BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Ottumwa
Class: 4A Class Rank: 33 Conference: 4A-7 Record: (0-4-0) Overall: (24-67-0) Overall Strength = 69.01
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/19/2011 Away L 77.68 20 45 4A 11 ( 61- 42- 0) Johnston 8.69 -33.69
2 08/26/2011 Home L 83.79 7 42 4A 2 ( 97- 20- 0) WDM Valley 14.80 -49.80
3 09/02/2011 Away L 76.57 14 28 4A 19 ( 49- 46- 0) Ames 7.58 -21.58
4 09/09/2011 Away L 70.91 19 60 4A 4 ( 79- 31- 0) Waukee 1.92 -42.92
5 09/16/2011 Home W 78.06 55 20 4A 40 ( 5- 78- 0) Des Moines North 9.07 25.93
6 09/23/2011 Home W 105.80 56 10 3A 52 ( 25- 59- 0) Des Moines Hoover 36.81 9.19
7 09/30/2011 Home L 68.63 3 10 4A 30 ( 35- 51- 0) Des Moines East -0.36 -6.64
8 10/07/2011 Away L 60.82 31 49 4A 31 ( 39- 48- 0) Des Moines Lincoln -8.17 -9.83
9 10/21/2011 Away W 81.65 35 27 4A 32 ( 28- 57- 0) Des Moines Roosevelt 12.66 -4.66
10 10/26/2011 Away L 80.33 7 49 4A 2 ( 97- 20- 0) WDM Valley 11.34 -53.34
11 08/17/2012 Home L 91.79 0 27 4A 2 ( 97- 20- 0) WDM Valley 22.80 -49.80
12 08/24/2012 Away W 81.32 34 21 3A 48 ( 38- 53- 0) Keokuk 12.33 0.67
13 08/31/2012 Home W 97.12 33 3 3A 46 ( 34- 55- 0) Mount Pleasant 28.14 1.86
14 09/07/2012 Home L 54.63 26 47 4A 30 ( 35- 51- 0) Des Moines East -14.36 -6.64
15 09/14/2012 Away L 72.35 7 26 4A 18 ( 50- 47- 0) Indianola 3.36 -22.36
16 09/21/2012 Away L 38.23 7 49 4A 27 ( 35- 58- 0) Marshalltown -30.76 -11.24
17 09/28/2012 Home W 85.81 21 3 3A 45 ( 16- 74- 0) Mason City 16.82 1.18
18 10/05/2012 Away L 90.02 7 41 4A 1 (112- 14- 0) WDM Dowling 21.03 -55.03
19 10/19/2012 Home W 96.80 54 17 3A 52 ( 25- 59- 0) Des Moines Hoover 27.81 9.19
20 10/24/2012 Away L 56.91 0 55 4A 4 ( 79- 31- 0) Waukee -12.08 -42.92
21 08/30/2013 Home W 94.78 33 3 3A 48 ( 38- 53- 0) Keokuk 25.79 4.21 post-game forfeit
22 09/06/2013 Away W 113.67 46 3 3A 46 ( 34- 55- 0) Mount Pleasant 44.68 -1.68 ND
23 09/13/2013 Away W 87.17 22 14 4A 30 ( 35- 51- 0) Des Moines East 18.18 -10.18 NC
24 09/20/2013 Home L 60.81 7 34 4A 18 ( 50- 47- 0) Indianola -8.18 -18.82 NC
25 09/27/2013 Home W 87.69 28 17 4A 27 ( 35- 58- 0) Marshalltown 18.70 -7.70
26 10/04/2013 Away L 68.35 14 17 3A 45 ( 16- 74- 0) Mason City -0.64 -2.36
27 10/11/2013 Home L 81.48 3 42 4A 1 (112- 14- 0) WDM Dowling 12.49 -51.49
28 10/18/2013 Away L 106.64 29 31 4A 7 ( 60- 24- 0) Ankeny Centennial 37.65 -39.65
29 10/25/2013 Away L 47.34 15 31 3A 52 ( 25- 59- 0) Des Moines Hoover -21.64 5.64
