    W    92.22  45  20   4A  33 ( 24- 67-  0) Ottumwa                -8.69     33.69                      
  2 08/26/2011 Away    W    97.97  28   0   4A  34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln             -2.94     30.94                      
  3 09/02/2011 Home    L    62.69  21  35   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown          -38.22     24.22                      
  4 09/16/2011 Away    L    80.94  10  31   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale             -19.97     -1.03                      
  5 09/23/2011 Home    W    94.81  14   7   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola              -6.10     13.10                      
  6 09/30/2011 Home    W    93.53  49   7   4A  39 ( 12- 79-  0) Sioux City West        -7.38     49.38                      
  7 10/07/2011 Away    L   111.02  14  27   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            10.11    -23.11                      
  8 10/14/2011 Home    L    82.12   6  31   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                -18.79     -6.21                      
  9 10/21/2011 Away    L    66.41   0  46   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk        -34.49    -11.51                      
 10 10/26/2011 Away    L    93.94  15  23   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              -6.97     -1.03                      
 11 08/17/2012 Home    L   102.48  16  34   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling             1.57    -19.57                      
 12 08/24/2012 Away    W   101.82  38  15   4A  31 ( 39- 48-  0) Des Moines Lincoln      0.91     22.09                      
 13 09/07/2012 Away    L    88.94  18  31   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale             -11.97     -1.03                      
 14 09/14/2012 Home    L *  92.37  29  45   4A   4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                 -8.54     -7.46                      
 15 09/21/2012 Away    L    75.66   7  42   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                -25.25     -9.75                      
 16 09/28/2012 Home    W    82.73  41  20   4A  35 ( 22- 70-  0) Sioux City North      -18.18     39.18                      
 17 10/05/2012 Away    W   126.22  37   0   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge             25.31     11.69                      
 18 10/12/2012 Home    W    87.06  44   0   4A  40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North      -13.84 *   57.84                      
 19 10/19/2012 Home    W   125.03  62  24   4A  19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                   24.12     13.88                      
 20 10/24/2012 Home    W   101.39  58  55 2 4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale               0.49      2.51                      
 21 10/29/2012 Away    L    97.33  17  42   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             -3.58    -21.42                      
 22 08/30/2013 Home    W   118.27  49   6   4A  31 ( 39- 48-  0) Des Moines Lincoln     17.37     25.63  NC                  
 23 09/06/2013 Away    L    96.64  39  51   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      -4.27     -7.73  NC                  
 24 09/13/2013 Home    L    88.39  40  50   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale             -12.51      2.51  NC                  
 25 09/20/2013 Away    L *  98.91   7  20   4A   4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                 -2.00    -11.00  NC                  
 26 09/27/2013 Home    W   122.12  42  27   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 21.21     -6.21                      
 27 10/03/2013 Away    W    76.27  28  17   4A  35 ( 22- 70-  0) Sioux City North      -24.63     35.63                      
 28 10/11/2013 Home    W   125.68  55  15   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge             24.77     15.23                      
 29 10/18/2013 Away    W   100.61  66  12   4A  40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North       -0.30     54.30                      
 30 10/25/2013 Away    L    56.57   7  41   4A  19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                  -44.34     10.34                      
 31 10/30/2013 Home    L    67.31   7  28   4A  17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East       -33.59     12.59                      
 32 08/29/2014 Home    W   129.87  28   7   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         28.96     -7.96                      
 33 09/05/2014 Home    W   108.12  28  27   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                  7.21     -6.21                      
 34 09/12/2014 Away    W   130.94  31   2   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              30.03     -1.03                      
 35 09/19/2014 Away    L *  81.91   7  37   4A   4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                -19.00    -11.00                      
 36 09/26/2014 Home    W    82.06  45   6   4A  40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North      -18.84 *   57.84                      
 37 10/03/2014 Away    W   109.65  42   6   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt    8.74     27.26                      
 38 10/10/2014 Home    L    83.48  13  50   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling           -17.43    -19.57                      
 39 10/17/2014 Away    L   102.22  28  31   3A   4 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central        1.32     -4.32                      
 40 10/24/2014 Home    W   118.31  47  17   4A  17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East        17.41     12.59                      
 41 10/29/2014 Away    W   136.64  34   6   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      35.73     -7.73                      
 42 11/03/2014 Away    L    94.33   7  35   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             -6.58    -21.42                      
 43 08/28/2015 Away    W   113.41  10   9   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         12.51    -11.51  ND                  
 44 09/04/2015 Away    W   113.66  20  17   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 12.75     -9.75  ND                  
 45 09/11/2015 Home    W   105.39  24  17   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale               4.49      2.51  ND                  
 46 09/18/2015 Home    L *  99.37  21  30   4A   4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                 -1.54     -7.46  ND                  
 47 09/25/2015 Away    W    69.61  44  21   4A  40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North      -31.30     54.30                      
 48 10/02/2015 Home    W   119.11  49   0   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   18.20     30.80                      
 49 10/09/2015 Away    L   104.02  15  35   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling             3.11    -23.11                      
 50 10/16/2015 Home    W   108.68   7   0   3A   4 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central        7.77     -0.77                      
 51 10/23/2015 Away    W   112.86  24   3   4A  17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East        11.95      9.05                      
 52 10/28/2015 Home    W    91.80  45  13   3A  52 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Hoover      -9.10     41.10                      
