BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Ottumwa

Class: 4A Class Rank: 33 Conference: 4A-7 Record: (0-4-0) Overall: (23-68-0) Overall Strength =   69.12

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/19/2011 Away    L      77.80  20  45   4A 11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston                8.70    -33.70                      
 2 08/26/2011 Home    L      83.88   7  42   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             14.78    -49.78                      
 3 09/02/2011 Away    L      76.70  14  28   4A 19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                    7.59    -21.59                      
 4 09/09/2011 Away    L      71.03  19  60   4A  4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                  1.93    -42.93                      
 5 09/16/2011 Home    W      78.16  55  20   4A 40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North        9.06     25.94                      
 6 09/23/2011 Home    W     105.90  56  10   3A 52 ( 26- 58-  0) Des Moines Hoover      36.80      9.20                      
 7 09/30/2011 Home    L      68.73   3  10   4A 30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East        -0.37     -6.63                      
 8 10/07/2011 Away    L      60.94  31  49   4A 31 ( 39- 48-  0) Des Moines Lincoln     -8.16     -9.84                      
 9 10/21/2011 Away    W      81.78  35  27   4A 32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   12.68     -4.68                      
10 10/26/2011 Away    L      80.45   7  49   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             11.35    -53.35                      
11 08/17/2012 Home    L      91.88   0  27   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             22.78    -49.78                      
12 08/24/2012 Away    W      81.45  34  21   3A 48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                 12.35      0.65                      
13 08/31/2012 Home    W      97.22  33   3   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         28.12      1.88                      
14 09/07/2012 Home    L      54.73  26  47   4A 30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East       -14.37     -6.63                      
15 09/14/2012 Away    L      72.48   7  26   4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola               3.38    -22.38                      
16 09/21/2012 Away    L      38.36   7  49   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown          -30.74    -11.26                      
17 09/28/2012 Home    W      85.91  21   3   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             16.80      1.20                      
18 10/05/2012 Away    L      90.15   7  41   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            21.04    -55.04                      
19 10/19/2012 Home    W      96.90  54  17   3A 52 ( 26- 58-  0) Des Moines Hoover      27.80      9.20                      
20 10/24/2012 Away    L      57.03   0  55   4A  4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                -12.07    -42.93                      
21 08/30/2013 Home    L      94.88  33   3   3A 48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                 25.78      4.22  post-game forfeit   
22 09/06/2013 Away    W     113.80  46   3   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         44.70     -1.70  ND                  
23 09/13/2013 Away    W      87.30  22  14   4A 30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East        18.20    -10.20  NC                  
24 09/20/2013 Home    L      60.90   7  34   4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola              -8.20    -18.80  NC                  
25 09/27/2013 Home    W      87.79  28  17   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           18.69     -7.69                      
26 10/04/2013 Away    L      68.48  14  17   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             -0.62     -2.38                      
27 10/11/2013 Home    L      81.57   3  42   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            12.47    -51.47                      
28 10/18/2013 Away    L     106.76  29  31   4A  7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      37.66    -39.66                      
29 10/25/2013 Away    L      47.47  15  31   3A 52 ( 26- 58-  0) Des Moines Hoover     -21.63      5.63                      
30 08/29/2014 Home    W      88.22  42  21   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         19.12      1.88                      
31 09/05/2014 Away    W      97.10  27  13   3A 31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa              28.00    -14.00                      
32 09/12/2014 Home    W      82.79  22  16 1 4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           13.69     -7.69                      
33 09/19/2014 Away    L      88.48  23  26 2 4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola              19.38    -22.38                      
34 09/26/2014 Home    W     118.18  34   0   4A 21 ( 46- 51-  0) Iowa City High         49.08    -15.08                      
35 10/03/2014 Away    L      58.53   2  40   4A 15 ( 65- 40-  0) CR Washington         -10.57    -27.43                      
36 10/10/2014 Home    L * *  78.95  29  32   4A 24 ( 46- 48-  0) Muscatine               9.85    -12.85                      
37 10/17/2014 Home    W      82.18  38  14   3A 53 ( 19- 69-  0) Burlington             13.08     10.92                      
38 10/24/2014 Away    L      50.26   0  48   4A 14 ( 58- 42-  0) CR Prairie            -18.84    -29.16                      
39 10/29/2014 Away    L      80.53   0  28   4A  8 ( 80- 30-  0) Iowa City West         11.43    -39.43                      
40 08/28/2015 Away    W      80.80  20  10   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         11.70     -1.70  ND                  
41 09/04/2015 Home    W      99.53  20   0   3A 31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa              30.43    -10.43  ND                  
42 09/11/2015 Away    W      82.36  20  18   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           13.26    -11.26  ND                  
43 09/18/2015 Home    L      79.90  13  21   4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola              10.80    -18.80  ND                  
44 09/25/2015 Away    L      69.75  17  35   4A 21 ( 46- 51-  0) Iowa City High          0.65    -18.65                      