30 08/29/2014 Home W 88.12 42 21 3A 46 ( 34- 55- 0) Mount Pleasant 19.14 1.86
31 09/05/2014 Away W 96.97 27 13 3A 31 ( 49- 48- 0) Oskaloosa 27.98 -13.98
32 09/12/2014 Home W 82.69 22 16 1 4A 27 ( 35- 58- 0) Marshalltown 13.70 -7.70
33 09/19/2014 Away L 88.35 23 26 2 4A 18 ( 50- 47- 0) Indianola 19.36 -22.36
34 09/26/2014 Home W 118.08 34 0 4A 21 ( 46- 51- 0) Iowa City High 49.09 -15.09
35 10/03/2014 Away L 58.41 2 40 4A 15 ( 65- 40- 0) CR Washington -10.58 -27.42
36 10/10/2014 Home L * 78.85 29 32 4A 24 ( 46- 48- 0) Muscatine 9.86 -12.86
37 10/17/2014 Home W 82.08 38 14 3A 53 ( 19- 69- 0) Burlington 13.09 10.91
38 10/24/2014 Away L 50.13 0 48 4A 14 ( 58- 42- 0) CR Prairie -18.85 -29.15
39 10/29/2014 Away L 80.41 0 28 4A 8 ( 80- 30- 0) Iowa City West 11.42 -39.42
40 08/28/2015 Away W 80.67 20 10 3A 46 ( 34- 55- 0) Mount Pleasant 11.68 -1.68 ND
41 09/04/2015 Home W 99.43 20 0 3A 31 ( 49- 48- 0) Oskaloosa 30.44 -10.44 ND
42 09/11/2015 Away W 82.23 20 18 4A 27 ( 35- 58- 0) Marshalltown 13.24 -11.24 ND
43 09/18/2015 Home L 79.81 13 21 4A 18 ( 50- 47- 0) Indianola 10.82 -18.82 ND
44 09/25/2015 Away L 69.63 17 35 4A 21 ( 46- 51- 0) Iowa City High 0.64 -18.64
45 10/02/2015 Home L 46.86 7 53 4A 15 ( 65- 40- 0) CR Washington -22.12 -23.88
46 10/09/2015 Away L * 64.39 35 56 4A 24 ( 46- 48- 0) Muscatine -4.60 -16.40
47 10/15/2015 Away W 72.63 28 17 3A 53 ( 19- 69- 0) Burlington 3.64 7.36
48 10/23/2015 Home L 69.59 20 45 4A 14 ( 58- 42- 0) CR Prairie 0.60 -25.60
49 08/26/2016 Away L 45.31 6 42 3A 34 ( 43- 49- 0) Newton -23.68 -12.32 ND
50 09/02/2016 Home L 69.81 3 21 4A 18 ( 50- 47- 0) Indianola 0.82 -18.82 ND
51 09/09/2016 Away L 43.82 7 42 4A 31 ( 39- 48- 0) Des Moines Lincoln -25.17 -9.83 ND
52 09/16/2016 Away L 59.65 10 24 4A 32 ( 28- 57- 0) Des Moines Roosevelt -9.34 -4.66 ND
53 09/23/2016 Home L 49.52 7 46 4A 16 ( 43- 50- 0) Marion Linn-Mar -19.46 -19.54
54 09/30/2016 Home L 43.59 7 58 4A 14 ( 58- 42- 0) CR Prairie -25.40 -25.60
55 10/07/2016 Away L 50.63 10 21 3A 53 ( 19- 69- 0) Burlington -18.36 7.36
56 10/14/2016 Home L * 54.33 0 43 4A 13 ( 65- 41- 0) CR Kennedy -14.66 -28.34
57 10/21/2016 Away L 59.41 14 63 4A 8 ( 80- 30- 0) Iowa City West -9.58 -39.42
58 08/25/2017 Home L 42.77 7 42 3A 34 ( 43- 49- 0) Newton -26.22 -8.78 ND
59 09/01/2017 Away L 62.35 6 35 4A 18 ( 50- 47- 0) Indianola -6.64 -22.36 ND
60 09/08/2017 Home L 43.27 19 51 4A 31 ( 39- 48- 0) Des Moines Lincoln -25.72 -6.28 ND
61 09/15/2017 Home L 48.11 6 28 4A 32 ( 28- 57- 0) Des Moines Roosevelt -20.88 -1.12 ND