 53 11/02/2015 Away    W   126.64  28  10   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      25.73     -7.73                      
 54 11/06/2015 Home    L   115.79  17  20   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             14.88    -17.88                      
 55 08/26/2016 Home    L   100.10  17  22   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      -0.81     -4.19  ND                  
 56 09/02/2016 Away    W   115.41  20  17   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         14.51    -11.51  ND                  
 57 09/09/2016 Away    L    97.94  16  20   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              -2.97     -1.03  ND                  
 58 09/16/2016 Home    L    75.79   9  52   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -25.12    -17.88  ND                  
 59 09/23/2016 Home    W    76.63  21  20   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East       -24.28     25.28                      
 60 09/30/2016 Away    W   108.65  42   7   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt    7.74     27.26                      
 61 10/07/2016 Away    W    84.27  41  22   4A  35 ( 22- 70-  0) Sioux City North      -16.63     35.63                      
 62 10/14/2016 Home    L *  98.37  14  24   4A   4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                 -2.54     -7.46                      
 63 10/21/2016 Home    W   135.31  47   0   4A  17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East        34.41     12.59                      
 64 10/28/2016 Neutral L    87.25   6  41   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling           -13.66    -21.34                      
 65 08/25/2017 Away    W   113.64  13   8   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      12.73     -7.73  ND                  
 66 09/01/2017 Home    W   118.87  27  17   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         17.96     -7.96  ND                  
 67 09/08/2017 Home    W   112.39  28  14   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              11.49      2.51  ND                  
 68 09/15/2017 Away    L   109.33  14  27   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley              8.42    -21.42  ND                  
 69 09/22/2017 Away    W    93.17  49  35   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East        -7.73     21.73                      
 70 09/29/2017 Home    W    85.11  30  15   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt  -15.80     30.80                      
 71 10/06/2017 Home    W    97.73  42   6   4A  35 ( 22- 70-  0) Sioux City North       -3.18     39.18                      
 72 10/13/2017 Away    W * 124.91  31  18   4A   4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                 24.00    -11.00                      
 73 10/20/2017 Away    W   119.86  35   7   4A  17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East        18.95      9.05                      
 74 10/27/2017 Home    W   115.87  14   7   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         14.96     -7.96                      
 75 11/03/2017 Home    L   117.48  10  13   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            16.57    -19.57                      
 76 08/24/2018 Away    W   121.94  34  14   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              21.03     -1.03  ND                  
 77 08/31/2018 Home    W   112.12  14   9   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 11.21     -6.21  ND                  
 78 09/07/2018 Home    L    93.48   0  27   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            -7.43    -19.57  ND                  
 79 09/14/2018 Away    W   120.39  42   7   4A  24 ( 46- 48-  0) Muscatine              19.49     15.51  ND                  
 80 09/21/2018 Away    W    96.17  31  14   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East        -4.73     21.73                      
 81 09/28/2018 Home    W   113.22  52   6   4A  33 ( 24- 67-  0) Ottumwa                12.31     33.69                      
 82 10/05/2018 Home    W   115.81  28   0   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola              14.90     13.10                      
 83 10/12/2018 Away    W   123.35  52   0   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             22.45     29.55                      
 84 10/19/2018 Away    L * 110.91  30  31   4A   4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                 10.00    -11.00                      
 85 10/26/2018 Home    W   108.59  28  14   4A  14 ( 58- 42-  0) CR Prairie              7.69      6.31                      
 86 11/02/2018 Home    L    94.87   7  21   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         -6.04     -7.96                      
 87 08/30/2019 Home    W   119.39  27   6   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              18.49      2.51  ND                  
 88 09/06/2019 Away    L    97.66   7  20   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 -3.25     -9.75  ND                  
 89 09/13/2019 Away    L   114.02   7  17   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            13.11    -23.11  ND                  
 90 09/20/2019 Home    W    95.85  14   0   4A  24 ( 46- 48-  0) Muscatine              -5.06     19.06  ND                  
 91 09/27/2019 Home    W   110.63  35   0   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East         9.72     25.28                      
 92 10/04/2019 Away    W   108.76  45   7   4A  33 ( 24- 67-  0) Ottumwa                 7.85     30.15                      
 93 10/11/2019 Away    L    81.35   7  17   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola             -19.56      9.56                      
 94 10/18/2019 Home    W   101.81  40   6   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City              0.90     33.10                      
 95 10/25/2019 Home    L *  85.37  17  40   4A   4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                -15.54     -7.46                      
 96 08/28/2020 Away    L    85.94  34  50   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale             -14.97     -1.03                      
 97 09/04/2020 Home    W   109.27  42   8   4A  31 ( 39- 48-  0) Des Moines Lincoln      8.37     25.63                      
 98 09/11/2020 Home    W   123.48  18  15   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            22.57    -19.57                      
 99 09/18/2020 Away    W   115.64  14   7   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      14.73     -7.73                      
100 09/25/2020 Away    L *  83.91  17  45   4A   4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                -17.00    -11.00                      
101 10/02/2020 Away    L    70.66   9  49   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                -30.25     -9.75                      
102 10/09/2020 Away    L    94.41  10  28   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         -6.49    -11.51                      
103 10/23/2020 Home    L    64.81   7  30   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola             -36.10     13.10                      
      Averages             101.23  26.4 20.2

Best game:  136.64 = 28 point win over Ankeny Centennial
Worst game:  56.57 = 34 point loss to Ames
Team stdev:  17.58