BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Johnston

Class: 4A Class Rank: 11 Conference: 4A-6 Record: (1-8-0) Overall: (61-42-0) Overall Strength =  101.68

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/19/2011 Home    W      92.32  45  20   4A 33 ( 23- 68-  0) Ottumwa                -8.70     33.70                      
 2 08/26/2011 Away    W      98.10  28   0   4A 34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln             -2.92     30.92                      
 3 09/02/2011 Home    L      62.79  21  35   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown          -38.23     24.23                      
 4 09/16/2011 Away    L      81.06  10  31   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale             -19.95     -1.05                      
 5 09/23/2011 Home    W      94.90  14   7   4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola              -6.11     13.11                      
 6 09/30/2011 Home    W      93.63  49   7   4A 39 ( 14- 77-  0) Sioux City West        -7.39     49.39                      
 7 10/07/2011 Away    L     111.15  14  27   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            10.13    -23.13                      
 8 10/14/2011 Home    L      82.22   6  31   4A  5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                -18.80     -6.20                      
 9 10/21/2011 Away    L      66.54   0  46   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk        -34.48    -11.52                      
10 10/26/2011 Away    L      94.06  15  23   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              -6.95     -1.05                      
11 08/17/2012 Home    L     102.57  16  34   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling             1.56    -19.56                      
12 08/24/2012 Away    W     101.94  38  15   4A 31 ( 39- 48-  0) Des Moines Lincoln      0.92     22.08                      
13 09/07/2012 Away    L      89.06  18  31   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale             -11.95     -1.05                      
14 09/14/2012 Home    L * *  92.46  29  45   4A  4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                 -8.56     -7.44                      
15 09/21/2012 Away    L      75.79   7  42   4A  5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                -25.23     -9.77                      
16 09/28/2012 Home    W      82.83  41  20   4A 35 ( 21- 71-  0) Sioux City North      -18.19     39.19                      
17 10/05/2012 Away    W     126.34  37   0   4A 20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge             25.33     11.67                      
18 10/12/2012 Home    W      87.16  44   0   4A 40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North      -13.86 *   57.86                      
19 10/19/2012 Home    W     125.12  62  24   4A 19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                   24.11     13.89                      
20 10/24/2012 Home    W     101.49  58  55 2 4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale               0.47      2.53                      
21 10/29/2012 Away    L      97.45  17  42   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             -3.56    -21.44                      
22 08/30/2013 Home    W     118.37  49   6   4A 31 ( 39- 48-  0) Des Moines Lincoln     17.35     25.65  NC                  
23 09/06/2013 Away    L      96.76  39  51   4A  7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      -4.25     -7.75  NC                  
24 09/13/2013 Home    L      88.49  40  50   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale             -12.53      2.53  NC                  
25 09/20/2013 Away    L * *  99.03   7  20   4A  4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                 -1.99    -11.01  NC                  
26 09/27/2013 Home    W     122.22  42  27   4A  5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 21.20     -6.20                      
27 10/03/2013 Away    W      76.40  28  17   4A 35 ( 21- 71-  0) Sioux City North      -24.62     35.62                      
28 10/11/2013 Home    W     125.77  55  15   4A 20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge             24.76     15.24                      
29 10/18/2013 Away    W     100.73  66  12   4A 40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North       -0.28     54.28                      
30 10/25/2013 Away    L      56.70   7  41   4A 19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                  -44.32     10.32                      
31 10/30/2013 Home    L      67.41   7  28   4A 17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East       -33.60     12.60                      
32 08/29/2014 Home    W     129.97  28   7   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         28.95     -7.95                      
33 09/05/2014 Home    W     108.22  28  27   4A  5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                  7.20     -6.20                      
34 09/12/2014 Away    W     131.06  31   2   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              30.05     -1.05                      
35 09/19/2014 Away    L * *  82.03   7  37   4A  4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                -18.99    -11.01                      
36 09/26/2014 Home    W      82.16  45   6   4A 40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North      -18.86 *   57.86                      
37 10/03/2014 Away    W     109.78  42   6   4A 32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt    8.76     27.24                      
38 10/10/2014 Home    L      83.57  13  50   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling           -17.44    -19.56                      
39 10/17/2014 Away    L     102.35  28  31   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central        1.33     -4.33                      
40 10/24/2014 Home    W     118.41  47  17   4A 17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East        17.40     12.60                      
41 10/29/2014 Away    W     136.76  34   6   4A  7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      35.75     -7.75                      
42 11/03/2014 Away    L      94.45   7  35   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             -6.56    -21.44                      
43 08/28/2015 Away    W     113.54  10   9   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         12.52    -11.52  ND                  
44 09/04/2015 Away    W     113.79  20  17   4A  5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 12.77     -9.77  ND                  
45 09/11/2015 Home    W     105.49  24  17   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale               4.47      2.53  ND                  
46 09/18/2015 Home    L * *  99.46  21  30   4A  4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                 -1.56     -7.44  ND                  
47 09/25/2015 Away    W      69.73  44  21   4A 40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North      -31.28     54.28                      
48 10/02/2015 Home    W     119.20  49   0   4A 32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   18.19     30.81                      
49 10/09/2015 Away    L     104.15  15  35   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling             3.13    -23.13                      
50 10/16/2015 Home    W     108.78   7   0   3A  3 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central        7.76     -0.76                      
51 10/23/2015 Away    W     112.99  24   3   4A 17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East        11.97      9.03                      