45 10/02/2015 Home    L      46.96   7  53   4A 15 ( 65- 40-  0) CR Washington         -22.14    -23.86                      
46 10/09/2015 Away    L * *  64.52  35  56   4A 24 ( 46- 48-  0) Muscatine              -4.58    -16.42                      
47 10/15/2015 Away    W      72.75  28  17   3A 53 ( 19- 69-  0) Burlington              3.65      7.35                      
48 10/23/2015 Home    L      69.69  20  45   4A 14 ( 58- 42-  0) CR Prairie              0.59    -25.59                      
49 08/26/2016 Away    L      45.44   6  42   3A 34 ( 43- 49-  0) Newton                -23.66    -12.34  ND                  
50 09/02/2016 Home    L      69.90   3  21   4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola               0.80    -18.80  ND                  
51 09/09/2016 Away    L      43.94   7  42   4A 31 ( 39- 48-  0) Des Moines Lincoln    -25.16     -9.84  ND                  
52 09/16/2016 Away    L      59.78  10  24   4A 32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   -9.32     -4.68  ND                  
53 09/23/2016 Home    L      49.62   7  46   4A 16 ( 43- 50-  0) Marion Linn-Mar       -19.48    -19.52                      
54 09/30/2016 Home    L      43.69   7  58   4A 14 ( 58- 42-  0) CR Prairie            -25.41    -25.59                      
55 10/07/2016 Away    L      50.75  10  21   3A 53 ( 19- 69-  0) Burlington            -18.35      7.35                      
56 10/14/2016 Home    L * *  54.42   0  43   4A 13 ( 65- 41-  0) CR Kennedy            -14.68    -28.32                      
57 10/21/2016 Away    L      59.53  14  63   4A  8 ( 80- 30-  0) Iowa City West         -9.57    -39.43                      
58 08/25/2017 Home    L      42.87   7  42   3A 34 ( 43- 49-  0) Newton                -26.23     -8.77  ND                  
59 09/01/2017 Away    L      62.48   6  35   4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola              -6.62    -22.38  ND                  
60 09/08/2017 Home    L      43.37  19  51   4A 31 ( 39- 48-  0) Des Moines Lincoln    -25.73     -6.27  ND                  
61 09/15/2017 Home    L      48.20   6  28   4A 32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt  -20.90     -1.10  ND                  
62 09/22/2017 Away    L      78.19  21  35   4A 16 ( 43- 50-  0) Marion Linn-Mar         9.09    -23.09                      
63 09/29/2017 Away    L      49.26   7  56   4A 14 ( 58- 42-  0) CR Prairie            -19.84    -29.16                      
64 10/06/2017 Home    L      51.18  20  27   3A 53 ( 19- 69-  0) Burlington            -17.92     10.92                      
65 10/13/2017 Away    L * *  52.99   0  48   4A 13 ( 65- 41-  0) CR Kennedy            -16.11    -31.89                      
66 10/20/2017 Home    L      56.96   7  55   4A  8 ( 80- 30-  0) Iowa City West        -12.14    -35.86                      
67 08/24/2018 Home    W      64.18  32  26   3A 53 ( 19- 69-  0) Burlington             -4.92     10.92  ND                  
68 08/31/2018 Away    L      50.36   6  36   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown          -18.74    -11.26  ND                  
69 09/07/2018 Home    L      56.87  14  35   3A 34 ( 43- 49-  0) Newton                -12.23     -8.77  ND                  
70 09/14/2018 Away    L      49.80   0  21   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant        -19.30     -1.70  ND                  
71 09/21/2018 Home    L      52.90   7  42   4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola             -16.20    -18.80                      
72 09/28/2018 Away    L      56.80   6  52   4A 11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston              -12.30    -33.70                      
73 10/05/2018 Home    L      58.46   0  50   4A  4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                -10.64    -39.36                      
74 10/12/2018 Away    L      57.30  18  40   4A 30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East       -11.80    -10.20                      
75 10/19/2018 Home    W      82.91  21   6   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             13.80      1.20                      
76 08/30/2019 Away    W      87.75  47  21   3A 53 ( 19- 69-  0) Burlington             18.65      7.35  ND                  
77 09/06/2019 Home    L      64.79  14  26   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           -4.31     -7.69  ND                  
78 09/13/2019 Away    L      60.44  21  42   3A 34 ( 43- 49-  0) Newton                 -8.66    -12.34  ND                  
79 09/20/2019 Home    L      39.22   7  35   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant        -29.88      1.88  ND                  
80 09/27/2019 Away    L      42.48   7  56   4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola             -26.62    -22.38                      
81 10/04/2019 Home    L      61.23   7  45   4A 11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston               -7.87    -30.13                      
82 10/11/2019 Away    L      50.03  12  74   4A  4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                -19.07    -42.93                      
83 10/18/2019 Home    W      78.73  37  34   4A 30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East         9.63     -6.63                      
84 10/25/2019 Away    L      60.48  17  28   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             -8.62     -2.38                      
85 08/28/2020 Home    L      70.34   7  14   3A 35 ( 37- 57-  0) Central Clinton         1.24     -8.24  ND                  
86 09/04/2020 Away    L      76.10  14  21   3A 31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa               7.00    -14.00  ND                  
87 09/11/2020 Away    L      68.77  14  33   3A 27 ( 44- 50-  0) Winterset              -0.33    -18.67  ND                  
88 09/25/2020 Home    L      55.79  21  42   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown          -13.31     -7.69                      
89 10/02/2020 Home    L      60.97  21  69   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         -8.13    -39.87                      
90 10/09/2020 Home    L      66.12  21  42   4A 19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                   -2.98    -18.02                      
91 10/16/2020 Away    L      62.75  16  41   4A 21 ( 46- 51-  0) Iowa City High         -6.35    -18.65                      
      Averages              69.12  17.3 32.8

Best game:  118.18 = 34 point win over Iowa City High
Worst game:  38.36 = 42 point loss to Marshalltown
Team stdev:  18.09