62 09/22/2017 Away L 78.07 21 35 4A 16 ( 43- 50- 0) Marion Linn-Mar 9.08 -23.08
63 09/29/2017 Away L 49.13 7 56 4A 14 ( 58- 42- 0) CR Prairie -19.85 -29.15
64 10/06/2017 Home L 51.08 20 27 3A 53 ( 19- 69- 0) Burlington -17.91 10.91
65 10/13/2017 Away L * 52.87 0 48 4A 13 ( 65- 41- 0) CR Kennedy -16.12 -31.88
66 10/20/2017 Home L 56.86 7 55 4A 8 ( 80- 30- 0) Iowa City West -12.13 -35.87
67 08/24/2018 Home W 64.08 32 26 3A 53 ( 19- 69- 0) Burlington -4.91 10.91 ND
68 08/31/2018 Away L 50.23 6 36 4A 27 ( 35- 58- 0) Marshalltown -18.76 -11.24 ND
69 09/07/2018 Home L 56.77 14 35 3A 34 ( 43- 49- 0) Newton -12.22 -8.78 ND
70 09/14/2018 Away L 49.67 0 21 3A 46 ( 34- 55- 0) Mount Pleasant -19.32 -1.68 ND
71 09/21/2018 Home L 52.81 7 42 4A 18 ( 50- 47- 0) Indianola -16.18 -18.82
72 09/28/2018 Away L 56.68 6 52 4A 11 ( 61- 42- 0) Johnston -12.31 -33.69
73 10/05/2018 Home L 58.37 0 50 4A 4 ( 79- 31- 0) Waukee -10.62 -39.38
74 10/12/2018 Away L 57.17 18 40 4A 30 ( 35- 51- 0) Des Moines East -11.82 -10.18
75 10/19/2018 Home W 82.81 21 6 3A 45 ( 16- 74- 0) Mason City 13.82 1.18
76 08/30/2019 Away W 87.63 47 21 3A 53 ( 19- 69- 0) Burlington 18.64 7.36 ND
77 09/06/2019 Home L 64.69 14 26 4A 27 ( 35- 58- 0) Marshalltown -4.30 -7.70 ND
78 09/13/2019 Away L 60.31 21 42 3A 34 ( 43- 49- 0) Newton -8.68 -12.32 ND
79 09/20/2019 Home L 39.12 7 35 3A 46 ( 34- 55- 0) Mount Pleasant -29.86 1.86 ND
80 09/27/2019 Away L 42.35 7 56 4A 18 ( 50- 47- 0) Indianola -26.64 -22.36
81 10/04/2019 Home L 61.14 7 45 4A 11 ( 61- 42- 0) Johnston -7.85 -30.15
82 10/11/2019 Away L 49.91 12 74 4A 4 ( 79- 31- 0) Waukee -19.08 -42.92
83 10/18/2019 Home W 78.63 37 34 4A 30 ( 35- 51- 0) Des Moines East 9.64 -6.64
84 10/25/2019 Away L 60.35 17 28 3A 45 ( 16- 74- 0) Mason City -8.64 -2.36
85 08/28/2020 Home L 70.25 7 14 3A 35 ( 39- 55- 0) Central Clinton 1.26 -8.26 ND
86 09/04/2020 Away L 75.97 14 21 3A 31 ( 49- 48- 0) Oskaloosa 6.98 -13.98 ND
87 09/11/2020 Away L 68.64 14 33 3A 27 ( 44- 50- 0) Winterset -0.35 -18.65 ND
88 09/25/2020 Home L 55.69 21 42 4A 27 ( 35- 58- 0) Marshalltown -13.30 -7.70
89 10/02/2020 Home L 60.87 21 69 4A 3 ( 73- 38- 0) Southeast Polk -8.12 -39.88
90 10/09/2020 Home L 66.03 21 42 4A 19 ( 49- 46- 0) Ames -2.96 -18.04
91 10/16/2020 Away L 62.63 16 41 4A 21 ( 46- 51- 0) Iowa City High -6.36 -18.64
Averages 69.01 17.3 32.8
Best game: 118.08 = 34 point win over Iowa City High
Worst game: 38.23 = 42 point loss to Marshalltown
Team stdev: 18.09