52 10/28/2015 Home    W      91.90  45  13   3A 52 ( 26- 58-  0) Des Moines Hoover      -9.12     41.12                      
53 11/02/2015 Away    W     126.76  28  10   4A  7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      25.75     -7.75                      
54 11/06/2015 Home    L     115.88  17  20   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             14.86    -17.86                      
55 08/26/2016 Home    L     100.19  17  22   4A  7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      -0.83     -4.17  ND                  
56 09/02/2016 Away    W     115.54  20  17   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         14.52    -11.52  ND                  
57 09/09/2016 Away    L      98.06  16  20   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              -2.95     -1.05  ND                  
58 09/16/2016 Home    L      75.88   9  52   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -25.14    -17.86  ND                  
59 09/23/2016 Home    W      76.73  21  20   4A 30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East       -24.29     25.29                      
60 09/30/2016 Away    W     108.78  42   7   4A 32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt    7.76     27.24                      
61 10/07/2016 Away    W      84.40  41  22   4A 35 ( 21- 71-  0) Sioux City North      -16.62     35.62                      
62 10/14/2016 Home    L * *  98.46  14  24   4A  4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                 -2.56     -7.44                      
63 10/21/2016 Home    W     135.41  47   0   4A 17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East        34.40     12.60                      
64 10/28/2016 Neutral L      87.36   6  41   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling           -13.66    -21.34                      
65 08/25/2017 Away    W     113.76  13   8   4A  7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      12.75     -7.75  ND                  
66 09/01/2017 Home    W     118.97  27  17   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         17.95     -7.95  ND                  
67 09/08/2017 Home    W     112.49  28  14   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              11.47      2.53  ND                  
68 09/15/2017 Away    L     109.45  14  27   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley              8.44    -21.44  ND                  
69 09/22/2017 Away    W      93.30  49  35   4A 30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East        -7.72     21.72                      
70 09/29/2017 Home    W      85.20  30  15   4A 32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt  -15.81     30.81                      
71 10/06/2017 Home    W      97.83  42   6   4A 35 ( 21- 71-  0) Sioux City North       -3.19     39.19                      
72 10/13/2017 Away    W * * 125.03  31  18   4A  4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                 24.01    -11.01                      
73 10/20/2017 Away    W     119.99  35   7   4A 17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East        18.97      9.03                      
74 10/27/2017 Home    W     115.97  14   7   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         14.95     -7.95                      
75 11/03/2017 Home    L     117.57  10  13   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            16.56    -19.56                      
76 08/24/2018 Away    W     122.06  34  14   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              21.05     -1.05  ND                  
77 08/31/2018 Home    W     112.22  14   9   4A  5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 11.20     -6.20  ND                  
78 09/07/2018 Home    L      93.57   0  27   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            -7.44    -19.56  ND                  
79 09/14/2018 Away    W     120.52  42   7   4A 24 ( 46- 48-  0) Muscatine              19.50     15.50  ND                  
80 09/21/2018 Away    W      96.30  31  14   4A 30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East        -4.72     21.72                      
81 09/28/2018 Home    W     113.32  52   6   4A 33 ( 23- 68-  0) Ottumwa                12.30     33.70                      
82 10/05/2018 Home    W     115.90  28   0   4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola              14.89     13.11                      
83 10/12/2018 Away    W     123.48  52   0   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             22.46     29.54                      
84 10/19/2018 Away    L * * 111.03  30  31   4A  4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                 10.01    -11.01                      
85 10/26/2018 Home    W     108.69  28  14   4A 14 ( 58- 42-  0) CR Prairie              7.67      6.33                      
86 11/02/2018 Home    L      94.97   7  21   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         -6.05     -7.95                      
87 08/30/2019 Home    W     119.49  27   6   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              18.47      2.53  ND                  
88 09/06/2019 Away    L      97.79   7  20   4A  5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 -3.23     -9.77  ND                  
89 09/13/2019 Away    L     114.15   7  17   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            13.13    -23.13  ND                  
90 09/20/2019 Home    W      95.95  14   0   4A 24 ( 46- 48-  0) Muscatine              -5.07     19.07  ND                  
91 09/27/2019 Home    W     110.73  35   0   4A 30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East         9.71     25.29                      
92 10/04/2019 Away    W     108.89  45   7   4A 33 ( 23- 68-  0) Ottumwa                 7.87     30.13                      
93 10/11/2019 Away    L      81.48   7  17   4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola             -19.54      9.54                      
94 10/18/2019 Home    W     101.91  40   6   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City              0.89     33.11                      
95 10/25/2019 Home    L * *  85.46  17  40   4A  4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                -15.56     -7.44                      
96 08/28/2020 Away    L      86.06  34  50   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale             -14.95     -1.05                      
97 09/04/2020 Home    W     109.37  42   8   4A 31 ( 39- 48-  0) Des Moines Lincoln      8.35     25.65                      
98 09/11/2020 Home    W     123.57  18  15   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            22.56    -19.56                      
99 09/18/2020 Away    W     115.76  14   7   4A  7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      14.75     -7.75                      
100 09/25/2020 Away    L * *  84.03  17  45   4A  4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                -16.99    -11.01                      
101 10/02/2020 Away    L      70.79   9  49   4A  5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                -30.23     -9.77                      
102 10/09/2020 Away    L      94.54  10  28   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         -6.48    -11.52                      
103 10/23/2020 Home    L      64.90   7  30   4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola             -36.11     13.11                      
      Averages             101.35  26.4 20.2

Best game:  136.76 = 28 point win over Ankeny Centennial
Worst game:  56.70 = 34 point loss to Ames
Team stdev:  17.58